{smcl}
{com}{sf}{ul off}{txt}{.-}
      name:  {res}<unnamed>
       {txt}log:  {res}C:\Users\yewon\Desktop\Research\2023\double_edged\log_II.smcl
  {txt}log type:  {res}smcl
 {txt}opened on:  {res} 7 Jun 2024, 00:03:39

{com}. do "C:\Users\yewon\AppData\Local\Temp\STD1570_000000.tmp"
{txt}
{com}. use 0308, clear
{txt}
{com}. 
{txt}end of do-file

{com}. do "C:\Users\yewon\AppData\Local\Temp\STD1570_000000.tmp"
{txt}
{com}. *****Main text***** 
. 
. *Table 1 
. **Threat stage 
. imb issue_dum highact institution ddyad , treatment (carrot_1)
{res}
{txt}Multivariate L1 distance: {res}.43745975

{txt}Univariate imbalance:

                  L1     mean      min      25%      50%      75%      max
  issue_dum  {res} .06991   .06991        0        0        0        0        0
{txt}    highact  {res} .12934   .94526        0        0        0        0       -3
{txt}institution  {res} .26826   .26826        0        0        0        1        0
{txt}      ddyad  {res} .29349  -.29349        0        0        0       -1        0
{txt}
{com}. cem issue_dum(#0) highact(1.5 12.5 17.5 22.5) institution(#0) ddyad(#0), treatment (carrot_1) showbreak
{txt}(using the scott break method for imbalance)
{res}{txt}Cutpoints:
issue_dum:{res} (user) 
  0
highact:{res} (user) 
       {txt}   1
    {c TLC}{hline 8}{c TRC}
  1 {c |}  {res} 1.5{txt}  {c |}
  2 {c |}  {res}12.5{txt}  {c |}
  3 {c |}  {res}17.5{txt}  {c |}
  4 {c |}  {res}22.5{txt}  {c |}
    {c BLC}{hline 8}{c BRC}
institution:{res} (user) 
  0
ddyad:{res} (user) 
  0

{txt}Matching Summary:
-----------------
Number of strata: {res}38
{txt}Number of matched strata: {res}13

           {txt}   0     1
      All  {res}1411    31
{txt}  Matched  {res}1274    31
{txt}Unmatched  {res} 137     0


{txt}Multivariate L1 distance: {res}.11301843

{txt}Univariate imbalance:

                   L1      mean       min       25%       50%       75%       max
  issue_dum  {res} 2.7e-16   2.1e-16         0         0         0         0         0
{txt}    highact  {res}  .10495   -.12869         0         0         0         0        -3
{txt}institution  {res} 2.2e-15   1.3e-15         0         0         0         0         0
{txt}      ddyad  {res} 5.3e-16  -3.9e-16         0         0         0         0         .
{txt}
{com}. **Imposition stage (correction democracy dyad: 0.226->0.286 & hostility level after matching 0.011->0.108)
. imb issue_dum highact institution ddyad , treatment (carrotonlyimposition)
{txt}(using the scott break method for L1 distance)
{res}
{txt}Multivariate L1 distance: {res}.43297587

{txt}Univariate imbalance:

                  L1     mean      min      25%      50%      75%      max
  issue_dum  {res} .20264   .20264        0        0        0        0        0
{txt}    highact  {res} .22464   3.1831        0        0        0        8       -3
{txt}institution  {res} .15907   .15907        0        0        0        1        0
{txt}      ddyad  {res} .28642  -.28642        0        0        0       -1        0
{txt}
{com}. cem issue_dum(#0) highact(1.5 12.5 17.5 22.5) institution(#0) ddyad(#0), treatment (carrotonlyimposition) showbreak
{txt}(using the scott break method for imbalance)
{res}{txt}Cutpoints:
issue_dum:{res} (user) 
  0
highact:{res} (user) 
       {txt}   1
    {c TLC}{hline 8}{c TRC}
  1 {c |}  {res} 1.5{txt}  {c |}
  2 {c |}  {res}12.5{txt}  {c |}
  3 {c |}  {res}17.5{txt}  {c |}
  4 {c |}  {res}22.5{txt}  {c |}
    {c BLC}{hline 8}{c BRC}
institution:{res} (user) 
  0
ddyad:{res} (user) 
  0

{txt}Matching Summary:
-----------------
Number of strata: {res}38
{txt}Number of matched strata: {res}16

           {txt}   0     1
      All  {res}1409    33
{txt}  Matched  {res}1268    33
{txt}Unmatched  {res} 141     0


{txt}Multivariate L1 distance: {res}.1189256

{txt}Univariate imbalance:

                   L1      mean       min       25%       50%       75%       max
  issue_dum  {res} 3.8e-15  -4.0e-15         0         0         0         0         0
{txt}    highact  {res}  .10756    .15537         0         0         0         1        -3
{txt}institution  {res} 5.9e-15  -7.6e-15         0         0         0         0         0
{txt}      ddyad  {res} 7.1e-15  -2.7e-15         0         0         0         .         .
{txt}
{com}. 
. *Table 2 
. est clear
{txt}
{com}. eststo:probit threatoutcome carrot_1 issue_dum highact institution cont_dum multi atopally idealpointdistance ddyad demo_t demo_s  lngdp_t lnpop_t coldwar us_dum, robust //5% okay

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-297.20486}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-277.94403}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-277.34121}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-277.33785}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-277.33785}  
{res}
{txt}Probit regression{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       550
{txt}{col 49}Wald chi2({res}15{txt}){col 67}= {res}     40.88
{txt}{col 49}Prob > chi2{col 67}= {res}    0.0003
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-277.33785{txt}{col 49}Pseudo R2{col 67}= {res}    0.0668

{txt}{hline 19}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 20}{c |}{col 32}    Robust
{col 1}     threatoutcome{col 20}{c |}      Coef.{col 32}   Std. Err.{col 44}      z{col 52}   P>|z|{col 60}     [95% Con{col 73}f. Interval]
{hline 19}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 10}carrot_1 {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .7023646{col 32}{space 2} .3579201{col 43}{space 1}    1.96{col 52}{space 3}0.050{col 60}{space 4} .0008541{col 73}{space 3} 1.403875
{txt}{space 9}issue_dum {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.6248893{col 32}{space 2} .3149798{col 43}{space 1}   -1.98{col 52}{space 3}0.047{col 60}{space 4}-1.242238{col 73}{space 3}-.0075402
{txt}{space 11}highact {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .0173473{col 32}{space 2} .0141581{col 43}{space 1}    1.23{col 52}{space 3}0.220{col 60}{space 4}-.0104022{col 73}{space 3} .0450967
{txt}{space 7}institution {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .8589563{col 32}{space 2} .2223893{col 43}{space 1}    3.86{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4} .4230812{col 73}{space 3} 1.294831
{txt}{space 10}cont_dum {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.2433688{col 32}{space 2} .2358993{col 43}{space 1}   -1.03{col 52}{space 3}0.302{col 60}{space 4} -.705723{col 73}{space 3} .2189854
{txt}{space 13}multi {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.6678741{col 32}{space 2} .2264714{col 43}{space 1}   -2.95{col 52}{space 3}0.003{col 60}{space 4} -1.11175{col 73}{space 3}-.2239984
{txt}{space 10}atopally {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.0003216{col 32}{space 2}  .166582{col 43}{space 1}   -0.00{col 52}{space 3}0.998{col 60}{space 4}-.3268162{col 73}{space 3} .3261731
{txt}idealpointdistance {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} -.013212{col 32}{space 2} .0716626{col 43}{space 1}   -0.18{col 52}{space 3}0.854{col 60}{space 4} -.153668{col 73}{space 3} .1272441
{txt}{space 13}ddyad {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.9486091{col 32}{space 2} .5957968{col 43}{space 1}   -1.59{col 52}{space 3}0.111{col 60}{space 4}-2.116349{col 73}{space 3} .2191311
{txt}{space 12}demo_t {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .9864842{col 32}{space 2} .6120601{col 43}{space 1}    1.61{col 52}{space 3}0.107{col 60}{space 4}-.2131314{col 73}{space 3}   2.1861
{txt}{space 12}demo_s {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .9320085{col 32}{space 2} .5503414{col 43}{space 1}    1.69{col 52}{space 3}0.090{col 60}{space 4}-.1466408{col 73}{space 3} 2.010658
{txt}{space 11}lngdp_t {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .0170367{col 32}{space 2} .0639856{col 43}{space 1}    0.27{col 52}{space 3}0.790{col 60}{space 4}-.1083729{col 73}{space 3} .1424462
{txt}{space 11}lnpop_t {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .0299944{col 32}{space 2} .0722063{col 43}{space 1}    0.42{col 52}{space 3}0.678{col 60}{space 4}-.1115274{col 73}{space 3} .1715162
{txt}{space 11}coldwar {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.1584753{col 32}{space 2} .1353808{col 43}{space 1}   -1.17{col 52}{space 3}0.242{col 60}{space 4}-.4238168{col 73}{space 3} .1068661
{txt}{space 12}us_dum {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}  .331511{col 32}{space 2} .1941915{col 43}{space 1}    1.71{col 52}{space 3}0.088{col 60}{space 4}-.0490973{col 73}{space 3} .7121193
{txt}{space 13}_cons {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-2.591691{col 32}{space 2} 1.112296{col 43}{space 1}   -2.33{col 52}{space 3}0.020{col 60}{space 4}-4.771751{col 73}{space 3}-.4116309
{txt}{hline 19}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
({res}est1{txt} stored)

{com}. cem issue_dum(#0) highact(1.5 12.5 17.5 22.5) institution(#0) ddyad(#0), treatment (carrot_1) showbreak
{res}{txt}Cutpoints:
issue_dum:{res} (user) 
  0
highact:{res} (user) 
       {txt}   1
    {c TLC}{hline 8}{c TRC}
  1 {c |}  {res} 1.5{txt}  {c |}
  2 {c |}  {res}12.5{txt}  {c |}
  3 {c |}  {res}17.5{txt}  {c |}
  4 {c |}  {res}22.5{txt}  {c |}
    {c BLC}{hline 8}{c BRC}
institution:{res} (user) 
  0
ddyad:{res} (user) 
  0

{txt}Matching Summary:
-----------------
Number of strata: {res}38
{txt}Number of matched strata: {res}13

           {txt}   0     1
      All  {res}1411    31
{txt}  Matched  {res}1274    31
{txt}Unmatched  {res} 137     0


{txt}Multivariate L1 distance: {res}.11301843

{txt}Univariate imbalance:

                   L1      mean       min       25%       50%       75%       max
  issue_dum  {res} 2.7e-16   2.1e-16         0         0         0         0         0
{txt}    highact  {res}  .10495   -.12869         0         0         0         0        -3
{txt}institution  {res} 2.2e-15   1.3e-15         0         0         0         0         0
{txt}      ddyad  {res} 5.3e-16  -3.9e-16         0         0         0         0         .
{txt}
{com}. eststo: probit threatoutcome carrot_1 issue_dum highact institution cont_dum multi atopally idealpointdistance ddyad demo_t demo_s  lngdp_t lnpop_t coldwar us_dum [iweight=cem_weights], robust //5% okay

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-283.41272}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-250.28462}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-248.63855}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-248.60534}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-248.60533}  
{res}
{txt}Probit regression{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       511
{txt}{col 49}Wald chi2({res}15{txt}){col 67}= {res}     40.11
{txt}{col 49}Prob > chi2{col 67}= {res}    0.0004
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-248.60533{txt}{col 49}Pseudo R2{col 67}= {res}    0.1228

{txt}{hline 19}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 20}{c |}{col 32}    Robust
{col 1}     threatoutcome{col 20}{c |}      Coef.{col 32}   Std. Err.{col 44}      z{col 52}   P>|z|{col 60}     [95% Con{col 73}f. Interval]
{hline 19}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 10}carrot_1 {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .9001518{col 32}{space 2} .3832068{col 43}{space 1}    2.35{col 52}{space 3}0.019{col 60}{space 4} .1490802{col 73}{space 3} 1.651223
{txt}{space 9}issue_dum {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.6034186{col 32}{space 2} .5552697{col 43}{space 1}   -1.09{col 52}{space 3}0.277{col 60}{space 4}-1.691727{col 73}{space 3}   .48489
{txt}{space 11}highact {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .0171361{col 32}{space 2} .0198662{col 43}{space 1}    0.86{col 52}{space 3}0.388{col 60}{space 4} -.021801{col 73}{space 3} .0560732
{txt}{space 7}institution {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .2325611{col 32}{space 2} .3002498{col 43}{space 1}    0.77{col 52}{space 3}0.439{col 60}{space 4}-.3559176{col 73}{space 3} .8210398
{txt}{space 10}cont_dum {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.4139332{col 32}{space 2} .3044117{col 43}{space 1}   -1.36{col 52}{space 3}0.174{col 60}{space 4}-1.010569{col 73}{space 3} .1827027
{txt}{space 13}multi {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.0099256{col 32}{space 2} .3132098{col 43}{space 1}   -0.03{col 52}{space 3}0.975{col 60}{space 4}-.6238056{col 73}{space 3} .6039544
{txt}{space 10}atopally {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .1184203{col 32}{space 2} .2416393{col 43}{space 1}    0.49{col 52}{space 3}0.624{col 60}{space 4} -.355184{col 73}{space 3} .5920246
{txt}idealpointdistance {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} -.044711{col 32}{space 2} .1146328{col 43}{space 1}   -0.39{col 52}{space 3}0.697{col 60}{space 4}-.2693872{col 73}{space 3} .1799652
{txt}{space 13}ddyad {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-1.148306{col 32}{space 2} .5683216{col 43}{space 1}   -2.02{col 52}{space 3}0.043{col 60}{space 4}-2.262196{col 73}{space 3}-.0344157
{txt}{space 12}demo_t {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 1.032839{col 32}{space 2} .5780974{col 43}{space 1}    1.79{col 52}{space 3}0.074{col 60}{space 4}-.1002108{col 73}{space 3} 2.165889
{txt}{space 12}demo_s {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .9868806{col 32}{space 2} .4894736{col 43}{space 1}    2.02{col 52}{space 3}0.044{col 60}{space 4} .0275301{col 73}{space 3} 1.946231
{txt}{space 11}lngdp_t {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .1161664{col 32}{space 2} .0913442{col 43}{space 1}    1.27{col 52}{space 3}0.203{col 60}{space 4}-.0628649{col 73}{space 3} .2951977
{txt}{space 11}lnpop_t {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .0281722{col 32}{space 2} .1068848{col 43}{space 1}    0.26{col 52}{space 3}0.792{col 60}{space 4}-.1813182{col 73}{space 3} .2376626
{txt}{space 11}coldwar {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.4670038{col 32}{space 2} .1960122{col 43}{space 1}   -2.38{col 52}{space 3}0.017{col 60}{space 4}-.8511806{col 73}{space 3} -.082827
{txt}{space 12}us_dum {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .6153108{col 32}{space 2} .2734655{col 43}{space 1}    2.25{col 52}{space 3}0.024{col 60}{space 4} .0793283{col 73}{space 3} 1.151293
{txt}{space 13}_cons {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-5.146681{col 32}{space 2}  1.58305{col 43}{space 1}   -3.25{col 52}{space 3}0.001{col 60}{space 4}-8.249402{col 73}{space 3}-2.043959
{txt}{hline 19}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
({res}est2{txt} stored)

{com}. eststo: probit impositionoutcome carrotonlyimposition issue_dum highact institution cont_dum multi atopally idealpointdistance ddyad demo_t demo_s  lngdp_t lnpop_t coldwar us_dum, robust //5%

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-205.78221}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-176.90215}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-176.60709}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-176.60641}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-176.60641}  
{res}
{txt}Probit regression{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       297
{txt}{col 49}Wald chi2({res}15{txt}){col 67}= {res}     57.62
{txt}{col 49}Prob > chi2{col 67}= {res}    0.0000
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-176.60641{txt}{col 49}Pseudo R2{col 67}= {res}    0.1418

{txt}{hline 21}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 22}{c |}{col 34}    Robust
{col 1}   impositionoutcome{col 22}{c |}      Coef.{col 34}   Std. Err.{col 46}      z{col 54}   P>|z|{col 62}     [95% Con{col 75}f. Interval]
{hline 21}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
carrotonlyimposition {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.9998788{col 34}{space 2}  .367614{col 45}{space 1}   -2.72{col 54}{space 3}0.007{col 62}{space 4}-1.720389{col 75}{space 3}-.2793686
{txt}{space 11}issue_dum {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.4662381{col 34}{space 2}  .282463{col 45}{space 1}   -1.65{col 54}{space 3}0.099{col 62}{space 4}-1.019855{col 75}{space 3} .0873793
{txt}{space 13}highact {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .0190008{col 34}{space 2} .0172087{col 45}{space 1}    1.10{col 54}{space 3}0.270{col 62}{space 4}-.0147276{col 75}{space 3} .0527292
{txt}{space 9}institution {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1.067203{col 34}{space 2} .3337464{col 45}{space 1}    3.20{col 54}{space 3}0.001{col 62}{space 4} .4130722{col 75}{space 3} 1.721334
{txt}{space 12}cont_dum {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .5226782{col 34}{space 2} .2646302{col 45}{space 1}    1.98{col 54}{space 3}0.048{col 62}{space 4} .0040125{col 75}{space 3} 1.041344
{txt}{space 15}multi {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .3865641{col 34}{space 2}  .298405{col 45}{space 1}    1.30{col 54}{space 3}0.195{col 62}{space 4} -.198299{col 75}{space 3} .9714272
{txt}{space 12}atopally {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .2636401{col 34}{space 2} .2150507{col 45}{space 1}    1.23{col 54}{space 3}0.220{col 62}{space 4}-.1578515{col 75}{space 3} .6851317
{txt}{space 2}idealpointdistance {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.0407766{col 34}{space 2} .0891091{col 45}{space 1}   -0.46{col 54}{space 3}0.647{col 62}{space 4}-.2154273{col 75}{space 3} .1338741
{txt}{space 15}ddyad {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-1.072648{col 34}{space 2} .5186888{col 45}{space 1}   -2.07{col 54}{space 3}0.039{col 62}{space 4}-2.089259{col 75}{space 3}-.0560363
{txt}{space 14}demo_t {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .6054088{col 34}{space 2} .5109677{col 45}{space 1}    1.18{col 54}{space 3}0.236{col 62}{space 4}-.3960695{col 75}{space 3} 1.606887
{txt}{space 14}demo_s {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .4177579{col 34}{space 2} .3788778{col 45}{space 1}    1.10{col 54}{space 3}0.270{col 62}{space 4} -.324829{col 75}{space 3} 1.160345
{txt}{space 13}lngdp_t {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.1347669{col 34}{space 2} .0830338{col 45}{space 1}   -1.62{col 54}{space 3}0.105{col 62}{space 4}-.2975102{col 75}{space 3} .0279763
{txt}{space 13}lnpop_t {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .1079715{col 34}{space 2} .0970103{col 45}{space 1}    1.11{col 54}{space 3}0.266{col 62}{space 4}-.0821652{col 75}{space 3} .2981081
{txt}{space 13}coldwar {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.0271633{col 34}{space 2} .1701815{col 45}{space 1}   -0.16{col 54}{space 3}0.873{col 62}{space 4}-.3607128{col 75}{space 3} .3063863
{txt}{space 14}us_dum {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.0393996{col 34}{space 2} .2405722{col 45}{space 1}   -0.16{col 54}{space 3}0.870{col 62}{space 4}-.5109124{col 75}{space 3} .4321133
{txt}{space 15}_cons {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1.874421{col 34}{space 2} 1.376861{col 45}{space 1}    1.36{col 54}{space 3}0.173{col 62}{space 4} -.824176{col 75}{space 3} 4.573018
{txt}{hline 21}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
({res}est3{txt} stored)

{com}. cem issue_dum(#0) highact(1.5 12.5 17.5 22.5) institution(#0) ddyad(#0), treatment (carrotonlyimposition) showbreak
{res}{txt}Cutpoints:
issue_dum:{res} (user) 
  0
highact:{res} (user) 
       {txt}   1
    {c TLC}{hline 8}{c TRC}
  1 {c |}  {res} 1.5{txt}  {c |}
  2 {c |}  {res}12.5{txt}  {c |}
  3 {c |}  {res}17.5{txt}  {c |}
  4 {c |}  {res}22.5{txt}  {c |}
    {c BLC}{hline 8}{c BRC}
institution:{res} (user) 
  0
ddyad:{res} (user) 
  0

{txt}Matching Summary:
-----------------
Number of strata: {res}38
{txt}Number of matched strata: {res}16

           {txt}   0     1
      All  {res}1409    33
{txt}  Matched  {res}1268    33
{txt}Unmatched  {res} 141     0


{txt}Multivariate L1 distance: {res}.1189256

{txt}Univariate imbalance:

                   L1      mean       min       25%       50%       75%       max
  issue_dum  {res} 3.8e-15  -4.0e-15         0         0         0         0         0
{txt}    highact  {res}  .10756    .15537         0         0         0         1        -3
{txt}institution  {res} 5.9e-15  -7.6e-15         0         0         0         0         0
{txt}      ddyad  {res} 7.1e-15  -2.7e-15         0         0         0         .         .
{txt}
{com}. eststo: probit impositionoutcome carrotonlyimposition issue_dum highact institution cont_dum multi atopally idealpointdistance ddyad demo_t demo_s  lngdp_t lnpop_t coldwar us_dum [iweight=cem_weights], robust //5%

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-189.67697}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-145.50082}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-143.70295}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-143.69051}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-143.69051}  
{res}
{txt}Probit regression{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       277
{txt}{col 49}Wald chi2({res}15{txt}){col 67}= {res}     66.57
{txt}{col 49}Prob > chi2{col 67}= {res}    0.0000
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-143.69051{txt}{col 49}Pseudo R2{col 67}= {res}    0.2424

{txt}{hline 21}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 22}{c |}{col 34}    Robust
{col 1}   impositionoutcome{col 22}{c |}      Coef.{col 34}   Std. Err.{col 46}      z{col 54}   P>|z|{col 62}     [95% Con{col 75}f. Interval]
{hline 21}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
carrotonlyimposition {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-1.125369{col 34}{space 2} .4914044{col 45}{space 1}   -2.29{col 54}{space 3}0.022{col 62}{space 4}-2.088504{col 75}{space 3}-.1622343
{txt}{space 11}issue_dum {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.5806965{col 34}{space 2} .3692158{col 45}{space 1}   -1.57{col 54}{space 3}0.116{col 62}{space 4}-1.304346{col 75}{space 3} .1429532
{txt}{space 13}highact {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .0763414{col 34}{space 2} .0294991{col 45}{space 1}    2.59{col 54}{space 3}0.010{col 62}{space 4} .0185241{col 75}{space 3} .1341586
{txt}{space 9}institution {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .5414133{col 34}{space 2} .6030917{col 45}{space 1}    0.90{col 54}{space 3}0.369{col 62}{space 4}-.6406248{col 75}{space 3} 1.723451
{txt}{space 12}cont_dum {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .6669676{col 34}{space 2} .3255361{col 45}{space 1}    2.05{col 54}{space 3}0.040{col 62}{space 4} .0289285{col 75}{space 3} 1.305007
{txt}{space 15}multi {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .8570266{col 34}{space 2} .4459132{col 45}{space 1}    1.92{col 54}{space 3}0.055{col 62}{space 4}-.0169472{col 75}{space 3}    1.731
{txt}{space 12}atopally {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .7920452{col 34}{space 2} .3164098{col 45}{space 1}    2.50{col 54}{space 3}0.012{col 62}{space 4} .1718934{col 75}{space 3} 1.412197
{txt}{space 2}idealpointdistance {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} -.007734{col 34}{space 2} .1230012{col 45}{space 1}   -0.06{col 54}{space 3}0.950{col 62}{space 4} -.248812{col 75}{space 3}  .233344
{txt}{space 15}ddyad {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} -1.45907{col 34}{space 2} .6382295{col 45}{space 1}   -2.29{col 54}{space 3}0.022{col 62}{space 4}-2.709976{col 75}{space 3}-.2081628
{txt}{space 14}demo_t {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1.036232{col 34}{space 2} .6428528{col 45}{space 1}    1.61{col 54}{space 3}0.107{col 62}{space 4}-.2237362{col 75}{space 3}   2.2962
{txt}{space 14}demo_s {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .3828314{col 34}{space 2}  .514549{col 45}{space 1}    0.74{col 54}{space 3}0.457{col 62}{space 4} -.625666{col 75}{space 3} 1.391329
{txt}{space 13}lngdp_t {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.2246038{col 34}{space 2} .1203567{col 45}{space 1}   -1.87{col 54}{space 3}0.062{col 62}{space 4}-.4604986{col 75}{space 3}  .011291
{txt}{space 13}lnpop_t {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .0627998{col 34}{space 2} .1432908{col 45}{space 1}    0.44{col 54}{space 3}0.661{col 62}{space 4}-.2180449{col 75}{space 3} .3436446
{txt}{space 13}coldwar {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.2563309{col 34}{space 2} .2321877{col 45}{space 1}   -1.10{col 54}{space 3}0.270{col 62}{space 4}-.7114105{col 75}{space 3} .1987487
{txt}{space 14}us_dum {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.0920505{col 34}{space 2} .3869406{col 45}{space 1}   -0.24{col 54}{space 3}0.812{col 62}{space 4}-.8504401{col 75}{space 3} .6663391
{txt}{space 15}_cons {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 4.319591{col 34}{space 2} 2.002302{col 45}{space 1}    2.16{col 54}{space 3}0.031{col 62}{space 4} .3951515{col 75}{space 3}  8.24403
{txt}{hline 21}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
({res}est4{txt} stored)

{com}. esttab, starlevel(* 0.10 ** 0.05 *** 0.01) p compress nogap
{res}
{txt}{hline 62}
{txt}                 (1)          (2)          (3)          (4)   
{txt}           threato~e    threato~e    imposit~e    imposit~e   
{txt}{hline 62}
{res}main                                                          {txt}
{txt}carrot_1  {res}     0.702**      0.900**                           {txt}
          {res} {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.050{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.019{txt:)}}                             {txt}
{txt}issue_dum {res}    -0.625**     -0.603       -0.466*      -0.581   {txt}
          {res} {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.047{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.277{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.099{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.116{txt:)}}   {txt}
{txt}highact   {res}    0.0173       0.0171       0.0190       0.0763***{txt}
          {res} {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.220{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.388{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.270{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.010{txt:)}}   {txt}
{txt}institut~n{res}     0.859***     0.233        1.067***     0.541   {txt}
          {res} {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.000{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.439{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.001{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.369{txt:)}}   {txt}
{txt}cont_dum  {res}    -0.243       -0.414        0.523**      0.667** {txt}
          {res} {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.302{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.174{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.048{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.040{txt:)}}   {txt}
{txt}multi     {res}    -0.668***  -0.00993        0.387        0.857*  {txt}
          {res} {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.003{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.975{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.195{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.055{txt:)}}   {txt}
{txt}atopally  {res} -0.000322        0.118        0.264        0.792** {txt}
          {res} {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.998{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.624{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.220{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.012{txt:)}}   {txt}
{txt}idealpoi~e{res}   -0.0132      -0.0447      -0.0408     -0.00773   {txt}
          {res} {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.854{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.697{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.647{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.950{txt:)}}   {txt}
{txt}ddyad     {res}    -0.949       -1.148**     -1.073**     -1.459** {txt}
          {res} {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.111{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.043{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.039{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.022{txt:)}}   {txt}
{txt}demo_t    {res}     0.986        1.033*       0.605        1.036   {txt}
          {res} {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.107{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.074{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.236{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.107{txt:)}}   {txt}
{txt}demo_s    {res}     0.932*       0.987**      0.418        0.383   {txt}
          {res} {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.090{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.044{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.270{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.457{txt:)}}   {txt}
{txt}lngdp_t   {res}    0.0170        0.116       -0.135       -0.225*  {txt}
          {res} {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.790{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.203{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.105{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.062{txt:)}}   {txt}
{txt}lnpop_t   {res}    0.0300       0.0282        0.108       0.0628   {txt}
          {res} {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.678{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.792{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.266{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.661{txt:)}}   {txt}
{txt}coldwar   {res}    -0.158       -0.467**    -0.0272       -0.256   {txt}
          {res} {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.242{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.017{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.873{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.270{txt:)}}   {txt}
{txt}us_dum    {res}     0.332*       0.615**    -0.0394      -0.0921   {txt}
          {res} {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.088{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.024{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.870{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.812{txt:)}}   {txt}
{txt}carroton~n{res}                              -1.000***    -1.125** {txt}
          {res}                           {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.007{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.022{txt:)}}   {txt}
{txt}_cons     {res}    -2.592**     -5.147***     1.874        4.320** {txt}
          {res} {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.020{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.001{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.173{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.031{txt:)}}   {txt}
{txt}{hline 62}
{txt}N         {res}       550          511          297          277   {txt}
{txt}{hline 62}
{txt}p-values in parentheses
{txt}* p<0.10, ** p<0.05, *** p<0.01

{com}. 
. *Table 3 (reference: rnr_tables.do) 
. **Threat stage (margin before matching at the threat stage: 0.198->0.199)
. probit threatoutcome carrot_1 issue_dum highact institution cont_dum multi atopally idealpointdistance ddyad demo_t demo_s  lngdp_t lnpop_t coldwar us_dum, robust //5% okay

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-297.20486}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-277.94403}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-277.34121}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-277.33785}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-277.33785}  
{res}
{txt}Probit regression{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       550
{txt}{col 49}Wald chi2({res}15{txt}){col 67}= {res}     40.88
{txt}{col 49}Prob > chi2{col 67}= {res}    0.0003
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-277.33785{txt}{col 49}Pseudo R2{col 67}= {res}    0.0668

{txt}{hline 19}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 20}{c |}{col 32}    Robust
{col 1}     threatoutcome{col 20}{c |}      Coef.{col 32}   Std. Err.{col 44}      z{col 52}   P>|z|{col 60}     [95% Con{col 73}f. Interval]
{hline 19}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 10}carrot_1 {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .7023646{col 32}{space 2} .3579201{col 43}{space 1}    1.96{col 52}{space 3}0.050{col 60}{space 4} .0008541{col 73}{space 3} 1.403875
{txt}{space 9}issue_dum {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.6248893{col 32}{space 2} .3149798{col 43}{space 1}   -1.98{col 52}{space 3}0.047{col 60}{space 4}-1.242238{col 73}{space 3}-.0075402
{txt}{space 11}highact {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .0173473{col 32}{space 2} .0141581{col 43}{space 1}    1.23{col 52}{space 3}0.220{col 60}{space 4}-.0104022{col 73}{space 3} .0450967
{txt}{space 7}institution {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .8589563{col 32}{space 2} .2223893{col 43}{space 1}    3.86{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4} .4230812{col 73}{space 3} 1.294831
{txt}{space 10}cont_dum {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.2433688{col 32}{space 2} .2358993{col 43}{space 1}   -1.03{col 52}{space 3}0.302{col 60}{space 4} -.705723{col 73}{space 3} .2189854
{txt}{space 13}multi {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.6678741{col 32}{space 2} .2264714{col 43}{space 1}   -2.95{col 52}{space 3}0.003{col 60}{space 4} -1.11175{col 73}{space 3}-.2239984
{txt}{space 10}atopally {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.0003216{col 32}{space 2}  .166582{col 43}{space 1}   -0.00{col 52}{space 3}0.998{col 60}{space 4}-.3268162{col 73}{space 3} .3261731
{txt}idealpointdistance {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} -.013212{col 32}{space 2} .0716626{col 43}{space 1}   -0.18{col 52}{space 3}0.854{col 60}{space 4} -.153668{col 73}{space 3} .1272441
{txt}{space 13}ddyad {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.9486091{col 32}{space 2} .5957968{col 43}{space 1}   -1.59{col 52}{space 3}0.111{col 60}{space 4}-2.116349{col 73}{space 3} .2191311
{txt}{space 12}demo_t {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .9864842{col 32}{space 2} .6120601{col 43}{space 1}    1.61{col 52}{space 3}0.107{col 60}{space 4}-.2131314{col 73}{space 3}   2.1861
{txt}{space 12}demo_s {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .9320085{col 32}{space 2} .5503414{col 43}{space 1}    1.69{col 52}{space 3}0.090{col 60}{space 4}-.1466408{col 73}{space 3} 2.010658
{txt}{space 11}lngdp_t {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .0170367{col 32}{space 2} .0639856{col 43}{space 1}    0.27{col 52}{space 3}0.790{col 60}{space 4}-.1083729{col 73}{space 3} .1424462
{txt}{space 11}lnpop_t {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .0299944{col 32}{space 2} .0722063{col 43}{space 1}    0.42{col 52}{space 3}0.678{col 60}{space 4}-.1115274{col 73}{space 3} .1715162
{txt}{space 11}coldwar {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.1584753{col 32}{space 2} .1353808{col 43}{space 1}   -1.17{col 52}{space 3}0.242{col 60}{space 4}-.4238168{col 73}{space 3} .1068661
{txt}{space 12}us_dum {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}  .331511{col 32}{space 2} .1941915{col 43}{space 1}    1.71{col 52}{space 3}0.088{col 60}{space 4}-.0490973{col 73}{space 3} .7121193
{txt}{space 13}_cons {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-2.591691{col 32}{space 2} 1.112296{col 43}{space 1}   -2.33{col 52}{space 3}0.020{col 60}{space 4}-4.771751{col 73}{space 3}-.4116309
{txt}{hline 19}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. margins, dydx(carrot_1)  force
{res}
{txt}Average marginal effects{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       550
{txt}Model VCE{col 14}: {res}Robust

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:Expression}:{space 1}{res:Pr(threatoutcome), predict()}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:dy/dx w.r.t.}:{space 1}{res:carrot_1}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{res}{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}{col 26} Delta-method
{col 14}{c |}      dy/dx{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 4}carrot_1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .1987167{col 26}{space 2} .1003665{col 37}{space 1}    1.98{col 46}{space 3}0.048{col 54}{space 4} .0020019{col 67}{space 3} .3954315
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}{txt}
{com}. 
. cem issue_dum(#0) highact(1.5 12.5 17.5 22.5) institution(#0) ddyad(#0), treatment (carrot_1) showbreak
{res}{txt}Cutpoints:
issue_dum:{res} (user) 
  0
highact:{res} (user) 
       {txt}   1
    {c TLC}{hline 8}{c TRC}
  1 {c |}  {res} 1.5{txt}  {c |}
  2 {c |}  {res}12.5{txt}  {c |}
  3 {c |}  {res}17.5{txt}  {c |}
  4 {c |}  {res}22.5{txt}  {c |}
    {c BLC}{hline 8}{c BRC}
institution:{res} (user) 
  0
ddyad:{res} (user) 
  0

{txt}Matching Summary:
-----------------
Number of strata: {res}38
{txt}Number of matched strata: {res}13

           {txt}   0     1
      All  {res}1411    31
{txt}  Matched  {res}1274    31
{txt}Unmatched  {res} 137     0


{txt}Multivariate L1 distance: {res}.11301843

{txt}Univariate imbalance:

                   L1      mean       min       25%       50%       75%       max
  issue_dum  {res} 2.7e-16   2.1e-16         0         0         0         0         0
{txt}    highact  {res}  .10495   -.12869         0         0         0         0        -3
{txt}institution  {res} 2.2e-15   1.3e-15         0         0         0         0         0
{txt}      ddyad  {res} 5.3e-16  -3.9e-16         0         0         0         0         .
{txt}
{com}. probit threatoutcome carrot_1 issue_dum highact institution cont_dum multi atopally idealpointdistance ddyad demo_t demo_s  lngdp_t lnpop_t coldwar us_dum [iweight=cem_weights], robust //5% okay

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-283.41272}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-250.28462}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-248.63855}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-248.60534}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-248.60533}  
{res}
{txt}Probit regression{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       511
{txt}{col 49}Wald chi2({res}15{txt}){col 67}= {res}     40.11
{txt}{col 49}Prob > chi2{col 67}= {res}    0.0004
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-248.60533{txt}{col 49}Pseudo R2{col 67}= {res}    0.1228

{txt}{hline 19}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 20}{c |}{col 32}    Robust
{col 1}     threatoutcome{col 20}{c |}      Coef.{col 32}   Std. Err.{col 44}      z{col 52}   P>|z|{col 60}     [95% Con{col 73}f. Interval]
{hline 19}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 10}carrot_1 {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .9001518{col 32}{space 2} .3832068{col 43}{space 1}    2.35{col 52}{space 3}0.019{col 60}{space 4} .1490802{col 73}{space 3} 1.651223
{txt}{space 9}issue_dum {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.6034186{col 32}{space 2} .5552697{col 43}{space 1}   -1.09{col 52}{space 3}0.277{col 60}{space 4}-1.691727{col 73}{space 3}   .48489
{txt}{space 11}highact {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .0171361{col 32}{space 2} .0198662{col 43}{space 1}    0.86{col 52}{space 3}0.388{col 60}{space 4} -.021801{col 73}{space 3} .0560732
{txt}{space 7}institution {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .2325611{col 32}{space 2} .3002498{col 43}{space 1}    0.77{col 52}{space 3}0.439{col 60}{space 4}-.3559176{col 73}{space 3} .8210398
{txt}{space 10}cont_dum {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.4139332{col 32}{space 2} .3044117{col 43}{space 1}   -1.36{col 52}{space 3}0.174{col 60}{space 4}-1.010569{col 73}{space 3} .1827027
{txt}{space 13}multi {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.0099256{col 32}{space 2} .3132098{col 43}{space 1}   -0.03{col 52}{space 3}0.975{col 60}{space 4}-.6238056{col 73}{space 3} .6039544
{txt}{space 10}atopally {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .1184203{col 32}{space 2} .2416393{col 43}{space 1}    0.49{col 52}{space 3}0.624{col 60}{space 4} -.355184{col 73}{space 3} .5920246
{txt}idealpointdistance {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} -.044711{col 32}{space 2} .1146328{col 43}{space 1}   -0.39{col 52}{space 3}0.697{col 60}{space 4}-.2693872{col 73}{space 3} .1799652
{txt}{space 13}ddyad {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-1.148306{col 32}{space 2} .5683216{col 43}{space 1}   -2.02{col 52}{space 3}0.043{col 60}{space 4}-2.262196{col 73}{space 3}-.0344157
{txt}{space 12}demo_t {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 1.032839{col 32}{space 2} .5780974{col 43}{space 1}    1.79{col 52}{space 3}0.074{col 60}{space 4}-.1002108{col 73}{space 3} 2.165889
{txt}{space 12}demo_s {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .9868806{col 32}{space 2} .4894736{col 43}{space 1}    2.02{col 52}{space 3}0.044{col 60}{space 4} .0275301{col 73}{space 3} 1.946231
{txt}{space 11}lngdp_t {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .1161664{col 32}{space 2} .0913442{col 43}{space 1}    1.27{col 52}{space 3}0.203{col 60}{space 4}-.0628649{col 73}{space 3} .2951977
{txt}{space 11}lnpop_t {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .0281722{col 32}{space 2} .1068848{col 43}{space 1}    0.26{col 52}{space 3}0.792{col 60}{space 4}-.1813182{col 73}{space 3} .2376626
{txt}{space 11}coldwar {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.4670038{col 32}{space 2} .1960122{col 43}{space 1}   -2.38{col 52}{space 3}0.017{col 60}{space 4}-.8511806{col 73}{space 3} -.082827
{txt}{space 12}us_dum {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .6153108{col 32}{space 2} .2734655{col 43}{space 1}    2.25{col 52}{space 3}0.024{col 60}{space 4} .0793283{col 73}{space 3} 1.151293
{txt}{space 13}_cons {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-5.146681{col 32}{space 2}  1.58305{col 43}{space 1}   -3.25{col 52}{space 3}0.001{col 60}{space 4}-8.249402{col 73}{space 3}-2.043959
{txt}{hline 19}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. margins, dydx(carrot_1)  force
{res}
{txt}Average marginal effects{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       511
{txt}Model VCE{col 14}: {res}Robust

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:Expression}:{space 1}{res:Pr(threatoutcome), predict()}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:dy/dx w.r.t.}:{space 1}{res:carrot_1}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{res}{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}{col 26} Delta-method
{col 14}{c |}      dy/dx{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 4}carrot_1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .2407029{col 26}{space 2} .1016775{col 37}{space 1}    2.37{col 46}{space 3}0.018{col 54}{space 4} .0414188{col 67}{space 3} .4399871
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}{txt}
{com}. 
. **Imposition stage
. probit impositionoutcome carrotonlyimposition issue_dum highact institution cont_dum multi atopally idealpointdistance ddyad demo_t demo_s  lngdp_t lnpop_t coldwar us_dum, robust //5%

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-205.78221}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-176.90215}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-176.60709}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-176.60641}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-176.60641}  
{res}
{txt}Probit regression{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       297
{txt}{col 49}Wald chi2({res}15{txt}){col 67}= {res}     57.62
{txt}{col 49}Prob > chi2{col 67}= {res}    0.0000
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-176.60641{txt}{col 49}Pseudo R2{col 67}= {res}    0.1418

{txt}{hline 21}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 22}{c |}{col 34}    Robust
{col 1}   impositionoutcome{col 22}{c |}      Coef.{col 34}   Std. Err.{col 46}      z{col 54}   P>|z|{col 62}     [95% Con{col 75}f. Interval]
{hline 21}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
carrotonlyimposition {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.9998788{col 34}{space 2}  .367614{col 45}{space 1}   -2.72{col 54}{space 3}0.007{col 62}{space 4}-1.720389{col 75}{space 3}-.2793686
{txt}{space 11}issue_dum {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.4662381{col 34}{space 2}  .282463{col 45}{space 1}   -1.65{col 54}{space 3}0.099{col 62}{space 4}-1.019855{col 75}{space 3} .0873793
{txt}{space 13}highact {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .0190008{col 34}{space 2} .0172087{col 45}{space 1}    1.10{col 54}{space 3}0.270{col 62}{space 4}-.0147276{col 75}{space 3} .0527292
{txt}{space 9}institution {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1.067203{col 34}{space 2} .3337464{col 45}{space 1}    3.20{col 54}{space 3}0.001{col 62}{space 4} .4130722{col 75}{space 3} 1.721334
{txt}{space 12}cont_dum {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .5226782{col 34}{space 2} .2646302{col 45}{space 1}    1.98{col 54}{space 3}0.048{col 62}{space 4} .0040125{col 75}{space 3} 1.041344
{txt}{space 15}multi {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .3865641{col 34}{space 2}  .298405{col 45}{space 1}    1.30{col 54}{space 3}0.195{col 62}{space 4} -.198299{col 75}{space 3} .9714272
{txt}{space 12}atopally {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .2636401{col 34}{space 2} .2150507{col 45}{space 1}    1.23{col 54}{space 3}0.220{col 62}{space 4}-.1578515{col 75}{space 3} .6851317
{txt}{space 2}idealpointdistance {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.0407766{col 34}{space 2} .0891091{col 45}{space 1}   -0.46{col 54}{space 3}0.647{col 62}{space 4}-.2154273{col 75}{space 3} .1338741
{txt}{space 15}ddyad {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-1.072648{col 34}{space 2} .5186888{col 45}{space 1}   -2.07{col 54}{space 3}0.039{col 62}{space 4}-2.089259{col 75}{space 3}-.0560363
{txt}{space 14}demo_t {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .6054088{col 34}{space 2} .5109677{col 45}{space 1}    1.18{col 54}{space 3}0.236{col 62}{space 4}-.3960695{col 75}{space 3} 1.606887
{txt}{space 14}demo_s {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .4177579{col 34}{space 2} .3788778{col 45}{space 1}    1.10{col 54}{space 3}0.270{col 62}{space 4} -.324829{col 75}{space 3} 1.160345
{txt}{space 13}lngdp_t {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.1347669{col 34}{space 2} .0830338{col 45}{space 1}   -1.62{col 54}{space 3}0.105{col 62}{space 4}-.2975102{col 75}{space 3} .0279763
{txt}{space 13}lnpop_t {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .1079715{col 34}{space 2} .0970103{col 45}{space 1}    1.11{col 54}{space 3}0.266{col 62}{space 4}-.0821652{col 75}{space 3} .2981081
{txt}{space 13}coldwar {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.0271633{col 34}{space 2} .1701815{col 45}{space 1}   -0.16{col 54}{space 3}0.873{col 62}{space 4}-.3607128{col 75}{space 3} .3063863
{txt}{space 14}us_dum {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.0393996{col 34}{space 2} .2405722{col 45}{space 1}   -0.16{col 54}{space 3}0.870{col 62}{space 4}-.5109124{col 75}{space 3} .4321133
{txt}{space 15}_cons {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1.874421{col 34}{space 2} 1.376861{col 45}{space 1}    1.36{col 54}{space 3}0.173{col 62}{space 4} -.824176{col 75}{space 3} 4.573018
{txt}{hline 21}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. margins, dydx(carrotonlyimposition)  force
{res}
{txt}Average marginal effects{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       297
{txt}Model VCE{col 14}: {res}Robust

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:Expression}:{space 1}{res:Pr(impositionoutcome), predict()}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:dy/dx w.r.t.}:{space 1}{res:carrotonlyimposition}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{res}{txt}{hline 21}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 22}{c |}{col 34} Delta-method
{col 22}{c |}      dy/dx{col 34}   Std. Err.{col 46}      z{col 54}   P>|z|{col 62}     [95% Con{col 75}f. Interval]
{hline 21}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
carrotonlyimposition {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.3380715{col 34}{space 2}  .122075{col 45}{space 1}   -2.77{col 54}{space 3}0.006{col 62}{space 4}-.5773341{col 75}{space 3}-.0988089
{txt}{hline 21}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}{txt}
{com}. 
. cem issue_dum(#0) highact(1.5 12.5 17.5 22.5) institution(#0) ddyad(#0), treatment (carrotonlyimposition) showbreak
{res}{txt}Cutpoints:
issue_dum:{res} (user) 
  0
highact:{res} (user) 
       {txt}   1
    {c TLC}{hline 8}{c TRC}
  1 {c |}  {res} 1.5{txt}  {c |}
  2 {c |}  {res}12.5{txt}  {c |}
  3 {c |}  {res}17.5{txt}  {c |}
  4 {c |}  {res}22.5{txt}  {c |}
    {c BLC}{hline 8}{c BRC}
institution:{res} (user) 
  0
ddyad:{res} (user) 
  0

{txt}Matching Summary:
-----------------
Number of strata: {res}38
{txt}Number of matched strata: {res}16

           {txt}   0     1
      All  {res}1409    33
{txt}  Matched  {res}1268    33
{txt}Unmatched  {res} 141     0


{txt}Multivariate L1 distance: {res}.1189256

{txt}Univariate imbalance:

                   L1      mean       min       25%       50%       75%       max
  issue_dum  {res} 3.8e-15  -4.0e-15         0         0         0         0         0
{txt}    highact  {res}  .10756    .15537         0         0         0         1        -3
{txt}institution  {res} 5.9e-15  -7.6e-15         0         0         0         0         0
{txt}      ddyad  {res} 7.1e-15  -2.7e-15         0         0         0         .         .
{txt}
{com}. probit impositionoutcome carrotonlyimposition issue_dum highact institution cont_dum multi atopally idealpointdistance ddyad demo_t demo_s  lngdp_t lnpop_t coldwar us_dum [iweight=cem_weights], robust //5%

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-189.67697}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-145.50082}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-143.70295}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-143.69051}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-143.69051}  
{res}
{txt}Probit regression{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       277
{txt}{col 49}Wald chi2({res}15{txt}){col 67}= {res}     66.57
{txt}{col 49}Prob > chi2{col 67}= {res}    0.0000
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-143.69051{txt}{col 49}Pseudo R2{col 67}= {res}    0.2424

{txt}{hline 21}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 22}{c |}{col 34}    Robust
{col 1}   impositionoutcome{col 22}{c |}      Coef.{col 34}   Std. Err.{col 46}      z{col 54}   P>|z|{col 62}     [95% Con{col 75}f. Interval]
{hline 21}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
carrotonlyimposition {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-1.125369{col 34}{space 2} .4914044{col 45}{space 1}   -2.29{col 54}{space 3}0.022{col 62}{space 4}-2.088504{col 75}{space 3}-.1622343
{txt}{space 11}issue_dum {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.5806965{col 34}{space 2} .3692158{col 45}{space 1}   -1.57{col 54}{space 3}0.116{col 62}{space 4}-1.304346{col 75}{space 3} .1429532
{txt}{space 13}highact {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .0763414{col 34}{space 2} .0294991{col 45}{space 1}    2.59{col 54}{space 3}0.010{col 62}{space 4} .0185241{col 75}{space 3} .1341586
{txt}{space 9}institution {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .5414133{col 34}{space 2} .6030917{col 45}{space 1}    0.90{col 54}{space 3}0.369{col 62}{space 4}-.6406248{col 75}{space 3} 1.723451
{txt}{space 12}cont_dum {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .6669676{col 34}{space 2} .3255361{col 45}{space 1}    2.05{col 54}{space 3}0.040{col 62}{space 4} .0289285{col 75}{space 3} 1.305007
{txt}{space 15}multi {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .8570266{col 34}{space 2} .4459132{col 45}{space 1}    1.92{col 54}{space 3}0.055{col 62}{space 4}-.0169472{col 75}{space 3}    1.731
{txt}{space 12}atopally {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .7920452{col 34}{space 2} .3164098{col 45}{space 1}    2.50{col 54}{space 3}0.012{col 62}{space 4} .1718934{col 75}{space 3} 1.412197
{txt}{space 2}idealpointdistance {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} -.007734{col 34}{space 2} .1230012{col 45}{space 1}   -0.06{col 54}{space 3}0.950{col 62}{space 4} -.248812{col 75}{space 3}  .233344
{txt}{space 15}ddyad {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} -1.45907{col 34}{space 2} .6382295{col 45}{space 1}   -2.29{col 54}{space 3}0.022{col 62}{space 4}-2.709976{col 75}{space 3}-.2081628
{txt}{space 14}demo_t {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1.036232{col 34}{space 2} .6428528{col 45}{space 1}    1.61{col 54}{space 3}0.107{col 62}{space 4}-.2237362{col 75}{space 3}   2.2962
{txt}{space 14}demo_s {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .3828314{col 34}{space 2}  .514549{col 45}{space 1}    0.74{col 54}{space 3}0.457{col 62}{space 4} -.625666{col 75}{space 3} 1.391329
{txt}{space 13}lngdp_t {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.2246038{col 34}{space 2} .1203567{col 45}{space 1}   -1.87{col 54}{space 3}0.062{col 62}{space 4}-.4604986{col 75}{space 3}  .011291
{txt}{space 13}lnpop_t {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .0627998{col 34}{space 2} .1432908{col 45}{space 1}    0.44{col 54}{space 3}0.661{col 62}{space 4}-.2180449{col 75}{space 3} .3436446
{txt}{space 13}coldwar {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.2563309{col 34}{space 2} .2321877{col 45}{space 1}   -1.10{col 54}{space 3}0.270{col 62}{space 4}-.7114105{col 75}{space 3} .1987487
{txt}{space 14}us_dum {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.0920505{col 34}{space 2} .3869406{col 45}{space 1}   -0.24{col 54}{space 3}0.812{col 62}{space 4}-.8504401{col 75}{space 3} .6663391
{txt}{space 15}_cons {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 4.319591{col 34}{space 2} 2.002302{col 45}{space 1}    2.16{col 54}{space 3}0.031{col 62}{space 4} .3951515{col 75}{space 3}  8.24403
{txt}{hline 21}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. margins, dydx(carrotonlyimposition)  force
{res}
{txt}Average marginal effects{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       277
{txt}Model VCE{col 14}: {res}Robust

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:Expression}:{space 1}{res:Pr(impositionoutcome), predict()}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:dy/dx w.r.t.}:{space 1}{res:carrotonlyimposition}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{res}{txt}{hline 21}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 22}{c |}{col 34} Delta-method
{col 22}{c |}      dy/dx{col 34}   Std. Err.{col 46}      z{col 54}   P>|z|{col 62}     [95% Con{col 75}f. Interval]
{hline 21}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
carrotonlyimposition {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.3262806{col 34}{space 2} .1338045{col 45}{space 1}   -2.44{col 54}{space 3}0.015{col 62}{space 4}-.5885327{col 75}{space 3}-.0640286
{txt}{hline 21}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}{txt}
{com}. 
. *Table 4 
. gen impositionoutcome2=impositionoutcome
{txt}(877 missing values generated)

{com}. replace impositionoutcome2=. if threat==0 & imposition==1 
{txt}(227 real changes made, 227 to missing)

{com}. est clear
{txt}
{com}. eststo: probit threatoutcome carrot_1 issue_dum highact institution cont_dum multi atopally idealpointdistance ddyad demo_t demo_s  lngdp_t lnpop_t coldwar us_dum, robust //5% okay

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-297.20486}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-277.94403}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-277.34121}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-277.33785}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-277.33785}  
{res}
{txt}Probit regression{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       550
{txt}{col 49}Wald chi2({res}15{txt}){col 67}= {res}     40.88
{txt}{col 49}Prob > chi2{col 67}= {res}    0.0003
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-277.33785{txt}{col 49}Pseudo R2{col 67}= {res}    0.0668

{txt}{hline 19}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 20}{c |}{col 32}    Robust
{col 1}     threatoutcome{col 20}{c |}      Coef.{col 32}   Std. Err.{col 44}      z{col 52}   P>|z|{col 60}     [95% Con{col 73}f. Interval]
{hline 19}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 10}carrot_1 {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .7023646{col 32}{space 2} .3579201{col 43}{space 1}    1.96{col 52}{space 3}0.050{col 60}{space 4} .0008541{col 73}{space 3} 1.403875
{txt}{space 9}issue_dum {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.6248893{col 32}{space 2} .3149798{col 43}{space 1}   -1.98{col 52}{space 3}0.047{col 60}{space 4}-1.242238{col 73}{space 3}-.0075402
{txt}{space 11}highact {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .0173473{col 32}{space 2} .0141581{col 43}{space 1}    1.23{col 52}{space 3}0.220{col 60}{space 4}-.0104022{col 73}{space 3} .0450967
{txt}{space 7}institution {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .8589563{col 32}{space 2} .2223893{col 43}{space 1}    3.86{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4} .4230812{col 73}{space 3} 1.294831
{txt}{space 10}cont_dum {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.2433688{col 32}{space 2} .2358993{col 43}{space 1}   -1.03{col 52}{space 3}0.302{col 60}{space 4} -.705723{col 73}{space 3} .2189854
{txt}{space 13}multi {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.6678741{col 32}{space 2} .2264714{col 43}{space 1}   -2.95{col 52}{space 3}0.003{col 60}{space 4} -1.11175{col 73}{space 3}-.2239984
{txt}{space 10}atopally {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.0003216{col 32}{space 2}  .166582{col 43}{space 1}   -0.00{col 52}{space 3}0.998{col 60}{space 4}-.3268162{col 73}{space 3} .3261731
{txt}idealpointdistance {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} -.013212{col 32}{space 2} .0716626{col 43}{space 1}   -0.18{col 52}{space 3}0.854{col 60}{space 4} -.153668{col 73}{space 3} .1272441
{txt}{space 13}ddyad {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.9486091{col 32}{space 2} .5957968{col 43}{space 1}   -1.59{col 52}{space 3}0.111{col 60}{space 4}-2.116349{col 73}{space 3} .2191311
{txt}{space 12}demo_t {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .9864842{col 32}{space 2} .6120601{col 43}{space 1}    1.61{col 52}{space 3}0.107{col 60}{space 4}-.2131314{col 73}{space 3}   2.1861
{txt}{space 12}demo_s {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .9320085{col 32}{space 2} .5503414{col 43}{space 1}    1.69{col 52}{space 3}0.090{col 60}{space 4}-.1466408{col 73}{space 3} 2.010658
{txt}{space 11}lngdp_t {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .0170367{col 32}{space 2} .0639856{col 43}{space 1}    0.27{col 52}{space 3}0.790{col 60}{space 4}-.1083729{col 73}{space 3} .1424462
{txt}{space 11}lnpop_t {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .0299944{col 32}{space 2} .0722063{col 43}{space 1}    0.42{col 52}{space 3}0.678{col 60}{space 4}-.1115274{col 73}{space 3} .1715162
{txt}{space 11}coldwar {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.1584753{col 32}{space 2} .1353808{col 43}{space 1}   -1.17{col 52}{space 3}0.242{col 60}{space 4}-.4238168{col 73}{space 3} .1068661
{txt}{space 12}us_dum {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}  .331511{col 32}{space 2} .1941915{col 43}{space 1}    1.71{col 52}{space 3}0.088{col 60}{space 4}-.0490973{col 73}{space 3} .7121193
{txt}{space 13}_cons {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-2.591691{col 32}{space 2} 1.112296{col 43}{space 1}   -2.33{col 52}{space 3}0.020{col 60}{space 4}-4.771751{col 73}{space 3}-.4116309
{txt}{hline 19}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
({res}est1{txt} stored)

{com}. cem issue_dum(#0) highact(1.5 12.5 17.5 22.5) institution(#0) ddyad(#0), treatment (carrot_1) showbreak
{res}{txt}Cutpoints:
issue_dum:{res} (user) 
  0
highact:{res} (user) 
       {txt}   1
    {c TLC}{hline 8}{c TRC}
  1 {c |}  {res} 1.5{txt}  {c |}
  2 {c |}  {res}12.5{txt}  {c |}
  3 {c |}  {res}17.5{txt}  {c |}
  4 {c |}  {res}22.5{txt}  {c |}
    {c BLC}{hline 8}{c BRC}
institution:{res} (user) 
  0
ddyad:{res} (user) 
  0

{txt}Matching Summary:
-----------------
Number of strata: {res}38
{txt}Number of matched strata: {res}13

           {txt}   0     1
      All  {res}1411    31
{txt}  Matched  {res}1274    31
{txt}Unmatched  {res} 137     0


{txt}Multivariate L1 distance: {res}.11301843

{txt}Univariate imbalance:

                   L1      mean       min       25%       50%       75%       max
  issue_dum  {res} 2.7e-16   2.1e-16         0         0         0         0         0
{txt}    highact  {res}  .10495   -.12869         0         0         0         0        -3
{txt}institution  {res} 2.2e-15   1.3e-15         0         0         0         0         0
{txt}      ddyad  {res} 5.3e-16  -3.9e-16         0         0         0         0         .
{txt}
{com}. eststo: probit threatoutcome carrot_1 issue_dum highact institution cont_dum multi atopally idealpointdistance ddyad demo_t demo_s  lngdp_t lnpop_t coldwar us_dum [iweight=cem_weights], robust //5% okay

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-283.41272}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-250.28462}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-248.63855}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-248.60534}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-248.60533}  
{res}
{txt}Probit regression{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       511
{txt}{col 49}Wald chi2({res}15{txt}){col 67}= {res}     40.11
{txt}{col 49}Prob > chi2{col 67}= {res}    0.0004
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-248.60533{txt}{col 49}Pseudo R2{col 67}= {res}    0.1228

{txt}{hline 19}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 20}{c |}{col 32}    Robust
{col 1}     threatoutcome{col 20}{c |}      Coef.{col 32}   Std. Err.{col 44}      z{col 52}   P>|z|{col 60}     [95% Con{col 73}f. Interval]
{hline 19}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 10}carrot_1 {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .9001518{col 32}{space 2} .3832068{col 43}{space 1}    2.35{col 52}{space 3}0.019{col 60}{space 4} .1490802{col 73}{space 3} 1.651223
{txt}{space 9}issue_dum {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.6034186{col 32}{space 2} .5552697{col 43}{space 1}   -1.09{col 52}{space 3}0.277{col 60}{space 4}-1.691727{col 73}{space 3}   .48489
{txt}{space 11}highact {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .0171361{col 32}{space 2} .0198662{col 43}{space 1}    0.86{col 52}{space 3}0.388{col 60}{space 4} -.021801{col 73}{space 3} .0560732
{txt}{space 7}institution {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .2325611{col 32}{space 2} .3002498{col 43}{space 1}    0.77{col 52}{space 3}0.439{col 60}{space 4}-.3559176{col 73}{space 3} .8210398
{txt}{space 10}cont_dum {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.4139332{col 32}{space 2} .3044117{col 43}{space 1}   -1.36{col 52}{space 3}0.174{col 60}{space 4}-1.010569{col 73}{space 3} .1827027
{txt}{space 13}multi {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.0099256{col 32}{space 2} .3132098{col 43}{space 1}   -0.03{col 52}{space 3}0.975{col 60}{space 4}-.6238056{col 73}{space 3} .6039544
{txt}{space 10}atopally {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .1184203{col 32}{space 2} .2416393{col 43}{space 1}    0.49{col 52}{space 3}0.624{col 60}{space 4} -.355184{col 73}{space 3} .5920246
{txt}idealpointdistance {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} -.044711{col 32}{space 2} .1146328{col 43}{space 1}   -0.39{col 52}{space 3}0.697{col 60}{space 4}-.2693872{col 73}{space 3} .1799652
{txt}{space 13}ddyad {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-1.148306{col 32}{space 2} .5683216{col 43}{space 1}   -2.02{col 52}{space 3}0.043{col 60}{space 4}-2.262196{col 73}{space 3}-.0344157
{txt}{space 12}demo_t {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 1.032839{col 32}{space 2} .5780974{col 43}{space 1}    1.79{col 52}{space 3}0.074{col 60}{space 4}-.1002108{col 73}{space 3} 2.165889
{txt}{space 12}demo_s {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .9868806{col 32}{space 2} .4894736{col 43}{space 1}    2.02{col 52}{space 3}0.044{col 60}{space 4} .0275301{col 73}{space 3} 1.946231
{txt}{space 11}lngdp_t {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .1161664{col 32}{space 2} .0913442{col 43}{space 1}    1.27{col 52}{space 3}0.203{col 60}{space 4}-.0628649{col 73}{space 3} .2951977
{txt}{space 11}lnpop_t {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .0281722{col 32}{space 2} .1068848{col 43}{space 1}    0.26{col 52}{space 3}0.792{col 60}{space 4}-.1813182{col 73}{space 3} .2376626
{txt}{space 11}coldwar {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.4670038{col 32}{space 2} .1960122{col 43}{space 1}   -2.38{col 52}{space 3}0.017{col 60}{space 4}-.8511806{col 73}{space 3} -.082827
{txt}{space 12}us_dum {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .6153108{col 32}{space 2} .2734655{col 43}{space 1}    2.25{col 52}{space 3}0.024{col 60}{space 4} .0793283{col 73}{space 3} 1.151293
{txt}{space 13}_cons {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-5.146681{col 32}{space 2}  1.58305{col 43}{space 1}   -3.25{col 52}{space 3}0.001{col 60}{space 4}-8.249402{col 73}{space 3}-2.043959
{txt}{hline 19}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
({res}est2{txt} stored)

{com}. eststo: probit impositionoutcome2 carrotonlyimposition issue_dum highact institution cont_dum multi atopally idealpointdistance ddyad demo_t demo_s  lngdp_t lnpop_t coldwar us_dum, robust //5%

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-129.59446}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -101.3571}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-100.35621}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-100.34862}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-100.34862}  
{res}
{txt}Probit regression{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       187
{txt}{col 49}Wald chi2({res}15{txt}){col 67}= {res}     58.44
{txt}{col 49}Prob > chi2{col 67}= {res}    0.0000
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-100.34862{txt}{col 49}Pseudo R2{col 67}= {res}    0.2257

{txt}{hline 21}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 22}{c |}{col 34}    Robust
{col 1}  impositionoutcome2{col 22}{c |}      Coef.{col 34}   Std. Err.{col 46}      z{col 54}   P>|z|{col 62}     [95% Con{col 75}f. Interval]
{hline 21}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
carrotonlyimposition {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} -1.28569{col 34}{space 2} .5202221{col 45}{space 1}   -2.47{col 54}{space 3}0.013{col 62}{space 4}-2.305306{col 75}{space 3}-.2660732
{txt}{space 11}issue_dum {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .5599961{col 34}{space 2} .4679564{col 45}{space 1}    1.20{col 54}{space 3}0.231{col 62}{space 4}-.3571816{col 75}{space 3} 1.477174
{txt}{space 13}highact {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .0637046{col 34}{space 2} .0274706{col 45}{space 1}    2.32{col 54}{space 3}0.020{col 62}{space 4} .0098633{col 75}{space 3} .1175459
{txt}{space 9}institution {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1.426928{col 34}{space 2} .4186534{col 45}{space 1}    3.41{col 54}{space 3}0.001{col 62}{space 4} .6063822{col 75}{space 3} 2.247473
{txt}{space 12}cont_dum {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1.137887{col 34}{space 2} .4780449{col 45}{space 1}    2.38{col 54}{space 3}0.017{col 62}{space 4} .2009364{col 75}{space 3} 2.074838
{txt}{space 15}multi {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .1822103{col 34}{space 2} .3861326{col 45}{space 1}    0.47{col 54}{space 3}0.637{col 62}{space 4}-.5745957{col 75}{space 3} .9390163
{txt}{space 12}atopally {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .0673913{col 34}{space 2} .2913633{col 45}{space 1}    0.23{col 54}{space 3}0.817{col 62}{space 4}-.5036702{col 75}{space 3} .6384529
{txt}{space 2}idealpointdistance {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.0702817{col 34}{space 2} .1354183{col 45}{space 1}   -0.52{col 54}{space 3}0.604{col 62}{space 4}-.3356966{col 75}{space 3} .1951332
{txt}{space 15}ddyad {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-1.807483{col 34}{space 2} .9376409{col 45}{space 1}   -1.93{col 54}{space 3}0.054{col 62}{space 4}-3.645225{col 75}{space 3} .0302593
{txt}{space 14}demo_t {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1.616074{col 34}{space 2} .9381461{col 45}{space 1}    1.72{col 54}{space 3}0.085{col 62}{space 4}-.2226585{col 75}{space 3} 3.454806
{txt}{space 14}demo_s {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1.155131{col 34}{space 2} .7641029{col 45}{space 1}    1.51{col 54}{space 3}0.131{col 62}{space 4}-.3424834{col 75}{space 3} 2.652745
{txt}{space 13}lngdp_t {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.2039823{col 34}{space 2} .1244747{col 45}{space 1}   -1.64{col 54}{space 3}0.101{col 62}{space 4}-.4479482{col 75}{space 3} .0399836
{txt}{space 13}lnpop_t {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  .154275{col 34}{space 2}  .138717{col 45}{space 1}    1.11{col 54}{space 3}0.266{col 62}{space 4}-.1176054{col 75}{space 3} .4261553
{txt}{space 13}coldwar {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .0012384{col 34}{space 2} .2362309{col 45}{space 1}    0.01{col 54}{space 3}0.996{col 62}{space 4}-.4617657{col 75}{space 3} .4642425
{txt}{space 14}us_dum {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.4598435{col 34}{space 2}  .376088{col 45}{space 1}   -1.22{col 54}{space 3}0.221{col 62}{space 4}-1.196962{col 75}{space 3} .2772754
{txt}{space 15}_cons {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 2.700028{col 34}{space 2} 2.113092{col 45}{space 1}    1.28{col 54}{space 3}0.201{col 62}{space 4}-1.441555{col 75}{space 3} 6.841612
{txt}{hline 21}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
({res}est3{txt} stored)

{com}. cem issue_dum(#0) highact(1.5 12.5 17.5 22.5) institution(#0) ddyad(#0), treatment (carrotonlyimposition) showbreak
{res}{txt}Cutpoints:
issue_dum:{res} (user) 
  0
highact:{res} (user) 
       {txt}   1
    {c TLC}{hline 8}{c TRC}
  1 {c |}  {res} 1.5{txt}  {c |}
  2 {c |}  {res}12.5{txt}  {c |}
  3 {c |}  {res}17.5{txt}  {c |}
  4 {c |}  {res}22.5{txt}  {c |}
    {c BLC}{hline 8}{c BRC}
institution:{res} (user) 
  0
ddyad:{res} (user) 
  0

{txt}Matching Summary:
-----------------
Number of strata: {res}38
{txt}Number of matched strata: {res}16

           {txt}   0     1
      All  {res}1409    33
{txt}  Matched  {res}1268    33
{txt}Unmatched  {res} 141     0


{txt}Multivariate L1 distance: {res}.1189256

{txt}Univariate imbalance:

                   L1      mean       min       25%       50%       75%       max
  issue_dum  {res} 3.8e-15  -4.0e-15         0         0         0         0         0
{txt}    highact  {res}  .10756    .15537         0         0         0         1        -3
{txt}institution  {res} 5.9e-15  -7.6e-15         0         0         0         0         0
{txt}      ddyad  {res} 7.1e-15  -2.7e-15         0         0         0         .         .
{txt}
{com}. eststo: probit impositionoutcome2 carrotonlyimposition issue_dum highact institution cont_dum multi atopally idealpointdistance ddyad demo_t demo_s  lngdp_t lnpop_t coldwar us_dum [iweight=cem_weights], robust //5%

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-102.99438}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-67.943611}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-65.243663}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-64.985569}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-64.983988}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-64.983988}  
{res}
{txt}Probit regression{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       174
{txt}{col 49}Wald chi2({res}15{txt}){col 67}= {res}     85.83
{txt}{col 49}Prob > chi2{col 67}= {res}    0.0000
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-64.983988{txt}{col 49}Pseudo R2{col 67}= {res}    0.3691

{txt}{hline 21}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 22}{c |}{col 34}    Robust
{col 1}  impositionoutcome2{col 22}{c |}      Coef.{col 34}   Std. Err.{col 46}      z{col 54}   P>|z|{col 62}     [95% Con{col 75}f. Interval]
{hline 21}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
carrotonlyimposition {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} -1.17502{col 34}{space 2} .5242274{col 45}{space 1}   -2.24{col 54}{space 3}0.025{col 62}{space 4}-2.202487{col 75}{space 3}-.1475529
{txt}{space 11}issue_dum {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .4817165{col 34}{space 2} .4916565{col 45}{space 1}    0.98{col 54}{space 3}0.327{col 62}{space 4}-.4819126{col 75}{space 3} 1.445346
{txt}{space 13}highact {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .0740209{col 34}{space 2} .0323747{col 45}{space 1}    2.29{col 54}{space 3}0.022{col 62}{space 4} .0105677{col 75}{space 3} .1374741
{txt}{space 9}institution {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1.469146{col 34}{space 2}  .503398{col 45}{space 1}    2.92{col 54}{space 3}0.004{col 62}{space 4} .4825042{col 75}{space 3} 2.455788
{txt}{space 12}cont_dum {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1.133372{col 34}{space 2} .5809553{col 45}{space 1}    1.95{col 54}{space 3}0.051{col 62}{space 4}-.0052792{col 75}{space 3} 2.272024
{txt}{space 15}multi {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .2599797{col 34}{space 2} .5321996{col 45}{space 1}    0.49{col 54}{space 3}0.625{col 62}{space 4}-.7831124{col 75}{space 3} 1.303072
{txt}{space 12}atopally {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .3182917{col 34}{space 2}  .318636{col 45}{space 1}    1.00{col 54}{space 3}0.318{col 62}{space 4}-.3062235{col 75}{space 3} .9428068
{txt}{space 2}idealpointdistance {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .1412089{col 34}{space 2} .1655987{col 45}{space 1}    0.85{col 54}{space 3}0.394{col 62}{space 4}-.1833585{col 75}{space 3} .4657763
{txt}{space 15}ddyad {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-1.209038{col 34}{space 2} 1.130762{col 45}{space 1}   -1.07{col 54}{space 3}0.285{col 62}{space 4} -3.42529{col 75}{space 3} 1.007215
{txt}{space 14}demo_t {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}   1.0694{col 34}{space 2} 1.215439{col 45}{space 1}    0.88{col 54}{space 3}0.379{col 62}{space 4}-1.312817{col 75}{space 3} 3.451617
{txt}{space 14}demo_s {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .7490102{col 34}{space 2}   .87031{col 45}{space 1}    0.86{col 54}{space 3}0.389{col 62}{space 4} -.956766{col 75}{space 3} 2.454786
{txt}{space 13}lngdp_t {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.1924508{col 34}{space 2} .1714764{col 45}{space 1}   -1.12{col 54}{space 3}0.262{col 62}{space 4}-.5285383{col 75}{space 3} .1436368
{txt}{space 13}lnpop_t {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.0076575{col 34}{space 2} .1695431{col 45}{space 1}   -0.05{col 54}{space 3}0.964{col 62}{space 4}-.3399559{col 75}{space 3} .3246409
{txt}{space 13}coldwar {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} -.057781{col 34}{space 2} .2914282{col 45}{space 1}   -0.20{col 54}{space 3}0.843{col 62}{space 4}-.6289698{col 75}{space 3} .5134077
{txt}{space 14}us_dum {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.9396108{col 34}{space 2} .4049832{col 45}{space 1}   -2.32{col 54}{space 3}0.020{col 62}{space 4}-1.733363{col 75}{space 3}-.1458582
{txt}{space 15}_cons {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  4.19235{col 34}{space 2} 2.909081{col 45}{space 1}    1.44{col 54}{space 3}0.150{col 62}{space 4}-1.509345{col 75}{space 3} 9.894045
{txt}{hline 21}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
({res}est4{txt} stored)

{com}. esttab, starlevel(* 0.10 ** 0.05 *** 0.01) p compress nogap
{res}
{txt}{hline 62}
{txt}                 (1)          (2)          (3)          (4)   
{txt}           threato~e    threato~e    imposit~2    imposit~2   
{txt}{hline 62}
{res}main                                                          {txt}
{txt}carrot_1  {res}     0.702**      0.900**                           {txt}
          {res} {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.050{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.019{txt:)}}                             {txt}
{txt}issue_dum {res}    -0.625**     -0.603        0.560        0.482   {txt}
          {res} {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.047{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.277{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.231{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.327{txt:)}}   {txt}
{txt}highact   {res}    0.0173       0.0171       0.0637**     0.0740** {txt}
          {res} {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.220{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.388{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.020{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.022{txt:)}}   {txt}
{txt}institut~n{res}     0.859***     0.233        1.427***     1.469***{txt}
          {res} {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.000{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.439{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.001{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.004{txt:)}}   {txt}
{txt}cont_dum  {res}    -0.243       -0.414        1.138**      1.133*  {txt}
          {res} {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.302{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.174{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.017{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.051{txt:)}}   {txt}
{txt}multi     {res}    -0.668***  -0.00993        0.182        0.260   {txt}
          {res} {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.003{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.975{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.637{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.625{txt:)}}   {txt}
{txt}atopally  {res} -0.000322        0.118       0.0674        0.318   {txt}
          {res} {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.998{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.624{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.817{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.318{txt:)}}   {txt}
{txt}idealpoi~e{res}   -0.0132      -0.0447      -0.0703        0.141   {txt}
          {res} {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.854{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.697{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.604{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.394{txt:)}}   {txt}
{txt}ddyad     {res}    -0.949       -1.148**     -1.807*      -1.209   {txt}
          {res} {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.111{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.043{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.054{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.285{txt:)}}   {txt}
{txt}demo_t    {res}     0.986        1.033*       1.616*       1.069   {txt}
          {res} {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.107{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.074{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.085{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.379{txt:)}}   {txt}
{txt}demo_s    {res}     0.932*       0.987**      1.155        0.749   {txt}
          {res} {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.090{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.044{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.131{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.389{txt:)}}   {txt}
{txt}lngdp_t   {res}    0.0170        0.116       -0.204       -0.192   {txt}
          {res} {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.790{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.203{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.101{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.262{txt:)}}   {txt}
{txt}lnpop_t   {res}    0.0300       0.0282        0.154     -0.00766   {txt}
          {res} {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.678{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.792{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.266{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.964{txt:)}}   {txt}
{txt}coldwar   {res}    -0.158       -0.467**    0.00124      -0.0578   {txt}
          {res} {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.242{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.017{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.996{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.843{txt:)}}   {txt}
{txt}us_dum    {res}     0.332*       0.615**     -0.460       -0.940** {txt}
          {res} {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.088{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.024{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.221{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.020{txt:)}}   {txt}
{txt}carroton~n{res}                              -1.286**     -1.175** {txt}
          {res}                           {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.013{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.025{txt:)}}   {txt}
{txt}_cons     {res}    -2.592**     -5.147***     2.700        4.192   {txt}
          {res} {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.020{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.001{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.201{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.150{txt:)}}   {txt}
{txt}{hline 62}
{txt}N         {res}       550          511          187          174   {txt}
{txt}{hline 62}
{txt}p-values in parentheses
{txt}* p<0.10, ** p<0.05, *** p<0.01

{com}. 
. *Table 5
. probit threatoutcome carrot_1 issue_dum highact institution cont_dum multi atopally idealpointdistance ddyad demo_t demo_s  lngdp_t lnpop_t coldwar us_dum, robust //5% okay

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-297.20486}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-277.94403}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-277.34121}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-277.33785}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-277.33785}  
{res}
{txt}Probit regression{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       550
{txt}{col 49}Wald chi2({res}15{txt}){col 67}= {res}     40.88
{txt}{col 49}Prob > chi2{col 67}= {res}    0.0003
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-277.33785{txt}{col 49}Pseudo R2{col 67}= {res}    0.0668

{txt}{hline 19}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 20}{c |}{col 32}    Robust
{col 1}     threatoutcome{col 20}{c |}      Coef.{col 32}   Std. Err.{col 44}      z{col 52}   P>|z|{col 60}     [95% Con{col 73}f. Interval]
{hline 19}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 10}carrot_1 {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .7023646{col 32}{space 2} .3579201{col 43}{space 1}    1.96{col 52}{space 3}0.050{col 60}{space 4} .0008541{col 73}{space 3} 1.403875
{txt}{space 9}issue_dum {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.6248893{col 32}{space 2} .3149798{col 43}{space 1}   -1.98{col 52}{space 3}0.047{col 60}{space 4}-1.242238{col 73}{space 3}-.0075402
{txt}{space 11}highact {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .0173473{col 32}{space 2} .0141581{col 43}{space 1}    1.23{col 52}{space 3}0.220{col 60}{space 4}-.0104022{col 73}{space 3} .0450967
{txt}{space 7}institution {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .8589563{col 32}{space 2} .2223893{col 43}{space 1}    3.86{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4} .4230812{col 73}{space 3} 1.294831
{txt}{space 10}cont_dum {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.2433688{col 32}{space 2} .2358993{col 43}{space 1}   -1.03{col 52}{space 3}0.302{col 60}{space 4} -.705723{col 73}{space 3} .2189854
{txt}{space 13}multi {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.6678741{col 32}{space 2} .2264714{col 43}{space 1}   -2.95{col 52}{space 3}0.003{col 60}{space 4} -1.11175{col 73}{space 3}-.2239984
{txt}{space 10}atopally {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.0003216{col 32}{space 2}  .166582{col 43}{space 1}   -0.00{col 52}{space 3}0.998{col 60}{space 4}-.3268162{col 73}{space 3} .3261731
{txt}idealpointdistance {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} -.013212{col 32}{space 2} .0716626{col 43}{space 1}   -0.18{col 52}{space 3}0.854{col 60}{space 4} -.153668{col 73}{space 3} .1272441
{txt}{space 13}ddyad {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.9486091{col 32}{space 2} .5957968{col 43}{space 1}   -1.59{col 52}{space 3}0.111{col 60}{space 4}-2.116349{col 73}{space 3} .2191311
{txt}{space 12}demo_t {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .9864842{col 32}{space 2} .6120601{col 43}{space 1}    1.61{col 52}{space 3}0.107{col 60}{space 4}-.2131314{col 73}{space 3}   2.1861
{txt}{space 12}demo_s {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .9320085{col 32}{space 2} .5503414{col 43}{space 1}    1.69{col 52}{space 3}0.090{col 60}{space 4}-.1466408{col 73}{space 3} 2.010658
{txt}{space 11}lngdp_t {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .0170367{col 32}{space 2} .0639856{col 43}{space 1}    0.27{col 52}{space 3}0.790{col 60}{space 4}-.1083729{col 73}{space 3} .1424462
{txt}{space 11}lnpop_t {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .0299944{col 32}{space 2} .0722063{col 43}{space 1}    0.42{col 52}{space 3}0.678{col 60}{space 4}-.1115274{col 73}{space 3} .1715162
{txt}{space 11}coldwar {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.1584753{col 32}{space 2} .1353808{col 43}{space 1}   -1.17{col 52}{space 3}0.242{col 60}{space 4}-.4238168{col 73}{space 3} .1068661
{txt}{space 12}us_dum {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}  .331511{col 32}{space 2} .1941915{col 43}{space 1}    1.71{col 52}{space 3}0.088{col 60}{space 4}-.0490973{col 73}{space 3} .7121193
{txt}{space 13}_cons {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-2.591691{col 32}{space 2} 1.112296{col 43}{space 1}   -2.33{col 52}{space 3}0.020{col 60}{space 4}-4.771751{col 73}{space 3}-.4116309
{txt}{hline 19}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. margins, dydx(carrot_1)  force
{res}
{txt}Average marginal effects{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       550
{txt}Model VCE{col 14}: {res}Robust

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:Expression}:{space 1}{res:Pr(threatoutcome), predict()}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:dy/dx w.r.t.}:{space 1}{res:carrot_1}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{res}{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}{col 26} Delta-method
{col 14}{c |}      dy/dx{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 4}carrot_1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .1987167{col 26}{space 2} .1003665{col 37}{space 1}    1.98{col 46}{space 3}0.048{col 54}{space 4} .0020019{col 67}{space 3} .3954315
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}{txt}
{com}. cem issue_dum(#0) highact(1.5 12.5 17.5 22.5) institution(#0) ddyad(#0), treatment (carrot_1) showbreak
{res}{txt}Cutpoints:
issue_dum:{res} (user) 
  0
highact:{res} (user) 
       {txt}   1
    {c TLC}{hline 8}{c TRC}
  1 {c |}  {res} 1.5{txt}  {c |}
  2 {c |}  {res}12.5{txt}  {c |}
  3 {c |}  {res}17.5{txt}  {c |}
  4 {c |}  {res}22.5{txt}  {c |}
    {c BLC}{hline 8}{c BRC}
institution:{res} (user) 
  0
ddyad:{res} (user) 
  0

{txt}Matching Summary:
-----------------
Number of strata: {res}38
{txt}Number of matched strata: {res}13

           {txt}   0     1
      All  {res}1411    31
{txt}  Matched  {res}1274    31
{txt}Unmatched  {res} 137     0


{txt}Multivariate L1 distance: {res}.11301843

{txt}Univariate imbalance:

                   L1      mean       min       25%       50%       75%       max
  issue_dum  {res} 2.7e-16   2.1e-16         0         0         0         0         0
{txt}    highact  {res}  .10495   -.12869         0         0         0         0        -3
{txt}institution  {res} 2.2e-15   1.3e-15         0         0         0         0         0
{txt}      ddyad  {res} 5.3e-16  -3.9e-16         0         0         0         0         .
{txt}
{com}. probit threatoutcome carrot_1 issue_dum highact institution cont_dum multi atopally idealpointdistance ddyad demo_t demo_s  lngdp_t lnpop_t coldwar us_dum [iweight=cem_weights], robust //5% okay

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-283.41272}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-250.28462}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-248.63855}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-248.60534}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-248.60533}  
{res}
{txt}Probit regression{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       511
{txt}{col 49}Wald chi2({res}15{txt}){col 67}= {res}     40.11
{txt}{col 49}Prob > chi2{col 67}= {res}    0.0004
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-248.60533{txt}{col 49}Pseudo R2{col 67}= {res}    0.1228

{txt}{hline 19}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 20}{c |}{col 32}    Robust
{col 1}     threatoutcome{col 20}{c |}      Coef.{col 32}   Std. Err.{col 44}      z{col 52}   P>|z|{col 60}     [95% Con{col 73}f. Interval]
{hline 19}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 10}carrot_1 {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .9001518{col 32}{space 2} .3832068{col 43}{space 1}    2.35{col 52}{space 3}0.019{col 60}{space 4} .1490802{col 73}{space 3} 1.651223
{txt}{space 9}issue_dum {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.6034186{col 32}{space 2} .5552697{col 43}{space 1}   -1.09{col 52}{space 3}0.277{col 60}{space 4}-1.691727{col 73}{space 3}   .48489
{txt}{space 11}highact {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .0171361{col 32}{space 2} .0198662{col 43}{space 1}    0.86{col 52}{space 3}0.388{col 60}{space 4} -.021801{col 73}{space 3} .0560732
{txt}{space 7}institution {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .2325611{col 32}{space 2} .3002498{col 43}{space 1}    0.77{col 52}{space 3}0.439{col 60}{space 4}-.3559176{col 73}{space 3} .8210398
{txt}{space 10}cont_dum {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.4139332{col 32}{space 2} .3044117{col 43}{space 1}   -1.36{col 52}{space 3}0.174{col 60}{space 4}-1.010569{col 73}{space 3} .1827027
{txt}{space 13}multi {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.0099256{col 32}{space 2} .3132098{col 43}{space 1}   -0.03{col 52}{space 3}0.975{col 60}{space 4}-.6238056{col 73}{space 3} .6039544
{txt}{space 10}atopally {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .1184203{col 32}{space 2} .2416393{col 43}{space 1}    0.49{col 52}{space 3}0.624{col 60}{space 4} -.355184{col 73}{space 3} .5920246
{txt}idealpointdistance {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} -.044711{col 32}{space 2} .1146328{col 43}{space 1}   -0.39{col 52}{space 3}0.697{col 60}{space 4}-.2693872{col 73}{space 3} .1799652
{txt}{space 13}ddyad {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-1.148306{col 32}{space 2} .5683216{col 43}{space 1}   -2.02{col 52}{space 3}0.043{col 60}{space 4}-2.262196{col 73}{space 3}-.0344157
{txt}{space 12}demo_t {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 1.032839{col 32}{space 2} .5780974{col 43}{space 1}    1.79{col 52}{space 3}0.074{col 60}{space 4}-.1002108{col 73}{space 3} 2.165889
{txt}{space 12}demo_s {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .9868806{col 32}{space 2} .4894736{col 43}{space 1}    2.02{col 52}{space 3}0.044{col 60}{space 4} .0275301{col 73}{space 3} 1.946231
{txt}{space 11}lngdp_t {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .1161664{col 32}{space 2} .0913442{col 43}{space 1}    1.27{col 52}{space 3}0.203{col 60}{space 4}-.0628649{col 73}{space 3} .2951977
{txt}{space 11}lnpop_t {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .0281722{col 32}{space 2} .1068848{col 43}{space 1}    0.26{col 52}{space 3}0.792{col 60}{space 4}-.1813182{col 73}{space 3} .2376626
{txt}{space 11}coldwar {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.4670038{col 32}{space 2} .1960122{col 43}{space 1}   -2.38{col 52}{space 3}0.017{col 60}{space 4}-.8511806{col 73}{space 3} -.082827
{txt}{space 12}us_dum {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .6153108{col 32}{space 2} .2734655{col 43}{space 1}    2.25{col 52}{space 3}0.024{col 60}{space 4} .0793283{col 73}{space 3} 1.151293
{txt}{space 13}_cons {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-5.146681{col 32}{space 2}  1.58305{col 43}{space 1}   -3.25{col 52}{space 3}0.001{col 60}{space 4}-8.249402{col 73}{space 3}-2.043959
{txt}{hline 19}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. margins, dydx(carrot_1)  force
{res}
{txt}Average marginal effects{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       511
{txt}Model VCE{col 14}: {res}Robust

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:Expression}:{space 1}{res:Pr(threatoutcome), predict()}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:dy/dx w.r.t.}:{space 1}{res:carrot_1}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{res}{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}{col 26} Delta-method
{col 14}{c |}      dy/dx{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 4}carrot_1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .2407029{col 26}{space 2} .1016775{col 37}{space 1}    2.37{col 46}{space 3}0.018{col 54}{space 4} .0414188{col 67}{space 3} .4399871
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}{txt}
{com}. probit impositionoutcome2 carrotonlyimposition issue_dum highact institution cont_dum multi atopally idealpointdistance ddyad demo_t demo_s  lngdp_t lnpop_t coldwar us_dum, robust //5%

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-129.59446}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -101.3571}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-100.35621}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-100.34862}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-100.34862}  
{res}
{txt}Probit regression{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       187
{txt}{col 49}Wald chi2({res}15{txt}){col 67}= {res}     58.44
{txt}{col 49}Prob > chi2{col 67}= {res}    0.0000
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-100.34862{txt}{col 49}Pseudo R2{col 67}= {res}    0.2257

{txt}{hline 21}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 22}{c |}{col 34}    Robust
{col 1}  impositionoutcome2{col 22}{c |}      Coef.{col 34}   Std. Err.{col 46}      z{col 54}   P>|z|{col 62}     [95% Con{col 75}f. Interval]
{hline 21}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
carrotonlyimposition {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} -1.28569{col 34}{space 2} .5202221{col 45}{space 1}   -2.47{col 54}{space 3}0.013{col 62}{space 4}-2.305306{col 75}{space 3}-.2660732
{txt}{space 11}issue_dum {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .5599961{col 34}{space 2} .4679564{col 45}{space 1}    1.20{col 54}{space 3}0.231{col 62}{space 4}-.3571816{col 75}{space 3} 1.477174
{txt}{space 13}highact {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .0637046{col 34}{space 2} .0274706{col 45}{space 1}    2.32{col 54}{space 3}0.020{col 62}{space 4} .0098633{col 75}{space 3} .1175459
{txt}{space 9}institution {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1.426928{col 34}{space 2} .4186534{col 45}{space 1}    3.41{col 54}{space 3}0.001{col 62}{space 4} .6063822{col 75}{space 3} 2.247473
{txt}{space 12}cont_dum {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1.137887{col 34}{space 2} .4780449{col 45}{space 1}    2.38{col 54}{space 3}0.017{col 62}{space 4} .2009364{col 75}{space 3} 2.074838
{txt}{space 15}multi {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .1822103{col 34}{space 2} .3861326{col 45}{space 1}    0.47{col 54}{space 3}0.637{col 62}{space 4}-.5745957{col 75}{space 3} .9390163
{txt}{space 12}atopally {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .0673913{col 34}{space 2} .2913633{col 45}{space 1}    0.23{col 54}{space 3}0.817{col 62}{space 4}-.5036702{col 75}{space 3} .6384529
{txt}{space 2}idealpointdistance {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.0702817{col 34}{space 2} .1354183{col 45}{space 1}   -0.52{col 54}{space 3}0.604{col 62}{space 4}-.3356966{col 75}{space 3} .1951332
{txt}{space 15}ddyad {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-1.807483{col 34}{space 2} .9376409{col 45}{space 1}   -1.93{col 54}{space 3}0.054{col 62}{space 4}-3.645225{col 75}{space 3} .0302593
{txt}{space 14}demo_t {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1.616074{col 34}{space 2} .9381461{col 45}{space 1}    1.72{col 54}{space 3}0.085{col 62}{space 4}-.2226585{col 75}{space 3} 3.454806
{txt}{space 14}demo_s {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1.155131{col 34}{space 2} .7641029{col 45}{space 1}    1.51{col 54}{space 3}0.131{col 62}{space 4}-.3424834{col 75}{space 3} 2.652745
{txt}{space 13}lngdp_t {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.2039823{col 34}{space 2} .1244747{col 45}{space 1}   -1.64{col 54}{space 3}0.101{col 62}{space 4}-.4479482{col 75}{space 3} .0399836
{txt}{space 13}lnpop_t {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  .154275{col 34}{space 2}  .138717{col 45}{space 1}    1.11{col 54}{space 3}0.266{col 62}{space 4}-.1176054{col 75}{space 3} .4261553
{txt}{space 13}coldwar {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .0012384{col 34}{space 2} .2362309{col 45}{space 1}    0.01{col 54}{space 3}0.996{col 62}{space 4}-.4617657{col 75}{space 3} .4642425
{txt}{space 14}us_dum {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.4598435{col 34}{space 2}  .376088{col 45}{space 1}   -1.22{col 54}{space 3}0.221{col 62}{space 4}-1.196962{col 75}{space 3} .2772754
{txt}{space 15}_cons {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 2.700028{col 34}{space 2} 2.113092{col 45}{space 1}    1.28{col 54}{space 3}0.201{col 62}{space 4}-1.441555{col 75}{space 3} 6.841612
{txt}{hline 21}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. margins, dydx(carrotonlyimposition)  force
{res}
{txt}Average marginal effects{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       187
{txt}Model VCE{col 14}: {res}Robust

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:Expression}:{space 1}{res:Pr(impositionoutcome2), predict()}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:dy/dx w.r.t.}:{space 1}{res:carrotonlyimposition}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{res}{txt}{hline 21}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 22}{c |}{col 34} Delta-method
{col 22}{c |}      dy/dx{col 34}   Std. Err.{col 46}      z{col 54}   P>|z|{col 62}     [95% Con{col 75}f. Interval]
{hline 21}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
carrotonlyimposition {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.3890798{col 34}{space 2} .1529244{col 45}{space 1}   -2.54{col 54}{space 3}0.011{col 62}{space 4}-.6888061{col 75}{space 3}-.0893535
{txt}{hline 21}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}{txt}
{com}. cem issue_dum(#0) highact(1.5 12.5 17.5 22.5) institution(#0) ddyad(#0), treatment (carrotonlyimposition) showbreak
{res}{txt}Cutpoints:
issue_dum:{res} (user) 
  0
highact:{res} (user) 
       {txt}   1
    {c TLC}{hline 8}{c TRC}
  1 {c |}  {res} 1.5{txt}  {c |}
  2 {c |}  {res}12.5{txt}  {c |}
  3 {c |}  {res}17.5{txt}  {c |}
  4 {c |}  {res}22.5{txt}  {c |}
    {c BLC}{hline 8}{c BRC}
institution:{res} (user) 
  0
ddyad:{res} (user) 
  0

{txt}Matching Summary:
-----------------
Number of strata: {res}38
{txt}Number of matched strata: {res}16

           {txt}   0     1
      All  {res}1409    33
{txt}  Matched  {res}1268    33
{txt}Unmatched  {res} 141     0


{txt}Multivariate L1 distance: {res}.1189256

{txt}Univariate imbalance:

                   L1      mean       min       25%       50%       75%       max
  issue_dum  {res} 3.8e-15  -4.0e-15         0         0         0         0         0
{txt}    highact  {res}  .10756    .15537         0         0         0         1        -3
{txt}institution  {res} 5.9e-15  -7.6e-15         0         0         0         0         0
{txt}      ddyad  {res} 7.1e-15  -2.7e-15         0         0         0         .         .
{txt}
{com}. probit impositionoutcome2 carrotonlyimposition issue_dum highact institution cont_dum multi atopally idealpointdistance ddyad demo_t demo_s  lngdp_t lnpop_t coldwar us_dum [iweight=cem_weights], robust //5%

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-102.99438}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-67.943611}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-65.243663}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-64.985569}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-64.983988}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-64.983988}  
{res}
{txt}Probit regression{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       174
{txt}{col 49}Wald chi2({res}15{txt}){col 67}= {res}     85.83
{txt}{col 49}Prob > chi2{col 67}= {res}    0.0000
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-64.983988{txt}{col 49}Pseudo R2{col 67}= {res}    0.3691

{txt}{hline 21}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 22}{c |}{col 34}    Robust
{col 1}  impositionoutcome2{col 22}{c |}      Coef.{col 34}   Std. Err.{col 46}      z{col 54}   P>|z|{col 62}     [95% Con{col 75}f. Interval]
{hline 21}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
carrotonlyimposition {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} -1.17502{col 34}{space 2} .5242274{col 45}{space 1}   -2.24{col 54}{space 3}0.025{col 62}{space 4}-2.202487{col 75}{space 3}-.1475529
{txt}{space 11}issue_dum {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .4817165{col 34}{space 2} .4916565{col 45}{space 1}    0.98{col 54}{space 3}0.327{col 62}{space 4}-.4819126{col 75}{space 3} 1.445346
{txt}{space 13}highact {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .0740209{col 34}{space 2} .0323747{col 45}{space 1}    2.29{col 54}{space 3}0.022{col 62}{space 4} .0105677{col 75}{space 3} .1374741
{txt}{space 9}institution {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1.469146{col 34}{space 2}  .503398{col 45}{space 1}    2.92{col 54}{space 3}0.004{col 62}{space 4} .4825042{col 75}{space 3} 2.455788
{txt}{space 12}cont_dum {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1.133372{col 34}{space 2} .5809553{col 45}{space 1}    1.95{col 54}{space 3}0.051{col 62}{space 4}-.0052792{col 75}{space 3} 2.272024
{txt}{space 15}multi {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .2599797{col 34}{space 2} .5321996{col 45}{space 1}    0.49{col 54}{space 3}0.625{col 62}{space 4}-.7831124{col 75}{space 3} 1.303072
{txt}{space 12}atopally {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .3182917{col 34}{space 2}  .318636{col 45}{space 1}    1.00{col 54}{space 3}0.318{col 62}{space 4}-.3062235{col 75}{space 3} .9428068
{txt}{space 2}idealpointdistance {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .1412089{col 34}{space 2} .1655987{col 45}{space 1}    0.85{col 54}{space 3}0.394{col 62}{space 4}-.1833585{col 75}{space 3} .4657763
{txt}{space 15}ddyad {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-1.209038{col 34}{space 2} 1.130762{col 45}{space 1}   -1.07{col 54}{space 3}0.285{col 62}{space 4} -3.42529{col 75}{space 3} 1.007215
{txt}{space 14}demo_t {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}   1.0694{col 34}{space 2} 1.215439{col 45}{space 1}    0.88{col 54}{space 3}0.379{col 62}{space 4}-1.312817{col 75}{space 3} 3.451617
{txt}{space 14}demo_s {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .7490102{col 34}{space 2}   .87031{col 45}{space 1}    0.86{col 54}{space 3}0.389{col 62}{space 4} -.956766{col 75}{space 3} 2.454786
{txt}{space 13}lngdp_t {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.1924508{col 34}{space 2} .1714764{col 45}{space 1}   -1.12{col 54}{space 3}0.262{col 62}{space 4}-.5285383{col 75}{space 3} .1436368
{txt}{space 13}lnpop_t {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.0076575{col 34}{space 2} .1695431{col 45}{space 1}   -0.05{col 54}{space 3}0.964{col 62}{space 4}-.3399559{col 75}{space 3} .3246409
{txt}{space 13}coldwar {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} -.057781{col 34}{space 2} .2914282{col 45}{space 1}   -0.20{col 54}{space 3}0.843{col 62}{space 4}-.6289698{col 75}{space 3} .5134077
{txt}{space 14}us_dum {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.9396108{col 34}{space 2} .4049832{col 45}{space 1}   -2.32{col 54}{space 3}0.020{col 62}{space 4}-1.733363{col 75}{space 3}-.1458582
{txt}{space 15}_cons {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  4.19235{col 34}{space 2} 2.909081{col 45}{space 1}    1.44{col 54}{space 3}0.150{col 62}{space 4}-1.509345{col 75}{space 3} 9.894045
{txt}{hline 21}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. margins, dydx(carrotonlyimposition)  force
{res}
{txt}Average marginal effects{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       174
{txt}Model VCE{col 14}: {res}Robust

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:Expression}:{space 1}{res:Pr(impositionoutcome2), predict()}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:dy/dx w.r.t.}:{space 1}{res:carrotonlyimposition}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{res}{txt}{hline 21}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 22}{c |}{col 34} Delta-method
{col 22}{c |}      dy/dx{col 34}   Std. Err.{col 46}      z{col 54}   P>|z|{col 62}     [95% Con{col 75}f. Interval]
{hline 21}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
carrotonlyimposition {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.2566701{col 34}{space 2} .1075037{col 45}{space 1}   -2.39{col 54}{space 3}0.017{col 62}{space 4}-.4673735{col 75}{space 3}-.0459668
{txt}{hline 21}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}{txt}
{com}. 
. *****Appendix B*****
. *Table A1
. est clear
{txt}
{com}. eststo: probit threatoutcome carrot_1 issue_dum highact institution cont_dum multi atopally idealpointdistance ddyad demo_t demo_s  lngdp_t lnpop_t coldwar us_dum y1, robust //5% okay

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-285.14986}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-265.08748}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -263.3772}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-263.16042}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-263.12656}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-263.12177}  
Iteration 6:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-263.12087}  
Iteration 7:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-263.12069}  
Iteration 8:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-263.12066}  
Iteration 9:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-263.12065}  
{res}
{txt}Probit regression{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       527
{txt}{col 49}Wald chi2({res}16{txt}){col 67}= {res}    965.36
{txt}{col 49}Prob > chi2{col 67}= {res}    0.0000
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-263.12065{txt}{col 49}Pseudo R2{col 67}= {res}    0.0773

{txt}{hline 19}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 20}{c |}{col 32}    Robust
{col 1}     threatoutcome{col 20}{c |}      Coef.{col 32}   Std. Err.{col 44}      z{col 52}   P>|z|{col 60}     [95% Con{col 73}f. Interval]
{hline 19}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 10}carrot_1 {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}  .655167{col 32}{space 2} .3774186{col 43}{space 1}    1.74{col 52}{space 3}0.083{col 60}{space 4}  -.08456{col 73}{space 3} 1.394894
{txt}{space 9}issue_dum {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.6354476{col 32}{space 2} .3294245{col 43}{space 1}   -1.93{col 52}{space 3}0.054{col 60}{space 4}-1.281108{col 73}{space 3} .0102126
{txt}{space 11}highact {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .0218443{col 32}{space 2} .0149164{col 43}{space 1}    1.46{col 52}{space 3}0.143{col 60}{space 4}-.0073912{col 73}{space 3} .0510798
{txt}{space 7}institution {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .8680553{col 32}{space 2} .2417199{col 43}{space 1}    3.59{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4} .3942931{col 73}{space 3} 1.341818
{txt}{space 10}cont_dum {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.1355159{col 32}{space 2} .2373878{col 43}{space 1}   -0.57{col 52}{space 3}0.568{col 60}{space 4}-.6007874{col 73}{space 3} .3297557
{txt}{space 13}multi {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.6308463{col 32}{space 2} .2391166{col 43}{space 1}   -2.64{col 52}{space 3}0.008{col 60}{space 4}-1.099506{col 73}{space 3}-.1621863
{txt}{space 10}atopally {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.0095106{col 32}{space 2} .1715593{col 43}{space 1}   -0.06{col 52}{space 3}0.956{col 60}{space 4}-.3457607{col 73}{space 3} .3267394
{txt}idealpointdistance {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.0299473{col 32}{space 2} .0744236{col 43}{space 1}   -0.40{col 52}{space 3}0.687{col 60}{space 4}-.1758148{col 73}{space 3} .1159202
{txt}{space 13}ddyad {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-5.069844{col 32}{space 2}  .562459{col 43}{space 1}   -9.01{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4}-6.172243{col 73}{space 3}-3.967444
{txt}{space 12}demo_t {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 5.120612{col 32}{space 2} .5911357{col 43}{space 1}    8.66{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4} 3.962007{col 73}{space 3} 6.279217
{txt}{space 12}demo_s {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 4.985104{col 32}{space 2} .4904459{col 43}{space 1}   10.16{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4} 4.023847{col 73}{space 3}  5.94636
{txt}{space 11}lngdp_t {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .0053802{col 32}{space 2} .0664769{col 43}{space 1}    0.08{col 52}{space 3}0.935{col 60}{space 4}-.1249122{col 73}{space 3} .1356726
{txt}{space 11}lnpop_t {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .0407205{col 32}{space 2} .0756158{col 43}{space 1}    0.54{col 52}{space 3}0.590{col 60}{space 4}-.1074838{col 73}{space 3} .1889248
{txt}{space 11}coldwar {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.0917305{col 32}{space 2} .1395354{col 43}{space 1}   -0.66{col 52}{space 3}0.511{col 60}{space 4}-.3652148{col 73}{space 3} .1817538
{txt}{space 12}us_dum {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .3736096{col 32}{space 2} .2053723{col 43}{space 1}    1.82{col 52}{space 3}0.069{col 60}{space 4}-.0289127{col 73}{space 3} .7761318
{txt}{space 16}y1 {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .0338682{col 32}{space 2} .0436367{col 43}{space 1}    0.78{col 52}{space 3}0.438{col 60}{space 4}-.0516582{col 73}{space 3} .1193946
{txt}{space 13}_cons {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-6.514181{col 32}{space 2} 1.045783{col 43}{space 1}   -6.23{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4}-8.563877{col 73}{space 3}-4.464484
{txt}{hline 19}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{p 0 6 2}Note: 15 failures and 0 successes completely determined.{p_end}
({res}est1{txt} stored)

{com}. eststo: probit impositionoutcome carrotonlyimposition issue_dum highact institution cont_dum multi atopally idealpointdistance ddyad demo_t demo_s  lngdp_t lnpop_t coldwar us_dum g1, robust //5%

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-173.71155}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -145.3578}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-144.83168}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-144.83083}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-144.83083}  
{res}
{txt}Probit regression{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       252
{txt}{col 49}Wald chi2({res}16{txt}){col 67}= {res}     56.24
{txt}{col 49}Prob > chi2{col 67}= {res}    0.0000
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-144.83083{txt}{col 49}Pseudo R2{col 67}= {res}    0.1663

{txt}{hline 21}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 22}{c |}{col 34}    Robust
{col 1}   impositionoutcome{col 22}{c |}      Coef.{col 34}   Std. Err.{col 46}      z{col 54}   P>|z|{col 62}     [95% Con{col 75}f. Interval]
{hline 21}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
carrotonlyimposition {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-1.165181{col 34}{space 2} .4329152{col 45}{space 1}   -2.69{col 54}{space 3}0.007{col 62}{space 4}-2.013679{col 75}{space 3}-.3166827
{txt}{space 11}issue_dum {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.5473039{col 34}{space 2} .2983694{col 45}{space 1}   -1.83{col 54}{space 3}0.067{col 62}{space 4}-1.132097{col 75}{space 3} .0374893
{txt}{space 13}highact {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  .021129{col 34}{space 2} .0182984{col 45}{space 1}    1.15{col 54}{space 3}0.248{col 62}{space 4}-.0147353{col 75}{space 3} .0569932
{txt}{space 9}institution {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1.060576{col 34}{space 2} .3891081{col 45}{space 1}    2.73{col 54}{space 3}0.006{col 62}{space 4} .2979379{col 75}{space 3} 1.823213
{txt}{space 12}cont_dum {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .5310002{col 34}{space 2} .3020369{col 45}{space 1}    1.76{col 54}{space 3}0.079{col 62}{space 4}-.0609812{col 75}{space 3} 1.122982
{txt}{space 15}multi {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .6274518{col 34}{space 2}  .327249{col 45}{space 1}    1.92{col 54}{space 3}0.055{col 62}{space 4}-.0139444{col 75}{space 3} 1.268848
{txt}{space 12}atopally {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .1520182{col 34}{space 2} .2309479{col 45}{space 1}    0.66{col 54}{space 3}0.510{col 62}{space 4}-.3006313{col 75}{space 3} .6046677
{txt}{space 2}idealpointdistance {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.0869579{col 34}{space 2} .1005399{col 45}{space 1}   -0.86{col 54}{space 3}0.387{col 62}{space 4}-.2840124{col 75}{space 3} .1100967
{txt}{space 15}ddyad {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.9342814{col 34}{space 2} .5482625{col 45}{space 1}   -1.70{col 54}{space 3}0.088{col 62}{space 4}-2.008856{col 75}{space 3} .1402934
{txt}{space 14}demo_t {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .1002582{col 34}{space 2} .5388086{col 45}{space 1}    0.19{col 54}{space 3}0.852{col 62}{space 4}-.9557872{col 75}{space 3} 1.156304
{txt}{space 14}demo_s {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .3309402{col 34}{space 2} .4113274{col 45}{space 1}    0.80{col 54}{space 3}0.421{col 62}{space 4}-.4752466{col 75}{space 3} 1.137127
{txt}{space 13}lngdp_t {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .0179377{col 34}{space 2} .0906139{col 45}{space 1}    0.20{col 54}{space 3}0.843{col 62}{space 4}-.1596624{col 75}{space 3} .1955377
{txt}{space 13}lnpop_t {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.0166325{col 34}{space 2} .1075455{col 45}{space 1}   -0.15{col 54}{space 3}0.877{col 62}{space 4}-.2274179{col 75}{space 3} .1941528
{txt}{space 13}coldwar {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.2065729{col 34}{space 2} .1903451{col 45}{space 1}   -1.09{col 54}{space 3}0.278{col 62}{space 4}-.5796425{col 75}{space 3} .1664966
{txt}{space 14}us_dum {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .2359632{col 34}{space 2} .2673743{col 45}{space 1}    0.88{col 54}{space 3}0.377{col 62}{space 4}-.2880809{col 75}{space 3} .7600073
{txt}{space 18}g1 {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.0289547{col 34}{space 2} .0295509{col 45}{space 1}   -0.98{col 54}{space 3}0.327{col 62}{space 4}-.0868734{col 75}{space 3} .0289641
{txt}{space 15}_cons {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.2354707{col 34}{space 2} 1.497757{col 45}{space 1}   -0.16{col 54}{space 3}0.875{col 62}{space 4} -3.17102{col 75}{space 3} 2.700079
{txt}{hline 21}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
({res}est2{txt} stored)

{com}. cem issue_dum(#0) highact(1.5 12.5 17.5 22.5) institution(#0) ddyad(#0), treatment (carrot_1) showbreaks 
{res}{txt}Cutpoints:
issue_dum:{res} (user) 
  0
highact:{res} (user) 
       {txt}   1
    {c TLC}{hline 8}{c TRC}
  1 {c |}  {res} 1.5{txt}  {c |}
  2 {c |}  {res}12.5{txt}  {c |}
  3 {c |}  {res}17.5{txt}  {c |}
  4 {c |}  {res}22.5{txt}  {c |}
    {c BLC}{hline 8}{c BRC}
institution:{res} (user) 
  0
ddyad:{res} (user) 
  0

{txt}Matching Summary:
-----------------
Number of strata: {res}38
{txt}Number of matched strata: {res}13

           {txt}   0     1
      All  {res}1411    31
{txt}  Matched  {res}1274    31
{txt}Unmatched  {res} 137     0


{txt}Multivariate L1 distance: {res}.11301843

{txt}Univariate imbalance:

                   L1      mean       min       25%       50%       75%       max
  issue_dum  {res} 2.7e-16   2.1e-16         0         0         0         0         0
{txt}    highact  {res}  .10495   -.12869         0         0         0         0        -3
{txt}institution  {res} 2.2e-15   1.3e-15         0         0         0         0         0
{txt}      ddyad  {res} 5.3e-16  -3.9e-16         0         0         0         0         .
{txt}
{com}. eststo:probit threatoutcome carrot_1 issue_dum highact institution cont_dum multi atopally idealpointdistance ddyad demo_t demo_s  lngdp_t lnpop_t coldwar us_dum y1[iweight=cem_weights], robust //5% okay

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-268.54194}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-234.58653}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-232.02242}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-231.74737}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-231.70311}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-231.69717}  
Iteration 6:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-231.69603}  
Iteration 7:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -231.6958}  
Iteration 8:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-231.69575}  
Iteration 9:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-231.69574}  
{res}
{txt}Probit regression{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       488
{txt}{col 49}Wald chi2({res}16{txt}){col 67}= {res}   1174.88
{txt}{col 49}Prob > chi2{col 67}= {res}    0.0000
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-231.69574{txt}{col 49}Pseudo R2{col 67}= {res}    0.1372

{txt}{hline 19}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 20}{c |}{col 32}    Robust
{col 1}     threatoutcome{col 20}{c |}      Coef.{col 32}   Std. Err.{col 44}      z{col 52}   P>|z|{col 60}     [95% Con{col 73}f. Interval]
{hline 19}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 10}carrot_1 {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}  .897741{col 32}{space 2}  .404276{col 43}{space 1}    2.22{col 52}{space 3}0.026{col 60}{space 4} .1053746{col 73}{space 3} 1.690107
{txt}{space 9}issue_dum {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.4393191{col 32}{space 2}  .596055{col 43}{space 1}   -0.74{col 52}{space 3}0.461{col 60}{space 4}-1.607565{col 73}{space 3} .7289272
{txt}{space 11}highact {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}  .014447{col 32}{space 2} .0216639{col 43}{space 1}    0.67{col 52}{space 3}0.505{col 60}{space 4}-.0280135{col 73}{space 3} .0569076
{txt}{space 7}institution {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .2430065{col 32}{space 2} .3214848{col 43}{space 1}    0.76{col 52}{space 3}0.450{col 60}{space 4}-.3870922{col 73}{space 3} .8731052
{txt}{space 10}cont_dum {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.3721165{col 32}{space 2} .3269055{col 43}{space 1}   -1.14{col 52}{space 3}0.255{col 60}{space 4} -1.01284{col 73}{space 3} .2686066
{txt}{space 13}multi {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .0664573{col 32}{space 2} .3198272{col 43}{space 1}    0.21{col 52}{space 3}0.835{col 60}{space 4}-.5603925{col 73}{space 3} .6933071
{txt}{space 10}atopally {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .1255498{col 32}{space 2} .2623783{col 43}{space 1}    0.48{col 52}{space 3}0.632{col 60}{space 4}-.3887023{col 73}{space 3} .6398019
{txt}idealpointdistance {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.0448376{col 32}{space 2}  .117279{col 43}{space 1}   -0.38{col 52}{space 3}0.702{col 60}{space 4}-.2747002{col 73}{space 3}  .185025
{txt}{space 13}ddyad {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-4.752709{col 32}{space 2} .4597033{col 43}{space 1}  -10.34{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4} -5.65371{col 73}{space 3}-3.851707
{txt}{space 12}demo_t {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 4.648853{col 32}{space 2} .4501363{col 43}{space 1}   10.33{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4} 3.766602{col 73}{space 3} 5.531103
{txt}{space 12}demo_s {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 4.337104{col 32}{space 2} .3549029{col 43}{space 1}   12.22{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4} 3.641507{col 73}{space 3} 5.032701
{txt}{space 11}lngdp_t {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .0924666{col 32}{space 2} .0920826{col 43}{space 1}    1.00{col 52}{space 3}0.315{col 60}{space 4} -.088012{col 73}{space 3} .2729453
{txt}{space 11}lnpop_t {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .0753299{col 32}{space 2} .1061033{col 43}{space 1}    0.71{col 52}{space 3}0.478{col 60}{space 4}-.1326286{col 73}{space 3} .2832885
{txt}{space 11}coldwar {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.4239009{col 32}{space 2} .2086048{col 43}{space 1}   -2.03{col 52}{space 3}0.042{col 60}{space 4}-.8327589{col 73}{space 3} -.015043
{txt}{space 12}us_dum {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .6707507{col 32}{space 2} .2927526{col 43}{space 1}    2.29{col 52}{space 3}0.022{col 60}{space 4} .0969661{col 73}{space 3} 1.244535
{txt}{space 16}y1 {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .0083069{col 32}{space 2} .0613541{col 43}{space 1}    0.14{col 52}{space 3}0.892{col 60}{space 4}-.1119448{col 73}{space 3} .1285586
{txt}{space 13}_cons {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-8.482167{col 32}{space 2} 1.627428{col 43}{space 1}   -5.21{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4}-11.67187{col 73}{space 3}-5.292467
{txt}{hline 19}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{p 0 6 2}Note: 2 failures and 0 successes completely determined.{p_end}
({res}est3{txt} stored)

{com}. cem issue_dum(#0) highact(1.5 12.5 17.5 22.5) institution(#0) ddyad(#0), treatment (carrotonlyimposition) showbreak 
{res}{txt}Cutpoints:
issue_dum:{res} (user) 
  0
highact:{res} (user) 
       {txt}   1
    {c TLC}{hline 8}{c TRC}
  1 {c |}  {res} 1.5{txt}  {c |}
  2 {c |}  {res}12.5{txt}  {c |}
  3 {c |}  {res}17.5{txt}  {c |}
  4 {c |}  {res}22.5{txt}  {c |}
    {c BLC}{hline 8}{c BRC}
institution:{res} (user) 
  0
ddyad:{res} (user) 
  0

{txt}Matching Summary:
-----------------
Number of strata: {res}38
{txt}Number of matched strata: {res}16

           {txt}   0     1
      All  {res}1409    33
{txt}  Matched  {res}1268    33
{txt}Unmatched  {res} 141     0


{txt}Multivariate L1 distance: {res}.1189256

{txt}Univariate imbalance:

                   L1      mean       min       25%       50%       75%       max
  issue_dum  {res} 3.8e-15  -4.0e-15         0         0         0         0         0
{txt}    highact  {res}  .10756    .15537         0         0         0         1        -3
{txt}institution  {res} 5.9e-15  -7.6e-15         0         0         0         0         0
{txt}      ddyad  {res} 7.1e-15  -2.7e-15         0         0         0         .         .
{txt}
{com}. eststo: probit impositionoutcome carrotonlyimposition issue_dum highact institution cont_dum multi atopally idealpointdistance ddyad demo_t demo_s  lngdp_t lnpop_t coldwar us_dum g1[iweight=cem_weights], robust //5%

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-155.31579}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -104.2225}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-100.73549}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-100.60972}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-100.60932}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-100.60932}  
{res}
{txt}Probit regression{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       233
{txt}{col 49}Wald chi2({res}16{txt}){col 67}= {res}     69.93
{txt}{col 49}Prob > chi2{col 67}= {res}    0.0000
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-100.60932{txt}{col 49}Pseudo R2{col 67}= {res}    0.3522

{txt}{hline 21}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 22}{c |}{col 34}    Robust
{col 1}   impositionoutcome{col 22}{c |}      Coef.{col 34}   Std. Err.{col 46}      z{col 54}   P>|z|{col 62}     [95% Con{col 75}f. Interval]
{hline 21}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
carrotonlyimposition {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-1.821272{col 34}{space 2} .6110955{col 45}{space 1}   -2.98{col 54}{space 3}0.003{col 62}{space 4}-3.018997{col 75}{space 3}-.6235465
{txt}{space 11}issue_dum {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.3274156{col 34}{space 2} .3690476{col 45}{space 1}   -0.89{col 54}{space 3}0.375{col 62}{space 4}-1.050736{col 75}{space 3} .3959044
{txt}{space 13}highact {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .1112858{col 34}{space 2} .0326813{col 45}{space 1}    3.41{col 54}{space 3}0.001{col 62}{space 4} .0472317{col 75}{space 3} .1753399
{txt}{space 9}institution {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1.727395{col 34}{space 2} .5682146{col 45}{space 1}    3.04{col 54}{space 3}0.002{col 62}{space 4} .6137153{col 75}{space 3} 2.841075
{txt}{space 12}cont_dum {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .6218337{col 34}{space 2} .3611677{col 45}{space 1}    1.72{col 54}{space 3}0.085{col 62}{space 4} -.086042{col 75}{space 3} 1.329709
{txt}{space 15}multi {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .6841297{col 34}{space 2} .4775574{col 45}{space 1}    1.43{col 54}{space 3}0.152{col 62}{space 4}-.2518655{col 75}{space 3} 1.620125
{txt}{space 12}atopally {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .5158336{col 34}{space 2} .3393896{col 45}{space 1}    1.52{col 54}{space 3}0.129{col 62}{space 4}-.1493579{col 75}{space 3} 1.181025
{txt}{space 2}idealpointdistance {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .0092502{col 34}{space 2}   .13864{col 45}{space 1}    0.07{col 54}{space 3}0.947{col 62}{space 4}-.2624792{col 75}{space 3} .2809797
{txt}{space 15}ddyad {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-1.069989{col 34}{space 2} .7121612{col 45}{space 1}   -1.50{col 54}{space 3}0.133{col 62}{space 4}-2.465799{col 75}{space 3}  .325821
{txt}{space 14}demo_t {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .4585604{col 34}{space 2} .7296744{col 45}{space 1}    0.63{col 54}{space 3}0.530{col 62}{space 4}-.9715752{col 75}{space 3} 1.888696
{txt}{space 14}demo_s {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .2078252{col 34}{space 2} .5329043{col 45}{space 1}    0.39{col 54}{space 3}0.697{col 62}{space 4} -.836648{col 75}{space 3} 1.252298
{txt}{space 13}lngdp_t {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.0427109{col 34}{space 2} .1393497{col 45}{space 1}   -0.31{col 54}{space 3}0.759{col 62}{space 4}-.3158313{col 75}{space 3} .2304094
{txt}{space 13}lnpop_t {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .0081164{col 34}{space 2} .1868042{col 45}{space 1}    0.04{col 54}{space 3}0.965{col 62}{space 4}-.3580131{col 75}{space 3} .3742459
{txt}{space 13}coldwar {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} -.757905{col 34}{space 2} .2617456{col 45}{space 1}   -2.90{col 54}{space 3}0.004{col 62}{space 4}-1.270917{col 75}{space 3} -.244893
{txt}{space 14}us_dum {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .2053748{col 34}{space 2}  .391027{col 45}{space 1}    0.53{col 54}{space 3}0.599{col 62}{space 4}-.5610241{col 75}{space 3} .9717738
{txt}{space 18}g1 {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}   .01382{col 34}{space 2} .0414913{col 45}{space 1}    0.33{col 54}{space 3}0.739{col 62}{space 4}-.0675015{col 75}{space 3} .0951415
{txt}{space 15}_cons {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .6654893{col 34}{space 2}  1.96132{col 45}{space 1}    0.34{col 54}{space 3}0.734{col 62}{space 4}-3.178627{col 75}{space 3} 4.509605
{txt}{hline 21}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
({res}est4{txt} stored)

{com}. esttab, starlevel(* 0.10 ** 0.05 *** 0.01) p compress nogap
{res}
{txt}{hline 62}
{txt}                 (1)          (2)          (3)          (4)   
{txt}           threato~e    imposit~e    threato~e    imposit~e   
{txt}{hline 62}
{res}main                                                          {txt}
{txt}carrot_1  {res}     0.655*                    0.898**              {txt}
          {res} {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.083{txt:)}}                 {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.026{txt:)}}                {txt}
{txt}issue_dum {res}    -0.635*      -0.547*      -0.439       -0.327   {txt}
          {res} {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.054{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.067{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.461{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.375{txt:)}}   {txt}
{txt}highact   {res}    0.0218       0.0211       0.0144        0.111***{txt}
          {res} {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.143{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.248{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.505{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.001{txt:)}}   {txt}
{txt}institut~n{res}     0.868***     1.061***     0.243        1.727***{txt}
          {res} {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.000{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.006{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.450{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.002{txt:)}}   {txt}
{txt}cont_dum  {res}    -0.136        0.531*      -0.372        0.622*  {txt}
          {res} {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.568{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.079{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.255{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.085{txt:)}}   {txt}
{txt}multi     {res}    -0.631***     0.627*      0.0665        0.684   {txt}
          {res} {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.008{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.055{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.835{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.152{txt:)}}   {txt}
{txt}atopally  {res}  -0.00951        0.152        0.126        0.516   {txt}
          {res} {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.956{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.510{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.632{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.129{txt:)}}   {txt}
{txt}idealpoi~e{res}   -0.0299      -0.0870      -0.0448      0.00925   {txt}
          {res} {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.687{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.387{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.702{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.947{txt:)}}   {txt}
{txt}ddyad     {res}    -5.070***    -0.934*      -4.753***    -1.070   {txt}
          {res} {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.000{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.088{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.000{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.133{txt:)}}   {txt}
{txt}demo_t    {res}     5.121***     0.100        4.649***     0.459   {txt}
          {res} {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.000{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.852{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.000{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.530{txt:)}}   {txt}
{txt}demo_s    {res}     4.985***     0.331        4.337***     0.208   {txt}
          {res} {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.000{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.421{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.000{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.697{txt:)}}   {txt}
{txt}lngdp_t   {res}   0.00538       0.0179       0.0925      -0.0427   {txt}
          {res} {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.935{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.843{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.315{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.759{txt:)}}   {txt}
{txt}lnpop_t   {res}    0.0407      -0.0166       0.0753      0.00812   {txt}
          {res} {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.590{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.877{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.478{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.965{txt:)}}   {txt}
{txt}coldwar   {res}   -0.0917       -0.207       -0.424**     -0.758***{txt}
          {res} {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.511{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.278{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.042{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.004{txt:)}}   {txt}
{txt}us_dum    {res}     0.374*       0.236        0.671**      0.205   {txt}
          {res} {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.069{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.377{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.022{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.599{txt:)}}   {txt}
{txt}y1        {res}    0.0339                   0.00831                {txt}
          {res} {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.438{txt:)}}                 {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.892{txt:)}}                {txt}
{txt}carroton~n{res}                 -1.165***                 -1.821***{txt}
          {res}              {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.007{txt:)}}                 {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.003{txt:)}}   {txt}
{txt}g1        {res}                -0.0290                    0.0138   {txt}
          {res}              {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.327{txt:)}}                 {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.739{txt:)}}   {txt}
{txt}_cons     {res}    -6.514***    -0.235       -8.482***     0.665   {txt}
          {res} {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.000{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.875{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.000{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.734{txt:)}}   {txt}
{txt}{hline 62}
{txt}N         {res}       527          252          488          233   {txt}
{txt}{hline 62}
{txt}p-values in parentheses
{txt}* p<0.10, ** p<0.05, *** p<0.01

{com}. 
. *Table A2 
. **Threat stage (before CEM: 0.183->0.184)
. probit threatoutcome carrot_1 issue_dum highact institution cont_dum multi atopally idealpointdistance ddyad demo_t demo_s  lngdp_t lnpop_t coldwar us_dum y1, robust //5% okay

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-285.14986}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-265.08748}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -263.3772}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-263.16042}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-263.12656}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-263.12177}  
Iteration 6:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-263.12087}  
Iteration 7:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-263.12069}  
Iteration 8:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-263.12066}  
Iteration 9:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-263.12065}  
{res}
{txt}Probit regression{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       527
{txt}{col 49}Wald chi2({res}16{txt}){col 67}= {res}    965.36
{txt}{col 49}Prob > chi2{col 67}= {res}    0.0000
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-263.12065{txt}{col 49}Pseudo R2{col 67}= {res}    0.0773

{txt}{hline 19}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 20}{c |}{col 32}    Robust
{col 1}     threatoutcome{col 20}{c |}      Coef.{col 32}   Std. Err.{col 44}      z{col 52}   P>|z|{col 60}     [95% Con{col 73}f. Interval]
{hline 19}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 10}carrot_1 {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}  .655167{col 32}{space 2} .3774186{col 43}{space 1}    1.74{col 52}{space 3}0.083{col 60}{space 4}  -.08456{col 73}{space 3} 1.394894
{txt}{space 9}issue_dum {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.6354476{col 32}{space 2} .3294245{col 43}{space 1}   -1.93{col 52}{space 3}0.054{col 60}{space 4}-1.281108{col 73}{space 3} .0102126
{txt}{space 11}highact {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .0218443{col 32}{space 2} .0149164{col 43}{space 1}    1.46{col 52}{space 3}0.143{col 60}{space 4}-.0073912{col 73}{space 3} .0510798
{txt}{space 7}institution {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .8680553{col 32}{space 2} .2417199{col 43}{space 1}    3.59{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4} .3942931{col 73}{space 3} 1.341818
{txt}{space 10}cont_dum {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.1355159{col 32}{space 2} .2373878{col 43}{space 1}   -0.57{col 52}{space 3}0.568{col 60}{space 4}-.6007874{col 73}{space 3} .3297557
{txt}{space 13}multi {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.6308463{col 32}{space 2} .2391166{col 43}{space 1}   -2.64{col 52}{space 3}0.008{col 60}{space 4}-1.099506{col 73}{space 3}-.1621863
{txt}{space 10}atopally {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.0095106{col 32}{space 2} .1715593{col 43}{space 1}   -0.06{col 52}{space 3}0.956{col 60}{space 4}-.3457607{col 73}{space 3} .3267394
{txt}idealpointdistance {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.0299473{col 32}{space 2} .0744236{col 43}{space 1}   -0.40{col 52}{space 3}0.687{col 60}{space 4}-.1758148{col 73}{space 3} .1159202
{txt}{space 13}ddyad {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-5.069844{col 32}{space 2}  .562459{col 43}{space 1}   -9.01{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4}-6.172243{col 73}{space 3}-3.967444
{txt}{space 12}demo_t {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 5.120612{col 32}{space 2} .5911357{col 43}{space 1}    8.66{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4} 3.962007{col 73}{space 3} 6.279217
{txt}{space 12}demo_s {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 4.985104{col 32}{space 2} .4904459{col 43}{space 1}   10.16{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4} 4.023847{col 73}{space 3}  5.94636
{txt}{space 11}lngdp_t {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .0053802{col 32}{space 2} .0664769{col 43}{space 1}    0.08{col 52}{space 3}0.935{col 60}{space 4}-.1249122{col 73}{space 3} .1356726
{txt}{space 11}lnpop_t {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .0407205{col 32}{space 2} .0756158{col 43}{space 1}    0.54{col 52}{space 3}0.590{col 60}{space 4}-.1074838{col 73}{space 3} .1889248
{txt}{space 11}coldwar {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.0917305{col 32}{space 2} .1395354{col 43}{space 1}   -0.66{col 52}{space 3}0.511{col 60}{space 4}-.3652148{col 73}{space 3} .1817538
{txt}{space 12}us_dum {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .3736096{col 32}{space 2} .2053723{col 43}{space 1}    1.82{col 52}{space 3}0.069{col 60}{space 4}-.0289127{col 73}{space 3} .7761318
{txt}{space 16}y1 {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .0338682{col 32}{space 2} .0436367{col 43}{space 1}    0.78{col 52}{space 3}0.438{col 60}{space 4}-.0516582{col 73}{space 3} .1193946
{txt}{space 13}_cons {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-6.514181{col 32}{space 2} 1.045783{col 43}{space 1}   -6.23{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4}-8.563877{col 73}{space 3}-4.464484
{txt}{hline 19}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{p 0 6 2}Note: 15 failures and 0 successes completely determined.{p_end}

{com}. margins, dydx(carrot_1)  force
{res}
{txt}Average marginal effects{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       527
{txt}Model VCE{col 14}: {res}Robust

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:Expression}:{space 1}{res:Pr(threatoutcome), predict()}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:dy/dx w.r.t.}:{space 1}{res:carrot_1}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{res}{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}{col 26} Delta-method
{col 14}{c |}      dy/dx{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 4}carrot_1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .1836786{col 26}{space 2} .1050334{col 37}{space 1}    1.75{col 46}{space 3}0.080{col 54}{space 4} -.022183{col 67}{space 3} .3895402
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}{txt}
{com}. cem issue_dum(#0) highact(1.5 12.5 17.5 22.5) institution(#0) ddyad(#0), treatment (carrot_1) showbreaks 
{res}{txt}Cutpoints:
issue_dum:{res} (user) 
  0
highact:{res} (user) 
       {txt}   1
    {c TLC}{hline 8}{c TRC}
  1 {c |}  {res} 1.5{txt}  {c |}
  2 {c |}  {res}12.5{txt}  {c |}
  3 {c |}  {res}17.5{txt}  {c |}
  4 {c |}  {res}22.5{txt}  {c |}
    {c BLC}{hline 8}{c BRC}
institution:{res} (user) 
  0
ddyad:{res} (user) 
  0

{txt}Matching Summary:
-----------------
Number of strata: {res}38
{txt}Number of matched strata: {res}13

           {txt}   0     1
      All  {res}1411    31
{txt}  Matched  {res}1274    31
{txt}Unmatched  {res} 137     0


{txt}Multivariate L1 distance: {res}.11301843

{txt}Univariate imbalance:

                   L1      mean       min       25%       50%       75%       max
  issue_dum  {res} 2.7e-16   2.1e-16         0         0         0         0         0
{txt}    highact  {res}  .10495   -.12869         0         0         0         0        -3
{txt}institution  {res} 2.2e-15   1.3e-15         0         0         0         0         0
{txt}      ddyad  {res} 5.3e-16  -3.9e-16         0         0         0         0         .
{txt}
{com}. probit threatoutcome carrot_1 issue_dum highact institution cont_dum multi atopally idealpointdistance ddyad demo_t demo_s  lngdp_t lnpop_t coldwar us_dum y1[iweight=cem_weights], robust //5% okay

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-268.54194}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-234.58653}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-232.02242}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-231.74737}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-231.70311}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-231.69717}  
Iteration 6:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-231.69603}  
Iteration 7:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -231.6958}  
Iteration 8:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-231.69575}  
Iteration 9:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-231.69574}  
{res}
{txt}Probit regression{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       488
{txt}{col 49}Wald chi2({res}16{txt}){col 67}= {res}   1174.88
{txt}{col 49}Prob > chi2{col 67}= {res}    0.0000
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-231.69574{txt}{col 49}Pseudo R2{col 67}= {res}    0.1372

{txt}{hline 19}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 20}{c |}{col 32}    Robust
{col 1}     threatoutcome{col 20}{c |}      Coef.{col 32}   Std. Err.{col 44}      z{col 52}   P>|z|{col 60}     [95% Con{col 73}f. Interval]
{hline 19}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 10}carrot_1 {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}  .897741{col 32}{space 2}  .404276{col 43}{space 1}    2.22{col 52}{space 3}0.026{col 60}{space 4} .1053746{col 73}{space 3} 1.690107
{txt}{space 9}issue_dum {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.4393191{col 32}{space 2}  .596055{col 43}{space 1}   -0.74{col 52}{space 3}0.461{col 60}{space 4}-1.607565{col 73}{space 3} .7289272
{txt}{space 11}highact {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}  .014447{col 32}{space 2} .0216639{col 43}{space 1}    0.67{col 52}{space 3}0.505{col 60}{space 4}-.0280135{col 73}{space 3} .0569076
{txt}{space 7}institution {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .2430065{col 32}{space 2} .3214848{col 43}{space 1}    0.76{col 52}{space 3}0.450{col 60}{space 4}-.3870922{col 73}{space 3} .8731052
{txt}{space 10}cont_dum {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.3721165{col 32}{space 2} .3269055{col 43}{space 1}   -1.14{col 52}{space 3}0.255{col 60}{space 4} -1.01284{col 73}{space 3} .2686066
{txt}{space 13}multi {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .0664573{col 32}{space 2} .3198272{col 43}{space 1}    0.21{col 52}{space 3}0.835{col 60}{space 4}-.5603925{col 73}{space 3} .6933071
{txt}{space 10}atopally {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .1255498{col 32}{space 2} .2623783{col 43}{space 1}    0.48{col 52}{space 3}0.632{col 60}{space 4}-.3887023{col 73}{space 3} .6398019
{txt}idealpointdistance {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.0448376{col 32}{space 2}  .117279{col 43}{space 1}   -0.38{col 52}{space 3}0.702{col 60}{space 4}-.2747002{col 73}{space 3}  .185025
{txt}{space 13}ddyad {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-4.752709{col 32}{space 2} .4597033{col 43}{space 1}  -10.34{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4} -5.65371{col 73}{space 3}-3.851707
{txt}{space 12}demo_t {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 4.648853{col 32}{space 2} .4501363{col 43}{space 1}   10.33{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4} 3.766602{col 73}{space 3} 5.531103
{txt}{space 12}demo_s {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 4.337104{col 32}{space 2} .3549029{col 43}{space 1}   12.22{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4} 3.641507{col 73}{space 3} 5.032701
{txt}{space 11}lngdp_t {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .0924666{col 32}{space 2} .0920826{col 43}{space 1}    1.00{col 52}{space 3}0.315{col 60}{space 4} -.088012{col 73}{space 3} .2729453
{txt}{space 11}lnpop_t {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .0753299{col 32}{space 2} .1061033{col 43}{space 1}    0.71{col 52}{space 3}0.478{col 60}{space 4}-.1326286{col 73}{space 3} .2832885
{txt}{space 11}coldwar {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.4239009{col 32}{space 2} .2086048{col 43}{space 1}   -2.03{col 52}{space 3}0.042{col 60}{space 4}-.8327589{col 73}{space 3} -.015043
{txt}{space 12}us_dum {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .6707507{col 32}{space 2} .2927526{col 43}{space 1}    2.29{col 52}{space 3}0.022{col 60}{space 4} .0969661{col 73}{space 3} 1.244535
{txt}{space 16}y1 {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .0083069{col 32}{space 2} .0613541{col 43}{space 1}    0.14{col 52}{space 3}0.892{col 60}{space 4}-.1119448{col 73}{space 3} .1285586
{txt}{space 13}_cons {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-8.482167{col 32}{space 2} 1.627428{col 43}{space 1}   -5.21{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4}-11.67187{col 73}{space 3}-5.292467
{txt}{hline 19}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{p 0 6 2}Note: 2 failures and 0 successes completely determined.{p_end}

{com}. margins, dydx(carrot_1)  force
{res}
{txt}Average marginal effects{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       488
{txt}Model VCE{col 14}: {res}Robust

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:Expression}:{space 1}{res:Pr(threatoutcome), predict()}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:dy/dx w.r.t.}:{space 1}{res:carrot_1}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{res}{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}{col 26} Delta-method
{col 14}{c |}      dy/dx{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 4}carrot_1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .2433478{col 26}{space 2} .1089374{col 37}{space 1}    2.23{col 46}{space 3}0.025{col 54}{space 4} .0298344{col 67}{space 3} .4568611
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}{txt}
{com}. **Imposition stage 
. probit impositionoutcome carrotonlyimposition issue_dum highact institution cont_dum multi atopally idealpointdistance ddyad demo_t demo_s  lngdp_t lnpop_t coldwar us_dum g1, robust //5%

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-173.71155}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -145.3578}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-144.83168}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-144.83083}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-144.83083}  
{res}
{txt}Probit regression{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       252
{txt}{col 49}Wald chi2({res}16{txt}){col 67}= {res}     56.24
{txt}{col 49}Prob > chi2{col 67}= {res}    0.0000
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-144.83083{txt}{col 49}Pseudo R2{col 67}= {res}    0.1663

{txt}{hline 21}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 22}{c |}{col 34}    Robust
{col 1}   impositionoutcome{col 22}{c |}      Coef.{col 34}   Std. Err.{col 46}      z{col 54}   P>|z|{col 62}     [95% Con{col 75}f. Interval]
{hline 21}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
carrotonlyimposition {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-1.165181{col 34}{space 2} .4329152{col 45}{space 1}   -2.69{col 54}{space 3}0.007{col 62}{space 4}-2.013679{col 75}{space 3}-.3166827
{txt}{space 11}issue_dum {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.5473039{col 34}{space 2} .2983694{col 45}{space 1}   -1.83{col 54}{space 3}0.067{col 62}{space 4}-1.132097{col 75}{space 3} .0374893
{txt}{space 13}highact {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  .021129{col 34}{space 2} .0182984{col 45}{space 1}    1.15{col 54}{space 3}0.248{col 62}{space 4}-.0147353{col 75}{space 3} .0569932
{txt}{space 9}institution {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1.060576{col 34}{space 2} .3891081{col 45}{space 1}    2.73{col 54}{space 3}0.006{col 62}{space 4} .2979379{col 75}{space 3} 1.823213
{txt}{space 12}cont_dum {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .5310002{col 34}{space 2} .3020369{col 45}{space 1}    1.76{col 54}{space 3}0.079{col 62}{space 4}-.0609812{col 75}{space 3} 1.122982
{txt}{space 15}multi {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .6274518{col 34}{space 2}  .327249{col 45}{space 1}    1.92{col 54}{space 3}0.055{col 62}{space 4}-.0139444{col 75}{space 3} 1.268848
{txt}{space 12}atopally {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .1520182{col 34}{space 2} .2309479{col 45}{space 1}    0.66{col 54}{space 3}0.510{col 62}{space 4}-.3006313{col 75}{space 3} .6046677
{txt}{space 2}idealpointdistance {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.0869579{col 34}{space 2} .1005399{col 45}{space 1}   -0.86{col 54}{space 3}0.387{col 62}{space 4}-.2840124{col 75}{space 3} .1100967
{txt}{space 15}ddyad {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.9342814{col 34}{space 2} .5482625{col 45}{space 1}   -1.70{col 54}{space 3}0.088{col 62}{space 4}-2.008856{col 75}{space 3} .1402934
{txt}{space 14}demo_t {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .1002582{col 34}{space 2} .5388086{col 45}{space 1}    0.19{col 54}{space 3}0.852{col 62}{space 4}-.9557872{col 75}{space 3} 1.156304
{txt}{space 14}demo_s {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .3309402{col 34}{space 2} .4113274{col 45}{space 1}    0.80{col 54}{space 3}0.421{col 62}{space 4}-.4752466{col 75}{space 3} 1.137127
{txt}{space 13}lngdp_t {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .0179377{col 34}{space 2} .0906139{col 45}{space 1}    0.20{col 54}{space 3}0.843{col 62}{space 4}-.1596624{col 75}{space 3} .1955377
{txt}{space 13}lnpop_t {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.0166325{col 34}{space 2} .1075455{col 45}{space 1}   -0.15{col 54}{space 3}0.877{col 62}{space 4}-.2274179{col 75}{space 3} .1941528
{txt}{space 13}coldwar {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.2065729{col 34}{space 2} .1903451{col 45}{space 1}   -1.09{col 54}{space 3}0.278{col 62}{space 4}-.5796425{col 75}{space 3} .1664966
{txt}{space 14}us_dum {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .2359632{col 34}{space 2} .2673743{col 45}{space 1}    0.88{col 54}{space 3}0.377{col 62}{space 4}-.2880809{col 75}{space 3} .7600073
{txt}{space 18}g1 {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.0289547{col 34}{space 2} .0295509{col 45}{space 1}   -0.98{col 54}{space 3}0.327{col 62}{space 4}-.0868734{col 75}{space 3} .0289641
{txt}{space 15}_cons {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.2354707{col 34}{space 2} 1.497757{col 45}{space 1}   -0.16{col 54}{space 3}0.875{col 62}{space 4} -3.17102{col 75}{space 3} 2.700079
{txt}{hline 21}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. margins, dydx(carrotonlyimposition)  force
{res}
{txt}Average marginal effects{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       252
{txt}Model VCE{col 14}: {res}Robust

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:Expression}:{space 1}{res:Pr(impositionoutcome), predict()}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:dy/dx w.r.t.}:{space 1}{res:carrotonlyimposition}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{res}{txt}{hline 21}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 22}{c |}{col 34} Delta-method
{col 22}{c |}      dy/dx{col 34}   Std. Err.{col 46}      z{col 54}   P>|z|{col 62}     [95% Con{col 75}f. Interval]
{hline 21}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
carrotonlyimposition {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.3798386{col 34}{space 2} .1379982{col 45}{space 1}   -2.75{col 54}{space 3}0.006{col 62}{space 4}-.6503102{col 75}{space 3} -.109367
{txt}{hline 21}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}{txt}
{com}. cem issue_dum(#0) highact(1.5 12.5 17.5 22.5) institution(#0) ddyad(#0), treatment (carrotonlyimposition) showbreak 
{res}{txt}Cutpoints:
issue_dum:{res} (user) 
  0
highact:{res} (user) 
       {txt}   1
    {c TLC}{hline 8}{c TRC}
  1 {c |}  {res} 1.5{txt}  {c |}
  2 {c |}  {res}12.5{txt}  {c |}
  3 {c |}  {res}17.5{txt}  {c |}
  4 {c |}  {res}22.5{txt}  {c |}
    {c BLC}{hline 8}{c BRC}
institution:{res} (user) 
  0
ddyad:{res} (user) 
  0

{txt}Matching Summary:
-----------------
Number of strata: {res}38
{txt}Number of matched strata: {res}16

           {txt}   0     1
      All  {res}1409    33
{txt}  Matched  {res}1268    33
{txt}Unmatched  {res} 141     0


{txt}Multivariate L1 distance: {res}.1189256

{txt}Univariate imbalance:

                   L1      mean       min       25%       50%       75%       max
  issue_dum  {res} 3.8e-15  -4.0e-15         0         0         0         0         0
{txt}    highact  {res}  .10756    .15537         0         0         0         1        -3
{txt}institution  {res} 5.9e-15  -7.6e-15         0         0         0         0         0
{txt}      ddyad  {res} 7.1e-15  -2.7e-15         0         0         0         .         .
{txt}
{com}. probit impositionoutcome carrotonlyimposition issue_dum highact institution cont_dum multi atopally idealpointdistance ddyad demo_t demo_s  lngdp_t lnpop_t coldwar us_dum g1[iweight=cem_weights], robust //5%

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-155.31579}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -104.2225}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-100.73549}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-100.60972}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-100.60932}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-100.60932}  
{res}
{txt}Probit regression{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       233
{txt}{col 49}Wald chi2({res}16{txt}){col 67}= {res}     69.93
{txt}{col 49}Prob > chi2{col 67}= {res}    0.0000
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-100.60932{txt}{col 49}Pseudo R2{col 67}= {res}    0.3522

{txt}{hline 21}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 22}{c |}{col 34}    Robust
{col 1}   impositionoutcome{col 22}{c |}      Coef.{col 34}   Std. Err.{col 46}      z{col 54}   P>|z|{col 62}     [95% Con{col 75}f. Interval]
{hline 21}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
carrotonlyimposition {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-1.821272{col 34}{space 2} .6110955{col 45}{space 1}   -2.98{col 54}{space 3}0.003{col 62}{space 4}-3.018997{col 75}{space 3}-.6235465
{txt}{space 11}issue_dum {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.3274156{col 34}{space 2} .3690476{col 45}{space 1}   -0.89{col 54}{space 3}0.375{col 62}{space 4}-1.050736{col 75}{space 3} .3959044
{txt}{space 13}highact {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .1112858{col 34}{space 2} .0326813{col 45}{space 1}    3.41{col 54}{space 3}0.001{col 62}{space 4} .0472317{col 75}{space 3} .1753399
{txt}{space 9}institution {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1.727395{col 34}{space 2} .5682146{col 45}{space 1}    3.04{col 54}{space 3}0.002{col 62}{space 4} .6137153{col 75}{space 3} 2.841075
{txt}{space 12}cont_dum {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .6218337{col 34}{space 2} .3611677{col 45}{space 1}    1.72{col 54}{space 3}0.085{col 62}{space 4} -.086042{col 75}{space 3} 1.329709
{txt}{space 15}multi {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .6841297{col 34}{space 2} .4775574{col 45}{space 1}    1.43{col 54}{space 3}0.152{col 62}{space 4}-.2518655{col 75}{space 3} 1.620125
{txt}{space 12}atopally {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .5158336{col 34}{space 2} .3393896{col 45}{space 1}    1.52{col 54}{space 3}0.129{col 62}{space 4}-.1493579{col 75}{space 3} 1.181025
{txt}{space 2}idealpointdistance {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .0092502{col 34}{space 2}   .13864{col 45}{space 1}    0.07{col 54}{space 3}0.947{col 62}{space 4}-.2624792{col 75}{space 3} .2809797
{txt}{space 15}ddyad {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-1.069989{col 34}{space 2} .7121612{col 45}{space 1}   -1.50{col 54}{space 3}0.133{col 62}{space 4}-2.465799{col 75}{space 3}  .325821
{txt}{space 14}demo_t {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .4585604{col 34}{space 2} .7296744{col 45}{space 1}    0.63{col 54}{space 3}0.530{col 62}{space 4}-.9715752{col 75}{space 3} 1.888696
{txt}{space 14}demo_s {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .2078252{col 34}{space 2} .5329043{col 45}{space 1}    0.39{col 54}{space 3}0.697{col 62}{space 4} -.836648{col 75}{space 3} 1.252298
{txt}{space 13}lngdp_t {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.0427109{col 34}{space 2} .1393497{col 45}{space 1}   -0.31{col 54}{space 3}0.759{col 62}{space 4}-.3158313{col 75}{space 3} .2304094
{txt}{space 13}lnpop_t {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .0081164{col 34}{space 2} .1868042{col 45}{space 1}    0.04{col 54}{space 3}0.965{col 62}{space 4}-.3580131{col 75}{space 3} .3742459
{txt}{space 13}coldwar {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} -.757905{col 34}{space 2} .2617456{col 45}{space 1}   -2.90{col 54}{space 3}0.004{col 62}{space 4}-1.270917{col 75}{space 3} -.244893
{txt}{space 14}us_dum {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .2053748{col 34}{space 2}  .391027{col 45}{space 1}    0.53{col 54}{space 3}0.599{col 62}{space 4}-.5610241{col 75}{space 3} .9717738
{txt}{space 18}g1 {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}   .01382{col 34}{space 2} .0414913{col 45}{space 1}    0.33{col 54}{space 3}0.739{col 62}{space 4}-.0675015{col 75}{space 3} .0951415
{txt}{space 15}_cons {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .6654893{col 34}{space 2}  1.96132{col 45}{space 1}    0.34{col 54}{space 3}0.734{col 62}{space 4}-3.178627{col 75}{space 3} 4.509605
{txt}{hline 21}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. margins, dydx(carrotonlyimposition)  force
{res}
{txt}Average marginal effects{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       233
{txt}Model VCE{col 14}: {res}Robust

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:Expression}:{space 1}{res:Pr(impositionoutcome), predict()}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:dy/dx w.r.t.}:{space 1}{res:carrotonlyimposition}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{res}{txt}{hline 21}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 22}{c |}{col 34} Delta-method
{col 22}{c |}      dy/dx{col 34}   Std. Err.{col 46}      z{col 54}   P>|z|{col 62}     [95% Con{col 75}f. Interval]
{hline 21}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
carrotonlyimposition {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.4417418{col 34}{space 2} .1431516{col 45}{space 1}   -3.09{col 54}{space 3}0.002{col 62}{space 4}-.7223138{col 75}{space 3}-.1611698
{txt}{hline 21}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}{txt}
{com}. 
. *Table A3
. **Threat stage
. imb issue_dum highact institution ddyad y1, treatment (carrot_1)
{res}
{txt}Multivariate L1 distance: {res}.61279419

{txt}Univariate imbalance:

                  L1     mean      min      25%      50%      75%      max
  issue_dum  {res} .03545   .03545        0        0        0        0        0
{txt}    highact  {res} .10394   .30709        0        0        0        0       -3
{txt}institution  {res} .22124   .22124        0        0        0        1        0
{txt}      ddyad  {res} .27409  -.27409        0        0        0       -1        0
{txt}         y1  {res} .23438   .66324        0        0        0        2       -5
{txt}
{com}. cem issue_dum(#0) highact(1.5 12.5 17.5 22.5) institution(#0) ddyad(#0) y1(#5), treatment (carrot_1) showbreaks 
{txt}(using the scott break method for imbalance)
{res}{txt}Cutpoints:
issue_dum:{res} (user) 
  0
highact:{res} (user) 
       {txt}   1
    {c TLC}{hline 8}{c TRC}
  1 {c |}  {res} 1.5{txt}  {c |}
  2 {c |}  {res}12.5{txt}  {c |}
  3 {c |}  {res}17.5{txt}  {c |}
  4 {c |}  {res}22.5{txt}  {c |}
    {c BLC}{hline 8}{c BRC}
institution:{res} (user) 
  0
ddyad:{res} (user) 
  0
y1:{res} (user) 
       {txt}    1
    {c TLC}{hline 9}{c TRC}
  1 {c |}  {res}    0{txt}  {c |}
  2 {c |}  {res} 4.25{txt}  {c |}
  3 {c |}  {res}  8.5{txt}  {c |}
  4 {c |}  {res}12.75{txt}  {c |}
  5 {c |}  {res}   17{txt}  {c |}
    {c BLC}{hline 9}{c BRC}

Matching Summary:
-----------------
Number of strata: {res}67
{txt}Number of matched strata: {res}13

           {txt}   0     1
      All  {res}1411    31
{txt}  Matched  {res}1080    30
{txt}Unmatched  {res} 331     1


{txt}Multivariate L1 distance: {res}.3668946

{txt}Univariate imbalance:

                  L1     mean      min      25%      50%      75%      max
  issue_dum  {res}4.6e-16  1.4e-16        0        0        0        0        0
{txt}    highact  {res} .11051  -.08458        0        0        0        0       -3
{txt}institution  {res}1.6e-15  2.0e-15        0        0       -1        0        0
{txt}      ddyad  {res}6.5e-16  6.5e-16        0        0        0        0        .
{txt}         y1  {res} .14174   .43995        0        0        0        1        .
{txt}
{com}. **Imposition stage
. imb issue_dum highact institution ddyad g1, treatment (carrotonlyimposition)
{txt}(using the scott break method for L1 distance)
{res}
{txt}Multivariate L1 distance: {res}.61686659

{txt}Univariate imbalance:

                  L1     mean      min      25%      50%      75%      max
  issue_dum  {res} .18902   .18902        0        0        0        1        0
{txt}    highact  {res} .17375   2.4173        0        0        0        8       -3
{txt}institution  {res} .16539   .16539        0        0        0        1        0
{txt}      ddyad  {res} .17339  -.17339        0        0        0       -1        0
{txt}         g1  {res} .23846   2.7128        0        1        2        3      -14
{txt}
{com}. cem issue_dum(#0) highact(1.5 12.5 17.5 22.5) institution(#0) ddyad(#0) g1(#10), treatment (carrotonlyimposition) showbreak 
{txt}(using the scott break method for imbalance)
{res}{txt}Cutpoints:
issue_dum:{res} (user) 
  0
highact:{res} (user) 
       {txt}   1
    {c TLC}{hline 8}{c TRC}
  1 {c |}  {res} 1.5{txt}  {c |}
  2 {c |}  {res}12.5{txt}  {c |}
  3 {c |}  {res}17.5{txt}  {c |}
  4 {c |}  {res}22.5{txt}  {c |}
    {c BLC}{hline 8}{c BRC}
institution:{res} (user) 
  0
ddyad:{res} (user) 
  0
g1:{res} (user) 
        {txt}          1
     {c TLC}{hline 15}{c TRC}
   1 {c |}  {res}          0{txt}  {c |}
   2 {c |}  {res}5.222222222{txt}  {c |}
   3 {c |}  {res}10.44444444{txt}  {c |}
   4 {c |}  {res}15.66666667{txt}  {c |}
   5 {c |}  {res}20.88888889{txt}  {c |}
   6 {c |}  {res}26.11111111{txt}  {c |}
   7 {c |}  {res}31.33333333{txt}  {c |}
   8 {c |}  {res}36.55555556{txt}  {c |}
   9 {c |}  {res}41.77777778{txt}  {c |}
  10 {c |}  {res}         47{txt}  {c |}
     {c BLC}{hline 15}{c BRC}

Matching Summary:
-----------------
Number of strata: {res}96
{txt}Number of matched strata: {res}19

           {txt}   0     1
      All  {res}1409    33
{txt}  Matched  {res} 698    29
{txt}Unmatched  {res} 711     4


{txt}Multivariate L1 distance: {res}.51028473

{txt}Univariate imbalance:

                  L1     mean      min      25%      50%      75%      max
  issue_dum  {res}1.4e-15  1.0e-15        0        0        0        0        0
{txt}    highact  {res} .18621  -.02586        0        0        0        1       -3
{txt}institution  {res}3.8e-15  2.4e-15        0        0        0        0        0
{txt}      ddyad  {res}3.0e-15  4.4e-16        0        0        0        0        .
{txt}         g1  {res} .12486   .19585        0        0        1        0        .
{txt}
{com}. 
. *Table A4
. est clear
{txt}
{com}. cem issue_dum(#0) highact(1.5 12.5 17.5 22.5) institution(#0) ddyad(#0) y1(#5), treatment (carrot_1) showbreaks 
{res}{txt}Cutpoints:
issue_dum:{res} (user) 
  0
highact:{res} (user) 
       {txt}   1
    {c TLC}{hline 8}{c TRC}
  1 {c |}  {res} 1.5{txt}  {c |}
  2 {c |}  {res}12.5{txt}  {c |}
  3 {c |}  {res}17.5{txt}  {c |}
  4 {c |}  {res}22.5{txt}  {c |}
    {c BLC}{hline 8}{c BRC}
institution:{res} (user) 
  0
ddyad:{res} (user) 
  0
y1:{res} (user) 
       {txt}    1
    {c TLC}{hline 9}{c TRC}
  1 {c |}  {res}    0{txt}  {c |}
  2 {c |}  {res} 4.25{txt}  {c |}
  3 {c |}  {res}  8.5{txt}  {c |}
  4 {c |}  {res}12.75{txt}  {c |}
  5 {c |}  {res}   17{txt}  {c |}
    {c BLC}{hline 9}{c BRC}

Matching Summary:
-----------------
Number of strata: {res}67
{txt}Number of matched strata: {res}13

           {txt}   0     1
      All  {res}1411    31
{txt}  Matched  {res}1080    30
{txt}Unmatched  {res} 331     1


{txt}Multivariate L1 distance: {res}.3668946

{txt}Univariate imbalance:

                  L1     mean      min      25%      50%      75%      max
  issue_dum  {res}4.6e-16  1.4e-16        0        0        0        0        0
{txt}    highact  {res} .11051  -.08458        0        0        0        0       -3
{txt}institution  {res}1.6e-15  2.0e-15        0        0       -1        0        0
{txt}      ddyad  {res}6.5e-16  6.5e-16        0        0        0        0        .
{txt}         y1  {res} .14174   .43995        0        0        0        1        .
{txt}
{com}. eststo: probit threatoutcome i.carrot_1##c.y1 issue_dum highact institution cont_dum multi atopally idealpointdistance ddyad demo_t demo_s  lngdp_t lnpop_t coldwar us_dum [iweight=cem_weights], robust //5% okay

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-219.51076}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -177.3653}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-175.02391}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-174.67426}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-174.62026}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-174.61186}  
Iteration 6:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-174.61075}  
Iteration 7:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-174.61054}  
Iteration 8:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-174.61049}  
Iteration 9:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-174.61048}  
{res}
{txt}Probit regression{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       443
{txt}{col 49}Wald chi2({res}17{txt}){col 67}= {res}    879.38
{txt}{col 49}Prob > chi2{col 67}= {res}    0.0000
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-174.61048{txt}{col 49}Pseudo R2{col 67}= {res}    0.2045

{txt}{hline 19}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 20}{c |}{col 32}    Robust
{col 1}     threatoutcome{col 20}{c |}      Coef.{col 32}   Std. Err.{col 44}      z{col 52}   P>|z|{col 60}     [95% Con{col 73}f. Interval]
{hline 19}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 8}1.carrot_1 {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 1.443302{col 32}{space 2} .5697021{col 43}{space 1}    2.53{col 52}{space 3}0.011{col 60}{space 4} .3267063{col 73}{space 3} 2.559897
{txt}{space 16}y1 {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .5012723{col 32}{space 2} .1115583{col 43}{space 1}    4.49{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4} .2826221{col 73}{space 3} .7199225
{txt}{space 18} {c |}
{space 5}carrot_1#c.y1 {c |}
{space 16}1  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.9338146{col 32}{space 2} .2584779{col 43}{space 1}   -3.61{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4}-1.440422{col 73}{space 3}-.4272073
{txt}{space 18} {c |}
{space 9}issue_dum {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.1959167{col 32}{space 2} .6821748{col 43}{space 1}   -0.29{col 52}{space 3}0.774{col 60}{space 4}-1.532955{col 73}{space 3} 1.141121
{txt}{space 11}highact {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .0287481{col 32}{space 2} .0325803{col 43}{space 1}    0.88{col 52}{space 3}0.378{col 60}{space 4}-.0351082{col 73}{space 3} .0926044
{txt}{space 7}institution {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.2608434{col 32}{space 2} .3134317{col 43}{space 1}   -0.83{col 52}{space 3}0.405{col 60}{space 4}-.8751583{col 73}{space 3} .3534714
{txt}{space 10}cont_dum {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.3050574{col 32}{space 2}  .377827{col 43}{space 1}   -0.81{col 52}{space 3}0.419{col 60}{space 4}-1.045585{col 73}{space 3}   .43547
{txt}{space 13}multi {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}  .703431{col 32}{space 2} .3172162{col 43}{space 1}    2.22{col 52}{space 3}0.027{col 60}{space 4} .0816987{col 73}{space 3} 1.325163
{txt}{space 10}atopally {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.0791028{col 32}{space 2} .2686393{col 43}{space 1}   -0.29{col 52}{space 3}0.768{col 60}{space 4} -.605626{col 73}{space 3} .4474205
{txt}idealpointdistance {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.1344953{col 32}{space 2} .1208146{col 43}{space 1}   -1.11{col 52}{space 3}0.266{col 60}{space 4}-.3712876{col 73}{space 3}  .102297
{txt}{space 13}ddyad {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-5.231678{col 32}{space 2} .5225631{col 43}{space 1}  -10.01{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4}-6.255883{col 73}{space 3}-4.207473
{txt}{space 12}demo_t {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 4.839347{col 32}{space 2} .5480658{col 43}{space 1}    8.83{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4} 3.765157{col 73}{space 3} 5.913536
{txt}{space 12}demo_s {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 4.600123{col 32}{space 2} .3961147{col 43}{space 1}   11.61{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4} 3.823752{col 73}{space 3} 5.376494
{txt}{space 11}lngdp_t {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .1889634{col 32}{space 2} .1019332{col 43}{space 1}    1.85{col 52}{space 3}0.064{col 60}{space 4} -.010822{col 73}{space 3} .3887487
{txt}{space 11}lnpop_t {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .0028289{col 32}{space 2} .1114032{col 43}{space 1}    0.03{col 52}{space 3}0.980{col 60}{space 4}-.2155174{col 73}{space 3} .2211753
{txt}{space 11}coldwar {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.4714433{col 32}{space 2} .2183378{col 43}{space 1}   -2.16{col 52}{space 3}0.031{col 60}{space 4}-.8993776{col 73}{space 3}-.0435091
{txt}{space 12}us_dum {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .8550182{col 32}{space 2}  .346886{col 43}{space 1}    2.46{col 52}{space 3}0.014{col 60}{space 4} .1751342{col 73}{space 3} 1.534902
{txt}{space 13}_cons {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-10.50451{col 32}{space 2} 1.802255{col 43}{space 1}   -5.83{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4}-14.03687{col 73}{space 3} -6.97216
{txt}{hline 19}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{p 0 6 2}Note: 11 failures and 0 successes completely determined.{p_end}
({res}est1{txt} stored)

{com}. cem issue_dum(#0) highact(1.5 12.5 17.5 22.5) institution(#0) ddyad(#0) g1(#10), treatment (carrotonlyimposition) showbreak 
{res}{txt}Cutpoints:
issue_dum:{res} (user) 
  0
highact:{res} (user) 
       {txt}   1
    {c TLC}{hline 8}{c TRC}
  1 {c |}  {res} 1.5{txt}  {c |}
  2 {c |}  {res}12.5{txt}  {c |}
  3 {c |}  {res}17.5{txt}  {c |}
  4 {c |}  {res}22.5{txt}  {c |}
    {c BLC}{hline 8}{c BRC}
institution:{res} (user) 
  0
ddyad:{res} (user) 
  0
g1:{res} (user) 
        {txt}          1
     {c TLC}{hline 15}{c TRC}
   1 {c |}  {res}          0{txt}  {c |}
   2 {c |}  {res}5.222222222{txt}  {c |}
   3 {c |}  {res}10.44444444{txt}  {c |}
   4 {c |}  {res}15.66666667{txt}  {c |}
   5 {c |}  {res}20.88888889{txt}  {c |}
   6 {c |}  {res}26.11111111{txt}  {c |}
   7 {c |}  {res}31.33333333{txt}  {c |}
   8 {c |}  {res}36.55555556{txt}  {c |}
   9 {c |}  {res}41.77777778{txt}  {c |}
  10 {c |}  {res}         47{txt}  {c |}
     {c BLC}{hline 15}{c BRC}

Matching Summary:
-----------------
Number of strata: {res}96
{txt}Number of matched strata: {res}19

           {txt}   0     1
      All  {res}1409    33
{txt}  Matched  {res} 698    29
{txt}Unmatched  {res} 711     4


{txt}Multivariate L1 distance: {res}.51028473

{txt}Univariate imbalance:

                  L1     mean      min      25%      50%      75%      max
  issue_dum  {res}1.4e-15  1.0e-15        0        0        0        0        0
{txt}    highact  {res} .18621  -.02586        0        0        0        1       -3
{txt}institution  {res}3.8e-15  2.4e-15        0        0        0        0        0
{txt}      ddyad  {res}3.0e-15  4.4e-16        0        0        0        0        .
{txt}         g1  {res} .12486   .19585        0        0        1        0        .
{txt}
{com}. eststo: probit impositionoutcome i.carrotonlyimposition##c.g1 issue_dum highact institution cont_dum multi atopally idealpointdistance ddyad demo_t demo_s  lngdp_t lnpop_t coldwar us_dum [iweight=cem_weights], robust //5%

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -193.7231}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-131.07246}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-125.14709}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-124.17751}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-123.87279}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-123.56794}  
Iteration 6:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-123.52709}  
Iteration 7:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -123.5197}  
Iteration 8:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-123.51759}  
Iteration 9:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-123.51691}  
Iteration 10:{space 2}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-123.51678}  
Iteration 11:{space 2}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-123.51675}  
Iteration 12:{space 2}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-123.51675}  
{res}
{txt}Probit regression{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       207
{txt}{col 49}Wald chi2({res}17{txt}){col 67}= {res}   1923.90
{txt}{col 49}Prob > chi2{col 67}= {res}    0.0000
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-123.51675{txt}{col 49}Pseudo R2{col 67}= {res}    0.3624

{txt}{hline 26}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 27}{c |}{col 39}    Robust
{col 1}        impositionoutcome{col 27}{c |}      Coef.{col 39}   Std. Err.{col 51}      z{col 59}   P>|z|{col 67}     [95% Con{col 80}f. Interval]
{hline 26}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 3}1.carrotonlyimposition {c |}{col 27}{res}{space 2}-39.53422{col 39}{space 2} 3.531659{col 50}{space 1}  -11.19{col 59}{space 3}0.000{col 67}{space 4}-46.45615{col 80}{space 3} -32.6123
{txt}{space 23}g1 {c |}{col 27}{res}{space 2} .0863497{col 39}{space 2} .0437593{col 50}{space 1}    1.97{col 59}{space 3}0.048{col 67}{space 4}  .000583{col 80}{space 3} .1721164
{txt}{space 25} {c |}
carrotonlyimposition#c.g1 {c |}
{space 23}1  {c |}{col 27}{res}{space 2} 6.735721{col 39}{space 2} .7096628{col 50}{space 1}    9.49{col 59}{space 3}0.000{col 67}{space 4} 5.344808{col 80}{space 3} 8.126635
{txt}{space 25} {c |}
{space 16}issue_dum {c |}{col 27}{res}{space 2} .0720637{col 39}{space 2} .4843612{col 50}{space 1}    0.15{col 59}{space 3}0.882{col 67}{space 4}-.8772668{col 80}{space 3} 1.021394
{txt}{space 18}highact {c |}{col 27}{res}{space 2} .1433019{col 39}{space 2} .0343031{col 50}{space 1}    4.18{col 59}{space 3}0.000{col 67}{space 4} .0760691{col 80}{space 3} .2105348
{txt}{space 14}institution {c |}{col 27}{res}{space 2}   28.321{col 39}{space 2} 2.791208{col 50}{space 1}   10.15{col 59}{space 3}0.000{col 67}{space 4} 22.85033{col 80}{space 3} 33.79167
{txt}{space 17}cont_dum {c |}{col 27}{res}{space 2} .5753776{col 39}{space 2} .4131953{col 50}{space 1}    1.39{col 59}{space 3}0.164{col 67}{space 4}-.2344702{col 80}{space 3} 1.385225
{txt}{space 20}multi {c |}{col 27}{res}{space 2} .4438355{col 39}{space 2} .6171224{col 50}{space 1}    0.72{col 59}{space 3}0.472{col 67}{space 4}-.7657023{col 80}{space 3} 1.653373
{txt}{space 17}atopally {c |}{col 27}{res}{space 2} .4868309{col 39}{space 2} .3949576{col 50}{space 1}    1.23{col 59}{space 3}0.218{col 67}{space 4}-.2872717{col 80}{space 3} 1.260934
{txt}{space 7}idealpointdistance {c |}{col 27}{res}{space 2} .1062879{col 39}{space 2}  .159179{col 50}{space 1}    0.67{col 59}{space 3}0.504{col 67}{space 4}-.2056972{col 80}{space 3} .4182731
{txt}{space 20}ddyad {c |}{col 27}{res}{space 2}-.6442119{col 39}{space 2} .9543561{col 50}{space 1}   -0.68{col 59}{space 3}0.500{col 67}{space 4}-2.514716{col 80}{space 3} 1.226292
{txt}{space 19}demo_t {c |}{col 27}{res}{space 2} .9292814{col 39}{space 2} .9465624{col 50}{space 1}    0.98{col 59}{space 3}0.326{col 67}{space 4}-.9259469{col 80}{space 3}  2.78451
{txt}{space 19}demo_s {c |}{col 27}{res}{space 2} .3169842{col 39}{space 2} .7789882{col 50}{space 1}    0.41{col 59}{space 3}0.684{col 67}{space 4}-1.209805{col 80}{space 3} 1.843773
{txt}{space 18}lngdp_t {c |}{col 27}{res}{space 2}-.0399575{col 39}{space 2} .1505184{col 50}{space 1}   -0.27{col 59}{space 3}0.791{col 67}{space 4}-.3349681{col 80}{space 3} .2550532
{txt}{space 18}lnpop_t {c |}{col 27}{res}{space 2} .0374319{col 39}{space 2} .1931587{col 50}{space 1}    0.19{col 59}{space 3}0.846{col 67}{space 4}-.3411522{col 80}{space 3}  .416016
{txt}{space 18}coldwar {c |}{col 27}{res}{space 2}-.1919134{col 39}{space 2} .3054018{col 50}{space 1}   -0.63{col 59}{space 3}0.530{col 67}{space 4}-.7904899{col 80}{space 3} .4066632
{txt}{space 19}us_dum {c |}{col 27}{res}{space 2}-.2766649{col 39}{space 2}  .427711{col 50}{space 1}   -0.65{col 59}{space 3}0.518{col 67}{space 4}-1.114963{col 80}{space 3} .5616331
{txt}{space 20}_cons {c |}{col 27}{res}{space 2}-.6774444{col 39}{space 2} 2.060264{col 50}{space 1}   -0.33{col 59}{space 3}0.742{col 67}{space 4}-4.715487{col 80}{space 3} 3.360598
{txt}{hline 26}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{p 0 6 2}Note: 5 failures and 21 successes completely determined.{p_end}
({res}est2{txt} stored)

{com}. esttab, starlevel(* 0.10 ** 0.05 *** 0.01) p compress nogap
{res}
{txt}{hline 36}
{txt}                 (1)          (2)   
{txt}           threato~e    imposit~e   
{txt}{hline 36}
{res}main                                {txt}
{txt}0.carrot_1{res}         0                {txt}
          {res} {ralign 9:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}                {txt}
{txt}1.carrot_1{res}     1.443**              {txt}
          {res} {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.011{txt:)}}                {txt}
{txt}y1        {res}     0.501***             {txt}
          {res} {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.000{txt:)}}                {txt}
{txt}0.carrot~1{res}         0                {txt}
          {res} {ralign 9:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}                {txt}
{txt}1.carrot~1{res}    -0.934***             {txt}
          {res} {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.000{txt:)}}                {txt}
{txt}issue_dum {res}    -0.196       0.0721   {txt}
          {res} {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.774{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.882{txt:)}}   {txt}
{txt}highact   {res}    0.0287        0.143***{txt}
          {res} {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.378{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.000{txt:)}}   {txt}
{txt}institut~n{res}    -0.261        28.32***{txt}
          {res} {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.405{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.000{txt:)}}   {txt}
{txt}cont_dum  {res}    -0.305        0.575   {txt}
          {res} {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.419{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.164{txt:)}}   {txt}
{txt}multi     {res}     0.703**      0.444   {txt}
          {res} {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.027{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.472{txt:)}}   {txt}
{txt}atopally  {res}   -0.0791        0.487   {txt}
          {res} {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.768{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.218{txt:)}}   {txt}
{txt}idealpoi~e{res}    -0.134        0.106   {txt}
          {res} {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.266{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.504{txt:)}}   {txt}
{txt}ddyad     {res}    -5.232***    -0.644   {txt}
          {res} {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.000{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.500{txt:)}}   {txt}
{txt}demo_t    {res}     4.839***     0.929   {txt}
          {res} {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.000{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.326{txt:)}}   {txt}
{txt}demo_s    {res}     4.600***     0.317   {txt}
          {res} {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.000{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.684{txt:)}}   {txt}
{txt}lngdp_t   {res}     0.189*     -0.0400   {txt}
          {res} {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.064{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.791{txt:)}}   {txt}
{txt}lnpop_t   {res}   0.00283       0.0374   {txt}
          {res} {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.980{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.846{txt:)}}   {txt}
{txt}coldwar   {res}    -0.471**     -0.192   {txt}
          {res} {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.031{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.530{txt:)}}   {txt}
{txt}us_dum    {res}     0.855**     -0.277   {txt}
          {res} {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.014{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.518{txt:)}}   {txt}
{txt}0.c~only~n{res}                      0   {txt}
          {res}              {ralign 9:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}
{txt}1.c~only~n{res}                 -39.53***{txt}
          {res}              {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.000{txt:)}}   {txt}
{txt}g1        {res}                 0.0863** {txt}
          {res}              {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.048{txt:)}}   {txt}
{txt}0.carrot~1{res}                      0   {txt}
          {res}              {ralign 9:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}
{txt}1.carrot~1{res}                  6.736***{txt}
          {res}              {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.000{txt:)}}   {txt}
{txt}_cons     {res}    -10.50***    -0.677   {txt}
          {res} {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.000{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.742{txt:)}}   {txt}
{txt}{hline 36}
{txt}N         {res}       443          207   {txt}
{txt}{hline 36}
{txt}p-values in parentheses
{txt}* p<0.10, ** p<0.05, *** p<0.01

{com}. 
. 
. *Table A5
. **Threat
. cem issue_dum(#0) highact(1.5 12.5 17.5 22.5) institution(#0) ddyad(#0) y1(#5), treatment (carrot_1) showbreaks 
{res}{txt}Cutpoints:
issue_dum:{res} (user) 
  0
highact:{res} (user) 
       {txt}   1
    {c TLC}{hline 8}{c TRC}
  1 {c |}  {res} 1.5{txt}  {c |}
  2 {c |}  {res}12.5{txt}  {c |}
  3 {c |}  {res}17.5{txt}  {c |}
  4 {c |}  {res}22.5{txt}  {c |}
    {c BLC}{hline 8}{c BRC}
institution:{res} (user) 
  0
ddyad:{res} (user) 
  0
y1:{res} (user) 
       {txt}    1
    {c TLC}{hline 9}{c TRC}
  1 {c |}  {res}    0{txt}  {c |}
  2 {c |}  {res} 4.25{txt}  {c |}
  3 {c |}  {res}  8.5{txt}  {c |}
  4 {c |}  {res}12.75{txt}  {c |}
  5 {c |}  {res}   17{txt}  {c |}
    {c BLC}{hline 9}{c BRC}

Matching Summary:
-----------------
Number of strata: {res}67
{txt}Number of matched strata: {res}13

           {txt}   0     1
      All  {res}1411    31
{txt}  Matched  {res}1080    30
{txt}Unmatched  {res} 331     1


{txt}Multivariate L1 distance: {res}.3668946

{txt}Univariate imbalance:

                  L1     mean      min      25%      50%      75%      max
  issue_dum  {res}4.6e-16  1.4e-16        0        0        0        0        0
{txt}    highact  {res} .11051  -.08458        0        0        0        0       -3
{txt}institution  {res}1.6e-15  2.0e-15        0        0       -1        0        0
{txt}      ddyad  {res}6.5e-16  6.5e-16        0        0        0        0        .
{txt}         y1  {res} .14174   .43995        0        0        0        1        .
{txt}
{com}. probit threatoutcome i.carrot_1##c.y1 issue_dum highact institution cont_dum multi atopally idealpointdistance ddyad demo_t demo_s  lngdp_t lnpop_t coldwar us_dum [iweight=cem_weights], robust //5% okay

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-219.51076}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -177.3653}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-175.02391}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-174.67426}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-174.62026}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-174.61186}  
Iteration 6:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-174.61075}  
Iteration 7:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-174.61054}  
Iteration 8:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-174.61049}  
Iteration 9:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-174.61048}  
{res}
{txt}Probit regression{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       443
{txt}{col 49}Wald chi2({res}17{txt}){col 67}= {res}    879.38
{txt}{col 49}Prob > chi2{col 67}= {res}    0.0000
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-174.61048{txt}{col 49}Pseudo R2{col 67}= {res}    0.2045

{txt}{hline 19}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 20}{c |}{col 32}    Robust
{col 1}     threatoutcome{col 20}{c |}      Coef.{col 32}   Std. Err.{col 44}      z{col 52}   P>|z|{col 60}     [95% Con{col 73}f. Interval]
{hline 19}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 8}1.carrot_1 {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 1.443302{col 32}{space 2} .5697021{col 43}{space 1}    2.53{col 52}{space 3}0.011{col 60}{space 4} .3267063{col 73}{space 3} 2.559897
{txt}{space 16}y1 {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .5012723{col 32}{space 2} .1115583{col 43}{space 1}    4.49{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4} .2826221{col 73}{space 3} .7199225
{txt}{space 18} {c |}
{space 5}carrot_1#c.y1 {c |}
{space 16}1  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.9338146{col 32}{space 2} .2584779{col 43}{space 1}   -3.61{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4}-1.440422{col 73}{space 3}-.4272073
{txt}{space 18} {c |}
{space 9}issue_dum {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.1959167{col 32}{space 2} .6821748{col 43}{space 1}   -0.29{col 52}{space 3}0.774{col 60}{space 4}-1.532955{col 73}{space 3} 1.141121
{txt}{space 11}highact {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .0287481{col 32}{space 2} .0325803{col 43}{space 1}    0.88{col 52}{space 3}0.378{col 60}{space 4}-.0351082{col 73}{space 3} .0926044
{txt}{space 7}institution {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.2608434{col 32}{space 2} .3134317{col 43}{space 1}   -0.83{col 52}{space 3}0.405{col 60}{space 4}-.8751583{col 73}{space 3} .3534714
{txt}{space 10}cont_dum {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.3050574{col 32}{space 2}  .377827{col 43}{space 1}   -0.81{col 52}{space 3}0.419{col 60}{space 4}-1.045585{col 73}{space 3}   .43547
{txt}{space 13}multi {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}  .703431{col 32}{space 2} .3172162{col 43}{space 1}    2.22{col 52}{space 3}0.027{col 60}{space 4} .0816987{col 73}{space 3} 1.325163
{txt}{space 10}atopally {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.0791028{col 32}{space 2} .2686393{col 43}{space 1}   -0.29{col 52}{space 3}0.768{col 60}{space 4} -.605626{col 73}{space 3} .4474205
{txt}idealpointdistance {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.1344953{col 32}{space 2} .1208146{col 43}{space 1}   -1.11{col 52}{space 3}0.266{col 60}{space 4}-.3712876{col 73}{space 3}  .102297
{txt}{space 13}ddyad {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-5.231678{col 32}{space 2} .5225631{col 43}{space 1}  -10.01{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4}-6.255883{col 73}{space 3}-4.207473
{txt}{space 12}demo_t {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 4.839347{col 32}{space 2} .5480658{col 43}{space 1}    8.83{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4} 3.765157{col 73}{space 3} 5.913536
{txt}{space 12}demo_s {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 4.600123{col 32}{space 2} .3961147{col 43}{space 1}   11.61{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4} 3.823752{col 73}{space 3} 5.376494
{txt}{space 11}lngdp_t {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .1889634{col 32}{space 2} .1019332{col 43}{space 1}    1.85{col 52}{space 3}0.064{col 60}{space 4} -.010822{col 73}{space 3} .3887487
{txt}{space 11}lnpop_t {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .0028289{col 32}{space 2} .1114032{col 43}{space 1}    0.03{col 52}{space 3}0.980{col 60}{space 4}-.2155174{col 73}{space 3} .2211753
{txt}{space 11}coldwar {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.4714433{col 32}{space 2} .2183378{col 43}{space 1}   -2.16{col 52}{space 3}0.031{col 60}{space 4}-.8993776{col 73}{space 3}-.0435091
{txt}{space 12}us_dum {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .8550182{col 32}{space 2}  .346886{col 43}{space 1}    2.46{col 52}{space 3}0.014{col 60}{space 4} .1751342{col 73}{space 3} 1.534902
{txt}{space 13}_cons {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-10.50451{col 32}{space 2} 1.802255{col 43}{space 1}   -5.83{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4}-14.03687{col 73}{space 3} -6.97216
{txt}{hline 19}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{p 0 6 2}Note: 11 failures and 0 successes completely determined.{p_end}

{com}. margins, dydx(carrot_1)  force
{res}
{txt}Average marginal effects{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       443
{txt}Model VCE{col 14}: {res}Robust

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:Expression}:{space 1}{res:Pr(threatoutcome), predict()}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:dy/dx w.r.t.}:{space 1}{res:1.carrot_1}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{res}{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}{col 26} Delta-method
{col 14}{c |}      dy/dx{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 2}1.carrot_1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .3060933{col 26}{space 2} .1477816{col 37}{space 1}    2.07{col 46}{space 3}0.038{col 54}{space 4} .0164468{col 67}{space 3} .5957399
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{p 0 6 0 78}Note: dy/dx for factor levels is the discrete change from the base level.{txt}{p_end}
{res}{txt}
{com}. **Imposition
. cem issue_dum(#0) highact(1.5 12.5 17.5 22.5) institution(#0) ddyad(#0) g1(#10), treatment (carrotonlyimposition) showbreak 
{res}{txt}Cutpoints:
issue_dum:{res} (user) 
  0
highact:{res} (user) 
       {txt}   1
    {c TLC}{hline 8}{c TRC}
  1 {c |}  {res} 1.5{txt}  {c |}
  2 {c |}  {res}12.5{txt}  {c |}
  3 {c |}  {res}17.5{txt}  {c |}
  4 {c |}  {res}22.5{txt}  {c |}
    {c BLC}{hline 8}{c BRC}
institution:{res} (user) 
  0
ddyad:{res} (user) 
  0
g1:{res} (user) 
        {txt}          1
     {c TLC}{hline 15}{c TRC}
   1 {c |}  {res}          0{txt}  {c |}
   2 {c |}  {res}5.222222222{txt}  {c |}
   3 {c |}  {res}10.44444444{txt}  {c |}
   4 {c |}  {res}15.66666667{txt}  {c |}
   5 {c |}  {res}20.88888889{txt}  {c |}
   6 {c |}  {res}26.11111111{txt}  {c |}
   7 {c |}  {res}31.33333333{txt}  {c |}
   8 {c |}  {res}36.55555556{txt}  {c |}
   9 {c |}  {res}41.77777778{txt}  {c |}
  10 {c |}  {res}         47{txt}  {c |}
     {c BLC}{hline 15}{c BRC}

Matching Summary:
-----------------
Number of strata: {res}96
{txt}Number of matched strata: {res}19

           {txt}   0     1
      All  {res}1409    33
{txt}  Matched  {res} 698    29
{txt}Unmatched  {res} 711     4


{txt}Multivariate L1 distance: {res}.51028473

{txt}Univariate imbalance:

                  L1     mean      min      25%      50%      75%      max
  issue_dum  {res}1.4e-15  1.0e-15        0        0        0        0        0
{txt}    highact  {res} .18621  -.02586        0        0        0        1       -3
{txt}institution  {res}3.8e-15  2.4e-15        0        0        0        0        0
{txt}      ddyad  {res}3.0e-15  4.4e-16        0        0        0        0        .
{txt}         g1  {res} .12486   .19585        0        0        1        0        .
{txt}
{com}. probit impositionoutcome i.carrotonlyimposition##c.g1 issue_dum highact institution cont_dum multi atopally idealpointdistance ddyad demo_t demo_s  lngdp_t lnpop_t coldwar us_dum [iweight=cem_weights], robust //5%

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -193.7231}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-131.07246}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-125.14709}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-124.17751}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-123.87279}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-123.56794}  
Iteration 6:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-123.52709}  
Iteration 7:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -123.5197}  
Iteration 8:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-123.51759}  
Iteration 9:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-123.51691}  
Iteration 10:{space 2}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-123.51678}  
Iteration 11:{space 2}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-123.51675}  
Iteration 12:{space 2}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-123.51675}  
{res}
{txt}Probit regression{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       207
{txt}{col 49}Wald chi2({res}17{txt}){col 67}= {res}   1923.90
{txt}{col 49}Prob > chi2{col 67}= {res}    0.0000
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-123.51675{txt}{col 49}Pseudo R2{col 67}= {res}    0.3624

{txt}{hline 26}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 27}{c |}{col 39}    Robust
{col 1}        impositionoutcome{col 27}{c |}      Coef.{col 39}   Std. Err.{col 51}      z{col 59}   P>|z|{col 67}     [95% Con{col 80}f. Interval]
{hline 26}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 3}1.carrotonlyimposition {c |}{col 27}{res}{space 2}-39.53422{col 39}{space 2} 3.531659{col 50}{space 1}  -11.19{col 59}{space 3}0.000{col 67}{space 4}-46.45615{col 80}{space 3} -32.6123
{txt}{space 23}g1 {c |}{col 27}{res}{space 2} .0863497{col 39}{space 2} .0437593{col 50}{space 1}    1.97{col 59}{space 3}0.048{col 67}{space 4}  .000583{col 80}{space 3} .1721164
{txt}{space 25} {c |}
carrotonlyimposition#c.g1 {c |}
{space 23}1  {c |}{col 27}{res}{space 2} 6.735721{col 39}{space 2} .7096628{col 50}{space 1}    9.49{col 59}{space 3}0.000{col 67}{space 4} 5.344808{col 80}{space 3} 8.126635
{txt}{space 25} {c |}
{space 16}issue_dum {c |}{col 27}{res}{space 2} .0720637{col 39}{space 2} .4843612{col 50}{space 1}    0.15{col 59}{space 3}0.882{col 67}{space 4}-.8772668{col 80}{space 3} 1.021394
{txt}{space 18}highact {c |}{col 27}{res}{space 2} .1433019{col 39}{space 2} .0343031{col 50}{space 1}    4.18{col 59}{space 3}0.000{col 67}{space 4} .0760691{col 80}{space 3} .2105348
{txt}{space 14}institution {c |}{col 27}{res}{space 2}   28.321{col 39}{space 2} 2.791208{col 50}{space 1}   10.15{col 59}{space 3}0.000{col 67}{space 4} 22.85033{col 80}{space 3} 33.79167
{txt}{space 17}cont_dum {c |}{col 27}{res}{space 2} .5753776{col 39}{space 2} .4131953{col 50}{space 1}    1.39{col 59}{space 3}0.164{col 67}{space 4}-.2344702{col 80}{space 3} 1.385225
{txt}{space 20}multi {c |}{col 27}{res}{space 2} .4438355{col 39}{space 2} .6171224{col 50}{space 1}    0.72{col 59}{space 3}0.472{col 67}{space 4}-.7657023{col 80}{space 3} 1.653373
{txt}{space 17}atopally {c |}{col 27}{res}{space 2} .4868309{col 39}{space 2} .3949576{col 50}{space 1}    1.23{col 59}{space 3}0.218{col 67}{space 4}-.2872717{col 80}{space 3} 1.260934
{txt}{space 7}idealpointdistance {c |}{col 27}{res}{space 2} .1062879{col 39}{space 2}  .159179{col 50}{space 1}    0.67{col 59}{space 3}0.504{col 67}{space 4}-.2056972{col 80}{space 3} .4182731
{txt}{space 20}ddyad {c |}{col 27}{res}{space 2}-.6442119{col 39}{space 2} .9543561{col 50}{space 1}   -0.68{col 59}{space 3}0.500{col 67}{space 4}-2.514716{col 80}{space 3} 1.226292
{txt}{space 19}demo_t {c |}{col 27}{res}{space 2} .9292814{col 39}{space 2} .9465624{col 50}{space 1}    0.98{col 59}{space 3}0.326{col 67}{space 4}-.9259469{col 80}{space 3}  2.78451
{txt}{space 19}demo_s {c |}{col 27}{res}{space 2} .3169842{col 39}{space 2} .7789882{col 50}{space 1}    0.41{col 59}{space 3}0.684{col 67}{space 4}-1.209805{col 80}{space 3} 1.843773
{txt}{space 18}lngdp_t {c |}{col 27}{res}{space 2}-.0399575{col 39}{space 2} .1505184{col 50}{space 1}   -0.27{col 59}{space 3}0.791{col 67}{space 4}-.3349681{col 80}{space 3} .2550532
{txt}{space 18}lnpop_t {c |}{col 27}{res}{space 2} .0374319{col 39}{space 2} .1931587{col 50}{space 1}    0.19{col 59}{space 3}0.846{col 67}{space 4}-.3411522{col 80}{space 3}  .416016
{txt}{space 18}coldwar {c |}{col 27}{res}{space 2}-.1919134{col 39}{space 2} .3054018{col 50}{space 1}   -0.63{col 59}{space 3}0.530{col 67}{space 4}-.7904899{col 80}{space 3} .4066632
{txt}{space 19}us_dum {c |}{col 27}{res}{space 2}-.2766649{col 39}{space 2}  .427711{col 50}{space 1}   -0.65{col 59}{space 3}0.518{col 67}{space 4}-1.114963{col 80}{space 3} .5616331
{txt}{space 20}_cons {c |}{col 27}{res}{space 2}-.6774444{col 39}{space 2} 2.060264{col 50}{space 1}   -0.33{col 59}{space 3}0.742{col 67}{space 4}-4.715487{col 80}{space 3} 3.360598
{txt}{hline 26}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{p 0 6 2}Note: 5 failures and 21 successes completely determined.{p_end}

{com}. margins, dydx(carrotonlyimposition)  force
{res}
{txt}Average marginal effects{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       207
{txt}Model VCE{col 14}: {res}Robust

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:Expression}:{space 1}{res:Pr(impositionoutcome), predict()}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:dy/dx w.r.t.}:{space 1}{res:1.carrotonlyimposition}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{res}{txt}{hline 23}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 24}{c |}{col 36} Delta-method
{col 24}{c |}      dy/dx{col 36}   Std. Err.{col 48}      z{col 56}   P>|z|{col 64}     [95% Con{col 77}f. Interval]
{hline 23}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
1.carrotonlyimposition {c |}{col 24}{res}{space 2}-.3984505{col 36}{space 2} .0423015{col 47}{space 1}   -9.42{col 56}{space 3}0.000{col 64}{space 4}  -.48136{col 77}{space 3}-.3155411
{txt}{hline 23}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{p 0 6 0 88}Note: dy/dx for factor levels is the discrete change from the base level.{txt}{p_end}
{res}{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. *Table A6
. est clear
{txt}
{com}. eststo: firthlogit threatoutcome carrot_1 issue_dum highact institution cont_dum multi atopally idealpointdistance ddyad demo_t demo_s  lngdp_t lnpop_t coldwar us_dum //5% okay
{res}
{txt}initial:{col 16}penalized log likelihood = {res:-271.55737}
rescale:{col 16}penalized log likelihood = {res:-271.55737}
{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}penalized log likelihood = {res:-271.55737}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}penalized log likelihood = {res:-255.02614}  (not concave)
Iteration 2:{space 3}penalized log likelihood = {res:-254.45875}  (not concave)
Iteration 3:{space 3}penalized log likelihood = {res:-254.38519}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}penalized log likelihood = {res:-253.83944}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}penalized log likelihood = {res:-253.82901}  
Iteration 6:{space 3}penalized log likelihood = {res:-253.82901}  
{res}
{txt}{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       550
{txt}{col 49}Wald chi2({res}15{txt}){col 67}= {res}     27.51
{txt}Penalized log likelihood = {res}-253.82901{txt}{col 49}Prob > chi2{col 67}= {res}    0.0249

{txt}{hline 19}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}     threatoutcome{col 20}{c |}      Coef.{col 32}   Std. Err.{col 44}      z{col 52}   P>|z|{col 60}     [95% Con{col 73}f. Interval]
{hline 19}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 10}carrot_1 {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 1.136385{col 32}{space 2} .5736632{col 43}{space 1}    1.98{col 52}{space 3}0.048{col 60}{space 4} .0120259{col 73}{space 3} 2.260744
{txt}{space 9}issue_dum {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.8933477{col 32}{space 2} .6177978{col 43}{space 1}   -1.45{col 52}{space 3}0.148{col 60}{space 4}-2.104209{col 73}{space 3} .3175137
{txt}{space 11}highact {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .0302235{col 32}{space 2} .0236294{col 43}{space 1}    1.28{col 52}{space 3}0.201{col 60}{space 4}-.0160894{col 73}{space 3} .0765364
{txt}{space 7}institution {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 1.350723{col 32}{space 2} .3982201{col 43}{space 1}    3.39{col 52}{space 3}0.001{col 60}{space 4} .5702265{col 73}{space 3}  2.13122
{txt}{space 10}cont_dum {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} -.336878{col 32}{space 2} .3995892{col 43}{space 1}   -0.84{col 52}{space 3}0.399{col 60}{space 4}-1.120058{col 73}{space 3} .4463023
{txt}{space 13}multi {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-1.004141{col 32}{space 2} .4337382{col 43}{space 1}   -2.32{col 52}{space 3}0.021{col 60}{space 4}-1.854252{col 73}{space 3}-.1540295
{txt}{space 10}atopally {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.0056277{col 32}{space 2} .2811127{col 43}{space 1}   -0.02{col 52}{space 3}0.984{col 60}{space 4}-.5565984{col 73}{space 3} .5453431
{txt}idealpointdistance {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}  -.02754{col 32}{space 2} .1264435{col 43}{space 1}   -0.22{col 52}{space 3}0.828{col 60}{space 4}-.2753648{col 73}{space 3} .2202848
{txt}{space 13}ddyad {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-1.529534{col 32}{space 2}  1.01406{col 43}{space 1}   -1.51{col 52}{space 3}0.131{col 60}{space 4}-3.517056{col 73}{space 3}  .457987
{txt}{space 12}demo_t {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 1.612429{col 32}{space 2} 1.008673{col 43}{space 1}    1.60{col 52}{space 3}0.110{col 60}{space 4}-.3645331{col 73}{space 3} 3.589392
{txt}{space 12}demo_s {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 1.497199{col 32}{space 2} .9377252{col 43}{space 1}    1.60{col 52}{space 3}0.110{col 60}{space 4}-.3407087{col 73}{space 3} 3.335107
{txt}{space 11}lngdp_t {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .0221674{col 32}{space 2} .1048302{col 43}{space 1}    0.21{col 52}{space 3}0.833{col 60}{space 4} -.183296{col 73}{space 3} .2276308
{txt}{space 11}lnpop_t {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .0557672{col 32}{space 2} .1241105{col 43}{space 1}    0.45{col 52}{space 3}0.653{col 60}{space 4}-.1874849{col 73}{space 3} .2990194
{txt}{space 11}coldwar {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.2531553{col 32}{space 2} .2327554{col 43}{space 1}   -1.09{col 52}{space 3}0.277{col 60}{space 4}-.7093475{col 73}{space 3} .2030368
{txt}{space 12}us_dum {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .5328186{col 32}{space 2} .3366936{col 43}{space 1}    1.58{col 52}{space 3}0.114{col 60}{space 4}-.1270888{col 73}{space 3} 1.192726
{txt}{space 13}_cons {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-4.107281{col 32}{space 2} 1.862082{col 43}{space 1}   -2.21{col 52}{space 3}0.027{col 60}{space 4}-7.756895{col 73}{space 3}-.4576671
{txt}{hline 19}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
({res}est1{txt} stored)

{com}. eststo: firthlogit threatoutcome carrot_1 issue_dum highact institution cont_dum multi atopally idealpointdistance ddyad demo_t demo_s  lngdp_t lnpop_t coldwar us_dum y1 //5% okay
{res}
{txt}initial:{col 16}penalized log likelihood = {res:-257.27724}
rescale:{col 16}penalized log likelihood = {res:-257.27724}
{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}penalized log likelihood = {res:-257.27724}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}penalized log likelihood = {res:-240.40187}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}penalized log likelihood = {res:-238.61528}  (not concave)
Iteration 3:{space 3}penalized log likelihood = {res:-238.60399}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}penalized log likelihood = {res:-238.36118}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}penalized log likelihood = {res:-238.33324}  
Iteration 6:{space 3}penalized log likelihood = {res:-238.33314}  
Iteration 7:{space 3}penalized log likelihood = {res:-238.33314}  
{res}
{txt}{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       527
{txt}{col 49}Wald chi2({res}16{txt}){col 67}= {res}     25.51
{txt}Penalized log likelihood = {res}-238.33314{txt}{col 49}Prob > chi2{col 67}= {res}    0.0613

{txt}{hline 19}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}     threatoutcome{col 20}{c |}      Coef.{col 32}   Std. Err.{col 44}      z{col 52}   P>|z|{col 60}     [95% Con{col 73}f. Interval]
{hline 19}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 10}carrot_1 {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 1.052442{col 32}{space 2} .5817868{col 43}{space 1}    1.81{col 52}{space 3}0.070{col 60}{space 4}-.0878388{col 73}{space 3} 2.192724
{txt}{space 9}issue_dum {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.8904438{col 32}{space 2} .6233586{col 43}{space 1}   -1.43{col 52}{space 3}0.153{col 60}{space 4}-2.112204{col 73}{space 3} .3313165
{txt}{space 11}highact {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .0349732{col 32}{space 2} .0242633{col 43}{space 1}    1.44{col 52}{space 3}0.149{col 60}{space 4} -.012582{col 73}{space 3} .0825284
{txt}{space 7}institution {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}  1.33156{col 32}{space 2} .4201558{col 43}{space 1}    3.17{col 52}{space 3}0.002{col 60}{space 4} .5080698{col 73}{space 3}  2.15505
{txt}{space 10}cont_dum {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.1826637{col 32}{space 2} .4013788{col 43}{space 1}   -0.46{col 52}{space 3}0.649{col 60}{space 4}-.9693517{col 73}{space 3} .6040244
{txt}{space 13}multi {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.9212747{col 32}{space 2} .4510084{col 43}{space 1}   -2.04{col 52}{space 3}0.041{col 60}{space 4}-1.805235{col 73}{space 3}-.0373145
{txt}{space 10}atopally {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.0233929{col 32}{space 2} .2868479{col 43}{space 1}   -0.08{col 52}{space 3}0.935{col 60}{space 4}-.5856044{col 73}{space 3} .5388185
{txt}idealpointdistance {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.0560291{col 32}{space 2} .1281807{col 43}{space 1}   -0.44{col 52}{space 3}0.662{col 60}{space 4}-.3072586{col 73}{space 3} .1952004
{txt}{space 13}ddyad {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-2.916089{col 32}{space 2} 1.562071{col 43}{space 1}   -1.87{col 52}{space 3}0.062{col 60}{space 4}-5.977692{col 73}{space 3} .1455134
{txt}{space 12}demo_t {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 2.999632{col 32}{space 2} 1.565302{col 43}{space 1}    1.92{col 52}{space 3}0.055{col 60}{space 4}-.0683031{col 73}{space 3} 6.067567
{txt}{space 12}demo_s {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 2.752783{col 32}{space 2} 1.512192{col 43}{space 1}    1.82{col 52}{space 3}0.069{col 60}{space 4} -.211058{col 73}{space 3} 5.716625
{txt}{space 11}lngdp_t {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .0073339{col 32}{space 2} .1069471{col 43}{space 1}    0.07{col 52}{space 3}0.945{col 60}{space 4}-.2022785{col 73}{space 3} .2169464
{txt}{space 11}lnpop_t {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .0727229{col 32}{space 2}  .126181{col 43}{space 1}    0.58{col 52}{space 3}0.564{col 60}{space 4}-.1745874{col 73}{space 3} .3200331
{txt}{space 11}coldwar {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.1571717{col 32}{space 2} .2370574{col 43}{space 1}   -0.66{col 52}{space 3}0.507{col 60}{space 4}-.6217956{col 73}{space 3} .3074522
{txt}{space 12}us_dum {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .5984044{col 32}{space 2} .3490427{col 43}{space 1}    1.71{col 52}{space 3}0.086{col 60}{space 4}-.0857068{col 73}{space 3} 1.282516
{txt}{space 16}y1 {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .0551994{col 32}{space 2} .0724189{col 43}{space 1}    0.76{col 52}{space 3}0.446{col 60}{space 4}-.0867389{col 73}{space 3} .1971378
{txt}{space 13}_cons {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-5.220203{col 32}{space 2} 2.203782{col 43}{space 1}   -2.37{col 52}{space 3}0.018{col 60}{space 4}-9.539535{col 73}{space 3}  -.90087
{txt}{hline 19}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
({res}est2{txt} stored)

{com}. eststo: firthlogit impositionoutcome carrotonlyimposition issue_dum highact institution cont_dum multi atopally idealpointdistance ddyad demo_t demo_s  lngdp_t lnpop_t coldwar us_dum //5%
{res}
{txt}initial:{col 16}penalized log likelihood = {res:-181.83036}
rescale:{col 16}penalized log likelihood = {res:-181.83036}
{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}penalized log likelihood = {res:-181.83036}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}penalized log likelihood = {res:-155.44047}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}penalized log likelihood = {res:-155.39391}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}penalized log likelihood = {res:-154.77231}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}penalized log likelihood = {res:-154.77134}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}penalized log likelihood = {res:-154.77134}  
{res}
{txt}{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       297
{txt}{col 49}Wald chi2({res}15{txt}){col 67}= {res}     40.19
{txt}Penalized log likelihood = {res}-154.77134{txt}{col 49}Prob > chi2{col 67}= {res}    0.0004

{txt}{hline 21}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}   impositionoutcome{col 22}{c |}      Coef.{col 34}   Std. Err.{col 46}      z{col 54}   P>|z|{col 62}     [95% Con{col 75}f. Interval]
{hline 21}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
carrotonlyimposition {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-1.451232{col 34}{space 2}  .748166{col 45}{space 1}   -1.94{col 54}{space 3}0.052{col 62}{space 4} -2.91761{col 75}{space 3} .0151464
{txt}{space 11}issue_dum {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.6884393{col 34}{space 2} .4667148{col 45}{space 1}   -1.48{col 54}{space 3}0.140{col 62}{space 4}-1.603184{col 75}{space 3}  .226305
{txt}{space 13}highact {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .0248692{col 34}{space 2} .0302954{col 45}{space 1}    0.82{col 54}{space 3}0.412{col 62}{space 4}-.0345086{col 75}{space 3} .0842471
{txt}{space 9}institution {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1.622642{col 34}{space 2}  .543687{col 45}{space 1}    2.98{col 54}{space 3}0.003{col 62}{space 4} .5570347{col 75}{space 3} 2.688249
{txt}{space 12}cont_dum {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .7621011{col 34}{space 2} .4306798{col 45}{space 1}    1.77{col 54}{space 3}0.077{col 62}{space 4}-.0820159{col 75}{space 3} 1.606218
{txt}{space 15}multi {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .5832038{col 34}{space 2} .4740633{col 45}{space 1}    1.23{col 54}{space 3}0.219{col 62}{space 4}-.3459432{col 75}{space 3} 1.512351
{txt}{space 12}atopally {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .4356935{col 34}{space 2} .3322663{col 45}{space 1}    1.31{col 54}{space 3}0.190{col 62}{space 4}-.2155365{col 75}{space 3} 1.086924
{txt}{space 2}idealpointdistance {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.0579854{col 34}{space 2} .1389329{col 45}{space 1}   -0.42{col 54}{space 3}0.676{col 62}{space 4}-.3302888{col 75}{space 3} .2143181
{txt}{space 15}ddyad {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-1.626995{col 34}{space 2}   .79457{col 45}{space 1}   -2.05{col 54}{space 3}0.041{col 62}{space 4}-3.184323{col 75}{space 3}-.0696662
{txt}{space 14}demo_t {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .9024683{col 34}{space 2} .7724767{col 45}{space 1}    1.17{col 54}{space 3}0.243{col 62}{space 4}-.6115582{col 75}{space 3} 2.416495
{txt}{space 14}demo_s {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .5603264{col 34}{space 2} .5962951{col 45}{space 1}    0.94{col 54}{space 3}0.347{col 62}{space 4}-.6083905{col 75}{space 3} 1.729043
{txt}{space 13}lngdp_t {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.2153399{col 34}{space 2} .1309133{col 45}{space 1}   -1.64{col 54}{space 3}0.100{col 62}{space 4}-.4719252{col 75}{space 3} .0412454
{txt}{space 13}lnpop_t {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .1750826{col 34}{space 2} .1495674{col 45}{space 1}    1.17{col 54}{space 3}0.242{col 62}{space 4}-.1180642{col 75}{space 3} .4682294
{txt}{space 13}coldwar {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.0468763{col 34}{space 2} .2719685{col 45}{space 1}   -0.17{col 54}{space 3}0.863{col 62}{space 4}-.5799247{col 75}{space 3} .4861721
{txt}{space 14}us_dum {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.0523633{col 34}{space 2} .3881566{col 45}{space 1}   -0.13{col 54}{space 3}0.893{col 62}{space 4}-.8131362{col 75}{space 3} .7084096
{txt}{space 15}_cons {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 3.040157{col 34}{space 2} 2.256978{col 45}{space 1}    1.35{col 54}{space 3}0.178{col 62}{space 4}-1.383438{col 75}{space 3} 7.463751
{txt}{hline 21}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
({res}est3{txt} stored)

{com}. eststo: firthlogit impositionoutcome carrotonlyimposition issue_dum highact institution cont_dum multi atopally idealpointdistance ddyad demo_t demo_s  lngdp_t lnpop_t coldwar us_dum g1 //5%
{res}
{txt}initial:{col 16}penalized log likelihood = {res:-147.85704}
rescale:{col 16}penalized log likelihood = {res:-147.85704}
{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}penalized log likelihood = {res:-147.85704}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}penalized log likelihood = {res:-122.31145}  (not concave)
Iteration 2:{space 3}penalized log likelihood = {res:-121.89591}  (not concave)
Iteration 3:{space 3}penalized log likelihood = {res:-121.77959}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}penalized log likelihood = {res:-121.76275}  (not concave)
Iteration 5:{space 3}penalized log likelihood = {res:-121.74275}  (not concave)
Iteration 6:{space 3}penalized log likelihood = {res:-121.73756}  
Iteration 7:{space 3}penalized log likelihood = {res:-121.72606}  
Iteration 8:{space 3}penalized log likelihood = {res:-121.72606}  
{res}
{txt}{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       252
{txt}{col 49}Wald chi2({res}16{txt}){col 67}= {res}     36.78
{txt}Penalized log likelihood = {res}-121.72606{txt}{col 49}Prob > chi2{col 67}= {res}    0.0023

{txt}{hline 21}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}   impositionoutcome{col 22}{c |}      Coef.{col 34}   Std. Err.{col 46}      z{col 54}   P>|z|{col 62}     [95% Con{col 75}f. Interval]
{hline 21}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
carrotonlyimposition {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-1.688001{col 34}{space 2} .8460557{col 45}{space 1}   -2.00{col 54}{space 3}0.046{col 62}{space 4} -3.34624{col 75}{space 3}-.0297627
{txt}{space 11}issue_dum {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.8059102{col 34}{space 2} .5124592{col 45}{space 1}   -1.57{col 54}{space 3}0.116{col 62}{space 4}-1.810312{col 75}{space 3} .1984913
{txt}{space 13}highact {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .0267092{col 34}{space 2} .0331062{col 45}{space 1}    0.81{col 54}{space 3}0.420{col 62}{space 4}-.0381779{col 75}{space 3} .0915962
{txt}{space 9}institution {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1.625259{col 34}{space 2} .6341368{col 45}{space 1}    2.56{col 54}{space 3}0.010{col 62}{space 4} .3823738{col 75}{space 3} 2.868145
{txt}{space 12}cont_dum {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .7496594{col 34}{space 2} .4755672{col 45}{space 1}    1.58{col 54}{space 3}0.115{col 62}{space 4}-.1824351{col 75}{space 3} 1.681754
{txt}{space 15}multi {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .9245193{col 34}{space 2} .5263518{col 45}{space 1}    1.76{col 54}{space 3}0.079{col 62}{space 4}-.1071114{col 75}{space 3}  1.95615
{txt}{space 12}atopally {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  .266707{col 34}{space 2} .3580315{col 45}{space 1}    0.74{col 54}{space 3}0.456{col 62}{space 4}-.4350219{col 75}{space 3} .9684359
{txt}{space 2}idealpointdistance {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.1310696{col 34}{space 2} .1558114{col 45}{space 1}   -0.84{col 54}{space 3}0.400{col 62}{space 4}-.4364542{col 75}{space 3} .1743151
{txt}{space 15}ddyad {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-1.391115{col 34}{space 2} .8707579{col 45}{space 1}   -1.60{col 54}{space 3}0.110{col 62}{space 4}-3.097769{col 75}{space 3} .3155389
{txt}{space 14}demo_t {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .1367744{col 34}{space 2} .8411688{col 45}{space 1}    0.16{col 54}{space 3}0.871{col 62}{space 4}-1.511886{col 75}{space 3} 1.785435
{txt}{space 14}demo_s {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .4280641{col 34}{space 2} .6705527{col 45}{space 1}    0.64{col 54}{space 3}0.523{col 62}{space 4}-.8861951{col 75}{space 3} 1.742323
{txt}{space 13}lngdp_t {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .0191619{col 34}{space 2} .1452294{col 45}{space 1}    0.13{col 54}{space 3}0.895{col 62}{space 4}-.2654825{col 75}{space 3} .3038062
{txt}{space 13}lnpop_t {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.0137583{col 34}{space 2} .1700139{col 45}{space 1}   -0.08{col 54}{space 3}0.936{col 62}{space 4}-.3469794{col 75}{space 3} .3194628
{txt}{space 13}coldwar {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.3137491{col 34}{space 2} .3031937{col 45}{space 1}   -1.03{col 54}{space 3}0.301{col 62}{space 4}-.9079978{col 75}{space 3} .2804996
{txt}{space 14}us_dum {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .3575582{col 34}{space 2} .4311295{col 45}{space 1}    0.83{col 54}{space 3}0.407{col 62}{space 4}-.4874402{col 75}{space 3} 1.202557
{txt}{space 18}g1 {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.0394232{col 34}{space 2} .0455033{col 45}{space 1}   -0.87{col 54}{space 3}0.386{col 62}{space 4}-.1286081{col 75}{space 3} .0497616
{txt}{space 15}_cons {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.2407711{col 34}{space 2} 2.454808{col 45}{space 1}   -0.10{col 54}{space 3}0.922{col 62}{space 4}-5.052107{col 75}{space 3} 4.570564
{txt}{hline 21}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
({res}est4{txt} stored)

{com}. esttab, starlevel(* 0.10 ** 0.05 *** 0.01) p compress nogap
{res}
{txt}{hline 62}
{txt}                 (1)          (2)          (3)          (4)   
{txt}           threato~e    threato~e    imposit~e    imposit~e   
{txt}{hline 62}
{res}xb                                                            {txt}
{txt}carrot_1  {res}     1.136**      1.052*                            {txt}
          {res} {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.048{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.070{txt:)}}                             {txt}
{txt}issue_dum {res}    -0.893       -0.890       -0.688       -0.806   {txt}
          {res} {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.148{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.153{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.140{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.116{txt:)}}   {txt}
{txt}highact   {res}    0.0302       0.0350       0.0249       0.0267   {txt}
          {res} {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.201{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.149{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.412{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.420{txt:)}}   {txt}
{txt}institut~n{res}     1.351***     1.332***     1.623***     1.625** {txt}
          {res} {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.001{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.002{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.003{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.010{txt:)}}   {txt}
{txt}cont_dum  {res}    -0.337       -0.183        0.762*       0.750   {txt}
          {res} {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.399{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.649{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.077{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.115{txt:)}}   {txt}
{txt}multi     {res}    -1.004**     -0.921**      0.583        0.925*  {txt}
          {res} {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.021{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.041{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.219{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.079{txt:)}}   {txt}
{txt}atopally  {res}  -0.00563      -0.0234        0.436        0.267   {txt}
          {res} {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.984{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.935{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.190{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.456{txt:)}}   {txt}
{txt}idealpoi~e{res}   -0.0275      -0.0560      -0.0580       -0.131   {txt}
          {res} {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.828{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.662{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.676{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.400{txt:)}}   {txt}
{txt}ddyad     {res}    -1.530       -2.916*      -1.627**     -1.391   {txt}
          {res} {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.131{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.062{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.041{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.110{txt:)}}   {txt}
{txt}demo_t    {res}     1.612        3.000*       0.902        0.137   {txt}
          {res} {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.110{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.055{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.243{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.871{txt:)}}   {txt}
{txt}demo_s    {res}     1.497        2.753*       0.560        0.428   {txt}
          {res} {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.110{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.069{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.347{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.523{txt:)}}   {txt}
{txt}lngdp_t   {res}    0.0222      0.00733       -0.215*      0.0192   {txt}
          {res} {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.833{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.945{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.100{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.895{txt:)}}   {txt}
{txt}lnpop_t   {res}    0.0558       0.0727        0.175      -0.0138   {txt}
          {res} {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.653{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.564{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.242{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.936{txt:)}}   {txt}
{txt}coldwar   {res}    -0.253       -0.157      -0.0469       -0.314   {txt}
          {res} {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.277{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.507{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.863{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.301{txt:)}}   {txt}
{txt}us_dum    {res}     0.533        0.598*     -0.0524        0.358   {txt}
          {res} {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.114{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.086{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.893{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.407{txt:)}}   {txt}
{txt}y1        {res}                 0.0552                             {txt}
          {res}              {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.446{txt:)}}                             {txt}
{txt}carroton~n{res}                              -1.451*      -1.688** {txt}
          {res}                           {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.052{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.046{txt:)}}   {txt}
{txt}g1        {res}                                          -0.0394   {txt}
          {res}                                        {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.386{txt:)}}   {txt}
{txt}_cons     {res}    -4.107**     -5.220**      3.040       -0.241   {txt}
          {res} {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.027{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.018{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.178{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.922{txt:)}}   {txt}
{txt}{hline 62}
{txt}N         {res}       550          527          297          252   {txt}
{txt}{hline 62}
{txt}p-values in parentheses
{txt}* p<0.10, ** p<0.05, *** p<0.01

{com}. 
. *Table A7
. **Threat stage
. firthlogit threatoutcome carrot_1 issue_dum highact institution cont_dum multi atopally idealpointdistance ddyad demo_t demo_s  lngdp_t lnpop_t coldwar us_dum //5% okay
{res}
{txt}initial:{col 16}penalized log likelihood = {res:-271.55737}
rescale:{col 16}penalized log likelihood = {res:-271.55737}
{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}penalized log likelihood = {res:-271.55737}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}penalized log likelihood = {res:-255.02614}  (not concave)
Iteration 2:{space 3}penalized log likelihood = {res:-254.45875}  (not concave)
Iteration 3:{space 3}penalized log likelihood = {res:-254.38519}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}penalized log likelihood = {res:-253.83944}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}penalized log likelihood = {res:-253.82901}  
Iteration 6:{space 3}penalized log likelihood = {res:-253.82901}  
{res}
{txt}{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       550
{txt}{col 49}Wald chi2({res}15{txt}){col 67}= {res}     27.51
{txt}Penalized log likelihood = {res}-253.82901{txt}{col 49}Prob > chi2{col 67}= {res}    0.0249

{txt}{hline 19}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}     threatoutcome{col 20}{c |}      Coef.{col 32}   Std. Err.{col 44}      z{col 52}   P>|z|{col 60}     [95% Con{col 73}f. Interval]
{hline 19}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 10}carrot_1 {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 1.136385{col 32}{space 2} .5736632{col 43}{space 1}    1.98{col 52}{space 3}0.048{col 60}{space 4} .0120259{col 73}{space 3} 2.260744
{txt}{space 9}issue_dum {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.8933477{col 32}{space 2} .6177978{col 43}{space 1}   -1.45{col 52}{space 3}0.148{col 60}{space 4}-2.104209{col 73}{space 3} .3175137
{txt}{space 11}highact {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .0302235{col 32}{space 2} .0236294{col 43}{space 1}    1.28{col 52}{space 3}0.201{col 60}{space 4}-.0160894{col 73}{space 3} .0765364
{txt}{space 7}institution {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 1.350723{col 32}{space 2} .3982201{col 43}{space 1}    3.39{col 52}{space 3}0.001{col 60}{space 4} .5702265{col 73}{space 3}  2.13122
{txt}{space 10}cont_dum {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} -.336878{col 32}{space 2} .3995892{col 43}{space 1}   -0.84{col 52}{space 3}0.399{col 60}{space 4}-1.120058{col 73}{space 3} .4463023
{txt}{space 13}multi {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-1.004141{col 32}{space 2} .4337382{col 43}{space 1}   -2.32{col 52}{space 3}0.021{col 60}{space 4}-1.854252{col 73}{space 3}-.1540295
{txt}{space 10}atopally {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.0056277{col 32}{space 2} .2811127{col 43}{space 1}   -0.02{col 52}{space 3}0.984{col 60}{space 4}-.5565984{col 73}{space 3} .5453431
{txt}idealpointdistance {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}  -.02754{col 32}{space 2} .1264435{col 43}{space 1}   -0.22{col 52}{space 3}0.828{col 60}{space 4}-.2753648{col 73}{space 3} .2202848
{txt}{space 13}ddyad {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-1.529534{col 32}{space 2}  1.01406{col 43}{space 1}   -1.51{col 52}{space 3}0.131{col 60}{space 4}-3.517056{col 73}{space 3}  .457987
{txt}{space 12}demo_t {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 1.612429{col 32}{space 2} 1.008673{col 43}{space 1}    1.60{col 52}{space 3}0.110{col 60}{space 4}-.3645331{col 73}{space 3} 3.589392
{txt}{space 12}demo_s {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 1.497199{col 32}{space 2} .9377252{col 43}{space 1}    1.60{col 52}{space 3}0.110{col 60}{space 4}-.3407087{col 73}{space 3} 3.335107
{txt}{space 11}lngdp_t {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .0221674{col 32}{space 2} .1048302{col 43}{space 1}    0.21{col 52}{space 3}0.833{col 60}{space 4} -.183296{col 73}{space 3} .2276308
{txt}{space 11}lnpop_t {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .0557672{col 32}{space 2} .1241105{col 43}{space 1}    0.45{col 52}{space 3}0.653{col 60}{space 4}-.1874849{col 73}{space 3} .2990194
{txt}{space 11}coldwar {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.2531553{col 32}{space 2} .2327554{col 43}{space 1}   -1.09{col 52}{space 3}0.277{col 60}{space 4}-.7093475{col 73}{space 3} .2030368
{txt}{space 12}us_dum {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .5328186{col 32}{space 2} .3366936{col 43}{space 1}    1.58{col 52}{space 3}0.114{col 60}{space 4}-.1270888{col 73}{space 3} 1.192726
{txt}{space 13}_cons {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-4.107281{col 32}{space 2} 1.862082{col 43}{space 1}   -2.21{col 52}{space 3}0.027{col 60}{space 4}-7.756895{col 73}{space 3}-.4576671
{txt}{hline 19}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. margins, dydx(carrot_1) expression(invlogit(predict(xb)))
{res}
{txt}Average marginal effects{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       550
{txt}Model VCE{col 14}: {res}OIM

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:Expression}:{space 1}{res:invlogit(predict(xb))}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:dy/dx w.r.t.}:{space 1}{res:carrot_1}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{res}{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}{col 26} Delta-method
{col 14}{c |}      dy/dx{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 4}carrot_1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .1935356{col 26}{space 2} .0965341{col 37}{space 1}    2.00{col 46}{space 3}0.045{col 54}{space 4} .0043323{col 67}{space 3} .3827389
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}{txt}
{com}. firthlogit threatoutcome carrot_1 issue_dum highact institution cont_dum multi atopally idealpointdistance ddyad demo_t demo_s  lngdp_t lnpop_t coldwar us_dum y1 //5% okay
{res}
{txt}initial:{col 16}penalized log likelihood = {res:-257.27724}
rescale:{col 16}penalized log likelihood = {res:-257.27724}
{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}penalized log likelihood = {res:-257.27724}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}penalized log likelihood = {res:-240.40187}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}penalized log likelihood = {res:-238.61528}  (not concave)
Iteration 3:{space 3}penalized log likelihood = {res:-238.60399}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}penalized log likelihood = {res:-238.36118}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}penalized log likelihood = {res:-238.33324}  
Iteration 6:{space 3}penalized log likelihood = {res:-238.33314}  
Iteration 7:{space 3}penalized log likelihood = {res:-238.33314}  
{res}
{txt}{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       527
{txt}{col 49}Wald chi2({res}16{txt}){col 67}= {res}     25.51
{txt}Penalized log likelihood = {res}-238.33314{txt}{col 49}Prob > chi2{col 67}= {res}    0.0613

{txt}{hline 19}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}     threatoutcome{col 20}{c |}      Coef.{col 32}   Std. Err.{col 44}      z{col 52}   P>|z|{col 60}     [95% Con{col 73}f. Interval]
{hline 19}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 10}carrot_1 {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 1.052442{col 32}{space 2} .5817868{col 43}{space 1}    1.81{col 52}{space 3}0.070{col 60}{space 4}-.0878388{col 73}{space 3} 2.192724
{txt}{space 9}issue_dum {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.8904438{col 32}{space 2} .6233586{col 43}{space 1}   -1.43{col 52}{space 3}0.153{col 60}{space 4}-2.112204{col 73}{space 3} .3313165
{txt}{space 11}highact {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .0349732{col 32}{space 2} .0242633{col 43}{space 1}    1.44{col 52}{space 3}0.149{col 60}{space 4} -.012582{col 73}{space 3} .0825284
{txt}{space 7}institution {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}  1.33156{col 32}{space 2} .4201558{col 43}{space 1}    3.17{col 52}{space 3}0.002{col 60}{space 4} .5080698{col 73}{space 3}  2.15505
{txt}{space 10}cont_dum {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.1826637{col 32}{space 2} .4013788{col 43}{space 1}   -0.46{col 52}{space 3}0.649{col 60}{space 4}-.9693517{col 73}{space 3} .6040244
{txt}{space 13}multi {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.9212747{col 32}{space 2} .4510084{col 43}{space 1}   -2.04{col 52}{space 3}0.041{col 60}{space 4}-1.805235{col 73}{space 3}-.0373145
{txt}{space 10}atopally {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.0233929{col 32}{space 2} .2868479{col 43}{space 1}   -0.08{col 52}{space 3}0.935{col 60}{space 4}-.5856044{col 73}{space 3} .5388185
{txt}idealpointdistance {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.0560291{col 32}{space 2} .1281807{col 43}{space 1}   -0.44{col 52}{space 3}0.662{col 60}{space 4}-.3072586{col 73}{space 3} .1952004
{txt}{space 13}ddyad {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-2.916089{col 32}{space 2} 1.562071{col 43}{space 1}   -1.87{col 52}{space 3}0.062{col 60}{space 4}-5.977692{col 73}{space 3} .1455134
{txt}{space 12}demo_t {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 2.999632{col 32}{space 2} 1.565302{col 43}{space 1}    1.92{col 52}{space 3}0.055{col 60}{space 4}-.0683031{col 73}{space 3} 6.067567
{txt}{space 12}demo_s {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 2.752783{col 32}{space 2} 1.512192{col 43}{space 1}    1.82{col 52}{space 3}0.069{col 60}{space 4} -.211058{col 73}{space 3} 5.716625
{txt}{space 11}lngdp_t {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .0073339{col 32}{space 2} .1069471{col 43}{space 1}    0.07{col 52}{space 3}0.945{col 60}{space 4}-.2022785{col 73}{space 3} .2169464
{txt}{space 11}lnpop_t {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .0727229{col 32}{space 2}  .126181{col 43}{space 1}    0.58{col 52}{space 3}0.564{col 60}{space 4}-.1745874{col 73}{space 3} .3200331
{txt}{space 11}coldwar {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.1571717{col 32}{space 2} .2370574{col 43}{space 1}   -0.66{col 52}{space 3}0.507{col 60}{space 4}-.6217956{col 73}{space 3} .3074522
{txt}{space 12}us_dum {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .5984044{col 32}{space 2} .3490427{col 43}{space 1}    1.71{col 52}{space 3}0.086{col 60}{space 4}-.0857068{col 73}{space 3} 1.282516
{txt}{space 16}y1 {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .0551994{col 32}{space 2} .0724189{col 43}{space 1}    0.76{col 52}{space 3}0.446{col 60}{space 4}-.0867389{col 73}{space 3} .1971378
{txt}{space 13}_cons {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-5.220203{col 32}{space 2} 2.203782{col 43}{space 1}   -2.37{col 52}{space 3}0.018{col 60}{space 4}-9.539535{col 73}{space 3}  -.90087
{txt}{hline 19}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. margins, dydx(carrot_1) expression(invlogit(predict(xb)))
{res}
{txt}Average marginal effects{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       527
{txt}Model VCE{col 14}: {res}OIM

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:Expression}:{space 1}{res:invlogit(predict(xb))}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:dy/dx w.r.t.}:{space 1}{res:carrot_1}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{res}{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}{col 26} Delta-method
{col 14}{c |}      dy/dx{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 4}carrot_1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .1789767{col 26}{space 2} .0978942{col 37}{space 1}    1.83{col 46}{space 3}0.068{col 54}{space 4}-.0128924{col 67}{space 3} .3708457
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}{txt}
{com}. **Imposition stage
. firthlogit impositionoutcome carrotonlyimposition issue_dum highact institution cont_dum multi atopally idealpointdistance ddyad demo_t demo_s  lngdp_t lnpop_t coldwar us_dum //5%
{res}
{txt}initial:{col 16}penalized log likelihood = {res:-181.83036}
rescale:{col 16}penalized log likelihood = {res:-181.83036}
{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}penalized log likelihood = {res:-181.83036}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}penalized log likelihood = {res:-155.44047}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}penalized log likelihood = {res:-155.39391}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}penalized log likelihood = {res:-154.77231}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}penalized log likelihood = {res:-154.77134}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}penalized log likelihood = {res:-154.77134}  
{res}
{txt}{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       297
{txt}{col 49}Wald chi2({res}15{txt}){col 67}= {res}     40.19
{txt}Penalized log likelihood = {res}-154.77134{txt}{col 49}Prob > chi2{col 67}= {res}    0.0004

{txt}{hline 21}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}   impositionoutcome{col 22}{c |}      Coef.{col 34}   Std. Err.{col 46}      z{col 54}   P>|z|{col 62}     [95% Con{col 75}f. Interval]
{hline 21}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
carrotonlyimposition {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-1.451232{col 34}{space 2}  .748166{col 45}{space 1}   -1.94{col 54}{space 3}0.052{col 62}{space 4} -2.91761{col 75}{space 3} .0151464
{txt}{space 11}issue_dum {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.6884393{col 34}{space 2} .4667148{col 45}{space 1}   -1.48{col 54}{space 3}0.140{col 62}{space 4}-1.603184{col 75}{space 3}  .226305
{txt}{space 13}highact {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .0248692{col 34}{space 2} .0302954{col 45}{space 1}    0.82{col 54}{space 3}0.412{col 62}{space 4}-.0345086{col 75}{space 3} .0842471
{txt}{space 9}institution {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1.622642{col 34}{space 2}  .543687{col 45}{space 1}    2.98{col 54}{space 3}0.003{col 62}{space 4} .5570347{col 75}{space 3} 2.688249
{txt}{space 12}cont_dum {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .7621011{col 34}{space 2} .4306798{col 45}{space 1}    1.77{col 54}{space 3}0.077{col 62}{space 4}-.0820159{col 75}{space 3} 1.606218
{txt}{space 15}multi {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .5832038{col 34}{space 2} .4740633{col 45}{space 1}    1.23{col 54}{space 3}0.219{col 62}{space 4}-.3459432{col 75}{space 3} 1.512351
{txt}{space 12}atopally {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .4356935{col 34}{space 2} .3322663{col 45}{space 1}    1.31{col 54}{space 3}0.190{col 62}{space 4}-.2155365{col 75}{space 3} 1.086924
{txt}{space 2}idealpointdistance {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.0579854{col 34}{space 2} .1389329{col 45}{space 1}   -0.42{col 54}{space 3}0.676{col 62}{space 4}-.3302888{col 75}{space 3} .2143181
{txt}{space 15}ddyad {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-1.626995{col 34}{space 2}   .79457{col 45}{space 1}   -2.05{col 54}{space 3}0.041{col 62}{space 4}-3.184323{col 75}{space 3}-.0696662
{txt}{space 14}demo_t {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .9024683{col 34}{space 2} .7724767{col 45}{space 1}    1.17{col 54}{space 3}0.243{col 62}{space 4}-.6115582{col 75}{space 3} 2.416495
{txt}{space 14}demo_s {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .5603264{col 34}{space 2} .5962951{col 45}{space 1}    0.94{col 54}{space 3}0.347{col 62}{space 4}-.6083905{col 75}{space 3} 1.729043
{txt}{space 13}lngdp_t {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.2153399{col 34}{space 2} .1309133{col 45}{space 1}   -1.64{col 54}{space 3}0.100{col 62}{space 4}-.4719252{col 75}{space 3} .0412454
{txt}{space 13}lnpop_t {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .1750826{col 34}{space 2} .1495674{col 45}{space 1}    1.17{col 54}{space 3}0.242{col 62}{space 4}-.1180642{col 75}{space 3} .4682294
{txt}{space 13}coldwar {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.0468763{col 34}{space 2} .2719685{col 45}{space 1}   -0.17{col 54}{space 3}0.863{col 62}{space 4}-.5799247{col 75}{space 3} .4861721
{txt}{space 14}us_dum {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.0523633{col 34}{space 2} .3881566{col 45}{space 1}   -0.13{col 54}{space 3}0.893{col 62}{space 4}-.8131362{col 75}{space 3} .7084096
{txt}{space 15}_cons {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 3.040157{col 34}{space 2} 2.256978{col 45}{space 1}    1.35{col 54}{space 3}0.178{col 62}{space 4}-1.383438{col 75}{space 3} 7.463751
{txt}{hline 21}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. margins, dydx(carrotonlyimposition) expression(invlogit(predict(xb)))
{res}
{txt}Average marginal effects{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       297
{txt}Model VCE{col 14}: {res}OIM

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:Expression}:{space 1}{res:invlogit(predict(xb))}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:dy/dx w.r.t.}:{space 1}{res:carrotonlyimposition}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{res}{txt}{hline 21}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 22}{c |}{col 34} Delta-method
{col 22}{c |}      dy/dx{col 34}   Std. Err.{col 46}      z{col 54}   P>|z|{col 62}     [95% Con{col 75}f. Interval]
{hline 21}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
carrotonlyimposition {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.3038297{col 34}{space 2} .1533674{col 45}{space 1}   -1.98{col 54}{space 3}0.048{col 62}{space 4}-.6044243{col 75}{space 3}-.0032351
{txt}{hline 21}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}{txt}
{com}. firthlogit impositionoutcome carrotonlyimposition issue_dum highact institution cont_dum multi atopally idealpointdistance ddyad demo_t demo_s  lngdp_t lnpop_t coldwar us_dum g1 //5%
{res}
{txt}initial:{col 16}penalized log likelihood = {res:-147.85704}
rescale:{col 16}penalized log likelihood = {res:-147.85704}
{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}penalized log likelihood = {res:-147.85704}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}penalized log likelihood = {res:-122.31145}  (not concave)
Iteration 2:{space 3}penalized log likelihood = {res:-121.89591}  (not concave)
Iteration 3:{space 3}penalized log likelihood = {res:-121.77959}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}penalized log likelihood = {res:-121.76275}  (not concave)
Iteration 5:{space 3}penalized log likelihood = {res:-121.74275}  (not concave)
Iteration 6:{space 3}penalized log likelihood = {res:-121.73756}  
Iteration 7:{space 3}penalized log likelihood = {res:-121.72606}  
Iteration 8:{space 3}penalized log likelihood = {res:-121.72606}  
{res}
{txt}{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       252
{txt}{col 49}Wald chi2({res}16{txt}){col 67}= {res}     36.78
{txt}Penalized log likelihood = {res}-121.72606{txt}{col 49}Prob > chi2{col 67}= {res}    0.0023

{txt}{hline 21}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}   impositionoutcome{col 22}{c |}      Coef.{col 34}   Std. Err.{col 46}      z{col 54}   P>|z|{col 62}     [95% Con{col 75}f. Interval]
{hline 21}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
carrotonlyimposition {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-1.688001{col 34}{space 2} .8460557{col 45}{space 1}   -2.00{col 54}{space 3}0.046{col 62}{space 4} -3.34624{col 75}{space 3}-.0297627
{txt}{space 11}issue_dum {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.8059102{col 34}{space 2} .5124592{col 45}{space 1}   -1.57{col 54}{space 3}0.116{col 62}{space 4}-1.810312{col 75}{space 3} .1984913
{txt}{space 13}highact {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .0267092{col 34}{space 2} .0331062{col 45}{space 1}    0.81{col 54}{space 3}0.420{col 62}{space 4}-.0381779{col 75}{space 3} .0915962
{txt}{space 9}institution {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1.625259{col 34}{space 2} .6341368{col 45}{space 1}    2.56{col 54}{space 3}0.010{col 62}{space 4} .3823738{col 75}{space 3} 2.868145
{txt}{space 12}cont_dum {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .7496594{col 34}{space 2} .4755672{col 45}{space 1}    1.58{col 54}{space 3}0.115{col 62}{space 4}-.1824351{col 75}{space 3} 1.681754
{txt}{space 15}multi {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .9245193{col 34}{space 2} .5263518{col 45}{space 1}    1.76{col 54}{space 3}0.079{col 62}{space 4}-.1071114{col 75}{space 3}  1.95615
{txt}{space 12}atopally {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  .266707{col 34}{space 2} .3580315{col 45}{space 1}    0.74{col 54}{space 3}0.456{col 62}{space 4}-.4350219{col 75}{space 3} .9684359
{txt}{space 2}idealpointdistance {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.1310696{col 34}{space 2} .1558114{col 45}{space 1}   -0.84{col 54}{space 3}0.400{col 62}{space 4}-.4364542{col 75}{space 3} .1743151
{txt}{space 15}ddyad {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-1.391115{col 34}{space 2} .8707579{col 45}{space 1}   -1.60{col 54}{space 3}0.110{col 62}{space 4}-3.097769{col 75}{space 3} .3155389
{txt}{space 14}demo_t {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .1367744{col 34}{space 2} .8411688{col 45}{space 1}    0.16{col 54}{space 3}0.871{col 62}{space 4}-1.511886{col 75}{space 3} 1.785435
{txt}{space 14}demo_s {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .4280641{col 34}{space 2} .6705527{col 45}{space 1}    0.64{col 54}{space 3}0.523{col 62}{space 4}-.8861951{col 75}{space 3} 1.742323
{txt}{space 13}lngdp_t {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .0191619{col 34}{space 2} .1452294{col 45}{space 1}    0.13{col 54}{space 3}0.895{col 62}{space 4}-.2654825{col 75}{space 3} .3038062
{txt}{space 13}lnpop_t {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.0137583{col 34}{space 2} .1700139{col 45}{space 1}   -0.08{col 54}{space 3}0.936{col 62}{space 4}-.3469794{col 75}{space 3} .3194628
{txt}{space 13}coldwar {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.3137491{col 34}{space 2} .3031937{col 45}{space 1}   -1.03{col 54}{space 3}0.301{col 62}{space 4}-.9079978{col 75}{space 3} .2804996
{txt}{space 14}us_dum {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .3575582{col 34}{space 2} .4311295{col 45}{space 1}    0.83{col 54}{space 3}0.407{col 62}{space 4}-.4874402{col 75}{space 3} 1.202557
{txt}{space 18}g1 {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.0394232{col 34}{space 2} .0455033{col 45}{space 1}   -0.87{col 54}{space 3}0.386{col 62}{space 4}-.1286081{col 75}{space 3} .0497616
{txt}{space 15}_cons {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.2407711{col 34}{space 2} 2.454808{col 45}{space 1}   -0.10{col 54}{space 3}0.922{col 62}{space 4}-5.052107{col 75}{space 3} 4.570564
{txt}{hline 21}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. margins, dydx(carrotonlyimposition) expression(invlogit(predict(xb)))
{res}
{txt}Average marginal effects{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       252
{txt}Model VCE{col 14}: {res}OIM

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:Expression}:{space 1}{res:invlogit(predict(xb))}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:dy/dx w.r.t.}:{space 1}{res:carrotonlyimposition}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{res}{txt}{hline 21}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 22}{c |}{col 34} Delta-method
{col 22}{c |}      dy/dx{col 34}   Std. Err.{col 46}      z{col 54}   P>|z|{col 62}     [95% Con{col 75}f. Interval]
{hline 21}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
carrotonlyimposition {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.3436748{col 34}{space 2} .1678004{col 45}{space 1}   -2.05{col 54}{space 3}0.041{col 62}{space 4}-.6725575{col 75}{space 3}-.0147921
{txt}{hline 21}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}{txt}
{com}. 
. *Table A9
. **Threat stage
. imb issue_dum highact institution ddyad us_dum, treatment (carrot_1)
{res}
{txt}Multivariate L1 distance: {res}.48550984

{txt}Univariate imbalance:

                  L1     mean      min      25%      50%      75%      max
  issue_dum  {res} .06991   .06991        0        0        0        0        0
{txt}    highact  {res} .12934   .94526        0        0        0        0       -3
{txt}institution  {res} .26826   .26826        0        0        0        1        0
{txt}      ddyad  {res} .29349  -.29349        0        0        0       -1        0
{txt}     us_dum  {res} .06562  -.06562        0        0       -1        0        0
{txt}
{com}. cem issue_dum(#0) highact(1.5 12.5 17.5 22.5) institution(#0) ddyad(#0) us_dum(#0), treatment (carrot_1) showbreak 
{txt}(using the scott break method for imbalance)
{res}{txt}Cutpoints:
issue_dum:{res} (user) 
  0
highact:{res} (user) 
       {txt}   1
    {c TLC}{hline 8}{c TRC}
  1 {c |}  {res} 1.5{txt}  {c |}
  2 {c |}  {res}12.5{txt}  {c |}
  3 {c |}  {res}17.5{txt}  {c |}
  4 {c |}  {res}22.5{txt}  {c |}
    {c BLC}{hline 8}{c BRC}
institution:{res} (user) 
  0
ddyad:{res} (user) 
  0
us_dum:{res} (user) 
  0

{txt}Matching Summary:
-----------------
Number of strata: {res}63
{txt}Number of matched strata: {res}17

           {txt}   0     1
      All  {res}1411    31
{txt}  Matched  {res}1080    31
{txt}Unmatched  {res} 331     0


{txt}Multivariate L1 distance: {res}.13655914

{txt}Univariate imbalance:

                  L1     mean      min      25%      50%      75%      max
  issue_dum  {res}7.1e-16  8.7e-16        0        0        0        0        0
{txt}    highact  {res} .13656  -.14071        0        0        0        0       -3
{txt}institution  {res}7.4e-15  6.1e-15        0        0        0        0        0
{txt}      ddyad  {res}3.4e-15  1.2e-15        0        0        0        0        .
{txt}     us_dum  {res}4.6e-15  3.6e-15        0        0        0        0        0
{txt}
{com}. **Imposition stage (before matching, hostility level: 3.183->0.225, democracy dyad: -0.286->0.286)
. imb issue_dum highact institution ddyad us_dum, treatment (carrotonlyimposition)
{txt}(using the scott break method for L1 distance)
{res}
{txt}Multivariate L1 distance: {res}.52301162

{txt}Univariate imbalance:

                  L1     mean      min      25%      50%      75%      max
  issue_dum  {res} .20264   .20264        0        0        0        0        0
{txt}    highact  {res} .22464   3.1831        0        0        0        8       -3
{txt}institution  {res} .15907   .15907        0        0        0        1        0
{txt}      ddyad  {res} .28642  -.28642        0        0        0       -1        0
{txt}     us_dum  {res} .12511   .12511        0        0        0        0        0
{txt}
{com}. cem issue_dum(#0) highact(1.5 12.5 17.5 22.5) institution(#0) ddyad(#0) us_dum(#0), treatment (carrotonlyimposition) showbreak
{txt}(using the scott break method for imbalance)
{res}{txt}Cutpoints:
issue_dum:{res} (user) 
  0
highact:{res} (user) 
       {txt}   1
    {c TLC}{hline 8}{c TRC}
  1 {c |}  {res} 1.5{txt}  {c |}
  2 {c |}  {res}12.5{txt}  {c |}
  3 {c |}  {res}17.5{txt}  {c |}
  4 {c |}  {res}22.5{txt}  {c |}
    {c BLC}{hline 8}{c BRC}
institution:{res} (user) 
  0
ddyad:{res} (user) 
  0
us_dum:{res} (user) 
  0

{txt}Matching Summary:
-----------------
Number of strata: {res}63
{txt}Number of matched strata: {res}19

           {txt}   0     1
      All  {res}1409    33
{txt}  Matched  {res}1042    33
{txt}Unmatched  {res} 367     0


{txt}Multivariate L1 distance: {res}.13852814

{txt}Univariate imbalance:

                   L1      mean       min       25%       50%       75%       max
  issue_dum  {res} 2.9e-15   2.8e-16         0         0         0         0         0
{txt}    highact  {res}  .11688    .16558         0         0         0         0        -3
{txt}institution  {res} 1.7e-15   5.6e-16         0         0         0         0         0
{txt}      ddyad  {res} 1.4e-15  -1.1e-15         0         0         0         .         .
{txt}     us_dum  {res} 9.2e-16   6.7e-16         0         0         0         0         0
{txt}
{com}. 
. *Table A10
. est clear
{txt}
{com}. cem issue_dum(#0) highact(1.5 12.5 17.5 22.5) institution(#0) ddyad(#0) us_dum(#0), treatment (carrot_1) showbreak 
{res}{txt}Cutpoints:
issue_dum:{res} (user) 
  0
highact:{res} (user) 
       {txt}   1
    {c TLC}{hline 8}{c TRC}
  1 {c |}  {res} 1.5{txt}  {c |}
  2 {c |}  {res}12.5{txt}  {c |}
  3 {c |}  {res}17.5{txt}  {c |}
  4 {c |}  {res}22.5{txt}  {c |}
    {c BLC}{hline 8}{c BRC}
institution:{res} (user) 
  0
ddyad:{res} (user) 
  0
us_dum:{res} (user) 
  0

{txt}Matching Summary:
-----------------
Number of strata: {res}63
{txt}Number of matched strata: {res}17

           {txt}   0     1
      All  {res}1411    31
{txt}  Matched  {res}1080    31
{txt}Unmatched  {res} 331     0


{txt}Multivariate L1 distance: {res}.13655914

{txt}Univariate imbalance:

                  L1     mean      min      25%      50%      75%      max
  issue_dum  {res}7.1e-16  8.7e-16        0        0        0        0        0
{txt}    highact  {res} .13656  -.14071        0        0        0        0       -3
{txt}institution  {res}7.4e-15  6.1e-15        0        0        0        0        0
{txt}      ddyad  {res}3.4e-15  1.2e-15        0        0        0        0        .
{txt}     us_dum  {res}4.6e-15  3.6e-15        0        0        0        0        0
{txt}
{com}. eststo: probit threatoutcome carrot_1 issue_dum highact institution cont_dum multi atopally idealpointdistance ddyad demo_t demo_s  lngdp_t lnpop_t coldwar [iweight=cem_weights], robust //5% okay

{txt}note: issue_dum != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      issue_dum dropped and 5 obs not used

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-241.81593}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-211.02891}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-210.06972}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-210.05633}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-210.05633}  
{res}
{txt}Probit regression{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       476
{txt}{col 49}Wald chi2({res}13{txt}){col 67}= {res}     23.23
{txt}{col 49}Prob > chi2{col 67}= {res}    0.0390
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-210.05633{txt}{col 49}Pseudo R2{col 67}= {res}    0.1313

{txt}{hline 19}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 20}{c |}{col 32}    Robust
{col 1}     threatoutcome{col 20}{c |}      Coef.{col 32}   Std. Err.{col 44}      z{col 52}   P>|z|{col 60}     [95% Con{col 73}f. Interval]
{hline 19}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 10}carrot_1 {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .7838422{col 32}{space 2} .4162508{col 43}{space 1}    1.88{col 52}{space 3}0.060{col 60}{space 4}-.0319944{col 73}{space 3} 1.599679
{txt}{space 9}issue_dum {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}        0{col 32}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 11}highact {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .0315927{col 32}{space 2} .0219563{col 43}{space 1}    1.44{col 52}{space 3}0.150{col 60}{space 4}-.0114408{col 73}{space 3} .0746263
{txt}{space 7}institution {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} -.008256{col 32}{space 2} .3357125{col 43}{space 1}   -0.02{col 52}{space 3}0.980{col 60}{space 4}-.6662404{col 73}{space 3} .6497284
{txt}{space 10}cont_dum {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.4057101{col 32}{space 2}  .385879{col 43}{space 1}   -1.05{col 52}{space 3}0.293{col 60}{space 4}-1.162019{col 73}{space 3} .3505989
{txt}{space 13}multi {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .0205751{col 32}{space 2} .3617361{col 43}{space 1}    0.06{col 52}{space 3}0.955{col 60}{space 4}-.6884147{col 73}{space 3} .7295648
{txt}{space 10}atopally {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}  .254849{col 32}{space 2}  .261556{col 43}{space 1}    0.97{col 52}{space 3}0.330{col 60}{space 4}-.2577914{col 73}{space 3} .7674893
{txt}idealpointdistance {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.0058801{col 32}{space 2} .1045601{col 43}{space 1}   -0.06{col 52}{space 3}0.955{col 60}{space 4}-.2108141{col 73}{space 3} .1990539
{txt}{space 13}ddyad {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-1.115595{col 32}{space 2} .6493141{col 43}{space 1}   -1.72{col 52}{space 3}0.086{col 60}{space 4}-2.388227{col 73}{space 3} .1570375
{txt}{space 12}demo_t {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 1.023509{col 32}{space 2}  .604661{col 43}{space 1}    1.69{col 52}{space 3}0.091{col 60}{space 4}-.1616053{col 73}{space 3} 2.208622
{txt}{space 12}demo_s {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 1.404374{col 32}{space 2} .5271462{col 43}{space 1}    2.66{col 52}{space 3}0.008{col 60}{space 4} .3711867{col 73}{space 3} 2.437562
{txt}{space 11}lngdp_t {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .0350147{col 32}{space 2} .1022698{col 43}{space 1}    0.34{col 52}{space 3}0.732{col 60}{space 4}-.1654304{col 73}{space 3} .2354598
{txt}{space 11}lnpop_t {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .1687085{col 32}{space 2} .1191246{col 43}{space 1}    1.42{col 52}{space 3}0.157{col 60}{space 4}-.0647714{col 73}{space 3} .4021883
{txt}{space 11}coldwar {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.2102739{col 32}{space 2} .2198268{col 43}{space 1}   -0.96{col 52}{space 3}0.339{col 60}{space 4}-.6411266{col 73}{space 3} .2205788
{txt}{space 13}_cons {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-4.713105{col 32}{space 2}  1.84253{col 43}{space 1}   -2.56{col 52}{space 3}0.011{col 60}{space 4}-8.324397{col 73}{space 3}-1.101812
{txt}{hline 19}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
({res}est1{txt} stored)

{com}. eststo: probit threatoutcome carrot_1 issue_dum highact institution cont_dum multi atopally idealpointdistance ddyad demo_t demo_s  lngdp_t lnpop_t coldwar us_dum [iweight=cem_weights], robust //5% okay

{txt}note: issue_dum != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      issue_dum dropped and 5 obs not used

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-241.81593}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-200.17902}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-198.80825}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-198.76986}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-198.76985}  
{res}
{txt}Probit regression{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       476
{txt}{col 49}Wald chi2({res}14{txt}){col 67}= {res}     33.32
{txt}{col 49}Prob > chi2{col 67}= {res}    0.0026
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-198.76985{txt}{col 49}Pseudo R2{col 67}= {res}    0.1780

{txt}{hline 19}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 20}{c |}{col 32}    Robust
{col 1}     threatoutcome{col 20}{c |}      Coef.{col 32}   Std. Err.{col 44}      z{col 52}   P>|z|{col 60}     [95% Con{col 73}f. Interval]
{hline 19}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 10}carrot_1 {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .9884177{col 32}{space 2} .4369394{col 43}{space 1}    2.26{col 52}{space 3}0.024{col 60}{space 4} .1320323{col 73}{space 3} 1.844803
{txt}{space 9}issue_dum {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}        0{col 32}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 11}highact {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .0249391{col 32}{space 2} .0226235{col 43}{space 1}    1.10{col 52}{space 3}0.270{col 60}{space 4}-.0194023{col 73}{space 3} .0692804
{txt}{space 7}institution {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .0493368{col 32}{space 2} .3090336{col 43}{space 1}    0.16{col 52}{space 3}0.873{col 60}{space 4} -.556358{col 73}{space 3} .6550315
{txt}{space 10}cont_dum {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.2407136{col 32}{space 2} .3606632{col 43}{space 1}   -0.67{col 52}{space 3}0.505{col 60}{space 4}-.9476005{col 73}{space 3} .4661733
{txt}{space 13}multi {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .1330972{col 32}{space 2} .3431643{col 43}{space 1}    0.39{col 52}{space 3}0.698{col 60}{space 4}-.5394925{col 73}{space 3}  .805687
{txt}{space 10}atopally {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.0759622{col 32}{space 2} .2667762{col 43}{space 1}   -0.28{col 52}{space 3}0.776{col 60}{space 4} -.598834{col 73}{space 3} .4469095
{txt}idealpointdistance {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.2443795{col 32}{space 2} .1266027{col 43}{space 1}   -1.93{col 52}{space 3}0.054{col 60}{space 4}-.4925163{col 73}{space 3} .0037573
{txt}{space 13}ddyad {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-1.375533{col 32}{space 2} .6888718{col 43}{space 1}   -2.00{col 52}{space 3}0.046{col 60}{space 4}-2.725697{col 73}{space 3}-.0253686
{txt}{space 12}demo_t {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 1.248257{col 32}{space 2} .6497156{col 43}{space 1}    1.92{col 52}{space 3}0.055{col 60}{space 4}-.0251621{col 73}{space 3} 2.521676
{txt}{space 12}demo_s {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .9730111{col 32}{space 2} .5631044{col 43}{space 1}    1.73{col 52}{space 3}0.084{col 60}{space 4}-.1306532{col 73}{space 3} 2.076675
{txt}{space 11}lngdp_t {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .0555972{col 32}{space 2} .1002401{col 43}{space 1}    0.55{col 52}{space 3}0.579{col 60}{space 4}-.1408698{col 73}{space 3} .2520641
{txt}{space 11}lnpop_t {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}  .176394{col 32}{space 2} .1152036{col 43}{space 1}    1.53{col 52}{space 3}0.126{col 60}{space 4}-.0494009{col 73}{space 3}  .402189
{txt}{space 11}coldwar {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.3041122{col 32}{space 2} .2286762{col 43}{space 1}   -1.33{col 52}{space 3}0.184{col 60}{space 4}-.7523093{col 73}{space 3} .1440849
{txt}{space 12}us_dum {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 1.134531{col 32}{space 2} .3032481{col 43}{space 1}    3.74{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4} .5401756{col 73}{space 3} 1.728886
{txt}{space 13}_cons {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-4.995314{col 32}{space 2} 1.835929{col 43}{space 1}   -2.72{col 52}{space 3}0.007{col 60}{space 4} -8.59367{col 73}{space 3}-1.396958
{txt}{hline 19}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
({res}est2{txt} stored)

{com}. eststo: probit threatoutcome carrot_1 issue_dum highact institution cont_dum multi atopally idealpointdistance ddyad demo_t demo_s  lngdp_t lnpop_t coldwar us_dum y1[iweight=cem_weights], robust //5% okay

{txt}note: issue_dum != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      issue_dum dropped and 5 obs not used

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-229.48458}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-186.61697}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-184.33107}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-184.00498}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-183.95365}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-183.94652}  
Iteration 6:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-183.94554}  
Iteration 7:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-183.94535}  
Iteration 8:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-183.94531}  
Iteration 9:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-183.94531}  
{res}
{txt}Probit regression{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       456
{txt}{col 49}Wald chi2({res}15{txt}){col 67}= {res}    639.76
{txt}{col 49}Prob > chi2{col 67}= {res}    0.0000
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-183.94531{txt}{col 49}Pseudo R2{col 67}= {res}    0.1984

{txt}{hline 19}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 20}{c |}{col 32}    Robust
{col 1}     threatoutcome{col 20}{c |}      Coef.{col 32}   Std. Err.{col 44}      z{col 52}   P>|z|{col 60}     [95% Con{col 73}f. Interval]
{hline 19}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 10}carrot_1 {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .8092969{col 32}{space 2} .4657595{col 43}{space 1}    1.74{col 52}{space 3}0.082{col 60}{space 4} -.103575{col 73}{space 3} 1.722169
{txt}{space 9}issue_dum {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}        0{col 32}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 11}highact {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .0267059{col 32}{space 2} .0229808{col 43}{space 1}    1.16{col 52}{space 3}0.245{col 60}{space 4}-.0183356{col 73}{space 3} .0717473
{txt}{space 7}institution {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.3005993{col 32}{space 2} .2939564{col 43}{space 1}   -1.02{col 52}{space 3}0.306{col 60}{space 4}-.8767433{col 73}{space 3} .2755447
{txt}{space 10}cont_dum {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.1163854{col 32}{space 2} .3537797{col 43}{space 1}   -0.33{col 52}{space 3}0.742{col 60}{space 4}-.8097808{col 73}{space 3}   .57701
{txt}{space 13}multi {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .5437165{col 32}{space 2} .3231893{col 43}{space 1}    1.68{col 52}{space 3}0.093{col 60}{space 4}-.0897228{col 73}{space 3} 1.177156
{txt}{space 10}atopally {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.1579469{col 32}{space 2} .2768746{col 43}{space 1}   -0.57{col 52}{space 3}0.568{col 60}{space 4}-.7006112{col 73}{space 3} .3847173
{txt}idealpointdistance {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.2818506{col 32}{space 2} .1288051{col 43}{space 1}   -2.19{col 52}{space 3}0.029{col 60}{space 4}-.5343039{col 73}{space 3}-.0293973
{txt}{space 13}ddyad {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-5.352054{col 32}{space 2} .6220652{col 43}{space 1}   -8.60{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4}-6.571279{col 73}{space 3}-4.132829
{txt}{space 12}demo_t {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}  5.12118{col 32}{space 2} .5472032{col 43}{space 1}    9.36{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4} 4.048681{col 73}{space 3} 6.193678
{txt}{space 12}demo_s {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 4.762741{col 32}{space 2}  .448374{col 43}{space 1}   10.62{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4} 3.883944{col 73}{space 3} 5.641538
{txt}{space 11}lngdp_t {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .0509976{col 32}{space 2} .1021493{col 43}{space 1}    0.50{col 52}{space 3}0.618{col 60}{space 4}-.1492112{col 73}{space 3} .2512065
{txt}{space 11}lnpop_t {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .2082179{col 32}{space 2} .1179977{col 43}{space 1}    1.76{col 52}{space 3}0.078{col 60}{space 4}-.0230533{col 73}{space 3} .4394891
{txt}{space 11}coldwar {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} -.219639{col 32}{space 2} .2339061{col 43}{space 1}   -0.94{col 52}{space 3}0.348{col 60}{space 4}-.6780865{col 73}{space 3} .2388085
{txt}{space 12}us_dum {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 1.060636{col 32}{space 2} .3082339{col 43}{space 1}    3.44{col 52}{space 3}0.001{col 60}{space 4} .4565084{col 73}{space 3} 1.664763
{txt}{space 16}y1 {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}  .157966{col 32}{space 2} .0801019{col 43}{space 1}    1.97{col 52}{space 3}0.049{col 60}{space 4} .0009693{col 73}{space 3} .3149628
{txt}{space 13}_cons {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-8.952894{col 32}{space 2} 1.863731{col 43}{space 1}   -4.80{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4}-12.60574{col 73}{space 3} -5.30005
{txt}{hline 19}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{p 0 6 2}Note: 9 failures and 0 successes completely determined.{p_end}
({res}est3{txt} stored)

{com}. cem issue_dum(#0) highact(1.5 12.5 17.5 22.5) institution(#0) ddyad(#0) us_dum(#0), treatment (carrotonlyimposition) showbreak
{res}{txt}Cutpoints:
issue_dum:{res} (user) 
  0
highact:{res} (user) 
       {txt}   1
    {c TLC}{hline 8}{c TRC}
  1 {c |}  {res} 1.5{txt}  {c |}
  2 {c |}  {res}12.5{txt}  {c |}
  3 {c |}  {res}17.5{txt}  {c |}
  4 {c |}  {res}22.5{txt}  {c |}
    {c BLC}{hline 8}{c BRC}
institution:{res} (user) 
  0
ddyad:{res} (user) 
  0
us_dum:{res} (user) 
  0

{txt}Matching Summary:
-----------------
Number of strata: {res}63
{txt}Number of matched strata: {res}19

           {txt}   0     1
      All  {res}1409    33
{txt}  Matched  {res}1042    33
{txt}Unmatched  {res} 367     0


{txt}Multivariate L1 distance: {res}.13852814

{txt}Univariate imbalance:

                   L1      mean       min       25%       50%       75%       max
  issue_dum  {res} 2.9e-15   2.8e-16         0         0         0         0         0
{txt}    highact  {res}  .11688    .16558         0         0         0         0        -3
{txt}institution  {res} 1.7e-15   5.6e-16         0         0         0         0         0
{txt}      ddyad  {res} 1.4e-15  -1.1e-15         0         0         0         .         .
{txt}     us_dum  {res} 9.2e-16   6.7e-16         0         0         0         0         0
{txt}
{com}. eststo: probit impositionoutcome carrotonlyimposition issue_dum highact institution cont_dum multi atopally idealpointdistance ddyad demo_t demo_s  lngdp_t lnpop_t coldwar [iweight=cem_weights], robust //5%

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-173.61375}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-126.80522}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-124.09594}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-124.01845}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-124.01808}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-124.01808}  
{res}
{txt}Probit regression{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       249
{txt}{col 49}Wald chi2({res}14{txt}){col 67}= {res}     61.15
{txt}{col 49}Prob > chi2{col 67}= {res}    0.0000
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-124.01808{txt}{col 49}Pseudo R2{col 67}= {res}    0.2857

{txt}{hline 21}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 22}{c |}{col 34}    Robust
{col 1}   impositionoutcome{col 22}{c |}      Coef.{col 34}   Std. Err.{col 46}      z{col 54}   P>|z|{col 62}     [95% Con{col 75}f. Interval]
{hline 21}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
carrotonlyimposition {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-1.164282{col 34}{space 2} .6699189{col 45}{space 1}   -1.74{col 54}{space 3}0.082{col 62}{space 4}-2.477299{col 75}{space 3} .1487349
{txt}{space 11}issue_dum {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.6578634{col 34}{space 2} .4444971{col 45}{space 1}   -1.48{col 54}{space 3}0.139{col 62}{space 4}-1.529062{col 75}{space 3} .2133348
{txt}{space 13}highact {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  .137063{col 34}{space 2} .0323932{col 45}{space 1}    4.23{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} .0735735{col 75}{space 3} .2005524
{txt}{space 9}institution {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.0514999{col 34}{space 2} .7346298{col 45}{space 1}   -0.07{col 54}{space 3}0.944{col 62}{space 4}-1.491348{col 75}{space 3} 1.388348
{txt}{space 12}cont_dum {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .0578957{col 34}{space 2} .3965441{col 45}{space 1}    0.15{col 54}{space 3}0.884{col 62}{space 4}-.7193164{col 75}{space 3} .8351079
{txt}{space 15}multi {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .4072268{col 34}{space 2} .4677348{col 45}{space 1}    0.87{col 54}{space 3}0.384{col 62}{space 4}-.5095166{col 75}{space 3}  1.32397
{txt}{space 12}atopally {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .9699707{col 34}{space 2} .4229626{col 45}{space 1}    2.29{col 54}{space 3}0.022{col 62}{space 4} .1409792{col 75}{space 3} 1.798962
{txt}{space 2}idealpointdistance {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .2116654{col 34}{space 2}  .152268{col 45}{space 1}    1.39{col 54}{space 3}0.165{col 62}{space 4}-.0867744{col 75}{space 3} .5101053
{txt}{space 15}ddyad {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} -.058713{col 34}{space 2} .7004993{col 45}{space 1}   -0.08{col 54}{space 3}0.933{col 62}{space 4}-1.431666{col 75}{space 3}  1.31424
{txt}{space 14}demo_t {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.4311201{col 34}{space 2} .6832032{col 45}{space 1}   -0.63{col 54}{space 3}0.528{col 62}{space 4}-1.770174{col 75}{space 3} .9079336
{txt}{space 14}demo_s {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.7337355{col 34}{space 2} .5305601{col 45}{space 1}   -1.38{col 54}{space 3}0.167{col 62}{space 4}-1.773614{col 75}{space 3} .3061431
{txt}{space 13}lngdp_t {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.2779326{col 34}{space 2} .1551227{col 45}{space 1}   -1.79{col 54}{space 3}0.073{col 62}{space 4}-.5819675{col 75}{space 3} .0261023
{txt}{space 13}lnpop_t {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .3497619{col 34}{space 2} .1746819{col 45}{space 1}    2.00{col 54}{space 3}0.045{col 62}{space 4} .0073917{col 75}{space 3} .6921322
{txt}{space 13}coldwar {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} -.016587{col 34}{space 2} .2632243{col 45}{space 1}   -0.06{col 54}{space 3}0.950{col 62}{space 4}-.5324972{col 75}{space 3} .4993232
{txt}{space 15}_cons {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 3.395427{col 34}{space 2} 2.839711{col 45}{space 1}    1.20{col 54}{space 3}0.232{col 62}{space 4}-2.170304{col 75}{space 3} 8.961158
{txt}{hline 21}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
({res}est4{txt} stored)

{com}. eststo: probit impositionoutcome carrotonlyimposition issue_dum highact institution cont_dum multi atopally idealpointdistance ddyad demo_t demo_s  lngdp_t lnpop_t coldwar us_dum [iweight=cem_weights], robust //5%

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-173.61375}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-126.54749}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-123.85081}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-123.77204}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-123.77164}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-123.77164}  
{res}
{txt}Probit regression{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       249
{txt}{col 49}Wald chi2({res}15{txt}){col 67}= {res}     62.21
{txt}{col 49}Prob > chi2{col 67}= {res}    0.0000
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-123.77164{txt}{col 49}Pseudo R2{col 67}= {res}    0.2871

{txt}{hline 21}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 22}{c |}{col 34}    Robust
{col 1}   impositionoutcome{col 22}{c |}      Coef.{col 34}   Std. Err.{col 46}      z{col 54}   P>|z|{col 62}     [95% Con{col 75}f. Interval]
{hline 21}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
carrotonlyimposition {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-1.122187{col 34}{space 2} .6524907{col 45}{space 1}   -1.72{col 54}{space 3}0.085{col 62}{space 4}-2.401045{col 75}{space 3} .1566713
{txt}{space 11}issue_dum {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.6256717{col 34}{space 2} .4436143{col 45}{space 1}   -1.41{col 54}{space 3}0.158{col 62}{space 4} -1.49514{col 75}{space 3} .2437964
{txt}{space 13}highact {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .1355308{col 34}{space 2} .0325074{col 45}{space 1}    4.17{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} .0718175{col 75}{space 3} .1992441
{txt}{space 9}institution {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.0531306{col 34}{space 2} .7345098{col 45}{space 1}   -0.07{col 54}{space 3}0.942{col 62}{space 4}-1.492743{col 75}{space 3} 1.386482
{txt}{space 12}cont_dum {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.0103656{col 34}{space 2} .4069109{col 45}{space 1}   -0.03{col 54}{space 3}0.980{col 62}{space 4}-.8078964{col 75}{space 3} .7871651
{txt}{space 15}multi {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .4144328{col 34}{space 2} .4671524{col 45}{space 1}    0.89{col 54}{space 3}0.375{col 62}{space 4}-.5011691{col 75}{space 3} 1.330035
{txt}{space 12}atopally {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1.024261{col 34}{space 2} .4440413{col 45}{space 1}    2.31{col 54}{space 3}0.021{col 62}{space 4}  .153956{col 75}{space 3} 1.894566
{txt}{space 2}idealpointdistance {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .2449922{col 34}{space 2} .1708211{col 45}{space 1}    1.43{col 54}{space 3}0.152{col 62}{space 4}-.0898109{col 75}{space 3} .5797954
{txt}{space 15}ddyad {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.0508364{col 34}{space 2} .7045373{col 45}{space 1}   -0.07{col 54}{space 3}0.942{col 62}{space 4}-1.431704{col 75}{space 3} 1.330031
{txt}{space 14}demo_t {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.4839929{col 34}{space 2} .6922534{col 45}{space 1}   -0.70{col 54}{space 3}0.484{col 62}{space 4}-1.840785{col 75}{space 3} .8727988
{txt}{space 14}demo_s {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.6056104{col 34}{space 2} .5164046{col 45}{space 1}   -1.17{col 54}{space 3}0.241{col 62}{space 4}-1.617745{col 75}{space 3}  .406524
{txt}{space 13}lngdp_t {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.2826966{col 34}{space 2} .1563594{col 45}{space 1}   -1.81{col 54}{space 3}0.071{col 62}{space 4}-.5891553{col 75}{space 3} .0237621
{txt}{space 13}lnpop_t {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .3427882{col 34}{space 2} .1731533{col 45}{space 1}    1.98{col 54}{space 3}0.048{col 62}{space 4}  .003414{col 75}{space 3} .6821623
{txt}{space 13}coldwar {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.0255022{col 34}{space 2} .2631037{col 45}{space 1}   -0.10{col 54}{space 3}0.923{col 62}{space 4}-.5411759{col 75}{space 3} .4901716
{txt}{space 14}us_dum {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.2760803{col 34}{space 2} .4085555{col 45}{space 1}   -0.68{col 54}{space 3}0.499{col 62}{space 4}-1.076834{col 75}{space 3} .5246737
{txt}{space 15}_cons {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 3.571939{col 34}{space 2}  2.89884{col 45}{space 1}    1.23{col 54}{space 3}0.218{col 62}{space 4}-2.109683{col 75}{space 3} 9.253562
{txt}{hline 21}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
({res}est5{txt} stored)

{com}. eststo: probit impositionoutcome carrotonlyimposition issue_dum highact institution cont_dum multi atopally idealpointdistance ddyad demo_t demo_s  lngdp_t lnpop_t coldwar us_dum g1[iweight=cem_weights], robust //5%

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-127.48827}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-86.947316}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-84.705467}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-84.569903}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-84.569166}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-84.569166}  
{res}
{txt}Probit regression{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       209
{txt}{col 49}Wald chi2({res}16{txt}){col 67}= {res}     72.84
{txt}{col 49}Prob > chi2{col 67}= {res}    0.0000
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-84.569166{txt}{col 49}Pseudo R2{col 67}= {res}    0.3367

{txt}{hline 21}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 22}{c |}{col 34}    Robust
{col 1}   impositionoutcome{col 22}{c |}      Coef.{col 34}   Std. Err.{col 46}      z{col 54}   P>|z|{col 62}     [95% Con{col 75}f. Interval]
{hline 21}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
carrotonlyimposition {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-1.716885{col 34}{space 2}  .643035{col 45}{space 1}   -2.67{col 54}{space 3}0.008{col 62}{space 4} -2.97721{col 75}{space 3}-.4565593
{txt}{space 11}issue_dum {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.0714536{col 34}{space 2} .4409026{col 45}{space 1}   -0.16{col 54}{space 3}0.871{col 62}{space 4}-.9356069{col 75}{space 3} .7926996
{txt}{space 13}highact {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .1465131{col 34}{space 2} .0318596{col 45}{space 1}    4.60{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} .0840694{col 75}{space 3} .2089568
{txt}{space 9}institution {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1.162273{col 34}{space 2} .7278467{col 45}{space 1}    1.60{col 54}{space 3}0.110{col 62}{space 4}-.2642802{col 75}{space 3} 2.588827
{txt}{space 12}cont_dum {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .3114485{col 34}{space 2} .3931411{col 45}{space 1}    0.79{col 54}{space 3}0.428{col 62}{space 4}-.4590939{col 75}{space 3} 1.081991
{txt}{space 15}multi {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .2627294{col 34}{space 2}  .552813{col 45}{space 1}    0.48{col 54}{space 3}0.635{col 62}{space 4}-.8207642{col 75}{space 3} 1.346223
{txt}{space 12}atopally {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .4715502{col 34}{space 2} .3488586{col 45}{space 1}    1.35{col 54}{space 3}0.176{col 62}{space 4}-.2122001{col 75}{space 3}   1.1553
{txt}{space 2}idealpointdistance {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .1363407{col 34}{space 2} .1458384{col 45}{space 1}    0.93{col 54}{space 3}0.350{col 62}{space 4}-.1494972{col 75}{space 3} .4221787
{txt}{space 15}ddyad {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .1667652{col 34}{space 2} .6990788{col 45}{space 1}    0.24{col 54}{space 3}0.811{col 62}{space 4}-1.203404{col 75}{space 3} 1.536934
{txt}{space 14}demo_t {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.3540489{col 34}{space 2}  .703355{col 45}{space 1}   -0.50{col 54}{space 3}0.615{col 62}{space 4}-1.732599{col 75}{space 3} 1.024502
{txt}{space 14}demo_s {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} -.775599{col 34}{space 2} .5506744{col 45}{space 1}   -1.41{col 54}{space 3}0.159{col 62}{space 4}-1.854901{col 75}{space 3}  .303703
{txt}{space 13}lngdp_t {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.2177654{col 34}{space 2} .1781193{col 45}{space 1}   -1.22{col 54}{space 3}0.221{col 62}{space 4}-.5668727{col 75}{space 3}  .131342
{txt}{space 13}lnpop_t {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .2425686{col 34}{space 2} .2194879{col 45}{space 1}    1.11{col 54}{space 3}0.269{col 62}{space 4}-.1876198{col 75}{space 3}  .672757
{txt}{space 13}coldwar {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.4234865{col 34}{space 2} .2693889{col 45}{space 1}   -1.57{col 54}{space 3}0.116{col 62}{space 4}-.9514791{col 75}{space 3} .1045061
{txt}{space 14}us_dum {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.3710322{col 34}{space 2} .3805468{col 45}{space 1}   -0.97{col 54}{space 3}0.330{col 62}{space 4} -1.11689{col 75}{space 3} .3748257
{txt}{space 18}g1 {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .0764977{col 34}{space 2} .0517521{col 45}{space 1}    1.48{col 54}{space 3}0.139{col 62}{space 4}-.0249345{col 75}{space 3} .1779299
{txt}{space 15}_cons {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 3.417309{col 34}{space 2} 2.918464{col 45}{space 1}    1.17{col 54}{space 3}0.242{col 62}{space 4}-2.302775{col 75}{space 3} 9.137394
{txt}{hline 21}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
({res}est6{txt} stored)

{com}. esttab, starlevel(* 0.10 ** 0.05 *** 0.01) p compress nogap
{res}
{txt}{hline 88}
{txt}                 (1)          (2)          (3)          (4)          (5)          (6)   
{txt}           threato~e    threato~e    threato~e    imposit~e    imposit~e    imposit~e   
{txt}{hline 88}
{res}main                                                                                    {txt}
{txt}carrot_1  {res}     0.784*       0.988**      0.809*                                         {txt}
          {res} {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.060{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.024{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.082{txt:)}}                                          {txt}
{txt}issue_dum {res}         0            0            0       -0.658       -0.626      -0.0715   {txt}
          {res} {ralign 9:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.139{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.158{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.871{txt:)}}   {txt}
{txt}highact   {res}    0.0316       0.0249       0.0267        0.137***     0.136***     0.147***{txt}
          {res} {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.150{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.270{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.245{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.000{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.000{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.000{txt:)}}   {txt}
{txt}institut~n{res}  -0.00826       0.0493       -0.301      -0.0515      -0.0531        1.162   {txt}
          {res} {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.980{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.873{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.306{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.944{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.942{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.110{txt:)}}   {txt}
{txt}cont_dum  {res}    -0.406       -0.241       -0.116       0.0579      -0.0104        0.311   {txt}
          {res} {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.293{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.505{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.742{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.884{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.980{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.428{txt:)}}   {txt}
{txt}multi     {res}    0.0206        0.133        0.544*       0.407        0.414        0.263   {txt}
          {res} {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.955{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.698{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.093{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.384{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.375{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.635{txt:)}}   {txt}
{txt}atopally  {res}     0.255      -0.0760       -0.158        0.970**      1.024**      0.472   {txt}
          {res} {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.330{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.776{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.568{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.022{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.021{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.176{txt:)}}   {txt}
{txt}idealpoi~e{res}  -0.00588       -0.244*      -0.282**      0.212        0.245        0.136   {txt}
          {res} {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.955{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.054{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.029{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.165{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.152{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.350{txt:)}}   {txt}
{txt}ddyad     {res}    -1.116*      -1.376**     -5.352***   -0.0587      -0.0508        0.167   {txt}
          {res} {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.086{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.046{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.000{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.933{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.942{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.811{txt:)}}   {txt}
{txt}demo_t    {res}     1.024*       1.248*       5.121***    -0.431       -0.484       -0.354   {txt}
          {res} {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.091{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.055{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.000{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.528{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.484{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.615{txt:)}}   {txt}
{txt}demo_s    {res}     1.404***     0.973*       4.763***    -0.734       -0.606       -0.776   {txt}
          {res} {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.008{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.084{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.000{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.167{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.241{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.159{txt:)}}   {txt}
{txt}lngdp_t   {res}    0.0350       0.0556       0.0510       -0.278*      -0.283*      -0.218   {txt}
          {res} {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.732{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.579{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.618{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.073{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.071{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.221{txt:)}}   {txt}
{txt}lnpop_t   {res}     0.169        0.176        0.208*       0.350**      0.343**      0.243   {txt}
          {res} {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.157{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.126{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.078{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.045{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.048{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.269{txt:)}}   {txt}
{txt}coldwar   {res}    -0.210       -0.304       -0.220      -0.0166      -0.0255       -0.423   {txt}
          {res} {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.339{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.184{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.348{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.950{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.923{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.116{txt:)}}   {txt}
{txt}us_dum    {res}                  1.135***     1.061***                 -0.276       -0.371   {txt}
          {res}              {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.000{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.001{txt:)}}                 {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.499{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.330{txt:)}}   {txt}
{txt}y1        {res}                               0.158**                                        {txt}
          {res}                           {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.049{txt:)}}                                          {txt}
{txt}carroton~n{res}                                           -1.164*      -1.122*      -1.717***{txt}
          {res}                                        {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.082{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.085{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.008{txt:)}}   {txt}
{txt}g1        {res}                                                                     0.0765   {txt}
          {res}                                                                  {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.139{txt:)}}   {txt}
{txt}_cons     {res}    -4.713**     -4.995***    -8.953***     3.395        3.572        3.417   {txt}
          {res} {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.011{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.007{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.000{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.232{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.218{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.242{txt:)}}   {txt}
{txt}{hline 88}
{txt}N         {res}       476          476          456          249          249          209   {txt}
{txt}{hline 88}
{txt}p-values in parentheses
{txt}* p<0.10, ** p<0.05, *** p<0.01

{com}. 
. 
. *Table A11
. **Threat stage
. cem issue_dum(#0) highact(1.5 12.5 17.5 22.5) institution(#0) ddyad(#0) us_dum(#0), treatment (carrot_1) showbreak 
{res}{txt}Cutpoints:
issue_dum:{res} (user) 
  0
highact:{res} (user) 
       {txt}   1
    {c TLC}{hline 8}{c TRC}
  1 {c |}  {res} 1.5{txt}  {c |}
  2 {c |}  {res}12.5{txt}  {c |}
  3 {c |}  {res}17.5{txt}  {c |}
  4 {c |}  {res}22.5{txt}  {c |}
    {c BLC}{hline 8}{c BRC}
institution:{res} (user) 
  0
ddyad:{res} (user) 
  0
us_dum:{res} (user) 
  0

{txt}Matching Summary:
-----------------
Number of strata: {res}63
{txt}Number of matched strata: {res}17

           {txt}   0     1
      All  {res}1411    31
{txt}  Matched  {res}1080    31
{txt}Unmatched  {res} 331     0


{txt}Multivariate L1 distance: {res}.13655914

{txt}Univariate imbalance:

                  L1     mean      min      25%      50%      75%      max
  issue_dum  {res}7.1e-16  8.7e-16        0        0        0        0        0
{txt}    highact  {res} .13656  -.14071        0        0        0        0       -3
{txt}institution  {res}7.4e-15  6.1e-15        0        0        0        0        0
{txt}      ddyad  {res}3.4e-15  1.2e-15        0        0        0        0        .
{txt}     us_dum  {res}4.6e-15  3.6e-15        0        0        0        0        0
{txt}
{com}. probit threatoutcome carrot_1 issue_dum highact institution cont_dum multi atopally idealpointdistance ddyad demo_t demo_s  lngdp_t lnpop_t coldwar [iweight=cem_weights], robust //5% okay

{txt}note: issue_dum != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      issue_dum dropped and 5 obs not used

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-241.81593}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-211.02891}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-210.06972}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-210.05633}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-210.05633}  
{res}
{txt}Probit regression{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       476
{txt}{col 49}Wald chi2({res}13{txt}){col 67}= {res}     23.23
{txt}{col 49}Prob > chi2{col 67}= {res}    0.0390
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-210.05633{txt}{col 49}Pseudo R2{col 67}= {res}    0.1313

{txt}{hline 19}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 20}{c |}{col 32}    Robust
{col 1}     threatoutcome{col 20}{c |}      Coef.{col 32}   Std. Err.{col 44}      z{col 52}   P>|z|{col 60}     [95% Con{col 73}f. Interval]
{hline 19}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 10}carrot_1 {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .7838422{col 32}{space 2} .4162508{col 43}{space 1}    1.88{col 52}{space 3}0.060{col 60}{space 4}-.0319944{col 73}{space 3} 1.599679
{txt}{space 9}issue_dum {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}        0{col 32}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 11}highact {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .0315927{col 32}{space 2} .0219563{col 43}{space 1}    1.44{col 52}{space 3}0.150{col 60}{space 4}-.0114408{col 73}{space 3} .0746263
{txt}{space 7}institution {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} -.008256{col 32}{space 2} .3357125{col 43}{space 1}   -0.02{col 52}{space 3}0.980{col 60}{space 4}-.6662404{col 73}{space 3} .6497284
{txt}{space 10}cont_dum {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.4057101{col 32}{space 2}  .385879{col 43}{space 1}   -1.05{col 52}{space 3}0.293{col 60}{space 4}-1.162019{col 73}{space 3} .3505989
{txt}{space 13}multi {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .0205751{col 32}{space 2} .3617361{col 43}{space 1}    0.06{col 52}{space 3}0.955{col 60}{space 4}-.6884147{col 73}{space 3} .7295648
{txt}{space 10}atopally {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}  .254849{col 32}{space 2}  .261556{col 43}{space 1}    0.97{col 52}{space 3}0.330{col 60}{space 4}-.2577914{col 73}{space 3} .7674893
{txt}idealpointdistance {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.0058801{col 32}{space 2} .1045601{col 43}{space 1}   -0.06{col 52}{space 3}0.955{col 60}{space 4}-.2108141{col 73}{space 3} .1990539
{txt}{space 13}ddyad {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-1.115595{col 32}{space 2} .6493141{col 43}{space 1}   -1.72{col 52}{space 3}0.086{col 60}{space 4}-2.388227{col 73}{space 3} .1570375
{txt}{space 12}demo_t {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 1.023509{col 32}{space 2}  .604661{col 43}{space 1}    1.69{col 52}{space 3}0.091{col 60}{space 4}-.1616053{col 73}{space 3} 2.208622
{txt}{space 12}demo_s {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 1.404374{col 32}{space 2} .5271462{col 43}{space 1}    2.66{col 52}{space 3}0.008{col 60}{space 4} .3711867{col 73}{space 3} 2.437562
{txt}{space 11}lngdp_t {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .0350147{col 32}{space 2} .1022698{col 43}{space 1}    0.34{col 52}{space 3}0.732{col 60}{space 4}-.1654304{col 73}{space 3} .2354598
{txt}{space 11}lnpop_t {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .1687085{col 32}{space 2} .1191246{col 43}{space 1}    1.42{col 52}{space 3}0.157{col 60}{space 4}-.0647714{col 73}{space 3} .4021883
{txt}{space 11}coldwar {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.2102739{col 32}{space 2} .2198268{col 43}{space 1}   -0.96{col 52}{space 3}0.339{col 60}{space 4}-.6411266{col 73}{space 3} .2205788
{txt}{space 13}_cons {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-4.713105{col 32}{space 2}  1.84253{col 43}{space 1}   -2.56{col 52}{space 3}0.011{col 60}{space 4}-8.324397{col 73}{space 3}-1.101812
{txt}{hline 19}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. margins, dydx(carrot_1) force
{res}
{txt}Average marginal effects{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       476
{txt}Model VCE{col 14}: {res}Robust

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:Expression}:{space 1}{res:Pr(threatoutcome), predict()}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:dy/dx w.r.t.}:{space 1}{res:carrot_1}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{res}{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}{col 26} Delta-method
{col 14}{c |}      dy/dx{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 4}carrot_1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .2311294{col 26}{space 2} .1200341{col 37}{space 1}    1.93{col 46}{space 3}0.054{col 54}{space 4} -.004133{col 67}{space 3} .4663918
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}{txt}
{com}. probit threatoutcome carrot_1 issue_dum highact institution cont_dum multi atopally idealpointdistance ddyad demo_t demo_s  lngdp_t lnpop_t coldwar us_dum [iweight=cem_weights], robust //5% okay

{txt}note: issue_dum != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      issue_dum dropped and 5 obs not used

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-241.81593}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-200.17902}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-198.80825}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-198.76986}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-198.76985}  
{res}
{txt}Probit regression{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       476
{txt}{col 49}Wald chi2({res}14{txt}){col 67}= {res}     33.32
{txt}{col 49}Prob > chi2{col 67}= {res}    0.0026
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-198.76985{txt}{col 49}Pseudo R2{col 67}= {res}    0.1780

{txt}{hline 19}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 20}{c |}{col 32}    Robust
{col 1}     threatoutcome{col 20}{c |}      Coef.{col 32}   Std. Err.{col 44}      z{col 52}   P>|z|{col 60}     [95% Con{col 73}f. Interval]
{hline 19}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 10}carrot_1 {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .9884177{col 32}{space 2} .4369394{col 43}{space 1}    2.26{col 52}{space 3}0.024{col 60}{space 4} .1320323{col 73}{space 3} 1.844803
{txt}{space 9}issue_dum {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}        0{col 32}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 11}highact {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .0249391{col 32}{space 2} .0226235{col 43}{space 1}    1.10{col 52}{space 3}0.270{col 60}{space 4}-.0194023{col 73}{space 3} .0692804
{txt}{space 7}institution {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .0493368{col 32}{space 2} .3090336{col 43}{space 1}    0.16{col 52}{space 3}0.873{col 60}{space 4} -.556358{col 73}{space 3} .6550315
{txt}{space 10}cont_dum {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.2407136{col 32}{space 2} .3606632{col 43}{space 1}   -0.67{col 52}{space 3}0.505{col 60}{space 4}-.9476005{col 73}{space 3} .4661733
{txt}{space 13}multi {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .1330972{col 32}{space 2} .3431643{col 43}{space 1}    0.39{col 52}{space 3}0.698{col 60}{space 4}-.5394925{col 73}{space 3}  .805687
{txt}{space 10}atopally {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.0759622{col 32}{space 2} .2667762{col 43}{space 1}   -0.28{col 52}{space 3}0.776{col 60}{space 4} -.598834{col 73}{space 3} .4469095
{txt}idealpointdistance {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.2443795{col 32}{space 2} .1266027{col 43}{space 1}   -1.93{col 52}{space 3}0.054{col 60}{space 4}-.4925163{col 73}{space 3} .0037573
{txt}{space 13}ddyad {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-1.375533{col 32}{space 2} .6888718{col 43}{space 1}   -2.00{col 52}{space 3}0.046{col 60}{space 4}-2.725697{col 73}{space 3}-.0253686
{txt}{space 12}demo_t {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 1.248257{col 32}{space 2} .6497156{col 43}{space 1}    1.92{col 52}{space 3}0.055{col 60}{space 4}-.0251621{col 73}{space 3} 2.521676
{txt}{space 12}demo_s {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .9730111{col 32}{space 2} .5631044{col 43}{space 1}    1.73{col 52}{space 3}0.084{col 60}{space 4}-.1306532{col 73}{space 3} 2.076675
{txt}{space 11}lngdp_t {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .0555972{col 32}{space 2} .1002401{col 43}{space 1}    0.55{col 52}{space 3}0.579{col 60}{space 4}-.1408698{col 73}{space 3} .2520641
{txt}{space 11}lnpop_t {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}  .176394{col 32}{space 2} .1152036{col 43}{space 1}    1.53{col 52}{space 3}0.126{col 60}{space 4}-.0494009{col 73}{space 3}  .402189
{txt}{space 11}coldwar {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.3041122{col 32}{space 2} .2286762{col 43}{space 1}   -1.33{col 52}{space 3}0.184{col 60}{space 4}-.7523093{col 73}{space 3} .1440849
{txt}{space 12}us_dum {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 1.134531{col 32}{space 2} .3032481{col 43}{space 1}    3.74{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4} .5401756{col 73}{space 3} 1.728886
{txt}{space 13}_cons {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-4.995314{col 32}{space 2} 1.835929{col 43}{space 1}   -2.72{col 52}{space 3}0.007{col 60}{space 4} -8.59367{col 73}{space 3}-1.396958
{txt}{hline 19}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. margins, dydx(carrot_1) force
{res}
{txt}Average marginal effects{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       476
{txt}Model VCE{col 14}: {res}Robust

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:Expression}:{space 1}{res:Pr(threatoutcome), predict()}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:dy/dx w.r.t.}:{space 1}{res:carrot_1}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{res}{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}{col 26} Delta-method
{col 14}{c |}      dy/dx{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 4}carrot_1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .2750064{col 26}{space 2} .1182434{col 37}{space 1}    2.33{col 46}{space 3}0.020{col 54}{space 4} .0432536{col 67}{space 3} .5067591
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}{txt}
{com}. probit threatoutcome carrot_1 issue_dum highact institution cont_dum multi atopally idealpointdistance ddyad demo_t demo_s  lngdp_t lnpop_t coldwar us_dum y1[iweight=cem_weights], robust //5% okay

{txt}note: issue_dum != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      issue_dum dropped and 5 obs not used

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-229.48458}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-186.61697}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-184.33107}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-184.00498}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-183.95365}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-183.94652}  
Iteration 6:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-183.94554}  
Iteration 7:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-183.94535}  
Iteration 8:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-183.94531}  
Iteration 9:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-183.94531}  
{res}
{txt}Probit regression{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       456
{txt}{col 49}Wald chi2({res}15{txt}){col 67}= {res}    639.76
{txt}{col 49}Prob > chi2{col 67}= {res}    0.0000
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-183.94531{txt}{col 49}Pseudo R2{col 67}= {res}    0.1984

{txt}{hline 19}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 20}{c |}{col 32}    Robust
{col 1}     threatoutcome{col 20}{c |}      Coef.{col 32}   Std. Err.{col 44}      z{col 52}   P>|z|{col 60}     [95% Con{col 73}f. Interval]
{hline 19}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 10}carrot_1 {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .8092969{col 32}{space 2} .4657595{col 43}{space 1}    1.74{col 52}{space 3}0.082{col 60}{space 4} -.103575{col 73}{space 3} 1.722169
{txt}{space 9}issue_dum {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}        0{col 32}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 11}highact {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .0267059{col 32}{space 2} .0229808{col 43}{space 1}    1.16{col 52}{space 3}0.245{col 60}{space 4}-.0183356{col 73}{space 3} .0717473
{txt}{space 7}institution {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.3005993{col 32}{space 2} .2939564{col 43}{space 1}   -1.02{col 52}{space 3}0.306{col 60}{space 4}-.8767433{col 73}{space 3} .2755447
{txt}{space 10}cont_dum {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.1163854{col 32}{space 2} .3537797{col 43}{space 1}   -0.33{col 52}{space 3}0.742{col 60}{space 4}-.8097808{col 73}{space 3}   .57701
{txt}{space 13}multi {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .5437165{col 32}{space 2} .3231893{col 43}{space 1}    1.68{col 52}{space 3}0.093{col 60}{space 4}-.0897228{col 73}{space 3} 1.177156
{txt}{space 10}atopally {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.1579469{col 32}{space 2} .2768746{col 43}{space 1}   -0.57{col 52}{space 3}0.568{col 60}{space 4}-.7006112{col 73}{space 3} .3847173
{txt}idealpointdistance {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.2818506{col 32}{space 2} .1288051{col 43}{space 1}   -2.19{col 52}{space 3}0.029{col 60}{space 4}-.5343039{col 73}{space 3}-.0293973
{txt}{space 13}ddyad {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-5.352054{col 32}{space 2} .6220652{col 43}{space 1}   -8.60{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4}-6.571279{col 73}{space 3}-4.132829
{txt}{space 12}demo_t {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}  5.12118{col 32}{space 2} .5472032{col 43}{space 1}    9.36{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4} 4.048681{col 73}{space 3} 6.193678
{txt}{space 12}demo_s {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 4.762741{col 32}{space 2}  .448374{col 43}{space 1}   10.62{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4} 3.883944{col 73}{space 3} 5.641538
{txt}{space 11}lngdp_t {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .0509976{col 32}{space 2} .1021493{col 43}{space 1}    0.50{col 52}{space 3}0.618{col 60}{space 4}-.1492112{col 73}{space 3} .2512065
{txt}{space 11}lnpop_t {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .2082179{col 32}{space 2} .1179977{col 43}{space 1}    1.76{col 52}{space 3}0.078{col 60}{space 4}-.0230533{col 73}{space 3} .4394891
{txt}{space 11}coldwar {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} -.219639{col 32}{space 2} .2339061{col 43}{space 1}   -0.94{col 52}{space 3}0.348{col 60}{space 4}-.6780865{col 73}{space 3} .2388085
{txt}{space 12}us_dum {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 1.060636{col 32}{space 2} .3082339{col 43}{space 1}    3.44{col 52}{space 3}0.001{col 60}{space 4} .4565084{col 73}{space 3} 1.664763
{txt}{space 16}y1 {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}  .157966{col 32}{space 2} .0801019{col 43}{space 1}    1.97{col 52}{space 3}0.049{col 60}{space 4} .0009693{col 73}{space 3} .3149628
{txt}{space 13}_cons {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-8.952894{col 32}{space 2} 1.863731{col 43}{space 1}   -4.80{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4}-12.60574{col 73}{space 3} -5.30005
{txt}{hline 19}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{p 0 6 2}Note: 9 failures and 0 successes completely determined.{p_end}

{com}. margins, dydx(carrot_1) force
{res}
{txt}Average marginal effects{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       456
{txt}Model VCE{col 14}: {res}Robust

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:Expression}:{space 1}{res:Pr(threatoutcome), predict()}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:dy/dx w.r.t.}:{space 1}{res:carrot_1}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{res}{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}{col 26} Delta-method
{col 14}{c |}      dy/dx{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 4}carrot_1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .2216369{col 26}{space 2}  .125205{col 37}{space 1}    1.77{col 46}{space 3}0.077{col 54}{space 4}-.0237603{col 67}{space 3} .4670342
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}{txt}
{com}. 
. **Imposition stage
. cem issue_dum(#0) highact(1.5 12.5 17.5 22.5) institution(#0) ddyad(#0) us_dum(#0), treatment (carrotonlyimposition) showbreak
{res}{txt}Cutpoints:
issue_dum:{res} (user) 
  0
highact:{res} (user) 
       {txt}   1
    {c TLC}{hline 8}{c TRC}
  1 {c |}  {res} 1.5{txt}  {c |}
  2 {c |}  {res}12.5{txt}  {c |}
  3 {c |}  {res}17.5{txt}  {c |}
  4 {c |}  {res}22.5{txt}  {c |}
    {c BLC}{hline 8}{c BRC}
institution:{res} (user) 
  0
ddyad:{res} (user) 
  0
us_dum:{res} (user) 
  0

{txt}Matching Summary:
-----------------
Number of strata: {res}63
{txt}Number of matched strata: {res}19

           {txt}   0     1
      All  {res}1409    33
{txt}  Matched  {res}1042    33
{txt}Unmatched  {res} 367     0


{txt}Multivariate L1 distance: {res}.13852814

{txt}Univariate imbalance:

                   L1      mean       min       25%       50%       75%       max
  issue_dum  {res} 2.9e-15   2.8e-16         0         0         0         0         0
{txt}    highact  {res}  .11688    .16558         0         0         0         0        -3
{txt}institution  {res} 1.7e-15   5.6e-16         0         0         0         0         0
{txt}      ddyad  {res} 1.4e-15  -1.1e-15         0         0         0         .         .
{txt}     us_dum  {res} 9.2e-16   6.7e-16         0         0         0         0         0
{txt}
{com}. probit impositionoutcome carrotonlyimposition issue_dum highact institution cont_dum multi atopally idealpointdistance ddyad demo_t demo_s  lngdp_t lnpop_t coldwar [iweight=cem_weights], robust //5%

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-173.61375}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-126.80522}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-124.09594}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-124.01845}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-124.01808}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-124.01808}  
{res}
{txt}Probit regression{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       249
{txt}{col 49}Wald chi2({res}14{txt}){col 67}= {res}     61.15
{txt}{col 49}Prob > chi2{col 67}= {res}    0.0000
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-124.01808{txt}{col 49}Pseudo R2{col 67}= {res}    0.2857

{txt}{hline 21}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 22}{c |}{col 34}    Robust
{col 1}   impositionoutcome{col 22}{c |}      Coef.{col 34}   Std. Err.{col 46}      z{col 54}   P>|z|{col 62}     [95% Con{col 75}f. Interval]
{hline 21}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
carrotonlyimposition {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-1.164282{col 34}{space 2} .6699189{col 45}{space 1}   -1.74{col 54}{space 3}0.082{col 62}{space 4}-2.477299{col 75}{space 3} .1487349
{txt}{space 11}issue_dum {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.6578634{col 34}{space 2} .4444971{col 45}{space 1}   -1.48{col 54}{space 3}0.139{col 62}{space 4}-1.529062{col 75}{space 3} .2133348
{txt}{space 13}highact {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  .137063{col 34}{space 2} .0323932{col 45}{space 1}    4.23{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} .0735735{col 75}{space 3} .2005524
{txt}{space 9}institution {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.0514999{col 34}{space 2} .7346298{col 45}{space 1}   -0.07{col 54}{space 3}0.944{col 62}{space 4}-1.491348{col 75}{space 3} 1.388348
{txt}{space 12}cont_dum {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .0578957{col 34}{space 2} .3965441{col 45}{space 1}    0.15{col 54}{space 3}0.884{col 62}{space 4}-.7193164{col 75}{space 3} .8351079
{txt}{space 15}multi {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .4072268{col 34}{space 2} .4677348{col 45}{space 1}    0.87{col 54}{space 3}0.384{col 62}{space 4}-.5095166{col 75}{space 3}  1.32397
{txt}{space 12}atopally {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .9699707{col 34}{space 2} .4229626{col 45}{space 1}    2.29{col 54}{space 3}0.022{col 62}{space 4} .1409792{col 75}{space 3} 1.798962
{txt}{space 2}idealpointdistance {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .2116654{col 34}{space 2}  .152268{col 45}{space 1}    1.39{col 54}{space 3}0.165{col 62}{space 4}-.0867744{col 75}{space 3} .5101053
{txt}{space 15}ddyad {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} -.058713{col 34}{space 2} .7004993{col 45}{space 1}   -0.08{col 54}{space 3}0.933{col 62}{space 4}-1.431666{col 75}{space 3}  1.31424
{txt}{space 14}demo_t {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.4311201{col 34}{space 2} .6832032{col 45}{space 1}   -0.63{col 54}{space 3}0.528{col 62}{space 4}-1.770174{col 75}{space 3} .9079336
{txt}{space 14}demo_s {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.7337355{col 34}{space 2} .5305601{col 45}{space 1}   -1.38{col 54}{space 3}0.167{col 62}{space 4}-1.773614{col 75}{space 3} .3061431
{txt}{space 13}lngdp_t {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.2779326{col 34}{space 2} .1551227{col 45}{space 1}   -1.79{col 54}{space 3}0.073{col 62}{space 4}-.5819675{col 75}{space 3} .0261023
{txt}{space 13}lnpop_t {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .3497619{col 34}{space 2} .1746819{col 45}{space 1}    2.00{col 54}{space 3}0.045{col 62}{space 4} .0073917{col 75}{space 3} .6921322
{txt}{space 13}coldwar {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} -.016587{col 34}{space 2} .2632243{col 45}{space 1}   -0.06{col 54}{space 3}0.950{col 62}{space 4}-.5324972{col 75}{space 3} .4993232
{txt}{space 15}_cons {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 3.395427{col 34}{space 2} 2.839711{col 45}{space 1}    1.20{col 54}{space 3}0.232{col 62}{space 4}-2.170304{col 75}{space 3} 8.961158
{txt}{hline 21}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. margins, dydx(carrotonlyimposition)  force
{res}
{txt}Average marginal effects{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       249
{txt}Model VCE{col 14}: {res}Robust

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:Expression}:{space 1}{res:Pr(impositionoutcome), predict()}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:dy/dx w.r.t.}:{space 1}{res:carrotonlyimposition}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{res}{txt}{hline 21}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 22}{c |}{col 34} Delta-method
{col 22}{c |}      dy/dx{col 34}   Std. Err.{col 46}      z{col 54}   P>|z|{col 62}     [95% Con{col 75}f. Interval]
{hline 21}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
carrotonlyimposition {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} -.320245{col 34}{space 2}  .176793{col 45}{space 1}   -1.81{col 54}{space 3}0.070{col 62}{space 4}-.6667528{col 75}{space 3} .0262629
{txt}{hline 21}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}{txt}
{com}. probit impositionoutcome carrotonlyimposition issue_dum highact institution cont_dum multi atopally idealpointdistance ddyad demo_t demo_s  lngdp_t lnpop_t coldwar us_dum [iweight=cem_weights], robust //5%

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-173.61375}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-126.54749}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-123.85081}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-123.77204}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-123.77164}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-123.77164}  
{res}
{txt}Probit regression{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       249
{txt}{col 49}Wald chi2({res}15{txt}){col 67}= {res}     62.21
{txt}{col 49}Prob > chi2{col 67}= {res}    0.0000
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-123.77164{txt}{col 49}Pseudo R2{col 67}= {res}    0.2871

{txt}{hline 21}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 22}{c |}{col 34}    Robust
{col 1}   impositionoutcome{col 22}{c |}      Coef.{col 34}   Std. Err.{col 46}      z{col 54}   P>|z|{col 62}     [95% Con{col 75}f. Interval]
{hline 21}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
carrotonlyimposition {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-1.122187{col 34}{space 2} .6524907{col 45}{space 1}   -1.72{col 54}{space 3}0.085{col 62}{space 4}-2.401045{col 75}{space 3} .1566713
{txt}{space 11}issue_dum {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.6256717{col 34}{space 2} .4436143{col 45}{space 1}   -1.41{col 54}{space 3}0.158{col 62}{space 4} -1.49514{col 75}{space 3} .2437964
{txt}{space 13}highact {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .1355308{col 34}{space 2} .0325074{col 45}{space 1}    4.17{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} .0718175{col 75}{space 3} .1992441
{txt}{space 9}institution {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.0531306{col 34}{space 2} .7345098{col 45}{space 1}   -0.07{col 54}{space 3}0.942{col 62}{space 4}-1.492743{col 75}{space 3} 1.386482
{txt}{space 12}cont_dum {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.0103656{col 34}{space 2} .4069109{col 45}{space 1}   -0.03{col 54}{space 3}0.980{col 62}{space 4}-.8078964{col 75}{space 3} .7871651
{txt}{space 15}multi {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .4144328{col 34}{space 2} .4671524{col 45}{space 1}    0.89{col 54}{space 3}0.375{col 62}{space 4}-.5011691{col 75}{space 3} 1.330035
{txt}{space 12}atopally {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1.024261{col 34}{space 2} .4440413{col 45}{space 1}    2.31{col 54}{space 3}0.021{col 62}{space 4}  .153956{col 75}{space 3} 1.894566
{txt}{space 2}idealpointdistance {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .2449922{col 34}{space 2} .1708211{col 45}{space 1}    1.43{col 54}{space 3}0.152{col 62}{space 4}-.0898109{col 75}{space 3} .5797954
{txt}{space 15}ddyad {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.0508364{col 34}{space 2} .7045373{col 45}{space 1}   -0.07{col 54}{space 3}0.942{col 62}{space 4}-1.431704{col 75}{space 3} 1.330031
{txt}{space 14}demo_t {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.4839929{col 34}{space 2} .6922534{col 45}{space 1}   -0.70{col 54}{space 3}0.484{col 62}{space 4}-1.840785{col 75}{space 3} .8727988
{txt}{space 14}demo_s {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.6056104{col 34}{space 2} .5164046{col 45}{space 1}   -1.17{col 54}{space 3}0.241{col 62}{space 4}-1.617745{col 75}{space 3}  .406524
{txt}{space 13}lngdp_t {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.2826966{col 34}{space 2} .1563594{col 45}{space 1}   -1.81{col 54}{space 3}0.071{col 62}{space 4}-.5891553{col 75}{space 3} .0237621
{txt}{space 13}lnpop_t {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .3427882{col 34}{space 2} .1731533{col 45}{space 1}    1.98{col 54}{space 3}0.048{col 62}{space 4}  .003414{col 75}{space 3} .6821623
{txt}{space 13}coldwar {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.0255022{col 34}{space 2} .2631037{col 45}{space 1}   -0.10{col 54}{space 3}0.923{col 62}{space 4}-.5411759{col 75}{space 3} .4901716
{txt}{space 14}us_dum {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.2760803{col 34}{space 2} .4085555{col 45}{space 1}   -0.68{col 54}{space 3}0.499{col 62}{space 4}-1.076834{col 75}{space 3} .5246737
{txt}{space 15}_cons {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 3.571939{col 34}{space 2}  2.89884{col 45}{space 1}    1.23{col 54}{space 3}0.218{col 62}{space 4}-2.109683{col 75}{space 3} 9.253562
{txt}{hline 21}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. margins, dydx(carrotonlyimposition)  force
{res}
{txt}Average marginal effects{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       249
{txt}Model VCE{col 14}: {res}Robust

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:Expression}:{space 1}{res:Pr(impositionoutcome), predict()}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:dy/dx w.r.t.}:{space 1}{res:carrotonlyimposition}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{res}{txt}{hline 21}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 22}{c |}{col 34} Delta-method
{col 22}{c |}      dy/dx{col 34}   Std. Err.{col 46}      z{col 54}   P>|z|{col 62}     [95% Con{col 75}f. Interval]
{hline 21}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
carrotonlyimposition {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.3082478{col 34}{space 2} .1720964{col 45}{space 1}   -1.79{col 54}{space 3}0.073{col 62}{space 4}-.6455506{col 75}{space 3}  .029055
{txt}{hline 21}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}{txt}
{com}. probit impositionoutcome carrotonlyimposition issue_dum highact institution cont_dum multi atopally idealpointdistance ddyad demo_t demo_s  lngdp_t lnpop_t coldwar us_dum g1[iweight=cem_weights], robust //5%

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-127.48827}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-86.947316}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-84.705467}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-84.569903}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-84.569166}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-84.569166}  
{res}
{txt}Probit regression{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       209
{txt}{col 49}Wald chi2({res}16{txt}){col 67}= {res}     72.84
{txt}{col 49}Prob > chi2{col 67}= {res}    0.0000
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-84.569166{txt}{col 49}Pseudo R2{col 67}= {res}    0.3367

{txt}{hline 21}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 22}{c |}{col 34}    Robust
{col 1}   impositionoutcome{col 22}{c |}      Coef.{col 34}   Std. Err.{col 46}      z{col 54}   P>|z|{col 62}     [95% Con{col 75}f. Interval]
{hline 21}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
carrotonlyimposition {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-1.716885{col 34}{space 2}  .643035{col 45}{space 1}   -2.67{col 54}{space 3}0.008{col 62}{space 4} -2.97721{col 75}{space 3}-.4565593
{txt}{space 11}issue_dum {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.0714536{col 34}{space 2} .4409026{col 45}{space 1}   -0.16{col 54}{space 3}0.871{col 62}{space 4}-.9356069{col 75}{space 3} .7926996
{txt}{space 13}highact {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .1465131{col 34}{space 2} .0318596{col 45}{space 1}    4.60{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} .0840694{col 75}{space 3} .2089568
{txt}{space 9}institution {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1.162273{col 34}{space 2} .7278467{col 45}{space 1}    1.60{col 54}{space 3}0.110{col 62}{space 4}-.2642802{col 75}{space 3} 2.588827
{txt}{space 12}cont_dum {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .3114485{col 34}{space 2} .3931411{col 45}{space 1}    0.79{col 54}{space 3}0.428{col 62}{space 4}-.4590939{col 75}{space 3} 1.081991
{txt}{space 15}multi {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .2627294{col 34}{space 2}  .552813{col 45}{space 1}    0.48{col 54}{space 3}0.635{col 62}{space 4}-.8207642{col 75}{space 3} 1.346223
{txt}{space 12}atopally {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .4715502{col 34}{space 2} .3488586{col 45}{space 1}    1.35{col 54}{space 3}0.176{col 62}{space 4}-.2122001{col 75}{space 3}   1.1553
{txt}{space 2}idealpointdistance {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .1363407{col 34}{space 2} .1458384{col 45}{space 1}    0.93{col 54}{space 3}0.350{col 62}{space 4}-.1494972{col 75}{space 3} .4221787
{txt}{space 15}ddyad {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .1667652{col 34}{space 2} .6990788{col 45}{space 1}    0.24{col 54}{space 3}0.811{col 62}{space 4}-1.203404{col 75}{space 3} 1.536934
{txt}{space 14}demo_t {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.3540489{col 34}{space 2}  .703355{col 45}{space 1}   -0.50{col 54}{space 3}0.615{col 62}{space 4}-1.732599{col 75}{space 3} 1.024502
{txt}{space 14}demo_s {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} -.775599{col 34}{space 2} .5506744{col 45}{space 1}   -1.41{col 54}{space 3}0.159{col 62}{space 4}-1.854901{col 75}{space 3}  .303703
{txt}{space 13}lngdp_t {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.2177654{col 34}{space 2} .1781193{col 45}{space 1}   -1.22{col 54}{space 3}0.221{col 62}{space 4}-.5668727{col 75}{space 3}  .131342
{txt}{space 13}lnpop_t {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .2425686{col 34}{space 2} .2194879{col 45}{space 1}    1.11{col 54}{space 3}0.269{col 62}{space 4}-.1876198{col 75}{space 3}  .672757
{txt}{space 13}coldwar {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.4234865{col 34}{space 2} .2693889{col 45}{space 1}   -1.57{col 54}{space 3}0.116{col 62}{space 4}-.9514791{col 75}{space 3} .1045061
{txt}{space 14}us_dum {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.3710322{col 34}{space 2} .3805468{col 45}{space 1}   -0.97{col 54}{space 3}0.330{col 62}{space 4} -1.11689{col 75}{space 3} .3748257
{txt}{space 18}g1 {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .0764977{col 34}{space 2} .0517521{col 45}{space 1}    1.48{col 54}{space 3}0.139{col 62}{space 4}-.0249345{col 75}{space 3} .1779299
{txt}{space 15}_cons {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 3.417309{col 34}{space 2} 2.918464{col 45}{space 1}    1.17{col 54}{space 3}0.242{col 62}{space 4}-2.302775{col 75}{space 3} 9.137394
{txt}{hline 21}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. margins, dydx(carrotonlyimposition)  force
{res}
{txt}Average marginal effects{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       209
{txt}Model VCE{col 14}: {res}Robust

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:Expression}:{space 1}{res:Pr(impositionoutcome), predict()}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:dy/dx w.r.t.}:{space 1}{res:carrotonlyimposition}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{res}{txt}{hline 21}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 22}{c |}{col 34} Delta-method
{col 22}{c |}      dy/dx{col 34}   Std. Err.{col 46}      z{col 54}   P>|z|{col 62}     [95% Con{col 75}f. Interval]
{hline 21}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
carrotonlyimposition {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.4175704{col 34}{space 2} .1490037{col 45}{space 1}   -2.80{col 54}{space 3}0.005{col 62}{space 4}-.7096122{col 75}{space 3}-.1255286
{txt}{hline 21}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}{txt}
{com}. 
. *Table A12
. **Target's GDP
. ***Threat stage
. imb issue_dum highact institution ddyad lngdp_t, treatment (carrot_1)
{res}
{txt}Multivariate L1 distance: {res}.81754386

{txt}Univariate imbalance:

                  L1     mean      min      25%      50%      75%      max
  issue_dum  {res} .07905   .07905        0        0        0        0        0
{txt}    highact  {res} .26137   2.7627        0        0        0        2       -3
{txt}institution  {res} .27024   .27024        0        0        0        1        0
{txt}      ddyad  {res} .25243  -.25243        0        0        0       -1        0
{txt}    lngdp_t  {res} .46515  -1.3858    1.806  -1.7637  -2.4022  -2.2737   -.0378
{txt}
{com}. cem issue_dum(#0) highact(1.5 12.5 17.5 22.5) institution(#0) ddyad(#0) lngdp_t(#3), treatment (carrot_1) showbreak
{txt}(using the scott break method for imbalance)
{res}{txt}Cutpoints:
issue_dum:{res} (user) 
  0
highact:{res} (user) 
       {txt}   1
    {c TLC}{hline 8}{c TRC}
  1 {c |}  {res} 1.5{txt}  {c |}
  2 {c |}  {res}12.5{txt}  {c |}
  3 {c |}  {res}17.5{txt}  {c |}
  4 {c |}  {res}22.5{txt}  {c |}
    {c BLC}{hline 8}{c BRC}
institution:{res} (user) 
  0
ddyad:{res} (user) 
  0
lngdp_t:{res} (user) 
       {txt}          1
    {c TLC}{hline 15}{c TRC}
  1 {c |}  {res}18.83336449{txt}  {c |}
  2 {c |}  {res}24.58871651{txt}  {c |}
  3 {c |}  {res}30.34406853{txt}  {c |}
    {c BLC}{hline 15}{c BRC}

Matching Summary:
-----------------
Number of strata: {res}83
{txt}Number of matched strata: {res}20

           {txt}   0     1
      All  {res}1411    31
{txt}  Matched  {res} 872    30
{txt}Unmatched  {res} 539     1


{txt}Multivariate L1 distance: {res}.52445333

{txt}Univariate imbalance:

                  L1     mean      min      25%      50%      75%      max
  issue_dum  {res}1.4e-15  6.1e-16        0        0        0        0        0
{txt}    highact  {res} .12905  -.22127        0        0        0        0       -3
{txt}institution  {res}2.5e-15  8.3e-16        0        0       -1        0        0
{txt}      ddyad  {res}3.2e-15  7.2e-16        0        0        0        0        .
{txt}    lngdp_t  {res} .17629    .1688   2.5489   .12836  -1.3263        .        .
{txt}
{com}. **Imposition stage
. imb issue_dum highact institution ddyad lngdp_t, treatment (carrotonlyimposition)
{txt}(using the scott break method for L1 distance)
{res}
{txt}Multivariate L1 distance: {res}.77697394

{txt}Univariate imbalance:

                  L1     mean      min      25%      50%      75%      max
  issue_dum  {res} .29833   .29833        0        0        0        1        0
{txt}    highact  {res} .23049   3.8177        0        0        0       17       -3
{txt}institution  {res} .25764   .25764        0        0        0        1        0
{txt}      ddyad  {res} .28775  -.28775        0        0        0       -1        0
{txt}    lngdp_t  {res} .36461  -1.3343   2.1682  -2.0151  -2.5083  -.53891   -.0378
{txt}
{com}. cem issue_dum(#0) highact(1.5 12.5 17.5 22.5) institution(#0) ddyad(#0) lngdp_t(#3), treatment (carrotonlyimposition) showbreak
{txt}(using the scott break method for imbalance)
{res}{txt}Cutpoints:
issue_dum:{res} (user) 
  0
highact:{res} (user) 
       {txt}   1
    {c TLC}{hline 8}{c TRC}
  1 {c |}  {res} 1.5{txt}  {c |}
  2 {c |}  {res}12.5{txt}  {c |}
  3 {c |}  {res}17.5{txt}  {c |}
  4 {c |}  {res}22.5{txt}  {c |}
    {c BLC}{hline 8}{c BRC}
institution:{res} (user) 
  0
ddyad:{res} (user) 
  0
lngdp_t:{res} (user) 
       {txt}          1
    {c TLC}{hline 15}{c TRC}
  1 {c |}  {res}18.83336449{txt}  {c |}
  2 {c |}  {res}24.58871651{txt}  {c |}
  3 {c |}  {res}30.34406853{txt}  {c |}
    {c BLC}{hline 15}{c BRC}

Matching Summary:
-----------------
Number of strata: {res}83
{txt}Number of matched strata: {res}25

           {txt}   0     1
      All  {res}1409    33
{txt}  Matched  {res}1085    33
{txt}Unmatched  {res} 324     0


{txt}Multivariate L1 distance: {res}.46577437

{txt}Univariate imbalance:

                  L1     mean      min      25%      50%      75%      max
  issue_dum  {res}2.3e-15  2.0e-15        0        0        0        0        0
{txt}    highact  {res} .11111   .01515        0        0        0        0       -3
{txt}institution  {res}1.2e-15  1.2e-15        0        0        0        0        0
{txt}      ddyad  {res}2.4e-15  1.7e-15        0        0        0        .        .
{txt}    lngdp_t  {res} .19098   .19595   2.9111   .19755   .94547        .        .
{txt}
{com}. **Target's trade dependence
. gen ed=ln(laggedflow1)-ln(laggdp_t)
{txt}(580 missing values generated)

{com}. imb issue_dum highact institution ddyad ed, treatment (carrot_1)
{txt}(using the scott break method for L1 distance)
{res}
{txt}Multivariate L1 distance: {res}.73913043

{txt}Univariate imbalance:

                  L1     mean      min      25%      50%      75%      max
  issue_dum  {res} .11782   .11782        0        0        0        0        0
{txt}    highact  {res}  .3548    4.159        0        0        0        8       -3
{txt}institution  {res} .11276   .11276        0        0        0        0        0
{txt}      ddyad  {res}  .1979   -.1979        0        0       -1        0        0
{txt}         ed  {res} .44864  -.69479    2.352   .63875  -.54513   -1.037  -1.1996
{txt}
{com}. cem issue_dum(#0) highact(1.5 12.5 17.5 22.5) institution(#0) ddyad(#0) ed(#5), treatment (carrot_1) showbreak
{txt}(using the scott break method for imbalance)
{res}{txt}Cutpoints:
issue_dum:{res} (user) 
  0
highact:{res} (user) 
       {txt}   1
    {c TLC}{hline 8}{c TRC}
  1 {c |}  {res} 1.5{txt}  {c |}
  2 {c |}  {res}12.5{txt}  {c |}
  3 {c |}  {res}17.5{txt}  {c |}
  4 {c |}  {res}22.5{txt}  {c |}
    {c BLC}{hline 8}{c BRC}
institution:{res} (user) 
  0
ddyad:{res} (user) 
  0
ed:{res} (user) 
       {txt}           1
    {c TLC}{hline 16}{c TRC}
  1 {c |}  {res}-28.77635193{txt}  {c |}
  2 {c |}  {res}-25.34938717{txt}  {c |}
  3 {c |}  {res}-21.92242241{txt}  {c |}
  4 {c |}  {res}-18.49545765{txt}  {c |}
  5 {c |}  {res}-15.06849289{txt}  {c |}
    {c BLC}{hline 16}{c BRC}

Matching Summary:
-----------------
Number of strata: {res}97
{txt}Number of matched strata: {res}14

           {txt}   0     1
      All  {res}1411    31
{txt}  Matched  {res} 794    28
{txt}Unmatched  {res} 617     3


{txt}Multivariate L1 distance: {res}.32628667

{txt}Univariate imbalance:

                   L1      mean       min       25%       50%       75%       max
  issue_dum  {res} 4.5e-16  -3.5e-16         0         0         0         0         0
{txt}    highact  {res}  .10119   -.22024         0         0         0         0         0
{txt}institution  {res} 4.4e-15  -6.7e-15         0         0         0         0         0
{txt}      ddyad  {res} 4.1e-15  -1.8e-15         0         0         0         0         .
{txt}         ed  {res}  .25313    .08637   -2.9935    .68761         .         .         .
{txt}
{com}. ***imposition stage: Global L1 distance: 0.739->0.809, Issue salience: 0.118->0.300, Hostility level: 0.355->0.224, International institution: 0.113->0.217, Democracy dyad: 0.198->0.256, Target's economic dependence: 0.449->0.227)
. imb issue_dum highact institution ddyad ed, treatment (carrotonlyimposition)
{txt}(using the scott break method for L1 distance)
{res}
{txt}Multivariate L1 distance: {res}.808933

{txt}Univariate imbalance:

                  L1     mean      min      25%      50%      75%      max
  issue_dum  {res} .29983   .29983        0        0        0        1        0
{txt}    highact  {res} .22395    3.731        0        0        0        0       -3
{txt}institution  {res} .21671   .21671        0        0        0        1        0
{txt}      ddyad  {res}  .2562   -.2562        0        0       -1       -1        0
{txt}         ed  {res} .22746   .05743   6.6557  -.00432   .11101  -.35173  -1.8155
{txt}
{com}. cem issue_dum(#0) highact(1.5 12.5 17.5 22.5) institution(#0) ddyad(#0) ed(#5), treatment (carrotonlyimposition) showbreak
{txt}(using the scott break method for imbalance)
{res}{txt}Cutpoints:
issue_dum:{res} (user) 
  0
highact:{res} (user) 
       {txt}   1
    {c TLC}{hline 8}{c TRC}
  1 {c |}  {res} 1.5{txt}  {c |}
  2 {c |}  {res}12.5{txt}  {c |}
  3 {c |}  {res}17.5{txt}  {c |}
  4 {c |}  {res}22.5{txt}  {c |}
    {c BLC}{hline 8}{c BRC}
institution:{res} (user) 
  0
ddyad:{res} (user) 
  0
ed:{res} (user) 
       {txt}           1
    {c TLC}{hline 16}{c TRC}
  1 {c |}  {res}-28.77635193{txt}  {c |}
  2 {c |}  {res}-25.34938717{txt}  {c |}
  3 {c |}  {res}-21.92242241{txt}  {c |}
  4 {c |}  {res}-18.49545765{txt}  {c |}
  5 {c |}  {res}-15.06849289{txt}  {c |}
    {c BLC}{hline 16}{c BRC}

Matching Summary:
-----------------
Number of strata: {res}97
{txt}Number of matched strata: {res}22

           {txt}   0     1
      All  {res}1409    33
{txt}  Matched  {res} 816    31
{txt}Unmatched  {res} 593     2


{txt}Multivariate L1 distance: {res}.30248363

{txt}Univariate imbalance:

                  L1     mean      min      25%      50%      75%      max
  issue_dum  {res}1.1e-15  1.6e-15        0        0        0        0        0
{txt}    highact  {res} .10061   .14286        0        0        0        6       -3
{txt}institution  {res}6.7e-16  7.8e-16        0        0        0        0        0
{txt}      ddyad  {res}2.9e-15  1.5e-15        0        0        0        .        .
{txt}         ed  {res} .10049  -.06471   3.2261   -.1297        .        .        .
{txt}
{com}. **Target's GDP+Target's trade dependence
. ***Theat stage
. imb issue_dum highact institution ddyad lngdp_t ed, treatment (carrot_1)
{txt}(using the scott break method for L1 distance)
{res}
{txt}Multivariate L1 distance: {res}.97763975

{txt}Univariate imbalance:

                  L1     mean      min      25%      50%      75%      max
  issue_dum  {res} .11782   .11782        0        0        0        0        0
{txt}    highact  {res}  .3548    4.159        0        0        0        8       -3
{txt}institution  {res} .11276   .11276        0        0        0        0        0
{txt}      ddyad  {res}  .1979   -.1979        0        0       -1        0        0
{txt}    lngdp_t  {res} .54161  -1.4346   .69957  -1.9588  -2.5824  -2.2619   -.0378
{txt}         ed  {res} .44864  -.69479    2.352   .63875  -.54513   -1.037  -1.1996
{txt}
{com}. cem issue_dum(#0) highact(1.5 12.5 17.5 22.5) institution(#0) ddyad(#0) lngdp_t(#3) ed(#5), treatment (carrot_1) showbreak
{txt}(using the scott break method for imbalance)
{res}{txt}Cutpoints:
issue_dum:{res} (user) 
  0
highact:{res} (user) 
       {txt}   1
    {c TLC}{hline 8}{c TRC}
  1 {c |}  {res} 1.5{txt}  {c |}
  2 {c |}  {res}12.5{txt}  {c |}
  3 {c |}  {res}17.5{txt}  {c |}
  4 {c |}  {res}22.5{txt}  {c |}
    {c BLC}{hline 8}{c BRC}
institution:{res} (user) 
  0
ddyad:{res} (user) 
  0
lngdp_t:{res} (user) 
       {txt}          1
    {c TLC}{hline 15}{c TRC}
  1 {c |}  {res}18.83336449{txt}  {c |}
  2 {c |}  {res}24.58871651{txt}  {c |}
  3 {c |}  {res}30.34406853{txt}  {c |}
    {c BLC}{hline 15}{c BRC}
ed:{res} (user) 
       {txt}           1
    {c TLC}{hline 16}{c TRC}
  1 {c |}  {res}-28.77635193{txt}  {c |}
  2 {c |}  {res}-25.34938717{txt}  {c |}
  3 {c |}  {res}-21.92242241{txt}  {c |}
  4 {c |}  {res}-18.49545765{txt}  {c |}
  5 {c |}  {res}-15.06849289{txt}  {c |}
    {c BLC}{hline 16}{c BRC}

Matching Summary:
-----------------
Number of strata: {res}143
{txt}Number of matched strata: {res}16

           {txt}   0     1
      All  {res}1411    31
{txt}  Matched  {res} 494    25
{txt}Unmatched  {res} 917     6


{txt}Multivariate L1 distance: {res}.49404627

{txt}Univariate imbalance:

                  L1     mean      min      25%      50%      75%      max
  issue_dum  {res}2.0e-16  1.8e-16        0        0        0        0        0
{txt}    highact  {res} .11333  -.27333        0        0        0        0       -2
{txt}institution  {res}1.6e-15  2.9e-15        0        0        0        0        0
{txt}      ddyad  {res}1.6e-15  5.3e-16        0        0        0        0        .
{txt}    lngdp_t  {res} .19775   .24594   3.7589    .2016   1.1293        .        .
{txt}         ed  {res} .20697   .15697   .48505   .02361        .        .        .
{txt}
{com}. ***Imposition stage
. imb issue_dum highact institution ddyad lngdp_t ed, treatment (carrotonlyimposition)
{txt}(using the scott break method for L1 distance)
{res}
{txt}Multivariate L1 distance: {res}.96401985

{txt}Univariate imbalance:

                  L1     mean      min      25%      50%      75%      max
  issue_dum  {res} .29983   .29983        0        0        0        1        0
{txt}    highact  {res} .22395    3.731        0        0        0        0       -3
{txt}institution  {res} .21671   .21671        0        0        0        1        0
{txt}      ddyad  {res}  .2562   -.2562        0        0       -1       -1        0
{txt}    lngdp_t  {res} .31141  -1.0332   1.0618  -2.1088  -2.5748  -.56222   -.0378
{txt}         ed  {res} .22746   .05743   6.6557  -.00432   .11101  -.35173  -1.8155
{txt}
{com}. cem issue_dum(#0) highact(1.5 12.5 17.5 22.5) institution(#0) ddyad(#0) lngdp_t(#3) ed(#5), treatment (carrotonlyimposition) showbreak
{txt}(using the scott break method for imbalance)
{res}{txt}Cutpoints:
issue_dum:{res} (user) 
  0
highact:{res} (user) 
       {txt}   1
    {c TLC}{hline 8}{c TRC}
  1 {c |}  {res} 1.5{txt}  {c |}
  2 {c |}  {res}12.5{txt}  {c |}
  3 {c |}  {res}17.5{txt}  {c |}
  4 {c |}  {res}22.5{txt}  {c |}
    {c BLC}{hline 8}{c BRC}
institution:{res} (user) 
  0
ddyad:{res} (user) 
  0
lngdp_t:{res} (user) 
       {txt}          1
    {c TLC}{hline 15}{c TRC}
  1 {c |}  {res}18.83336449{txt}  {c |}
  2 {c |}  {res}24.58871651{txt}  {c |}
  3 {c |}  {res}30.34406853{txt}  {c |}
    {c BLC}{hline 15}{c BRC}
ed:{res} (user) 
       {txt}           1
    {c TLC}{hline 16}{c TRC}
  1 {c |}  {res}-28.77635193{txt}  {c |}
  2 {c |}  {res}-25.34938717{txt}  {c |}
  3 {c |}  {res}-21.92242241{txt}  {c |}
  4 {c |}  {res}-18.49545765{txt}  {c |}
  5 {c |}  {res}-15.06849289{txt}  {c |}
    {c BLC}{hline 16}{c BRC}

Matching Summary:
-----------------
Number of strata: {res}143
{txt}Number of matched strata: {res}23

           {txt}   0     1
      All  {res}1409    33
{txt}  Matched  {res} 651    29
{txt}Unmatched  {res} 758     4


{txt}Multivariate L1 distance: {res}.46442902

{txt}Univariate imbalance:

                  L1     mean      min      25%      50%      75%      max
  issue_dum  {res}3.5e-15  1.8e-15        0        0        0        0        0
{txt}    highact  {res}  .1092   .01724        0        0        0        0       -3
{txt}institution  {res}5.4e-15  2.9e-15        0        0        0        0        0
{txt}      ddyad  {res}5.0e-15  9.7e-16        0        0        0        .        .
{txt}    lngdp_t  {res} .16298    .2035   2.9111   -.0532        .        .        .
{txt}         ed  {res} .12157  -.03119   3.2261  -.06744        .        .        .
{txt}
{com}. 
. *Table A13 
. est clear
{txt}
{com}. cem issue_dum(#0) highact(1.5 12.5 17.5 22.5) institution(#0) ddyad(#0) lngdp_t(#3), treatment (carrot_1) showbreak
{res}{txt}Cutpoints:
issue_dum:{res} (user) 
  0
highact:{res} (user) 
       {txt}   1
    {c TLC}{hline 8}{c TRC}
  1 {c |}  {res} 1.5{txt}  {c |}
  2 {c |}  {res}12.5{txt}  {c |}
  3 {c |}  {res}17.5{txt}  {c |}
  4 {c |}  {res}22.5{txt}  {c |}
    {c BLC}{hline 8}{c BRC}
institution:{res} (user) 
  0
ddyad:{res} (user) 
  0
lngdp_t:{res} (user) 
       {txt}          1
    {c TLC}{hline 15}{c TRC}
  1 {c |}  {res}18.83336449{txt}  {c |}
  2 {c |}  {res}24.58871651{txt}  {c |}
  3 {c |}  {res}30.34406853{txt}  {c |}
    {c BLC}{hline 15}{c BRC}

Matching Summary:
-----------------
Number of strata: {res}83
{txt}Number of matched strata: {res}20

           {txt}   0     1
      All  {res}1411    31
{txt}  Matched  {res} 872    30
{txt}Unmatched  {res} 539     1


{txt}Multivariate L1 distance: {res}.52445333

{txt}Univariate imbalance:

                  L1     mean      min      25%      50%      75%      max
  issue_dum  {res}1.4e-15  6.1e-16        0        0        0        0        0
{txt}    highact  {res} .12905  -.22127        0        0        0        0       -3
{txt}institution  {res}2.5e-15  8.3e-16        0        0       -1        0        0
{txt}      ddyad  {res}3.2e-15  7.2e-16        0        0        0        0        .
{txt}    lngdp_t  {res} .17629    .1688   2.5489   .12836  -1.3263        .        .
{txt}
{com}. eststo: probit threatoutcome carrot_1 issue_dum highact institution cont_dum multi atopally idealpointdistance ddyad demo_t demo_s lngdp_t lnpop_t coldwar us_dum [iweight=cem_weights], robust //5% okay

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-208.46011}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -178.9581}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-176.73434}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-176.42037}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-176.36684}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-176.35941}  
Iteration 6:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-176.35836}  
Iteration 7:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-176.35815}  
Iteration 8:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-176.35811}  
Iteration 9:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -176.3581}  
{res}
{txt}Probit regression{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       386
{txt}{col 49}Wald chi2({res}15{txt}){col 67}= {res}    778.92
{txt}{col 49}Prob > chi2{col 67}= {res}    0.0000
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res} -176.3581{txt}{col 49}Pseudo R2{col 67}= {res}    0.1540

{txt}{hline 19}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 20}{c |}{col 32}    Robust
{col 1}     threatoutcome{col 20}{c |}      Coef.{col 32}   Std. Err.{col 44}      z{col 52}   P>|z|{col 60}     [95% Con{col 73}f. Interval]
{hline 19}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 10}carrot_1 {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .8778472{col 32}{space 2} .3787742{col 43}{space 1}    2.32{col 52}{space 3}0.020{col 60}{space 4} .1354634{col 73}{space 3} 1.620231
{txt}{space 9}issue_dum {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.5143074{col 32}{space 2} .5893153{col 43}{space 1}   -0.87{col 52}{space 3}0.383{col 60}{space 4}-1.669344{col 73}{space 3} .6407294
{txt}{space 11}highact {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.0375095{col 32}{space 2} .0312799{col 43}{space 1}   -1.20{col 52}{space 3}0.230{col 60}{space 4}-.0988169{col 73}{space 3}  .023798
{txt}{space 7}institution {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}  .243001{col 32}{space 2} .3567743{col 43}{space 1}    0.68{col 52}{space 3}0.496{col 60}{space 4}-.4562639{col 73}{space 3} .9422659
{txt}{space 10}cont_dum {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.2058392{col 32}{space 2} .4354295{col 43}{space 1}   -0.47{col 52}{space 3}0.636{col 60}{space 4}-1.059265{col 73}{space 3} .6475869
{txt}{space 13}multi {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.0398261{col 32}{space 2} .3565102{col 43}{space 1}   -0.11{col 52}{space 3}0.911{col 60}{space 4}-.7385732{col 73}{space 3} .6589209
{txt}{space 10}atopally {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .0469171{col 32}{space 2} .2747947{col 43}{space 1}    0.17{col 52}{space 3}0.864{col 60}{space 4}-.4916706{col 73}{space 3} .5855048
{txt}idealpointdistance {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.0743976{col 32}{space 2} .1434454{col 43}{space 1}   -0.52{col 52}{space 3}0.604{col 60}{space 4}-.3555454{col 73}{space 3} .2067501
{txt}{space 13}ddyad {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-4.497863{col 32}{space 2} .5346063{col 43}{space 1}   -8.41{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4}-5.545673{col 73}{space 3}-3.450054
{txt}{space 12}demo_t {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 4.162787{col 32}{space 2} .4344748{col 43}{space 1}    9.58{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4} 3.311232{col 73}{space 3} 5.014342
{txt}{space 12}demo_s {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 4.284383{col 32}{space 2} .3446017{col 43}{space 1}   12.43{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4} 3.608976{col 73}{space 3}  4.95979
{txt}{space 11}lngdp_t {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .1833621{col 32}{space 2}  .102883{col 43}{space 1}    1.78{col 52}{space 3}0.075{col 60}{space 4}-.0182849{col 73}{space 3} .3850092
{txt}{space 11}lnpop_t {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.0370694{col 32}{space 2} .1244009{col 43}{space 1}   -0.30{col 52}{space 3}0.766{col 60}{space 4}-.2808906{col 73}{space 3} .2067519
{txt}{space 11}coldwar {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.5406268{col 32}{space 2}  .249539{col 43}{space 1}   -2.17{col 52}{space 3}0.030{col 60}{space 4}-1.029714{col 73}{space 3}-.0515392
{txt}{space 12}us_dum {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .7357176{col 32}{space 2} .3125448{col 43}{space 1}    2.35{col 52}{space 3}0.019{col 60}{space 4}  .123141{col 73}{space 3} 1.348294
{txt}{space 13}_cons {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-9.169752{col 32}{space 2} 1.952271{col 43}{space 1}   -4.70{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4}-12.99613{col 73}{space 3} -5.34337
{txt}{hline 19}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{p 0 6 2}Note: 3 failures and 0 successes completely determined.{p_end}
({res}est1{txt} stored)

{com}. cem issue_dum(#0) highact(1.5 12.5 17.5 22.5) institution(#0) ddyad(#0) lngdp_t(#3), treatment (carrotonlyimposition) showbreak
{res}{txt}Cutpoints:
issue_dum:{res} (user) 
  0
highact:{res} (user) 
       {txt}   1
    {c TLC}{hline 8}{c TRC}
  1 {c |}  {res} 1.5{txt}  {c |}
  2 {c |}  {res}12.5{txt}  {c |}
  3 {c |}  {res}17.5{txt}  {c |}
  4 {c |}  {res}22.5{txt}  {c |}
    {c BLC}{hline 8}{c BRC}
institution:{res} (user) 
  0
ddyad:{res} (user) 
  0
lngdp_t:{res} (user) 
       {txt}          1
    {c TLC}{hline 15}{c TRC}
  1 {c |}  {res}18.83336449{txt}  {c |}
  2 {c |}  {res}24.58871651{txt}  {c |}
  3 {c |}  {res}30.34406853{txt}  {c |}
    {c BLC}{hline 15}{c BRC}

Matching Summary:
-----------------
Number of strata: {res}83
{txt}Number of matched strata: {res}25

           {txt}   0     1
      All  {res}1409    33
{txt}  Matched  {res}1085    33
{txt}Unmatched  {res} 324     0


{txt}Multivariate L1 distance: {res}.46577437

{txt}Univariate imbalance:

                  L1     mean      min      25%      50%      75%      max
  issue_dum  {res}2.3e-15  2.0e-15        0        0        0        0        0
{txt}    highact  {res} .11111   .01515        0        0        0        0       -3
{txt}institution  {res}1.2e-15  1.2e-15        0        0        0        0        0
{txt}      ddyad  {res}2.4e-15  1.7e-15        0        0        0        .        .
{txt}    lngdp_t  {res} .19098   .19595   2.9111   .19755   .94547        .        .
{txt}
{com}. eststo: probit impositionoutcome carrotonlyimposition issue_dum highact institution cont_dum multi atopally idealpointdistance ddyad demo_t demo_s lngdp_t lnpop_t coldwar us_dum [iweight=cem_weights], robust //5% okay

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-162.08885}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -108.0277}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-104.44013}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-104.23979}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-104.23857}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-104.23857}  
{res}
{txt}Probit regression{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       254
{txt}{col 49}Wald chi2({res}15{txt}){col 67}= {res}     74.21
{txt}{col 49}Prob > chi2{col 67}= {res}    0.0000
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-104.23857{txt}{col 49}Pseudo R2{col 67}= {res}    0.3569

{txt}{hline 21}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 22}{c |}{col 34}    Robust
{col 1}   impositionoutcome{col 22}{c |}      Coef.{col 34}   Std. Err.{col 46}      z{col 54}   P>|z|{col 62}     [95% Con{col 75}f. Interval]
{hline 21}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
carrotonlyimposition {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-1.843356{col 34}{space 2} .6244803{col 45}{space 1}   -2.95{col 54}{space 3}0.003{col 62}{space 4}-3.067315{col 75}{space 3}-.6193968
{txt}{space 11}issue_dum {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.3749503{col 34}{space 2} .4664313{col 45}{space 1}   -0.80{col 54}{space 3}0.421{col 62}{space 4}-1.289139{col 75}{space 3} .5392383
{txt}{space 13}highact {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .1367958{col 34}{space 2} .0382857{col 45}{space 1}    3.57{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} .0617573{col 75}{space 3} .2118344
{txt}{space 9}institution {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .8615673{col 34}{space 2} .7280576{col 45}{space 1}    1.18{col 54}{space 3}0.237{col 62}{space 4}-.5653994{col 75}{space 3} 2.288534
{txt}{space 12}cont_dum {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .8275787{col 34}{space 2} .4055188{col 45}{space 1}    2.04{col 54}{space 3}0.041{col 62}{space 4} .0327765{col 75}{space 3} 1.622381
{txt}{space 15}multi {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .8583466{col 34}{space 2} .5691179{col 45}{space 1}    1.51{col 54}{space 3}0.132{col 62}{space 4} -.257104{col 75}{space 3} 1.973797
{txt}{space 12}atopally {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1.005445{col 34}{space 2}  .429858{col 45}{space 1}    2.34{col 54}{space 3}0.019{col 62}{space 4}  .162939{col 75}{space 3} 1.847951
{txt}{space 2}idealpointdistance {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.0764953{col 34}{space 2} .1630205{col 45}{space 1}   -0.47{col 54}{space 3}0.639{col 62}{space 4}-.3960096{col 75}{space 3} .2430189
{txt}{space 15}ddyad {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-2.210054{col 34}{space 2} .7388377{col 45}{space 1}   -2.99{col 54}{space 3}0.003{col 62}{space 4} -3.65815{col 75}{space 3}-.7619589
{txt}{space 14}demo_t {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  1.45674{col 34}{space 2} .7039874{col 45}{space 1}    2.07{col 54}{space 3}0.039{col 62}{space 4} .0769506{col 75}{space 3}  2.83653
{txt}{space 14}demo_s {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1.159181{col 34}{space 2} .6134928{col 45}{space 1}    1.89{col 54}{space 3}0.059{col 62}{space 4}-.0432428{col 75}{space 3} 2.361605
{txt}{space 13}lngdp_t {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.1944357{col 34}{space 2} .1473331{col 45}{space 1}   -1.32{col 54}{space 3}0.187{col 62}{space 4}-.4832033{col 75}{space 3}  .094332
{txt}{space 13}lnpop_t {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .1742892{col 34}{space 2} .1700234{col 45}{space 1}    1.03{col 54}{space 3}0.305{col 62}{space 4}-.1589505{col 75}{space 3} .5075289
{txt}{space 13}coldwar {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.0086611{col 34}{space 2} .2655897{col 45}{space 1}   -0.03{col 54}{space 3}0.974{col 62}{space 4}-.5292073{col 75}{space 3} .5118851
{txt}{space 14}us_dum {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.1079879{col 34}{space 2} .5303643{col 45}{space 1}   -0.20{col 54}{space 3}0.839{col 62}{space 4}-1.147483{col 75}{space 3}  .931507
{txt}{space 15}_cons {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1.668828{col 34}{space 2} 2.393761{col 45}{space 1}    0.70{col 54}{space 3}0.486{col 62}{space 4}-3.022857{col 75}{space 3} 6.360513
{txt}{hline 21}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
({res}est2{txt} stored)

{com}. cem issue_dum(#0) highact(1.5 12.5 17.5 22.5) institution(#0) ddyad(#0) ed(#5), treatment (carrot_1) showbreak
{res}{txt}Cutpoints:
issue_dum:{res} (user) 
  0
highact:{res} (user) 
       {txt}   1
    {c TLC}{hline 8}{c TRC}
  1 {c |}  {res} 1.5{txt}  {c |}
  2 {c |}  {res}12.5{txt}  {c |}
  3 {c |}  {res}17.5{txt}  {c |}
  4 {c |}  {res}22.5{txt}  {c |}
    {c BLC}{hline 8}{c BRC}
institution:{res} (user) 
  0
ddyad:{res} (user) 
  0
ed:{res} (user) 
       {txt}           1
    {c TLC}{hline 16}{c TRC}
  1 {c |}  {res}-28.77635193{txt}  {c |}
  2 {c |}  {res}-25.34938717{txt}  {c |}
  3 {c |}  {res}-21.92242241{txt}  {c |}
  4 {c |}  {res}-18.49545765{txt}  {c |}
  5 {c |}  {res}-15.06849289{txt}  {c |}
    {c BLC}{hline 16}{c BRC}

Matching Summary:
-----------------
Number of strata: {res}97
{txt}Number of matched strata: {res}14

           {txt}   0     1
      All  {res}1411    31
{txt}  Matched  {res} 794    28
{txt}Unmatched  {res} 617     3


{txt}Multivariate L1 distance: {res}.32628667

{txt}Univariate imbalance:

                   L1      mean       min       25%       50%       75%       max
  issue_dum  {res} 4.5e-16  -3.5e-16         0         0         0         0         0
{txt}    highact  {res}  .10119   -.22024         0         0         0         0         0
{txt}institution  {res} 4.4e-15  -6.7e-15         0         0         0         0         0
{txt}      ddyad  {res} 4.1e-15  -1.8e-15         0         0         0         0         .
{txt}         ed  {res}  .25313    .08637   -2.9935    .68761         .         .         .
{txt}
{com}. eststo: probit threatoutcome carrot_1 issue_dum highact institution cont_dum multi atopally idealpointdistance ddyad demo_t demo_s lngdp_t lnpop_t coldwar us_dum [iweight=cem_weights], robust //5% okay

{txt}note: issue_dum != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      issue_dum dropped and 2 obs not used

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-139.66293}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-92.572525}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-89.847684}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-89.502331}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-89.456018}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-89.450095}  
Iteration 6:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-89.449206}  
Iteration 7:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -89.44904}  
Iteration 8:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-89.449008}  
Iteration 9:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-89.449001}  
{res}
{txt}Probit regression{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       281
{txt}{col 49}Wald chi2({res}14{txt}){col 67}= {res}    448.96
{txt}{col 49}Prob > chi2{col 67}= {res}    0.0000
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-89.449001{txt}{col 49}Pseudo R2{col 67}= {res}    0.3595

{txt}{hline 19}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 20}{c |}{col 32}    Robust
{col 1}     threatoutcome{col 20}{c |}      Coef.{col 32}   Std. Err.{col 44}      z{col 52}   P>|z|{col 60}     [95% Con{col 73}f. Interval]
{hline 19}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 10}carrot_1 {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .9259169{col 32}{space 2} .3816448{col 43}{space 1}    2.43{col 52}{space 3}0.015{col 60}{space 4} .1779069{col 73}{space 3} 1.673927
{txt}{space 9}issue_dum {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}        0{col 32}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 11}highact {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.0832225{col 32}{space 2} .0367473{col 43}{space 1}   -2.26{col 52}{space 3}0.024{col 60}{space 4}-.1552458{col 73}{space 3}-.0111992
{txt}{space 7}institution {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 1.063874{col 32}{space 2} .5371874{col 43}{space 1}    1.98{col 52}{space 3}0.048{col 60}{space 4}  .011006{col 73}{space 3} 2.116742
{txt}{space 10}cont_dum {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} -.617403{col 32}{space 2} .4738611{col 43}{space 1}   -1.30{col 52}{space 3}0.193{col 60}{space 4}-1.546154{col 73}{space 3} .3113477
{txt}{space 13}multi {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.2898452{col 32}{space 2} .5739139{col 43}{space 1}   -0.51{col 52}{space 3}0.614{col 60}{space 4}-1.414696{col 73}{space 3} .8350054
{txt}{space 10}atopally {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.7954768{col 32}{space 2} .3013727{col 43}{space 1}   -2.64{col 52}{space 3}0.008{col 60}{space 4}-1.386156{col 73}{space 3}-.2047971
{txt}idealpointdistance {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .1145926{col 32}{space 2}  .152772{col 43}{space 1}    0.75{col 52}{space 3}0.453{col 60}{space 4} -.184835{col 73}{space 3} .4140201
{txt}{space 13}ddyad {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-6.542925{col 32}{space 2} .7919222{col 43}{space 1}   -8.26{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4}-8.095064{col 73}{space 3}-4.990786
{txt}{space 12}demo_t {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 6.379069{col 32}{space 2} .7293994{col 43}{space 1}    8.75{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4} 4.949472{col 73}{space 3} 7.808665
{txt}{space 12}demo_s {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 6.073272{col 32}{space 2} .6960243{col 43}{space 1}    8.73{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4} 4.709089{col 73}{space 3} 7.437454
{txt}{space 11}lngdp_t {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .2153186{col 32}{space 2} .1246167{col 43}{space 1}    1.73{col 52}{space 3}0.084{col 60}{space 4}-.0289256{col 73}{space 3} .4595628
{txt}{space 11}lnpop_t {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.0774975{col 32}{space 2} .1351906{col 43}{space 1}   -0.57{col 52}{space 3}0.566{col 60}{space 4}-.3424662{col 73}{space 3} .1874712
{txt}{space 11}coldwar {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.8729007{col 32}{space 2} .3058448{col 43}{space 1}   -2.85{col 52}{space 3}0.004{col 60}{space 4}-1.472345{col 73}{space 3} -.273456
{txt}{space 12}us_dum {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .1078068{col 32}{space 2} .3465146{col 43}{space 1}    0.31{col 52}{space 3}0.756{col 60}{space 4}-.5713493{col 73}{space 3} .7869629
{txt}{space 13}_cons {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-11.08056{col 32}{space 2} 2.696335{col 43}{space 1}   -4.11{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4}-16.36528{col 73}{space 3}-5.795841
{txt}{hline 19}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{p 0 6 2}Note: 13 failures and 0 successes completely determined.{p_end}
({res}est3{txt} stored)

{com}. cem issue_dum(#0) highact(1.5 12.5 17.5 22.5) institution(#0) ddyad(#0) ed(#5), treatment (carrotonlyimposition) showbreak
{res}{txt}Cutpoints:
issue_dum:{res} (user) 
  0
highact:{res} (user) 
       {txt}   1
    {c TLC}{hline 8}{c TRC}
  1 {c |}  {res} 1.5{txt}  {c |}
  2 {c |}  {res}12.5{txt}  {c |}
  3 {c |}  {res}17.5{txt}  {c |}
  4 {c |}  {res}22.5{txt}  {c |}
    {c BLC}{hline 8}{c BRC}
institution:{res} (user) 
  0
ddyad:{res} (user) 
  0
ed:{res} (user) 
       {txt}           1
    {c TLC}{hline 16}{c TRC}
  1 {c |}  {res}-28.77635193{txt}  {c |}
  2 {c |}  {res}-25.34938717{txt}  {c |}
  3 {c |}  {res}-21.92242241{txt}  {c |}
  4 {c |}  {res}-18.49545765{txt}  {c |}
  5 {c |}  {res}-15.06849289{txt}  {c |}
    {c BLC}{hline 16}{c BRC}

Matching Summary:
-----------------
Number of strata: {res}97
{txt}Number of matched strata: {res}22

           {txt}   0     1
      All  {res}1409    33
{txt}  Matched  {res} 816    31
{txt}Unmatched  {res} 593     2


{txt}Multivariate L1 distance: {res}.30248363

{txt}Univariate imbalance:

                  L1     mean      min      25%      50%      75%      max
  issue_dum  {res}1.1e-15  1.6e-15        0        0        0        0        0
{txt}    highact  {res} .10061   .14286        0        0        0        6       -3
{txt}institution  {res}6.7e-16  7.8e-16        0        0        0        0        0
{txt}      ddyad  {res}2.9e-15  1.5e-15        0        0        0        .        .
{txt}         ed  {res} .10049  -.06471   3.2261   -.1297        .        .        .
{txt}
{com}. eststo: probit impositionoutcome carrotonlyimposition issue_dum highact institution cont_dum multi atopally idealpointdistance ddyad demo_t demo_s lngdp_t lnpop_t coldwar us_dum [iweight=cem_weights], robust //5% okay

{txt}note: highact != 0 predicts success perfectly
      highact dropped and 4 obs not used

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-80.126002}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-39.936663}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -34.33381}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-33.216576}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-33.062947}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-33.033669}  
Iteration 6:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -33.02793}  
Iteration 7:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-33.026982}  
Iteration 8:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-33.026843}  
Iteration 9:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-33.026814}  
Iteration 10:{space 2}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-33.026808}  
Iteration 11:{space 2}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-33.026807}  
{res}
{txt}Probit regression{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       140
{txt}{col 49}Wald chi2({res}14{txt}){col 67}= {res}    756.99
{txt}{col 49}Prob > chi2{col 67}= {res}    0.0000
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-33.026807{txt}{col 49}Pseudo R2{col 67}= {res}    0.5878

{txt}{hline 21}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 22}{c |}{col 34}    Robust
{col 1}   impositionoutcome{col 22}{c |}      Coef.{col 34}   Std. Err.{col 46}      z{col 54}   P>|z|{col 62}     [95% Con{col 75}f. Interval]
{hline 21}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
carrotonlyimposition {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-7.250526{col 34}{space 2} .5521245{col 45}{space 1}  -13.13{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} -8.33267{col 75}{space 3}-6.168382
{txt}{space 11}issue_dum {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 7.076267{col 34}{space 2} .6462019{col 45}{space 1}   10.95{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 5.809734{col 75}{space 3} 8.342799
{txt}{space 13}highact {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}        0{col 34}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 9}institution {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1.878264{col 34}{space 2} .5389745{col 45}{space 1}    3.48{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}  .821893{col 75}{space 3} 2.934634
{txt}{space 12}cont_dum {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1.004852{col 34}{space 2} .4882814{col 45}{space 1}    2.06{col 54}{space 3}0.040{col 62}{space 4} .0478377{col 75}{space 3} 1.961866
{txt}{space 15}multi {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .2153956{col 34}{space 2} .4435381{col 45}{space 1}    0.49{col 54}{space 3}0.627{col 62}{space 4} -.653923{col 75}{space 3} 1.084714
{txt}{space 12}atopally {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.3131481{col 34}{space 2} .2995408{col 45}{space 1}   -1.05{col 54}{space 3}0.296{col 62}{space 4}-.9002372{col 75}{space 3} .2739411
{txt}{space 2}idealpointdistance {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  -.06491{col 34}{space 2} .1260131{col 45}{space 1}   -0.52{col 54}{space 3}0.606{col 62}{space 4}-.3118912{col 75}{space 3} .1820711
{txt}{space 15}ddyad {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  .536907{col 34}{space 2} .8667924{col 45}{space 1}    0.62{col 54}{space 3}0.536{col 62}{space 4}-1.161975{col 75}{space 3} 2.235789
{txt}{space 14}demo_t {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.2835097{col 34}{space 2} .7901536{col 45}{space 1}   -0.36{col 54}{space 3}0.720{col 62}{space 4}-1.832182{col 75}{space 3} 1.265163
{txt}{space 14}demo_s {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.8658353{col 34}{space 2} .7707075{col 45}{space 1}   -1.12{col 54}{space 3}0.261{col 62}{space 4}-2.376394{col 75}{space 3} .6447237
{txt}{space 13}lngdp_t {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.0634111{col 34}{space 2} .1234355{col 45}{space 1}   -0.51{col 54}{space 3}0.607{col 62}{space 4}-.3053402{col 75}{space 3}  .178518
{txt}{space 13}lnpop_t {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .2162915{col 34}{space 2} .1453106{col 45}{space 1}    1.49{col 54}{space 3}0.137{col 62}{space 4}-.0685121{col 75}{space 3}  .501095
{txt}{space 13}coldwar {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.3717112{col 34}{space 2} .2926513{col 45}{space 1}   -1.27{col 54}{space 3}0.204{col 62}{space 4}-.9452973{col 75}{space 3} .2018749
{txt}{space 14}us_dum {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .4617574{col 34}{space 2} .3566716{col 45}{space 1}    1.29{col 54}{space 3}0.195{col 62}{space 4} -.237306{col 75}{space 3} 1.160821
{txt}{space 15}_cons {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.1498375{col 34}{space 2} 2.484302{col 45}{space 1}   -0.06{col 54}{space 3}0.952{col 62}{space 4}-5.018981{col 75}{space 3} 4.719306
{txt}{hline 21}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{p 0 6 2}Note: 4 failures and 4 successes completely determined.{p_end}
({res}est4{txt} stored)

{com}. cem issue_dum(#0) highact(1.5 12.5 17.5 22.5) institution(#0) ddyad(#0) lngdp_t(#3) ed(#5), treatment (carrot_1) showbreak
{res}{txt}Cutpoints:
issue_dum:{res} (user) 
  0
highact:{res} (user) 
       {txt}   1
    {c TLC}{hline 8}{c TRC}
  1 {c |}  {res} 1.5{txt}  {c |}
  2 {c |}  {res}12.5{txt}  {c |}
  3 {c |}  {res}17.5{txt}  {c |}
  4 {c |}  {res}22.5{txt}  {c |}
    {c BLC}{hline 8}{c BRC}
institution:{res} (user) 
  0
ddyad:{res} (user) 
  0
lngdp_t:{res} (user) 
       {txt}          1
    {c TLC}{hline 15}{c TRC}
  1 {c |}  {res}18.83336449{txt}  {c |}
  2 {c |}  {res}24.58871651{txt}  {c |}
  3 {c |}  {res}30.34406853{txt}  {c |}
    {c BLC}{hline 15}{c BRC}
ed:{res} (user) 
       {txt}           1
    {c TLC}{hline 16}{c TRC}
  1 {c |}  {res}-28.77635193{txt}  {c |}
  2 {c |}  {res}-25.34938717{txt}  {c |}
  3 {c |}  {res}-21.92242241{txt}  {c |}
  4 {c |}  {res}-18.49545765{txt}  {c |}
  5 {c |}  {res}-15.06849289{txt}  {c |}
    {c BLC}{hline 16}{c BRC}

Matching Summary:
-----------------
Number of strata: {res}143
{txt}Number of matched strata: {res}16

           {txt}   0     1
      All  {res}1411    31
{txt}  Matched  {res} 494    25
{txt}Unmatched  {res} 917     6


{txt}Multivariate L1 distance: {res}.49404627

{txt}Univariate imbalance:

                  L1     mean      min      25%      50%      75%      max
  issue_dum  {res}2.0e-16  1.8e-16        0        0        0        0        0
{txt}    highact  {res} .11333  -.27333        0        0        0        0       -2
{txt}institution  {res}1.6e-15  2.9e-15        0        0        0        0        0
{txt}      ddyad  {res}1.6e-15  5.3e-16        0        0        0        0        .
{txt}    lngdp_t  {res} .19775   .24594   3.7589    .2016   1.1293        .        .
{txt}         ed  {res} .20697   .15697   .48505   .02361        .        .        .
{txt}
{com}. eststo: probit threatoutcome carrot_1 issue_dum highact institution cont_dum multi atopally idealpointdistance ddyad demo_t demo_s lngdp_t lnpop_t coldwar us_dum [iweight=cem_weights], robust //5% okay

{txt}note: issue_dum omitted because of collinearity
{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-112.84703}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-79.544482}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-77.638963}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-77.295242}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-77.208839}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-77.133548}  
Iteration 6:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-77.119832}  
Iteration 7:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-77.117626}  
Iteration 8:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-77.117312}  
Iteration 9:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-77.117267}  
Iteration 10:{space 2}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-77.117258}  
Iteration 11:{space 2}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-77.117256}  
{res}
{txt}Probit regression{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       181
{txt}{col 49}{help j_robustsingular##|_new:Wald chi2(13)}{col 67}=          {res}.
{txt}{col 49}Prob > chi2{col 67}=          {res}.
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-77.117256{txt}{col 49}Pseudo R2{col 67}= {res}    0.3166

{txt}{hline 19}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 20}{c |}{col 32}    Robust
{col 1}     threatoutcome{col 20}{c |}      Coef.{col 32}   Std. Err.{col 44}      z{col 52}   P>|z|{col 60}     [95% Con{col 73}f. Interval]
{hline 19}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 10}carrot_1 {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .8380844{col 32}{space 2} .4466003{col 43}{space 1}    1.88{col 52}{space 3}0.061{col 60}{space 4}-.0372361{col 73}{space 3} 1.713405
{txt}{space 9}issue_dum {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}        0{col 32}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 11}highact {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-2.170193{col 32}{space 2} .2924235{col 43}{space 1}   -7.42{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4}-2.743332{col 73}{space 3}-1.597053
{txt}{space 7}institution {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .6996913{col 32}{space 2} .4834934{col 43}{space 1}    1.45{col 52}{space 3}0.148{col 60}{space 4}-.2479383{col 73}{space 3} 1.647321
{txt}{space 10}cont_dum {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.4929707{col 32}{space 2} .5532862{col 43}{space 1}   -0.89{col 52}{space 3}0.373{col 60}{space 4}-1.577392{col 73}{space 3} .5914503
{txt}{space 13}multi {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.2432378{col 32}{space 2} .4764712{col 43}{space 1}   -0.51{col 52}{space 3}0.610{col 60}{space 4}-1.177104{col 73}{space 3} .6906286
{txt}{space 10}atopally {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.7495304{col 32}{space 2} .3838744{col 43}{space 1}   -1.95{col 52}{space 3}0.051{col 60}{space 4} -1.50191{col 73}{space 3} .0028496
{txt}idealpointdistance {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.3639458{col 32}{space 2}  .188666{col 43}{space 1}   -1.93{col 52}{space 3}0.054{col 60}{space 4}-.7337244{col 73}{space 3} .0058328
{txt}{space 13}ddyad {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} -22.4245{col 32}{space 2} 2.120501{col 43}{space 1}  -10.58{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4} -26.5806{col 73}{space 3}-18.26839
{txt}{space 12}demo_t {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 21.88067{col 32}{space 2} 2.128547{col 43}{space 1}   10.28{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4}  17.7088{col 73}{space 3} 26.05255
{txt}{space 12}demo_s {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 5.923587{col 32}{space 2}  .660026{col 43}{space 1}    8.97{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4}  4.62996{col 73}{space 3} 7.217214
{txt}{space 11}lngdp_t {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .0854989{col 32}{space 2} .1498183{col 43}{space 1}    0.57{col 52}{space 3}0.568{col 60}{space 4}-.2081395{col 73}{space 3} .3791372
{txt}{space 11}lnpop_t {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .1368035{col 32}{space 2} .1640228{col 43}{space 1}    0.83{col 52}{space 3}0.404{col 60}{space 4}-.1846753{col 73}{space 3} .4582823
{txt}{space 11}coldwar {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-1.146752{col 32}{space 2} .3547129{col 43}{space 1}   -3.23{col 52}{space 3}0.001{col 60}{space 4}-1.841976{col 73}{space 3}-.4515273
{txt}{space 12}us_dum {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}  .480308{col 32}{space 2} .4555063{col 43}{space 1}    1.05{col 52}{space 3}0.292{col 60}{space 4} -.412468{col 73}{space 3} 1.373084
{txt}{space 13}_cons {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-8.500269{col 32}{space 2}  3.15015{col 43}{space 1}   -2.70{col 52}{space 3}0.007{col 60}{space 4}-14.67445{col 73}{space 3}-2.326088
{txt}{hline 19}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{p 0 6 2}Note: 4 failures and 0 successes completely determined.{p_end}
({res}est5{txt} stored)

{com}. cem issue_dum(#0) highact(1.5 12.5 17.5 22.5) institution(#0) ddyad(#0) lngdp_t(#3) ed(#5), treatment (carrotonlyimposition) showbreak
{res}{txt}Cutpoints:
issue_dum:{res} (user) 
  0
highact:{res} (user) 
       {txt}   1
    {c TLC}{hline 8}{c TRC}
  1 {c |}  {res} 1.5{txt}  {c |}
  2 {c |}  {res}12.5{txt}  {c |}
  3 {c |}  {res}17.5{txt}  {c |}
  4 {c |}  {res}22.5{txt}  {c |}
    {c BLC}{hline 8}{c BRC}
institution:{res} (user) 
  0
ddyad:{res} (user) 
  0
lngdp_t:{res} (user) 
       {txt}          1
    {c TLC}{hline 15}{c TRC}
  1 {c |}  {res}18.83336449{txt}  {c |}
  2 {c |}  {res}24.58871651{txt}  {c |}
  3 {c |}  {res}30.34406853{txt}  {c |}
    {c BLC}{hline 15}{c BRC}
ed:{res} (user) 
       {txt}           1
    {c TLC}{hline 16}{c TRC}
  1 {c |}  {res}-28.77635193{txt}  {c |}
  2 {c |}  {res}-25.34938717{txt}  {c |}
  3 {c |}  {res}-21.92242241{txt}  {c |}
  4 {c |}  {res}-18.49545765{txt}  {c |}
  5 {c |}  {res}-15.06849289{txt}  {c |}
    {c BLC}{hline 16}{c BRC}

Matching Summary:
-----------------
Number of strata: {res}143
{txt}Number of matched strata: {res}23

           {txt}   0     1
      All  {res}1409    33
{txt}  Matched  {res} 651    29
{txt}Unmatched  {res} 758     4


{txt}Multivariate L1 distance: {res}.46442902

{txt}Univariate imbalance:

                  L1     mean      min      25%      50%      75%      max
  issue_dum  {res}3.5e-15  1.8e-15        0        0        0        0        0
{txt}    highact  {res}  .1092   .01724        0        0        0        0       -3
{txt}institution  {res}5.4e-15  2.9e-15        0        0        0        0        0
{txt}      ddyad  {res}5.0e-15  9.7e-16        0        0        0        .        .
{txt}    lngdp_t  {res} .16298    .2035   2.9111   -.0532        .        .        .
{txt}         ed  {res} .12157  -.03119   3.2261  -.06744        .        .        .
{txt}
{com}. eststo: probit impositionoutcome carrotonlyimposition issue_dum highact institution cont_dum multi atopally idealpointdistance ddyad demo_t demo_s lngdp_t lnpop_t coldwar us_dum [iweight=cem_weights], robust //5% okay

{txt}note: highact != 0 predicts success perfectly
      highact dropped and 3 obs not used

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-60.927321}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-25.360668}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-22.108471}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-21.498523}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-21.360302}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-21.315146}  
Iteration 6:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-21.304373}  
Iteration 7:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-21.302648}  
Iteration 8:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-21.302419}  
Iteration 9:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-21.302374}  
Iteration 10:{space 2}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-21.302364}  
Iteration 11:{space 2}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-21.302362}  
{res}
{txt}Probit regression{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       105
{txt}{col 49}Wald chi2({res}14{txt}){col 67}= {res}   2372.85
{txt}{col 49}Prob > chi2{col 67}= {res}    0.0000
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-21.302362{txt}{col 49}Pseudo R2{col 67}= {res}    0.6504

{txt}{hline 21}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 22}{c |}{col 34}    Robust
{col 1}   impositionoutcome{col 22}{c |}      Coef.{col 34}   Std. Err.{col 46}      z{col 54}   P>|z|{col 62}     [95% Con{col 75}f. Interval]
{hline 21}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
carrotonlyimposition {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} -16.1267{col 34}{space 2} .6387104{col 45}{space 1}  -25.25{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}-17.37855{col 75}{space 3}-14.87485
{txt}{space 11}issue_dum {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 11.46827{col 34}{space 2} .8268809{col 45}{space 1}   13.87{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 9.847613{col 75}{space 3} 13.08893
{txt}{space 13}highact {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}        0{col 34}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 9}institution {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 11.40722{col 34}{space 2} .8055552{col 45}{space 1}   14.16{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 9.828365{col 75}{space 3} 12.98608
{txt}{space 12}cont_dum {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1.016766{col 34}{space 2} .6818436{col 45}{space 1}    1.49{col 54}{space 3}0.136{col 62}{space 4}-.3196228{col 75}{space 3} 2.353155
{txt}{space 15}multi {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.3201136{col 34}{space 2}   .73379{col 45}{space 1}   -0.44{col 54}{space 3}0.663{col 62}{space 4}-1.758316{col 75}{space 3} 1.118088
{txt}{space 12}atopally {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.3118573{col 34}{space 2} .4688558{col 45}{space 1}   -0.67{col 54}{space 3}0.506{col 62}{space 4}-1.230798{col 75}{space 3} .6070833
{txt}{space 2}idealpointdistance {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.2311883{col 34}{space 2} .2012335{col 45}{space 1}   -1.15{col 54}{space 3}0.251{col 62}{space 4}-.6255986{col 75}{space 3} .1632221
{txt}{space 15}ddyad {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.3885971{col 34}{space 2} .9671597{col 45}{space 1}   -0.40{col 54}{space 3}0.688{col 62}{space 4}-2.284195{col 75}{space 3} 1.507001
{txt}{space 14}demo_t {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .8158542{col 34}{space 2} .9368667{col 45}{space 1}    0.87{col 54}{space 3}0.384{col 62}{space 4}-1.020371{col 75}{space 3} 2.652079
{txt}{space 14}demo_s {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.4555602{col 34}{space 2} .8189943{col 45}{space 1}   -0.56{col 54}{space 3}0.578{col 62}{space 4}-2.060759{col 75}{space 3} 1.149639
{txt}{space 13}lngdp_t {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.1261571{col 34}{space 2} .2050223{col 45}{space 1}   -0.62{col 54}{space 3}0.538{col 62}{space 4}-.5279935{col 75}{space 3} .2756792
{txt}{space 13}lnpop_t {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .2861378{col 34}{space 2} .1837722{col 45}{space 1}    1.56{col 54}{space 3}0.119{col 62}{space 4} -.074049{col 75}{space 3} .6463247
{txt}{space 13}coldwar {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  .037662{col 34}{space 2} .3663387{col 45}{space 1}    0.10{col 54}{space 3}0.918{col 62}{space 4}-.6803487{col 75}{space 3} .7556726
{txt}{space 14}us_dum {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .4261344{col 34}{space 2} .5206497{col 45}{space 1}    0.82{col 54}{space 3}0.413{col 62}{space 4}-.5943203{col 75}{space 3} 1.446589
{txt}{space 15}_cons {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .1763031{col 34}{space 2}  3.91252{col 45}{space 1}    0.05{col 54}{space 3}0.964{col 62}{space 4}-7.492095{col 75}{space 3} 7.844701
{txt}{hline 21}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{p 0 6 2}Note: 4 failures and 5 successes completely determined.{p_end}
({res}est6{txt} stored)

{com}. esttab, starlevel(* 0.10 ** 0.05 *** 0.01) p compress nogap
{res}
{txt}{hline 88}
{txt}                 (1)          (2)          (3)          (4)          (5)          (6)   
{txt}           threato~e    imposit~e    threato~e    imposit~e    threato~e    imposit~e   
{txt}{hline 88}
{res}main                                                                                    {txt}
{txt}carrot_1  {res}     0.878**                   0.926**                   0.838*               {txt}
          {res} {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.020{txt:)}}                 {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.015{txt:)}}                 {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.061{txt:)}}                {txt}
{txt}issue_dum {res}    -0.514       -0.375            0        7.076***         0        11.47***{txt}
          {res} {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.383{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.421{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.000{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.000{txt:)}}   {txt}
{txt}highact   {res}   -0.0375        0.137***   -0.0832**          0       -2.170***         0   {txt}
          {res} {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.230{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.000{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.024{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.000{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}
{txt}institut~n{res}     0.243        0.862        1.064**      1.878***     0.700        11.41***{txt}
          {res} {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.496{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.237{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.048{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.000{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.148{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.000{txt:)}}   {txt}
{txt}cont_dum  {res}    -0.206        0.828**     -0.617        1.005**     -0.493        1.017   {txt}
          {res} {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.636{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.041{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.193{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.040{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.373{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.136{txt:)}}   {txt}
{txt}multi     {res}   -0.0398        0.858       -0.290        0.215       -0.243       -0.320   {txt}
          {res} {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.911{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.132{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.614{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.627{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.610{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.663{txt:)}}   {txt}
{txt}atopally  {res}    0.0469        1.005**     -0.795***    -0.313       -0.750*      -0.312   {txt}
          {res} {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.864{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.019{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.008{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.296{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.051{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.506{txt:)}}   {txt}
{txt}idealpoi~e{res}   -0.0744      -0.0765        0.115      -0.0649       -0.364*      -0.231   {txt}
          {res} {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.604{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.639{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.453{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.606{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.054{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.251{txt:)}}   {txt}
{txt}ddyad     {res}    -4.498***    -2.210***    -6.543***     0.537       -22.42***    -0.389   {txt}
          {res} {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.000{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.003{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.000{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.536{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.000{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.688{txt:)}}   {txt}
{txt}demo_t    {res}     4.163***     1.457**      6.379***    -0.284        21.88***     0.816   {txt}
          {res} {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.000{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.039{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.000{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.720{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.000{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.384{txt:)}}   {txt}
{txt}demo_s    {res}     4.284***     1.159*       6.073***    -0.866        5.924***    -0.456   {txt}
          {res} {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.000{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.059{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.000{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.261{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.000{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.578{txt:)}}   {txt}
{txt}lngdp_t   {res}     0.183*      -0.194        0.215*     -0.0634       0.0855       -0.126   {txt}
          {res} {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.075{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.187{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.084{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.607{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.568{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.538{txt:)}}   {txt}
{txt}lnpop_t   {res}   -0.0371        0.174      -0.0775        0.216        0.137        0.286   {txt}
          {res} {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.766{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.305{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.566{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.137{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.404{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.119{txt:)}}   {txt}
{txt}coldwar   {res}    -0.541**   -0.00866       -0.873***    -0.372       -1.147***    0.0377   {txt}
          {res} {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.030{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.974{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.004{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.204{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.001{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.918{txt:)}}   {txt}
{txt}us_dum    {res}     0.736**     -0.108        0.108        0.462        0.480        0.426   {txt}
          {res} {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.019{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.839{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.756{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.195{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.292{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.413{txt:)}}   {txt}
{txt}carroton~n{res}                 -1.843***                 -7.251***                 -16.13***{txt}
          {res}              {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.003{txt:)}}                 {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.000{txt:)}}                 {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.000{txt:)}}   {txt}
{txt}_cons     {res}    -9.170***     1.669       -11.08***    -0.150       -8.500***     0.176   {txt}
          {res} {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.000{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.486{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.000{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.952{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.007{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.964{txt:)}}   {txt}
{txt}{hline 88}
{txt}N         {res}       386          254          281          140          181          105   {txt}
{txt}{hline 88}
{txt}p-values in parentheses
{txt}* p<0.10, ** p<0.05, *** p<0.01

{com}. 
. *Table A14
. **Target's GDP
. ***Threat stage
. cem issue_dum(#0) highact(1.5 12.5 17.5 22.5) institution(#0) ddyad(#0) lngdp_t(#3), treatment (carrot_1) showbreak
{res}{txt}Cutpoints:
issue_dum:{res} (user) 
  0
highact:{res} (user) 
       {txt}   1
    {c TLC}{hline 8}{c TRC}
  1 {c |}  {res} 1.5{txt}  {c |}
  2 {c |}  {res}12.5{txt}  {c |}
  3 {c |}  {res}17.5{txt}  {c |}
  4 {c |}  {res}22.5{txt}  {c |}
    {c BLC}{hline 8}{c BRC}
institution:{res} (user) 
  0
ddyad:{res} (user) 
  0
lngdp_t:{res} (user) 
       {txt}          1
    {c TLC}{hline 15}{c TRC}
  1 {c |}  {res}18.83336449{txt}  {c |}
  2 {c |}  {res}24.58871651{txt}  {c |}
  3 {c |}  {res}30.34406853{txt}  {c |}
    {c BLC}{hline 15}{c BRC}

Matching Summary:
-----------------
Number of strata: {res}83
{txt}Number of matched strata: {res}20

           {txt}   0     1
      All  {res}1411    31
{txt}  Matched  {res} 872    30
{txt}Unmatched  {res} 539     1


{txt}Multivariate L1 distance: {res}.52445333

{txt}Univariate imbalance:

                  L1     mean      min      25%      50%      75%      max
  issue_dum  {res}1.4e-15  6.1e-16        0        0        0        0        0
{txt}    highact  {res} .12905  -.22127        0        0        0        0       -3
{txt}institution  {res}2.5e-15  8.3e-16        0        0       -1        0        0
{txt}      ddyad  {res}3.2e-15  7.2e-16        0        0        0        0        .
{txt}    lngdp_t  {res} .17629    .1688   2.5489   .12836  -1.3263        .        .
{txt}
{com}. probit threatoutcome carrot_1 issue_dum highact institution cont_dum multi atopally idealpointdistance ddyad demo_t demo_s lngdp_t lnpop_t coldwar us_dum [iweight=cem_weights], robust //5% okay

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-208.46011}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -178.9581}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-176.73434}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-176.42037}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-176.36684}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-176.35941}  
Iteration 6:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-176.35836}  
Iteration 7:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-176.35815}  
Iteration 8:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-176.35811}  
Iteration 9:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -176.3581}  
{res}
{txt}Probit regression{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       386
{txt}{col 49}Wald chi2({res}15{txt}){col 67}= {res}    778.92
{txt}{col 49}Prob > chi2{col 67}= {res}    0.0000
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res} -176.3581{txt}{col 49}Pseudo R2{col 67}= {res}    0.1540

{txt}{hline 19}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 20}{c |}{col 32}    Robust
{col 1}     threatoutcome{col 20}{c |}      Coef.{col 32}   Std. Err.{col 44}      z{col 52}   P>|z|{col 60}     [95% Con{col 73}f. Interval]
{hline 19}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 10}carrot_1 {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .8778472{col 32}{space 2} .3787742{col 43}{space 1}    2.32{col 52}{space 3}0.020{col 60}{space 4} .1354634{col 73}{space 3} 1.620231
{txt}{space 9}issue_dum {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.5143074{col 32}{space 2} .5893153{col 43}{space 1}   -0.87{col 52}{space 3}0.383{col 60}{space 4}-1.669344{col 73}{space 3} .6407294
{txt}{space 11}highact {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.0375095{col 32}{space 2} .0312799{col 43}{space 1}   -1.20{col 52}{space 3}0.230{col 60}{space 4}-.0988169{col 73}{space 3}  .023798
{txt}{space 7}institution {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}  .243001{col 32}{space 2} .3567743{col 43}{space 1}    0.68{col 52}{space 3}0.496{col 60}{space 4}-.4562639{col 73}{space 3} .9422659
{txt}{space 10}cont_dum {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.2058392{col 32}{space 2} .4354295{col 43}{space 1}   -0.47{col 52}{space 3}0.636{col 60}{space 4}-1.059265{col 73}{space 3} .6475869
{txt}{space 13}multi {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.0398261{col 32}{space 2} .3565102{col 43}{space 1}   -0.11{col 52}{space 3}0.911{col 60}{space 4}-.7385732{col 73}{space 3} .6589209
{txt}{space 10}atopally {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .0469171{col 32}{space 2} .2747947{col 43}{space 1}    0.17{col 52}{space 3}0.864{col 60}{space 4}-.4916706{col 73}{space 3} .5855048
{txt}idealpointdistance {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.0743976{col 32}{space 2} .1434454{col 43}{space 1}   -0.52{col 52}{space 3}0.604{col 60}{space 4}-.3555454{col 73}{space 3} .2067501
{txt}{space 13}ddyad {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-4.497863{col 32}{space 2} .5346063{col 43}{space 1}   -8.41{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4}-5.545673{col 73}{space 3}-3.450054
{txt}{space 12}demo_t {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 4.162787{col 32}{space 2} .4344748{col 43}{space 1}    9.58{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4} 3.311232{col 73}{space 3} 5.014342
{txt}{space 12}demo_s {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 4.284383{col 32}{space 2} .3446017{col 43}{space 1}   12.43{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4} 3.608976{col 73}{space 3}  4.95979
{txt}{space 11}lngdp_t {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .1833621{col 32}{space 2}  .102883{col 43}{space 1}    1.78{col 52}{space 3}0.075{col 60}{space 4}-.0182849{col 73}{space 3} .3850092
{txt}{space 11}lnpop_t {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.0370694{col 32}{space 2} .1244009{col 43}{space 1}   -0.30{col 52}{space 3}0.766{col 60}{space 4}-.2808906{col 73}{space 3} .2067519
{txt}{space 11}coldwar {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.5406268{col 32}{space 2}  .249539{col 43}{space 1}   -2.17{col 52}{space 3}0.030{col 60}{space 4}-1.029714{col 73}{space 3}-.0515392
{txt}{space 12}us_dum {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .7357176{col 32}{space 2} .3125448{col 43}{space 1}    2.35{col 52}{space 3}0.019{col 60}{space 4}  .123141{col 73}{space 3} 1.348294
{txt}{space 13}_cons {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-9.169752{col 32}{space 2} 1.952271{col 43}{space 1}   -4.70{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4}-12.99613{col 73}{space 3} -5.34337
{txt}{hline 19}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{p 0 6 2}Note: 3 failures and 0 successes completely determined.{p_end}

{com}. margins, dydx(carrot_1)  force
{res}
{txt}Average marginal effects{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       386
{txt}Model VCE{col 14}: {res}Robust

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:Expression}:{space 1}{res:Pr(threatoutcome), predict()}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:dy/dx w.r.t.}:{space 1}{res:carrot_1}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{res}{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}{col 26} Delta-method
{col 14}{c |}      dy/dx{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 4}carrot_1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .2172901{col 26}{space 2}  .090679{col 37}{space 1}    2.40{col 46}{space 3}0.017{col 54}{space 4} .0395626{col 67}{space 3} .3950177
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}{txt}
{com}. ***Imposition stage
. cem issue_dum(#0) highact(1.5 12.5 17.5 22.5) institution(#0) ddyad(#0) lngdp_t(#3), treatment (carrotonlyimposition) showbreak
{res}{txt}Cutpoints:
issue_dum:{res} (user) 
  0
highact:{res} (user) 
       {txt}   1
    {c TLC}{hline 8}{c TRC}
  1 {c |}  {res} 1.5{txt}  {c |}
  2 {c |}  {res}12.5{txt}  {c |}
  3 {c |}  {res}17.5{txt}  {c |}
  4 {c |}  {res}22.5{txt}  {c |}
    {c BLC}{hline 8}{c BRC}
institution:{res} (user) 
  0
ddyad:{res} (user) 
  0
lngdp_t:{res} (user) 
       {txt}          1
    {c TLC}{hline 15}{c TRC}
  1 {c |}  {res}18.83336449{txt}  {c |}
  2 {c |}  {res}24.58871651{txt}  {c |}
  3 {c |}  {res}30.34406853{txt}  {c |}
    {c BLC}{hline 15}{c BRC}

Matching Summary:
-----------------
Number of strata: {res}83
{txt}Number of matched strata: {res}25

           {txt}   0     1
      All  {res}1409    33
{txt}  Matched  {res}1085    33
{txt}Unmatched  {res} 324     0


{txt}Multivariate L1 distance: {res}.46577437

{txt}Univariate imbalance:

                  L1     mean      min      25%      50%      75%      max
  issue_dum  {res}2.3e-15  2.0e-15        0        0        0        0        0
{txt}    highact  {res} .11111   .01515        0        0        0        0       -3
{txt}institution  {res}1.2e-15  1.2e-15        0        0        0        0        0
{txt}      ddyad  {res}2.4e-15  1.7e-15        0        0        0        .        .
{txt}    lngdp_t  {res} .19098   .19595   2.9111   .19755   .94547        .        .
{txt}
{com}. probit impositionoutcome carrotonlyimposition issue_dum highact institution cont_dum multi atopally idealpointdistance ddyad demo_t demo_s lngdp_t lnpop_t coldwar us_dum [iweight=cem_weights], robust //5% okay

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-162.08885}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -108.0277}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-104.44013}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-104.23979}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-104.23857}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-104.23857}  
{res}
{txt}Probit regression{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       254
{txt}{col 49}Wald chi2({res}15{txt}){col 67}= {res}     74.21
{txt}{col 49}Prob > chi2{col 67}= {res}    0.0000
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-104.23857{txt}{col 49}Pseudo R2{col 67}= {res}    0.3569

{txt}{hline 21}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 22}{c |}{col 34}    Robust
{col 1}   impositionoutcome{col 22}{c |}      Coef.{col 34}   Std. Err.{col 46}      z{col 54}   P>|z|{col 62}     [95% Con{col 75}f. Interval]
{hline 21}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
carrotonlyimposition {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-1.843356{col 34}{space 2} .6244803{col 45}{space 1}   -2.95{col 54}{space 3}0.003{col 62}{space 4}-3.067315{col 75}{space 3}-.6193968
{txt}{space 11}issue_dum {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.3749503{col 34}{space 2} .4664313{col 45}{space 1}   -0.80{col 54}{space 3}0.421{col 62}{space 4}-1.289139{col 75}{space 3} .5392383
{txt}{space 13}highact {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .1367958{col 34}{space 2} .0382857{col 45}{space 1}    3.57{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} .0617573{col 75}{space 3} .2118344
{txt}{space 9}institution {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .8615673{col 34}{space 2} .7280576{col 45}{space 1}    1.18{col 54}{space 3}0.237{col 62}{space 4}-.5653994{col 75}{space 3} 2.288534
{txt}{space 12}cont_dum {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .8275787{col 34}{space 2} .4055188{col 45}{space 1}    2.04{col 54}{space 3}0.041{col 62}{space 4} .0327765{col 75}{space 3} 1.622381
{txt}{space 15}multi {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .8583466{col 34}{space 2} .5691179{col 45}{space 1}    1.51{col 54}{space 3}0.132{col 62}{space 4} -.257104{col 75}{space 3} 1.973797
{txt}{space 12}atopally {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1.005445{col 34}{space 2}  .429858{col 45}{space 1}    2.34{col 54}{space 3}0.019{col 62}{space 4}  .162939{col 75}{space 3} 1.847951
{txt}{space 2}idealpointdistance {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.0764953{col 34}{space 2} .1630205{col 45}{space 1}   -0.47{col 54}{space 3}0.639{col 62}{space 4}-.3960096{col 75}{space 3} .2430189
{txt}{space 15}ddyad {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-2.210054{col 34}{space 2} .7388377{col 45}{space 1}   -2.99{col 54}{space 3}0.003{col 62}{space 4} -3.65815{col 75}{space 3}-.7619589
{txt}{space 14}demo_t {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  1.45674{col 34}{space 2} .7039874{col 45}{space 1}    2.07{col 54}{space 3}0.039{col 62}{space 4} .0769506{col 75}{space 3}  2.83653
{txt}{space 14}demo_s {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1.159181{col 34}{space 2} .6134928{col 45}{space 1}    1.89{col 54}{space 3}0.059{col 62}{space 4}-.0432428{col 75}{space 3} 2.361605
{txt}{space 13}lngdp_t {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.1944357{col 34}{space 2} .1473331{col 45}{space 1}   -1.32{col 54}{space 3}0.187{col 62}{space 4}-.4832033{col 75}{space 3}  .094332
{txt}{space 13}lnpop_t {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .1742892{col 34}{space 2} .1700234{col 45}{space 1}    1.03{col 54}{space 3}0.305{col 62}{space 4}-.1589505{col 75}{space 3} .5075289
{txt}{space 13}coldwar {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.0086611{col 34}{space 2} .2655897{col 45}{space 1}   -0.03{col 54}{space 3}0.974{col 62}{space 4}-.5292073{col 75}{space 3} .5118851
{txt}{space 14}us_dum {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.1079879{col 34}{space 2} .5303643{col 45}{space 1}   -0.20{col 54}{space 3}0.839{col 62}{space 4}-1.147483{col 75}{space 3}  .931507
{txt}{space 15}_cons {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1.668828{col 34}{space 2} 2.393761{col 45}{space 1}    0.70{col 54}{space 3}0.486{col 62}{space 4}-3.022857{col 75}{space 3} 6.360513
{txt}{hline 21}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. margins, dydx(carrotonlyimposition)  force
{res}
{txt}Average marginal effects{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       254
{txt}Model VCE{col 14}: {res}Robust

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:Expression}:{space 1}{res:Pr(impositionoutcome), predict()}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:dy/dx w.r.t.}:{space 1}{res:carrotonlyimposition}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{res}{txt}{hline 21}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 22}{c |}{col 34} Delta-method
{col 22}{c |}      dy/dx{col 34}   Std. Err.{col 46}      z{col 54}   P>|z|{col 62}     [95% Con{col 75}f. Interval]
{hline 21}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
carrotonlyimposition {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.4257235{col 34}{space 2} .1294492{col 45}{space 1}   -3.29{col 54}{space 3}0.001{col 62}{space 4}-.6794393{col 75}{space 3}-.1720077
{txt}{hline 21}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}{txt}
{com}. **Export Dependence
. ***Threat stage
. cem issue_dum(#0) highact(1.5 12.5 17.5 22.5) institution(#0) ddyad(#0) ed(#5), treatment (carrot_1) showbreak
{res}{txt}Cutpoints:
issue_dum:{res} (user) 
  0
highact:{res} (user) 
       {txt}   1
    {c TLC}{hline 8}{c TRC}
  1 {c |}  {res} 1.5{txt}  {c |}
  2 {c |}  {res}12.5{txt}  {c |}
  3 {c |}  {res}17.5{txt}  {c |}
  4 {c |}  {res}22.5{txt}  {c |}
    {c BLC}{hline 8}{c BRC}
institution:{res} (user) 
  0
ddyad:{res} (user) 
  0
ed:{res} (user) 
       {txt}           1
    {c TLC}{hline 16}{c TRC}
  1 {c |}  {res}-28.77635193{txt}  {c |}
  2 {c |}  {res}-25.34938717{txt}  {c |}
  3 {c |}  {res}-21.92242241{txt}  {c |}
  4 {c |}  {res}-18.49545765{txt}  {c |}
  5 {c |}  {res}-15.06849289{txt}  {c |}
    {c BLC}{hline 16}{c BRC}

Matching Summary:
-----------------
Number of strata: {res}97
{txt}Number of matched strata: {res}14

           {txt}   0     1
      All  {res}1411    31
{txt}  Matched  {res} 794    28
{txt}Unmatched  {res} 617     3


{txt}Multivariate L1 distance: {res}.32628667

{txt}Univariate imbalance:

                   L1      mean       min       25%       50%       75%       max
  issue_dum  {res} 4.5e-16  -3.5e-16         0         0         0         0         0
{txt}    highact  {res}  .10119   -.22024         0         0         0         0         0
{txt}institution  {res} 4.4e-15  -6.7e-15         0         0         0         0         0
{txt}      ddyad  {res} 4.1e-15  -1.8e-15         0         0         0         0         .
{txt}         ed  {res}  .25313    .08637   -2.9935    .68761         .         .         .
{txt}
{com}. probit threatoutcome carrot_1 issue_dum highact institution cont_dum multi atopally idealpointdistance ddyad demo_t demo_s lngdp_t lnpop_t coldwar us_dum [iweight=cem_weights], robust //5% okay

{txt}note: issue_dum != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      issue_dum dropped and 2 obs not used

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-139.66293}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-92.572525}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-89.847684}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-89.502331}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-89.456018}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-89.450095}  
Iteration 6:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-89.449206}  
Iteration 7:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -89.44904}  
Iteration 8:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-89.449008}  
Iteration 9:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-89.449001}  
{res}
{txt}Probit regression{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       281
{txt}{col 49}Wald chi2({res}14{txt}){col 67}= {res}    448.96
{txt}{col 49}Prob > chi2{col 67}= {res}    0.0000
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-89.449001{txt}{col 49}Pseudo R2{col 67}= {res}    0.3595

{txt}{hline 19}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 20}{c |}{col 32}    Robust
{col 1}     threatoutcome{col 20}{c |}      Coef.{col 32}   Std. Err.{col 44}      z{col 52}   P>|z|{col 60}     [95% Con{col 73}f. Interval]
{hline 19}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 10}carrot_1 {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .9259169{col 32}{space 2} .3816448{col 43}{space 1}    2.43{col 52}{space 3}0.015{col 60}{space 4} .1779069{col 73}{space 3} 1.673927
{txt}{space 9}issue_dum {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}        0{col 32}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 11}highact {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.0832225{col 32}{space 2} .0367473{col 43}{space 1}   -2.26{col 52}{space 3}0.024{col 60}{space 4}-.1552458{col 73}{space 3}-.0111992
{txt}{space 7}institution {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 1.063874{col 32}{space 2} .5371874{col 43}{space 1}    1.98{col 52}{space 3}0.048{col 60}{space 4}  .011006{col 73}{space 3} 2.116742
{txt}{space 10}cont_dum {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} -.617403{col 32}{space 2} .4738611{col 43}{space 1}   -1.30{col 52}{space 3}0.193{col 60}{space 4}-1.546154{col 73}{space 3} .3113477
{txt}{space 13}multi {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.2898452{col 32}{space 2} .5739139{col 43}{space 1}   -0.51{col 52}{space 3}0.614{col 60}{space 4}-1.414696{col 73}{space 3} .8350054
{txt}{space 10}atopally {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.7954768{col 32}{space 2} .3013727{col 43}{space 1}   -2.64{col 52}{space 3}0.008{col 60}{space 4}-1.386156{col 73}{space 3}-.2047971
{txt}idealpointdistance {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .1145926{col 32}{space 2}  .152772{col 43}{space 1}    0.75{col 52}{space 3}0.453{col 60}{space 4} -.184835{col 73}{space 3} .4140201
{txt}{space 13}ddyad {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-6.542925{col 32}{space 2} .7919222{col 43}{space 1}   -8.26{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4}-8.095064{col 73}{space 3}-4.990786
{txt}{space 12}demo_t {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 6.379069{col 32}{space 2} .7293994{col 43}{space 1}    8.75{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4} 4.949472{col 73}{space 3} 7.808665
{txt}{space 12}demo_s {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 6.073272{col 32}{space 2} .6960243{col 43}{space 1}    8.73{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4} 4.709089{col 73}{space 3} 7.437454
{txt}{space 11}lngdp_t {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .2153186{col 32}{space 2} .1246167{col 43}{space 1}    1.73{col 52}{space 3}0.084{col 60}{space 4}-.0289256{col 73}{space 3} .4595628
{txt}{space 11}lnpop_t {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.0774975{col 32}{space 2} .1351906{col 43}{space 1}   -0.57{col 52}{space 3}0.566{col 60}{space 4}-.3424662{col 73}{space 3} .1874712
{txt}{space 11}coldwar {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.8729007{col 32}{space 2} .3058448{col 43}{space 1}   -2.85{col 52}{space 3}0.004{col 60}{space 4}-1.472345{col 73}{space 3} -.273456
{txt}{space 12}us_dum {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .1078068{col 32}{space 2} .3465146{col 43}{space 1}    0.31{col 52}{space 3}0.756{col 60}{space 4}-.5713493{col 73}{space 3} .7869629
{txt}{space 13}_cons {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-11.08056{col 32}{space 2} 2.696335{col 43}{space 1}   -4.11{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4}-16.36528{col 73}{space 3}-5.795841
{txt}{hline 19}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{p 0 6 2}Note: 13 failures and 0 successes completely determined.{p_end}

{com}. margins, dydx(carrot_1)  force
{res}
{txt}Average marginal effects{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       281
{txt}Model VCE{col 14}: {res}Robust

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:Expression}:{space 1}{res:Pr(threatoutcome), predict()}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:dy/dx w.r.t.}:{space 1}{res:carrot_1}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{res}{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}{col 26} Delta-method
{col 14}{c |}      dy/dx{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 4}carrot_1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .1887901{col 26}{space 2} .0759423{col 37}{space 1}    2.49{col 46}{space 3}0.013{col 54}{space 4} .0399459{col 67}{space 3} .3376343
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}{txt}
{com}. ***Imposition stage (-1.000->0.959)
. cem issue_dum(#0) highact(1.5 12.5 17.5 22.5) institution(#0) ddyad(#0) ed(#5), treatment (carrotonlyimposition) showbreak
{res}{txt}Cutpoints:
issue_dum:{res} (user) 
  0
highact:{res} (user) 
       {txt}   1
    {c TLC}{hline 8}{c TRC}
  1 {c |}  {res} 1.5{txt}  {c |}
  2 {c |}  {res}12.5{txt}  {c |}
  3 {c |}  {res}17.5{txt}  {c |}
  4 {c |}  {res}22.5{txt}  {c |}
    {c BLC}{hline 8}{c BRC}
institution:{res} (user) 
  0
ddyad:{res} (user) 
  0
ed:{res} (user) 
       {txt}           1
    {c TLC}{hline 16}{c TRC}
  1 {c |}  {res}-28.77635193{txt}  {c |}
  2 {c |}  {res}-25.34938717{txt}  {c |}
  3 {c |}  {res}-21.92242241{txt}  {c |}
  4 {c |}  {res}-18.49545765{txt}  {c |}
  5 {c |}  {res}-15.06849289{txt}  {c |}
    {c BLC}{hline 16}{c BRC}

Matching Summary:
-----------------
Number of strata: {res}97
{txt}Number of matched strata: {res}22

           {txt}   0     1
      All  {res}1409    33
{txt}  Matched  {res} 816    31
{txt}Unmatched  {res} 593     2


{txt}Multivariate L1 distance: {res}.30248363

{txt}Univariate imbalance:

                  L1     mean      min      25%      50%      75%      max
  issue_dum  {res}1.1e-15  1.6e-15        0        0        0        0        0
{txt}    highact  {res} .10061   .14286        0        0        0        6       -3
{txt}institution  {res}6.7e-16  7.8e-16        0        0        0        0        0
{txt}      ddyad  {res}2.9e-15  1.5e-15        0        0        0        .        .
{txt}         ed  {res} .10049  -.06471   3.2261   -.1297        .        .        .
{txt}
{com}. probit impositionoutcome carrotonlyimposition issue_dum highact institution cont_dum multi atopally idealpointdistance ddyad demo_t demo_s lngdp_t lnpop_t coldwar us_dum [iweight=cem_weights], robust //5% okay

{txt}note: highact != 0 predicts success perfectly
      highact dropped and 4 obs not used

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-80.126002}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-39.936663}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -34.33381}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-33.216576}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-33.062947}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-33.033669}  
Iteration 6:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -33.02793}  
Iteration 7:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-33.026982}  
Iteration 8:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-33.026843}  
Iteration 9:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-33.026814}  
Iteration 10:{space 2}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-33.026808}  
Iteration 11:{space 2}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-33.026807}  
{res}
{txt}Probit regression{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       140
{txt}{col 49}Wald chi2({res}14{txt}){col 67}= {res}    756.99
{txt}{col 49}Prob > chi2{col 67}= {res}    0.0000
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-33.026807{txt}{col 49}Pseudo R2{col 67}= {res}    0.5878

{txt}{hline 21}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 22}{c |}{col 34}    Robust
{col 1}   impositionoutcome{col 22}{c |}      Coef.{col 34}   Std. Err.{col 46}      z{col 54}   P>|z|{col 62}     [95% Con{col 75}f. Interval]
{hline 21}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
carrotonlyimposition {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-7.250526{col 34}{space 2} .5521245{col 45}{space 1}  -13.13{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} -8.33267{col 75}{space 3}-6.168382
{txt}{space 11}issue_dum {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 7.076267{col 34}{space 2} .6462019{col 45}{space 1}   10.95{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 5.809734{col 75}{space 3} 8.342799
{txt}{space 13}highact {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}        0{col 34}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 9}institution {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1.878264{col 34}{space 2} .5389745{col 45}{space 1}    3.48{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}  .821893{col 75}{space 3} 2.934634
{txt}{space 12}cont_dum {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1.004852{col 34}{space 2} .4882814{col 45}{space 1}    2.06{col 54}{space 3}0.040{col 62}{space 4} .0478377{col 75}{space 3} 1.961866
{txt}{space 15}multi {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .2153956{col 34}{space 2} .4435381{col 45}{space 1}    0.49{col 54}{space 3}0.627{col 62}{space 4} -.653923{col 75}{space 3} 1.084714
{txt}{space 12}atopally {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.3131481{col 34}{space 2} .2995408{col 45}{space 1}   -1.05{col 54}{space 3}0.296{col 62}{space 4}-.9002372{col 75}{space 3} .2739411
{txt}{space 2}idealpointdistance {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  -.06491{col 34}{space 2} .1260131{col 45}{space 1}   -0.52{col 54}{space 3}0.606{col 62}{space 4}-.3118912{col 75}{space 3} .1820711
{txt}{space 15}ddyad {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  .536907{col 34}{space 2} .8667924{col 45}{space 1}    0.62{col 54}{space 3}0.536{col 62}{space 4}-1.161975{col 75}{space 3} 2.235789
{txt}{space 14}demo_t {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.2835097{col 34}{space 2} .7901536{col 45}{space 1}   -0.36{col 54}{space 3}0.720{col 62}{space 4}-1.832182{col 75}{space 3} 1.265163
{txt}{space 14}demo_s {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.8658353{col 34}{space 2} .7707075{col 45}{space 1}   -1.12{col 54}{space 3}0.261{col 62}{space 4}-2.376394{col 75}{space 3} .6447237
{txt}{space 13}lngdp_t {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.0634111{col 34}{space 2} .1234355{col 45}{space 1}   -0.51{col 54}{space 3}0.607{col 62}{space 4}-.3053402{col 75}{space 3}  .178518
{txt}{space 13}lnpop_t {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .2162915{col 34}{space 2} .1453106{col 45}{space 1}    1.49{col 54}{space 3}0.137{col 62}{space 4}-.0685121{col 75}{space 3}  .501095
{txt}{space 13}coldwar {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.3717112{col 34}{space 2} .2926513{col 45}{space 1}   -1.27{col 54}{space 3}0.204{col 62}{space 4}-.9452973{col 75}{space 3} .2018749
{txt}{space 14}us_dum {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .4617574{col 34}{space 2} .3566716{col 45}{space 1}    1.29{col 54}{space 3}0.195{col 62}{space 4} -.237306{col 75}{space 3} 1.160821
{txt}{space 15}_cons {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.1498375{col 34}{space 2} 2.484302{col 45}{space 1}   -0.06{col 54}{space 3}0.952{col 62}{space 4}-5.018981{col 75}{space 3} 4.719306
{txt}{hline 21}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{p 0 6 2}Note: 4 failures and 4 successes completely determined.{p_end}

{com}. margins, dydx(carrotonlyimposition)  force
{res}
{txt}Average marginal effects{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       140
{txt}Model VCE{col 14}: {res}Robust

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:Expression}:{space 1}{res:Pr(impositionoutcome), predict()}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:dy/dx w.r.t.}:{space 1}{res:carrotonlyimposition}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{res}{txt}{hline 21}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 22}{c |}{col 34} Delta-method
{col 22}{c |}      dy/dx{col 34}   Std. Err.{col 46}      z{col 54}   P>|z|{col 62}     [95% Con{col 75}f. Interval]
{hline 21}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
carrotonlyimposition {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.9591479{col 34}{space 2} .0659665{col 45}{space 1}  -14.54{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} -1.08844{col 75}{space 3}-.8298559
{txt}{hline 21}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}{txt}
{com}. **Export dependence+Target's GDP
. ***Threat stage
. cem issue_dum(#0) highact(1.5 12.5 17.5 22.5) institution(#0) ddyad(#0) lngdp_t(#3) ed(#5), treatment (carrot_1) showbreak
{res}{txt}Cutpoints:
issue_dum:{res} (user) 
  0
highact:{res} (user) 
       {txt}   1
    {c TLC}{hline 8}{c TRC}
  1 {c |}  {res} 1.5{txt}  {c |}
  2 {c |}  {res}12.5{txt}  {c |}
  3 {c |}  {res}17.5{txt}  {c |}
  4 {c |}  {res}22.5{txt}  {c |}
    {c BLC}{hline 8}{c BRC}
institution:{res} (user) 
  0
ddyad:{res} (user) 
  0
lngdp_t:{res} (user) 
       {txt}          1
    {c TLC}{hline 15}{c TRC}
  1 {c |}  {res}18.83336449{txt}  {c |}
  2 {c |}  {res}24.58871651{txt}  {c |}
  3 {c |}  {res}30.34406853{txt}  {c |}
    {c BLC}{hline 15}{c BRC}
ed:{res} (user) 
       {txt}           1
    {c TLC}{hline 16}{c TRC}
  1 {c |}  {res}-28.77635193{txt}  {c |}
  2 {c |}  {res}-25.34938717{txt}  {c |}
  3 {c |}  {res}-21.92242241{txt}  {c |}
  4 {c |}  {res}-18.49545765{txt}  {c |}
  5 {c |}  {res}-15.06849289{txt}  {c |}
    {c BLC}{hline 16}{c BRC}

Matching Summary:
-----------------
Number of strata: {res}143
{txt}Number of matched strata: {res}16

           {txt}   0     1
      All  {res}1411    31
{txt}  Matched  {res} 494    25
{txt}Unmatched  {res} 917     6


{txt}Multivariate L1 distance: {res}.49404627

{txt}Univariate imbalance:

                  L1     mean      min      25%      50%      75%      max
  issue_dum  {res}2.0e-16  1.8e-16        0        0        0        0        0
{txt}    highact  {res} .11333  -.27333        0        0        0        0       -2
{txt}institution  {res}1.6e-15  2.9e-15        0        0        0        0        0
{txt}      ddyad  {res}1.6e-15  5.3e-16        0        0        0        0        .
{txt}    lngdp_t  {res} .19775   .24594   3.7589    .2016   1.1293        .        .
{txt}         ed  {res} .20697   .15697   .48505   .02361        .        .        .
{txt}
{com}. probit threatoutcome carrot_1 issue_dum highact institution cont_dum multi atopally idealpointdistance ddyad demo_t demo_s lngdp_t lnpop_t coldwar us_dum [iweight=cem_weights], robust //5% okay

{txt}note: issue_dum omitted because of collinearity
{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-112.84703}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-79.544482}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-77.638963}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-77.295242}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-77.208839}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-77.133548}  
Iteration 6:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-77.119832}  
Iteration 7:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-77.117626}  
Iteration 8:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-77.117312}  
Iteration 9:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-77.117267}  
Iteration 10:{space 2}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-77.117258}  
Iteration 11:{space 2}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-77.117256}  
{res}
{txt}Probit regression{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       181
{txt}{col 49}{help j_robustsingular##|_new:Wald chi2(13)}{col 67}=          {res}.
{txt}{col 49}Prob > chi2{col 67}=          {res}.
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-77.117256{txt}{col 49}Pseudo R2{col 67}= {res}    0.3166

{txt}{hline 19}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 20}{c |}{col 32}    Robust
{col 1}     threatoutcome{col 20}{c |}      Coef.{col 32}   Std. Err.{col 44}      z{col 52}   P>|z|{col 60}     [95% Con{col 73}f. Interval]
{hline 19}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 10}carrot_1 {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .8380844{col 32}{space 2} .4466003{col 43}{space 1}    1.88{col 52}{space 3}0.061{col 60}{space 4}-.0372361{col 73}{space 3} 1.713405
{txt}{space 9}issue_dum {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}        0{col 32}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 11}highact {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-2.170193{col 32}{space 2} .2924235{col 43}{space 1}   -7.42{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4}-2.743332{col 73}{space 3}-1.597053
{txt}{space 7}institution {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .6996913{col 32}{space 2} .4834934{col 43}{space 1}    1.45{col 52}{space 3}0.148{col 60}{space 4}-.2479383{col 73}{space 3} 1.647321
{txt}{space 10}cont_dum {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.4929707{col 32}{space 2} .5532862{col 43}{space 1}   -0.89{col 52}{space 3}0.373{col 60}{space 4}-1.577392{col 73}{space 3} .5914503
{txt}{space 13}multi {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.2432378{col 32}{space 2} .4764712{col 43}{space 1}   -0.51{col 52}{space 3}0.610{col 60}{space 4}-1.177104{col 73}{space 3} .6906286
{txt}{space 10}atopally {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.7495304{col 32}{space 2} .3838744{col 43}{space 1}   -1.95{col 52}{space 3}0.051{col 60}{space 4} -1.50191{col 73}{space 3} .0028496
{txt}idealpointdistance {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.3639458{col 32}{space 2}  .188666{col 43}{space 1}   -1.93{col 52}{space 3}0.054{col 60}{space 4}-.7337244{col 73}{space 3} .0058328
{txt}{space 13}ddyad {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} -22.4245{col 32}{space 2} 2.120501{col 43}{space 1}  -10.58{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4} -26.5806{col 73}{space 3}-18.26839
{txt}{space 12}demo_t {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 21.88067{col 32}{space 2} 2.128547{col 43}{space 1}   10.28{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4}  17.7088{col 73}{space 3} 26.05255
{txt}{space 12}demo_s {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 5.923587{col 32}{space 2}  .660026{col 43}{space 1}    8.97{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4}  4.62996{col 73}{space 3} 7.217214
{txt}{space 11}lngdp_t {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .0854989{col 32}{space 2} .1498183{col 43}{space 1}    0.57{col 52}{space 3}0.568{col 60}{space 4}-.2081395{col 73}{space 3} .3791372
{txt}{space 11}lnpop_t {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .1368035{col 32}{space 2} .1640228{col 43}{space 1}    0.83{col 52}{space 3}0.404{col 60}{space 4}-.1846753{col 73}{space 3} .4582823
{txt}{space 11}coldwar {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-1.146752{col 32}{space 2} .3547129{col 43}{space 1}   -3.23{col 52}{space 3}0.001{col 60}{space 4}-1.841976{col 73}{space 3}-.4515273
{txt}{space 12}us_dum {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}  .480308{col 32}{space 2} .4555063{col 43}{space 1}    1.05{col 52}{space 3}0.292{col 60}{space 4} -.412468{col 73}{space 3} 1.373084
{txt}{space 13}_cons {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-8.500269{col 32}{space 2}  3.15015{col 43}{space 1}   -2.70{col 52}{space 3}0.007{col 60}{space 4}-14.67445{col 73}{space 3}-2.326088
{txt}{hline 19}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{p 0 6 2}Note: 4 failures and 0 successes completely determined.{p_end}

{com}. margins, dydx(carrot_1)  force
{res}
{txt}Average marginal effects{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       181
{txt}Model VCE{col 14}: {res}Robust

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:Expression}:{space 1}{res:Pr(threatoutcome), predict()}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:dy/dx w.r.t.}:{space 1}{res:carrot_1}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{res}{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}{col 26} Delta-method
{col 14}{c |}      dy/dx{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 4}carrot_1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  .184828{col 26}{space 2}  .092658{col 37}{space 1}    1.99{col 46}{space 3}0.046{col 54}{space 4} .0032217{col 67}{space 3} .3664344
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}{txt}
{com}. ***Imposition stage
. cem issue_dum(#0) highact(1.5 12.5 17.5 22.5) institution(#0) ddyad(#0) lngdp_t(#3) ed(#5), treatment (carrotonlyimposition) showbreak
{res}{txt}Cutpoints:
issue_dum:{res} (user) 
  0
highact:{res} (user) 
       {txt}   1
    {c TLC}{hline 8}{c TRC}
  1 {c |}  {res} 1.5{txt}  {c |}
  2 {c |}  {res}12.5{txt}  {c |}
  3 {c |}  {res}17.5{txt}  {c |}
  4 {c |}  {res}22.5{txt}  {c |}
    {c BLC}{hline 8}{c BRC}
institution:{res} (user) 
  0
ddyad:{res} (user) 
  0
lngdp_t:{res} (user) 
       {txt}          1
    {c TLC}{hline 15}{c TRC}
  1 {c |}  {res}18.83336449{txt}  {c |}
  2 {c |}  {res}24.58871651{txt}  {c |}
  3 {c |}  {res}30.34406853{txt}  {c |}
    {c BLC}{hline 15}{c BRC}
ed:{res} (user) 
       {txt}           1
    {c TLC}{hline 16}{c TRC}
  1 {c |}  {res}-28.77635193{txt}  {c |}
  2 {c |}  {res}-25.34938717{txt}  {c |}
  3 {c |}  {res}-21.92242241{txt}  {c |}
  4 {c |}  {res}-18.49545765{txt}  {c |}
  5 {c |}  {res}-15.06849289{txt}  {c |}
    {c BLC}{hline 16}{c BRC}

Matching Summary:
-----------------
Number of strata: {res}143
{txt}Number of matched strata: {res}23

           {txt}   0     1
      All  {res}1409    33
{txt}  Matched  {res} 651    29
{txt}Unmatched  {res} 758     4


{txt}Multivariate L1 distance: {res}.46442902

{txt}Univariate imbalance:

                  L1     mean      min      25%      50%      75%      max
  issue_dum  {res}3.5e-15  1.8e-15        0        0        0        0        0
{txt}    highact  {res}  .1092   .01724        0        0        0        0       -3
{txt}institution  {res}5.4e-15  2.9e-15        0        0        0        0        0
{txt}      ddyad  {res}5.0e-15  9.7e-16        0        0        0        .        .
{txt}    lngdp_t  {res} .16298    .2035   2.9111   -.0532        .        .        .
{txt}         ed  {res} .12157  -.03119   3.2261  -.06744        .        .        .
{txt}
{com}. probit impositionoutcome carrotonlyimposition issue_dum highact institution cont_dum multi atopally idealpointdistance ddyad demo_t demo_s lngdp_t lnpop_t coldwar us_dum [iweight=cem_weights], robust //5% okay

{txt}note: highact != 0 predicts success perfectly
      highact dropped and 3 obs not used

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-60.927321}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-25.360668}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-22.108471}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-21.498523}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-21.360302}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-21.315146}  
Iteration 6:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-21.304373}  
Iteration 7:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-21.302648}  
Iteration 8:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-21.302419}  
Iteration 9:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-21.302374}  
Iteration 10:{space 2}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-21.302364}  
Iteration 11:{space 2}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-21.302362}  
{res}
{txt}Probit regression{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       105
{txt}{col 49}Wald chi2({res}14{txt}){col 67}= {res}   2372.85
{txt}{col 49}Prob > chi2{col 67}= {res}    0.0000
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-21.302362{txt}{col 49}Pseudo R2{col 67}= {res}    0.6504

{txt}{hline 21}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 22}{c |}{col 34}    Robust
{col 1}   impositionoutcome{col 22}{c |}      Coef.{col 34}   Std. Err.{col 46}      z{col 54}   P>|z|{col 62}     [95% Con{col 75}f. Interval]
{hline 21}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
carrotonlyimposition {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} -16.1267{col 34}{space 2} .6387104{col 45}{space 1}  -25.25{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}-17.37855{col 75}{space 3}-14.87485
{txt}{space 11}issue_dum {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 11.46827{col 34}{space 2} .8268809{col 45}{space 1}   13.87{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 9.847613{col 75}{space 3} 13.08893
{txt}{space 13}highact {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}        0{col 34}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 9}institution {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 11.40722{col 34}{space 2} .8055552{col 45}{space 1}   14.16{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 9.828365{col 75}{space 3} 12.98608
{txt}{space 12}cont_dum {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1.016766{col 34}{space 2} .6818436{col 45}{space 1}    1.49{col 54}{space 3}0.136{col 62}{space 4}-.3196228{col 75}{space 3} 2.353155
{txt}{space 15}multi {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.3201136{col 34}{space 2}   .73379{col 45}{space 1}   -0.44{col 54}{space 3}0.663{col 62}{space 4}-1.758316{col 75}{space 3} 1.118088
{txt}{space 12}atopally {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.3118573{col 34}{space 2} .4688558{col 45}{space 1}   -0.67{col 54}{space 3}0.506{col 62}{space 4}-1.230798{col 75}{space 3} .6070833
{txt}{space 2}idealpointdistance {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.2311883{col 34}{space 2} .2012335{col 45}{space 1}   -1.15{col 54}{space 3}0.251{col 62}{space 4}-.6255986{col 75}{space 3} .1632221
{txt}{space 15}ddyad {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.3885971{col 34}{space 2} .9671597{col 45}{space 1}   -0.40{col 54}{space 3}0.688{col 62}{space 4}-2.284195{col 75}{space 3} 1.507001
{txt}{space 14}demo_t {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .8158542{col 34}{space 2} .9368667{col 45}{space 1}    0.87{col 54}{space 3}0.384{col 62}{space 4}-1.020371{col 75}{space 3} 2.652079
{txt}{space 14}demo_s {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.4555602{col 34}{space 2} .8189943{col 45}{space 1}   -0.56{col 54}{space 3}0.578{col 62}{space 4}-2.060759{col 75}{space 3} 1.149639
{txt}{space 13}lngdp_t {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.1261571{col 34}{space 2} .2050223{col 45}{space 1}   -0.62{col 54}{space 3}0.538{col 62}{space 4}-.5279935{col 75}{space 3} .2756792
{txt}{space 13}lnpop_t {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .2861378{col 34}{space 2} .1837722{col 45}{space 1}    1.56{col 54}{space 3}0.119{col 62}{space 4} -.074049{col 75}{space 3} .6463247
{txt}{space 13}coldwar {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  .037662{col 34}{space 2} .3663387{col 45}{space 1}    0.10{col 54}{space 3}0.918{col 62}{space 4}-.6803487{col 75}{space 3} .7556726
{txt}{space 14}us_dum {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .4261344{col 34}{space 2} .5206497{col 45}{space 1}    0.82{col 54}{space 3}0.413{col 62}{space 4}-.5943203{col 75}{space 3} 1.446589
{txt}{space 15}_cons {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .1763031{col 34}{space 2}  3.91252{col 45}{space 1}    0.05{col 54}{space 3}0.964{col 62}{space 4}-7.492095{col 75}{space 3} 7.844701
{txt}{hline 21}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{p 0 6 2}Note: 4 failures and 5 successes completely determined.{p_end}

{com}. margins, dydx(carrotonlyimposition)  force
{res}
{txt}Average marginal effects{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       105
{txt}Model VCE{col 14}: {res}Robust

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:Expression}:{space 1}{res:Pr(impositionoutcome), predict()}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:dy/dx w.r.t.}:{space 1}{res:carrotonlyimposition}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{res}{txt}{hline 21}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 22}{c |}{col 34} Delta-method
{col 22}{c |}      dy/dx{col 34}   Std. Err.{col 46}      z{col 54}   P>|z|{col 62}     [95% Con{col 75}f. Interval]
{hline 21}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
carrotonlyimposition {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-1.996586{col 34}{space 2} .1703313{col 45}{space 1}  -11.72{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}-2.330429{col 75}{space 3}-1.662743
{txt}{hline 21}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}{txt}
{com}. 
. *Table A15
. **Threat stage
. imb issue_rnr highact institution ddyad , treatment (carrot_1)
{res}
{txt}Multivariate L1 distance: {res}.44347048

{txt}Univariate imbalance:

                  L1     mean      min      25%      50%      75%      max
  issue_rnr  {res} .06673   .06673        0        0        0        0        0
{txt}    highact  {res} .12934   .94526        0        0        0        0       -3
{txt}institution  {res} .26826   .26826        0        0        0        1        0
{txt}      ddyad  {res} .29349  -.29349        0        0        0       -1        0
{txt}
{com}. cem issue_rnr(#0) highact(1.5 12.5 17.5 22.5) institution(#0) ddyad(#0), treatment (carrot_1) showbreak
{txt}(using the scott break method for imbalance)
{res}{txt}Cutpoints:
issue_rnr:{res} (user) 
  0
highact:{res} (user) 
       {txt}   1
    {c TLC}{hline 8}{c TRC}
  1 {c |}  {res} 1.5{txt}  {c |}
  2 {c |}  {res}12.5{txt}  {c |}
  3 {c |}  {res}17.5{txt}  {c |}
  4 {c |}  {res}22.5{txt}  {c |}
    {c BLC}{hline 8}{c BRC}
institution:{res} (user) 
  0
ddyad:{res} (user) 
  0

{txt}Matching Summary:
-----------------
Number of strata: {res}42
{txt}Number of matched strata: {res}14

           {txt}   0     1
      All  {res}1411    31
{txt}  Matched  {res}1253    31
{txt}Unmatched  {res} 158     0


{txt}Multivariate L1 distance: {res}.12135177

{txt}Univariate imbalance:

                   L1      mean       min       25%       50%       75%       max
  issue_rnr  {res} 5.3e-15  -2.9e-15         0         0         0         0         0
{txt}    highact  {res}  .12135   -.14931         0         0         0         0        -3
{txt}institution  {res} 7.4e-15  -1.4e-14         0         0         0         0         0
{txt}      ddyad  {res} 5.1e-15  -1.9e-15         0         0         0         0         .
{txt}
{com}. ***Imposition stage
. imb issue_rnr highact institution ddyad , treatment (carrotonlyimposition)
{txt}(using the scott break method for L1 distance)
{res}
{txt}Multivariate L1 distance: {res}.40817694

{txt}Univariate imbalance:

                  L1     mean      min      25%      50%      75%      max
  issue_rnr  {res}  .1603    .1603        0        0        0        1        0
{txt}    highact  {res} .22464   3.1831        0        0        0        8       -3
{txt}institution  {res} .15907   .15907        0        0        0        1        0
{txt}      ddyad  {res} .28642  -.28642        0        0        0       -1        0
{txt}
{com}. cem issue_rnr(#0) highact(1.5 12.5 17.5 22.5) institution(#0) ddyad(#0), treatment (carrotonlyimposition) showbreak
{txt}(using the scott break method for imbalance)
{res}{txt}Cutpoints:
issue_rnr:{res} (user) 
  0
highact:{res} (user) 
       {txt}   1
    {c TLC}{hline 8}{c TRC}
  1 {c |}  {res} 1.5{txt}  {c |}
  2 {c |}  {res}12.5{txt}  {c |}
  3 {c |}  {res}17.5{txt}  {c |}
  4 {c |}  {res}22.5{txt}  {c |}
    {c BLC}{hline 8}{c BRC}
institution:{res} (user) 
  0
ddyad:{res} (user) 
  0

{txt}Matching Summary:
-----------------
Number of strata: {res}42
{txt}Number of matched strata: {res}17

           {txt}   0     1
      All  {res}1409    33
{txt}  Matched  {res}1250    33
{txt}Unmatched  {res} 159     0


{txt}Multivariate L1 distance: {res}.16137335

{txt}Univariate imbalance:

                   L1      mean       min       25%       50%       75%       max
  issue_rnr  {res} 2.4e-15   1.2e-15         0         0         0         0         0
{txt}    highact  {res}  .12432    .16917         0         0         0         0        -3
{txt}institution  {res} 2.2e-15  -1.2e-15         0         0         0         0         0
{txt}      ddyad  {res} 2.3e-15   1.6e-15         0         0         0         .         .
{txt}
{com}. 
. *Table A16
. est clear
{txt}
{com}. eststo: probit threatoutcome carrot_1 issue_rnr highact institution cont_dum multi atopally idealpointdistance ddyad demo_t demo_s  lngdp_t lnpop_t coldwar us_dum, robust //5% okay

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-297.20486}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-276.73427}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-276.19182}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-276.18853}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-276.18853}  
{res}
{txt}Probit regression{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       550
{txt}{col 49}Wald chi2({res}15{txt}){col 67}= {res}     43.58
{txt}{col 49}Prob > chi2{col 67}= {res}    0.0001
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-276.18853{txt}{col 49}Pseudo R2{col 67}= {res}    0.0707

{txt}{hline 19}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 20}{c |}{col 32}    Robust
{col 1}     threatoutcome{col 20}{c |}      Coef.{col 32}   Std. Err.{col 44}      z{col 52}   P>|z|{col 60}     [95% Con{col 73}f. Interval]
{hline 19}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 10}carrot_1 {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .6440786{col 32}{space 2} .3551863{col 43}{space 1}    1.81{col 52}{space 3}0.070{col 60}{space 4}-.0520737{col 73}{space 3} 1.340231
{txt}{space 9}issue_rnr {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} -.567836{col 32}{space 2} .2277786{col 43}{space 1}   -2.49{col 52}{space 3}0.013{col 60}{space 4}-1.014274{col 73}{space 3}-.1213981
{txt}{space 11}highact {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .0219937{col 32}{space 2} .0145538{col 43}{space 1}    1.51{col 52}{space 3}0.131{col 60}{space 4}-.0065312{col 73}{space 3} .0505186
{txt}{space 7}institution {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .8664365{col 32}{space 2} .2234381{col 43}{space 1}    3.88{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4} .4285058{col 73}{space 3} 1.304367
{txt}{space 10}cont_dum {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.2476718{col 32}{space 2} .2340976{col 43}{space 1}   -1.06{col 52}{space 3}0.290{col 60}{space 4}-.7064946{col 73}{space 3}  .211151
{txt}{space 13}multi {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.6050694{col 32}{space 2} .2284079{col 43}{space 1}   -2.65{col 52}{space 3}0.008{col 60}{space 4}-1.052741{col 73}{space 3}-.1573982
{txt}{space 10}atopally {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.0376702{col 32}{space 2} .1665923{col 43}{space 1}   -0.23{col 52}{space 3}0.821{col 60}{space 4}-.3641851{col 73}{space 3} .2888446
{txt}idealpointdistance {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.0121966{col 32}{space 2} .0722638{col 43}{space 1}   -0.17{col 52}{space 3}0.866{col 60}{space 4} -.153831{col 73}{space 3} .1294378
{txt}{space 13}ddyad {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}  -.85644{col 32}{space 2} .5659978{col 43}{space 1}   -1.51{col 52}{space 3}0.130{col 60}{space 4}-1.965775{col 73}{space 3} .2528953
{txt}{space 12}demo_t {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .8980286{col 32}{space 2} .5825232{col 43}{space 1}    1.54{col 52}{space 3}0.123{col 60}{space 4}-.2436959{col 73}{space 3} 2.039753
{txt}{space 12}demo_s {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .8497943{col 32}{space 2} .5186946{col 43}{space 1}    1.64{col 52}{space 3}0.101{col 60}{space 4}-.1668285{col 73}{space 3} 1.866417
{txt}{space 11}lngdp_t {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}  .016156{col 32}{space 2} .0644771{col 43}{space 1}    0.25{col 52}{space 3}0.802{col 60}{space 4}-.1102168{col 73}{space 3} .1425288
{txt}{space 11}lnpop_t {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .0279532{col 32}{space 2} .0727498{col 43}{space 1}    0.38{col 52}{space 3}0.701{col 60}{space 4}-.1146337{col 73}{space 3} .1705401
{txt}{space 11}coldwar {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} -.151232{col 32}{space 2} .1364908{col 43}{space 1}   -1.11{col 52}{space 3}0.268{col 60}{space 4}-.4187491{col 73}{space 3} .1162851
{txt}{space 12}us_dum {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .3473918{col 32}{space 2} .1963685{col 43}{space 1}    1.77{col 52}{space 3}0.077{col 60}{space 4}-.0374835{col 73}{space 3} .7322671
{txt}{space 13}_cons {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-2.445995{col 32}{space 2} 1.115894{col 43}{space 1}   -2.19{col 52}{space 3}0.028{col 60}{space 4}-4.633107{col 73}{space 3}-.2588833
{txt}{hline 19}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
({res}est1{txt} stored)

{com}. cem issue_rnr(#0) highact(1.5 12.5 17.5 22.5) institution(#0) ddyad(#0), treatment (carrot_1) showbreak
{res}{txt}Cutpoints:
issue_rnr:{res} (user) 
  0
highact:{res} (user) 
       {txt}   1
    {c TLC}{hline 8}{c TRC}
  1 {c |}  {res} 1.5{txt}  {c |}
  2 {c |}  {res}12.5{txt}  {c |}
  3 {c |}  {res}17.5{txt}  {c |}
  4 {c |}  {res}22.5{txt}  {c |}
    {c BLC}{hline 8}{c BRC}
institution:{res} (user) 
  0
ddyad:{res} (user) 
  0

{txt}Matching Summary:
-----------------
Number of strata: {res}42
{txt}Number of matched strata: {res}14

           {txt}   0     1
      All  {res}1411    31
{txt}  Matched  {res}1253    31
{txt}Unmatched  {res} 158     0


{txt}Multivariate L1 distance: {res}.12135177

{txt}Univariate imbalance:

                   L1      mean       min       25%       50%       75%       max
  issue_rnr  {res} 5.3e-15  -2.9e-15         0         0         0         0         0
{txt}    highact  {res}  .12135   -.14931         0         0         0         0        -3
{txt}institution  {res} 7.4e-15  -1.4e-14         0         0         0         0         0
{txt}      ddyad  {res} 5.1e-15  -1.9e-15         0         0         0         0         .
{txt}
{com}. eststo: probit threatoutcome carrot_1 issue_rnr highact institution cont_dum multi atopally idealpointdistance ddyad demo_t demo_s  lngdp_t lnpop_t coldwar us_dum [iweight=cem_weights], robust //5% okay

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-278.29047}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-244.84624}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-243.08131}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-243.03663}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -243.0366}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -243.0366}  
{res}
{txt}Probit regression{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       514
{txt}{col 49}Wald chi2({res}15{txt}){col 67}= {res}     41.07
{txt}{col 49}Prob > chi2{col 67}= {res}    0.0003
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res} -243.0366{txt}{col 49}Pseudo R2{col 67}= {res}    0.1267

{txt}{hline 19}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 20}{c |}{col 32}    Robust
{col 1}     threatoutcome{col 20}{c |}      Coef.{col 32}   Std. Err.{col 44}      z{col 52}   P>|z|{col 60}     [95% Con{col 73}f. Interval]
{hline 19}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 10}carrot_1 {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .9648621{col 32}{space 2} .3820344{col 43}{space 1}    2.53{col 52}{space 3}0.012{col 60}{space 4} .2160885{col 73}{space 3} 1.713636
{txt}{space 9}issue_rnr {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.4419406{col 32}{space 2} .3836062{col 43}{space 1}   -1.15{col 52}{space 3}0.249{col 60}{space 4}-1.193795{col 73}{space 3} .3099138
{txt}{space 11}highact {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} -.017137{col 32}{space 2} .0200368{col 43}{space 1}   -0.86{col 52}{space 3}0.392{col 60}{space 4}-.0564083{col 73}{space 3} .0221344
{txt}{space 7}institution {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .1586554{col 32}{space 2} .3094907{col 43}{space 1}    0.51{col 52}{space 3}0.608{col 60}{space 4}-.4479353{col 73}{space 3}  .765246
{txt}{space 10}cont_dum {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.3264271{col 32}{space 2} .3284523{col 43}{space 1}   -0.99{col 52}{space 3}0.320{col 60}{space 4}-.9701817{col 73}{space 3} .3173276
{txt}{space 13}multi {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.1298288{col 32}{space 2} .3293558{col 43}{space 1}   -0.39{col 52}{space 3}0.693{col 60}{space 4}-.7753544{col 73}{space 3} .5156967
{txt}{space 10}atopally {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .0101363{col 32}{space 2}  .242769{col 43}{space 1}    0.04{col 52}{space 3}0.967{col 60}{space 4}-.4656822{col 73}{space 3} .4859547
{txt}idealpointdistance {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.1394558{col 32}{space 2}   .12135{col 43}{space 1}   -1.15{col 52}{space 3}0.250{col 60}{space 4}-.3772974{col 73}{space 3} .0983857
{txt}{space 13}ddyad {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-1.546709{col 32}{space 2} .6015325{col 43}{space 1}   -2.57{col 52}{space 3}0.010{col 60}{space 4}-2.725691{col 73}{space 3}-.3677271
{txt}{space 12}demo_t {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 1.454456{col 32}{space 2} .6028739{col 43}{space 1}    2.41{col 52}{space 3}0.016{col 60}{space 4}  .272845{col 73}{space 3} 2.636067
{txt}{space 12}demo_s {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 1.001192{col 32}{space 2} .5070955{col 43}{space 1}    1.97{col 52}{space 3}0.048{col 60}{space 4}  .007303{col 73}{space 3} 1.995081
{txt}{space 11}lngdp_t {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .0586278{col 32}{space 2} .0990709{col 43}{space 1}    0.59{col 52}{space 3}0.554{col 60}{space 4}-.1355476{col 73}{space 3} .2528032
{txt}{space 11}lnpop_t {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .1071849{col 32}{space 2} .1100254{col 43}{space 1}    0.97{col 52}{space 3}0.330{col 60}{space 4}-.1084609{col 73}{space 3} .3228306
{txt}{space 11}coldwar {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.5450792{col 32}{space 2} .2029598{col 43}{space 1}   -2.69{col 52}{space 3}0.007{col 60}{space 4}-.9428731{col 73}{space 3}-.1472852
{txt}{space 12}us_dum {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .6193937{col 32}{space 2} .2932466{col 43}{space 1}    2.11{col 52}{space 3}0.035{col 60}{space 4} .0446409{col 73}{space 3} 1.194146
{txt}{space 13}_cons {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-4.163073{col 32}{space 2} 1.721098{col 43}{space 1}   -2.42{col 52}{space 3}0.016{col 60}{space 4}-7.536362{col 73}{space 3}-.7897833
{txt}{hline 19}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
({res}est2{txt} stored)

{com}. eststo: probit impositionoutcome carrotonlyimposition issue_rnr highact institution cont_dum multi atopally idealpointdistance ddyad demo_t demo_s  lngdp_t lnpop_t coldwar us_dum, robust //5%

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-205.78221}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-177.17396}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-176.92593}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-176.92548}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-176.92548}  
{res}
{txt}Probit regression{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       297
{txt}{col 49}Wald chi2({res}15{txt}){col 67}= {res}     54.88
{txt}{col 49}Prob > chi2{col 67}= {res}    0.0000
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-176.92548{txt}{col 49}Pseudo R2{col 67}= {res}    0.1402

{txt}{hline 21}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 22}{c |}{col 34}    Robust
{col 1}   impositionoutcome{col 22}{c |}      Coef.{col 34}   Std. Err.{col 46}      z{col 54}   P>|z|{col 62}     [95% Con{col 75}f. Interval]
{hline 21}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
carrotonlyimposition {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-1.042146{col 34}{space 2} .3609901{col 45}{space 1}   -2.89{col 54}{space 3}0.004{col 62}{space 4}-1.749674{col 75}{space 3}-.3346183
{txt}{space 11}issue_rnr {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.3162579{col 34}{space 2} .2368384{col 45}{space 1}   -1.34{col 54}{space 3}0.182{col 62}{space 4}-.7804526{col 75}{space 3} .1479368
{txt}{space 13}highact {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .0195046{col 34}{space 2} .0172376{col 45}{space 1}    1.13{col 54}{space 3}0.258{col 62}{space 4}-.0142805{col 75}{space 3} .0532897
{txt}{space 9}institution {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1.050972{col 34}{space 2} .3334021{col 45}{space 1}    3.15{col 54}{space 3}0.002{col 62}{space 4} .3975156{col 75}{space 3} 1.704428
{txt}{space 12}cont_dum {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .5133908{col 34}{space 2} .2647221{col 45}{space 1}    1.94{col 54}{space 3}0.052{col 62}{space 4}-.0054549{col 75}{space 3} 1.032237
{txt}{space 15}multi {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .3952123{col 34}{space 2} .3024271{col 45}{space 1}    1.31{col 54}{space 3}0.191{col 62}{space 4} -.197534{col 75}{space 3} .9879586
{txt}{space 12}atopally {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .2250308{col 34}{space 2} .2148016{col 45}{space 1}    1.05{col 54}{space 3}0.295{col 62}{space 4}-.1959727{col 75}{space 3} .6460342
{txt}{space 2}idealpointdistance {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.0336084{col 34}{space 2} .0888848{col 45}{space 1}   -0.38{col 54}{space 3}0.705{col 62}{space 4}-.2078194{col 75}{space 3} .1406026
{txt}{space 15}ddyad {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.9801332{col 34}{space 2} .5216231{col 45}{space 1}   -1.88{col 54}{space 3}0.060{col 62}{space 4}-2.002496{col 75}{space 3} .0422293
{txt}{space 14}demo_t {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .5201288{col 34}{space 2} .5144118{col 45}{space 1}    1.01{col 54}{space 3}0.312{col 62}{space 4}-.4880999{col 75}{space 3} 1.528357
{txt}{space 14}demo_s {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .3629778{col 34}{space 2} .3831792{col 45}{space 1}    0.95{col 54}{space 3}0.343{col 62}{space 4}-.3880397{col 75}{space 3} 1.113995
{txt}{space 13}lngdp_t {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.1256562{col 34}{space 2} .0831391{col 45}{space 1}   -1.51{col 54}{space 3}0.131{col 62}{space 4}-.2886059{col 75}{space 3} .0372935
{txt}{space 13}lnpop_t {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .1076946{col 34}{space 2} .0969096{col 45}{space 1}    1.11{col 54}{space 3}0.266{col 62}{space 4}-.0822447{col 75}{space 3} .2976339
{txt}{space 13}coldwar {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.0372581{col 34}{space 2}  .170213{col 45}{space 1}   -0.22{col 54}{space 3}0.827{col 62}{space 4}-.3708695{col 75}{space 3} .2963533
{txt}{space 14}us_dum {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} -.012273{col 34}{space 2} .2379146{col 45}{space 1}   -0.05{col 54}{space 3}0.959{col 62}{space 4} -.478577{col 75}{space 3}  .454031
{txt}{space 15}_cons {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1.699542{col 34}{space 2} 1.368552{col 45}{space 1}    1.24{col 54}{space 3}0.214{col 62}{space 4}-.9827714{col 75}{space 3} 4.381855
{txt}{hline 21}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
({res}est3{txt} stored)

{com}. cem issue_rnr(#0) highact(1.5 12.5 17.5 22.5) institution(#0) ddyad(#0), treatment (carrotonlyimposition) showbreak
{res}{txt}Cutpoints:
issue_rnr:{res} (user) 
  0
highact:{res} (user) 
       {txt}   1
    {c TLC}{hline 8}{c TRC}
  1 {c |}  {res} 1.5{txt}  {c |}
  2 {c |}  {res}12.5{txt}  {c |}
  3 {c |}  {res}17.5{txt}  {c |}
  4 {c |}  {res}22.5{txt}  {c |}
    {c BLC}{hline 8}{c BRC}
institution:{res} (user) 
  0
ddyad:{res} (user) 
  0

{txt}Matching Summary:
-----------------
Number of strata: {res}42
{txt}Number of matched strata: {res}17

           {txt}   0     1
      All  {res}1409    33
{txt}  Matched  {res}1250    33
{txt}Unmatched  {res} 159     0


{txt}Multivariate L1 distance: {res}.16137335

{txt}Univariate imbalance:

                   L1      mean       min       25%       50%       75%       max
  issue_rnr  {res} 2.4e-15   1.2e-15         0         0         0         0         0
{txt}    highact  {res}  .12432    .16917         0         0         0         0        -3
{txt}institution  {res} 2.2e-15  -1.2e-15         0         0         0         0         0
{txt}      ddyad  {res} 2.3e-15   1.6e-15         0         0         0         .         .
{txt}
{com}. eststo: probit impositionoutcome carrotonlyimposition issue_rnr highact institution cont_dum multi atopally idealpointdistance ddyad demo_t demo_s  lngdp_t lnpop_t coldwar us_dum [iweight=cem_weights], robust //5%

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-163.81569}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-131.01325}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-130.38629}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-130.38492}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-130.38492}  
{res}
{txt}Probit regression{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       271
{txt}{col 49}Wald chi2({res}15{txt}){col 67}= {res}     61.87
{txt}{col 49}Prob > chi2{col 67}= {res}    0.0000
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-130.38492{txt}{col 49}Pseudo R2{col 67}= {res}    0.2041

{txt}{hline 21}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 22}{c |}{col 34}    Robust
{col 1}   impositionoutcome{col 22}{c |}      Coef.{col 34}   Std. Err.{col 46}      z{col 54}   P>|z|{col 62}     [95% Con{col 75}f. Interval]
{hline 21}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
carrotonlyimposition {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.9227258{col 34}{space 2} .4031115{col 45}{space 1}   -2.29{col 54}{space 3}0.022{col 62}{space 4} -1.71281{col 75}{space 3}-.1326417
{txt}{space 11}issue_rnr {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.4171751{col 34}{space 2} .2779871{col 45}{space 1}   -1.50{col 54}{space 3}0.133{col 62}{space 4}-.9620198{col 75}{space 3} .1276697
{txt}{space 13}highact {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .0505876{col 34}{space 2} .0243153{col 45}{space 1}    2.08{col 54}{space 3}0.037{col 62}{space 4} .0029306{col 75}{space 3} .0982446
{txt}{space 9}institution {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .6983085{col 34}{space 2} .4285712{col 45}{space 1}    1.63{col 54}{space 3}0.103{col 62}{space 4}-.1416755{col 75}{space 3} 1.538293
{txt}{space 12}cont_dum {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .6738764{col 34}{space 2}  .317635{col 45}{space 1}    2.12{col 54}{space 3}0.034{col 62}{space 4} .0513232{col 75}{space 3}  1.29643
{txt}{space 15}multi {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .4809458{col 34}{space 2}  .389973{col 45}{space 1}    1.23{col 54}{space 3}0.217{col 62}{space 4}-.2833872{col 75}{space 3} 1.245279
{txt}{space 12}atopally {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .3038678{col 34}{space 2} .2697474{col 45}{space 1}    1.13{col 54}{space 3}0.260{col 62}{space 4}-.2248275{col 75}{space 3}  .832563
{txt}{space 2}idealpointdistance {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.0440485{col 34}{space 2} .1170824{col 45}{space 1}   -0.38{col 54}{space 3}0.707{col 62}{space 4}-.2735258{col 75}{space 3} .1854287
{txt}{space 15}ddyad {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} -1.28919{col 34}{space 2}  .728663{col 45}{space 1}   -1.77{col 54}{space 3}0.077{col 62}{space 4}-2.717343{col 75}{space 3} .1389636
{txt}{space 14}demo_t {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .7144937{col 34}{space 2} .7369718{col 45}{space 1}    0.97{col 54}{space 3}0.332{col 62}{space 4}-.7299445{col 75}{space 3} 2.158932
{txt}{space 14}demo_s {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .1201256{col 34}{space 2}  .550518{col 45}{space 1}    0.22{col 54}{space 3}0.827{col 62}{space 4}-.9588699{col 75}{space 3} 1.199121
{txt}{space 13}lngdp_t {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.0917823{col 34}{space 2} .1166169{col 45}{space 1}   -0.79{col 54}{space 3}0.431{col 62}{space 4}-.3203472{col 75}{space 3} .1367826
{txt}{space 13}lnpop_t {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.0933222{col 34}{space 2} .1367435{col 45}{space 1}   -0.68{col 54}{space 3}0.495{col 62}{space 4}-.3613345{col 75}{space 3} .1746901
{txt}{space 13}coldwar {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.2796564{col 34}{space 2} .2175208{col 45}{space 1}   -1.29{col 54}{space 3}0.199{col 62}{space 4}-.7059893{col 75}{space 3} .1466766
{txt}{space 14}us_dum {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .1169011{col 34}{space 2} .2841552{col 45}{space 1}    0.41{col 54}{space 3}0.681{col 62}{space 4}-.4400329{col 75}{space 3} .6738351
{txt}{space 15}_cons {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 3.115345{col 34}{space 2} 1.756344{col 45}{space 1}    1.77{col 54}{space 3}0.076{col 62}{space 4}-.3270262{col 75}{space 3} 6.557717
{txt}{hline 21}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
({res}est4{txt} stored)

{com}. esttab, starlevel(* 0.10 ** 0.05 *** 0.01) p compress nogap
{res}
{txt}{hline 62}
{txt}                 (1)          (2)          (3)          (4)   
{txt}           threato~e    threato~e    imposit~e    imposit~e   
{txt}{hline 62}
{res}main                                                          {txt}
{txt}carrot_1  {res}     0.644*       0.965**                           {txt}
          {res} {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.070{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.012{txt:)}}                             {txt}
{txt}issue_rnr {res}    -0.568**     -0.442       -0.316       -0.417   {txt}
          {res} {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.013{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.249{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.182{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.133{txt:)}}   {txt}
{txt}highact   {res}    0.0220      -0.0171       0.0195       0.0506** {txt}
          {res} {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.131{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.392{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.258{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.037{txt:)}}   {txt}
{txt}institut~n{res}     0.866***     0.159        1.051***     0.698   {txt}
          {res} {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.000{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.608{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.002{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.103{txt:)}}   {txt}
{txt}cont_dum  {res}    -0.248       -0.326        0.513*       0.674** {txt}
          {res} {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.290{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.320{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.052{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.034{txt:)}}   {txt}
{txt}multi     {res}    -0.605***    -0.130        0.395        0.481   {txt}
          {res} {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.008{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.693{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.191{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.217{txt:)}}   {txt}
{txt}atopally  {res}   -0.0377       0.0101        0.225        0.304   {txt}
          {res} {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.821{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.967{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.295{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.260{txt:)}}   {txt}
{txt}idealpoi~e{res}   -0.0122       -0.139      -0.0336      -0.0440   {txt}
          {res} {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.866{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.250{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.705{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.707{txt:)}}   {txt}
{txt}ddyad     {res}    -0.856       -1.547**     -0.980*      -1.289*  {txt}
          {res} {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.130{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.010{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.060{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.077{txt:)}}   {txt}
{txt}demo_t    {res}     0.898        1.454**      0.520        0.714   {txt}
          {res} {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.123{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.016{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.312{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.332{txt:)}}   {txt}
{txt}demo_s    {res}     0.850        1.001**      0.363        0.120   {txt}
          {res} {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.101{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.048{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.343{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.827{txt:)}}   {txt}
{txt}lngdp_t   {res}    0.0162       0.0586       -0.126      -0.0918   {txt}
          {res} {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.802{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.554{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.131{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.431{txt:)}}   {txt}
{txt}lnpop_t   {res}    0.0280        0.107        0.108      -0.0933   {txt}
          {res} {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.701{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.330{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.266{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.495{txt:)}}   {txt}
{txt}coldwar   {res}    -0.151       -0.545***   -0.0373       -0.280   {txt}
          {res} {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.268{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.007{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.827{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.199{txt:)}}   {txt}
{txt}us_dum    {res}     0.347*       0.619**    -0.0123        0.117   {txt}
          {res} {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.077{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.035{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.959{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.681{txt:)}}   {txt}
{txt}carroton~n{res}                              -1.042***    -0.923** {txt}
          {res}                           {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.004{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.022{txt:)}}   {txt}
{txt}_cons     {res}    -2.446**     -4.163**      1.700        3.115*  {txt}
          {res} {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.028{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.016{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.214{txt:)}}    {ralign 9:{txt:(}0.076{txt:)}}   {txt}
{txt}{hline 62}
{txt}N         {res}       550          514          297          271   {txt}
{txt}{hline 62}
{txt}p-values in parentheses
{txt}* p<0.10, ** p<0.05, *** p<0.01

{com}. 
. *Table A17
. **Threat stage
. probit threatoutcome carrot_1 issue_rnr highact institution cont_dum multi atopally idealpointdistance ddyad demo_t demo_s  lngdp_t lnpop_t coldwar us_dum, robust //5% okay

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-297.20486}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-276.73427}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-276.19182}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-276.18853}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-276.18853}  
{res}
{txt}Probit regression{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       550
{txt}{col 49}Wald chi2({res}15{txt}){col 67}= {res}     43.58
{txt}{col 49}Prob > chi2{col 67}= {res}    0.0001
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-276.18853{txt}{col 49}Pseudo R2{col 67}= {res}    0.0707

{txt}{hline 19}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 20}{c |}{col 32}    Robust
{col 1}     threatoutcome{col 20}{c |}      Coef.{col 32}   Std. Err.{col 44}      z{col 52}   P>|z|{col 60}     [95% Con{col 73}f. Interval]
{hline 19}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 10}carrot_1 {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .6440786{col 32}{space 2} .3551863{col 43}{space 1}    1.81{col 52}{space 3}0.070{col 60}{space 4}-.0520737{col 73}{space 3} 1.340231
{txt}{space 9}issue_rnr {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} -.567836{col 32}{space 2} .2277786{col 43}{space 1}   -2.49{col 52}{space 3}0.013{col 60}{space 4}-1.014274{col 73}{space 3}-.1213981
{txt}{space 11}highact {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .0219937{col 32}{space 2} .0145538{col 43}{space 1}    1.51{col 52}{space 3}0.131{col 60}{space 4}-.0065312{col 73}{space 3} .0505186
{txt}{space 7}institution {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .8664365{col 32}{space 2} .2234381{col 43}{space 1}    3.88{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4} .4285058{col 73}{space 3} 1.304367
{txt}{space 10}cont_dum {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.2476718{col 32}{space 2} .2340976{col 43}{space 1}   -1.06{col 52}{space 3}0.290{col 60}{space 4}-.7064946{col 73}{space 3}  .211151
{txt}{space 13}multi {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.6050694{col 32}{space 2} .2284079{col 43}{space 1}   -2.65{col 52}{space 3}0.008{col 60}{space 4}-1.052741{col 73}{space 3}-.1573982
{txt}{space 10}atopally {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.0376702{col 32}{space 2} .1665923{col 43}{space 1}   -0.23{col 52}{space 3}0.821{col 60}{space 4}-.3641851{col 73}{space 3} .2888446
{txt}idealpointdistance {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.0121966{col 32}{space 2} .0722638{col 43}{space 1}   -0.17{col 52}{space 3}0.866{col 60}{space 4} -.153831{col 73}{space 3} .1294378
{txt}{space 13}ddyad {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}  -.85644{col 32}{space 2} .5659978{col 43}{space 1}   -1.51{col 52}{space 3}0.130{col 60}{space 4}-1.965775{col 73}{space 3} .2528953
{txt}{space 12}demo_t {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .8980286{col 32}{space 2} .5825232{col 43}{space 1}    1.54{col 52}{space 3}0.123{col 60}{space 4}-.2436959{col 73}{space 3} 2.039753
{txt}{space 12}demo_s {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .8497943{col 32}{space 2} .5186946{col 43}{space 1}    1.64{col 52}{space 3}0.101{col 60}{space 4}-.1668285{col 73}{space 3} 1.866417
{txt}{space 11}lngdp_t {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}  .016156{col 32}{space 2} .0644771{col 43}{space 1}    0.25{col 52}{space 3}0.802{col 60}{space 4}-.1102168{col 73}{space 3} .1425288
{txt}{space 11}lnpop_t {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .0279532{col 32}{space 2} .0727498{col 43}{space 1}    0.38{col 52}{space 3}0.701{col 60}{space 4}-.1146337{col 73}{space 3} .1705401
{txt}{space 11}coldwar {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} -.151232{col 32}{space 2} .1364908{col 43}{space 1}   -1.11{col 52}{space 3}0.268{col 60}{space 4}-.4187491{col 73}{space 3} .1162851
{txt}{space 12}us_dum {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .3473918{col 32}{space 2} .1963685{col 43}{space 1}    1.77{col 52}{space 3}0.077{col 60}{space 4}-.0374835{col 73}{space 3} .7322671
{txt}{space 13}_cons {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-2.445995{col 32}{space 2} 1.115894{col 43}{space 1}   -2.19{col 52}{space 3}0.028{col 60}{space 4}-4.633107{col 73}{space 3}-.2588833
{txt}{hline 19}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. margins, dydx(carrot_1)  force
{res}
{txt}Average marginal effects{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       550
{txt}Model VCE{col 14}: {res}Robust

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:Expression}:{space 1}{res:Pr(threatoutcome), predict()}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:dy/dx w.r.t.}:{space 1}{res:carrot_1}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{res}{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}{col 26} Delta-method
{col 14}{c |}      dy/dx{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 4}carrot_1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .1813219{col 26}{space 2} .0991737{col 37}{space 1}    1.83{col 46}{space 3}0.068{col 54}{space 4} -.013055{col 67}{space 3} .3756988
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}{txt}
{com}. cem issue_rnr(#0) highact(1.5 12.5 17.5 22.5) institution(#0) ddyad(#0), treatment (carrot_1) showbreak
{res}{txt}Cutpoints:
issue_rnr:{res} (user) 
  0
highact:{res} (user) 
       {txt}   1
    {c TLC}{hline 8}{c TRC}
  1 {c |}  {res} 1.5{txt}  {c |}
  2 {c |}  {res}12.5{txt}  {c |}
  3 {c |}  {res}17.5{txt}  {c |}
  4 {c |}  {res}22.5{txt}  {c |}
    {c BLC}{hline 8}{c BRC}
institution:{res} (user) 
  0
ddyad:{res} (user) 
  0

{txt}Matching Summary:
-----------------
Number of strata: {res}42
{txt}Number of matched strata: {res}14

           {txt}   0     1
      All  {res}1411    31
{txt}  Matched  {res}1253    31
{txt}Unmatched  {res} 158     0


{txt}Multivariate L1 distance: {res}.12135177

{txt}Univariate imbalance:

                   L1      mean       min       25%       50%       75%       max
  issue_rnr  {res} 5.3e-15  -2.9e-15         0         0         0         0         0
{txt}    highact  {res}  .12135   -.14931         0         0         0         0        -3
{txt}institution  {res} 7.4e-15  -1.4e-14         0         0         0         0         0
{txt}      ddyad  {res} 5.1e-15  -1.9e-15         0         0         0         0         .
{txt}
{com}. probit threatoutcome carrot_1 issue_rnr highact institution cont_dum multi atopally idealpointdistance ddyad demo_t demo_s  lngdp_t lnpop_t coldwar us_dum [iweight=cem_weights], robust //5% okay

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-278.29047}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-244.84624}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-243.08131}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-243.03663}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -243.0366}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -243.0366}  
{res}
{txt}Probit regression{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       514
{txt}{col 49}Wald chi2({res}15{txt}){col 67}= {res}     41.07
{txt}{col 49}Prob > chi2{col 67}= {res}    0.0003
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res} -243.0366{txt}{col 49}Pseudo R2{col 67}= {res}    0.1267

{txt}{hline 19}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 20}{c |}{col 32}    Robust
{col 1}     threatoutcome{col 20}{c |}      Coef.{col 32}   Std. Err.{col 44}      z{col 52}   P>|z|{col 60}     [95% Con{col 73}f. Interval]
{hline 19}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 10}carrot_1 {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .9648621{col 32}{space 2} .3820344{col 43}{space 1}    2.53{col 52}{space 3}0.012{col 60}{space 4} .2160885{col 73}{space 3} 1.713636
{txt}{space 9}issue_rnr {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.4419406{col 32}{space 2} .3836062{col 43}{space 1}   -1.15{col 52}{space 3}0.249{col 60}{space 4}-1.193795{col 73}{space 3} .3099138
{txt}{space 11}highact {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} -.017137{col 32}{space 2} .0200368{col 43}{space 1}   -0.86{col 52}{space 3}0.392{col 60}{space 4}-.0564083{col 73}{space 3} .0221344
{txt}{space 7}institution {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .1586554{col 32}{space 2} .3094907{col 43}{space 1}    0.51{col 52}{space 3}0.608{col 60}{space 4}-.4479353{col 73}{space 3}  .765246
{txt}{space 10}cont_dum {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.3264271{col 32}{space 2} .3284523{col 43}{space 1}   -0.99{col 52}{space 3}0.320{col 60}{space 4}-.9701817{col 73}{space 3} .3173276
{txt}{space 13}multi {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.1298288{col 32}{space 2} .3293558{col 43}{space 1}   -0.39{col 52}{space 3}0.693{col 60}{space 4}-.7753544{col 73}{space 3} .5156967
{txt}{space 10}atopally {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .0101363{col 32}{space 2}  .242769{col 43}{space 1}    0.04{col 52}{space 3}0.967{col 60}{space 4}-.4656822{col 73}{space 3} .4859547
{txt}idealpointdistance {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.1394558{col 32}{space 2}   .12135{col 43}{space 1}   -1.15{col 52}{space 3}0.250{col 60}{space 4}-.3772974{col 73}{space 3} .0983857
{txt}{space 13}ddyad {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-1.546709{col 32}{space 2} .6015325{col 43}{space 1}   -2.57{col 52}{space 3}0.010{col 60}{space 4}-2.725691{col 73}{space 3}-.3677271
{txt}{space 12}demo_t {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 1.454456{col 32}{space 2} .6028739{col 43}{space 1}    2.41{col 52}{space 3}0.016{col 60}{space 4}  .272845{col 73}{space 3} 2.636067
{txt}{space 12}demo_s {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 1.001192{col 32}{space 2} .5070955{col 43}{space 1}    1.97{col 52}{space 3}0.048{col 60}{space 4}  .007303{col 73}{space 3} 1.995081
{txt}{space 11}lngdp_t {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .0586278{col 32}{space 2} .0990709{col 43}{space 1}    0.59{col 52}{space 3}0.554{col 60}{space 4}-.1355476{col 73}{space 3} .2528032
{txt}{space 11}lnpop_t {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .1071849{col 32}{space 2} .1100254{col 43}{space 1}    0.97{col 52}{space 3}0.330{col 60}{space 4}-.1084609{col 73}{space 3} .3228306
{txt}{space 11}coldwar {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.5450792{col 32}{space 2} .2029598{col 43}{space 1}   -2.69{col 52}{space 3}0.007{col 60}{space 4}-.9428731{col 73}{space 3}-.1472852
{txt}{space 12}us_dum {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .6193937{col 32}{space 2} .2932466{col 43}{space 1}    2.11{col 52}{space 3}0.035{col 60}{space 4} .0446409{col 73}{space 3} 1.194146
{txt}{space 13}_cons {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-4.163073{col 32}{space 2} 1.721098{col 43}{space 1}   -2.42{col 52}{space 3}0.016{col 60}{space 4}-7.536362{col 73}{space 3}-.7897833
{txt}{hline 19}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. margins, dydx(carrot_1)  force
{res}
{txt}Average marginal effects{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       514
{txt}Model VCE{col 14}: {res}Robust

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:Expression}:{space 1}{res:Pr(threatoutcome), predict()}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:dy/dx w.r.t.}:{space 1}{res:carrot_1}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{res}{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}{col 26} Delta-method
{col 14}{c |}      dy/dx{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 4}carrot_1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .2569243{col 26}{space 2} .1005656{col 37}{space 1}    2.55{col 46}{space 3}0.011{col 54}{space 4} .0598193{col 67}{space 3} .4540293
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}{txt}
{com}. ***Imposition stage
. probit impositionoutcome carrotonlyimposition issue_rnr highact institution cont_dum multi atopally idealpointdistance ddyad demo_t demo_s  lngdp_t lnpop_t coldwar us_dum, robust //5%

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-205.78221}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-177.17396}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-176.92593}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-176.92548}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-176.92548}  
{res}
{txt}Probit regression{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       297
{txt}{col 49}Wald chi2({res}15{txt}){col 67}= {res}     54.88
{txt}{col 49}Prob > chi2{col 67}= {res}    0.0000
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-176.92548{txt}{col 49}Pseudo R2{col 67}= {res}    0.1402

{txt}{hline 21}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 22}{c |}{col 34}    Robust
{col 1}   impositionoutcome{col 22}{c |}      Coef.{col 34}   Std. Err.{col 46}      z{col 54}   P>|z|{col 62}     [95% Con{col 75}f. Interval]
{hline 21}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
carrotonlyimposition {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-1.042146{col 34}{space 2} .3609901{col 45}{space 1}   -2.89{col 54}{space 3}0.004{col 62}{space 4}-1.749674{col 75}{space 3}-.3346183
{txt}{space 11}issue_rnr {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.3162579{col 34}{space 2} .2368384{col 45}{space 1}   -1.34{col 54}{space 3}0.182{col 62}{space 4}-.7804526{col 75}{space 3} .1479368
{txt}{space 13}highact {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .0195046{col 34}{space 2} .0172376{col 45}{space 1}    1.13{col 54}{space 3}0.258{col 62}{space 4}-.0142805{col 75}{space 3} .0532897
{txt}{space 9}institution {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1.050972{col 34}{space 2} .3334021{col 45}{space 1}    3.15{col 54}{space 3}0.002{col 62}{space 4} .3975156{col 75}{space 3} 1.704428
{txt}{space 12}cont_dum {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .5133908{col 34}{space 2} .2647221{col 45}{space 1}    1.94{col 54}{space 3}0.052{col 62}{space 4}-.0054549{col 75}{space 3} 1.032237
{txt}{space 15}multi {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .3952123{col 34}{space 2} .3024271{col 45}{space 1}    1.31{col 54}{space 3}0.191{col 62}{space 4} -.197534{col 75}{space 3} .9879586
{txt}{space 12}atopally {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .2250308{col 34}{space 2} .2148016{col 45}{space 1}    1.05{col 54}{space 3}0.295{col 62}{space 4}-.1959727{col 75}{space 3} .6460342
{txt}{space 2}idealpointdistance {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.0336084{col 34}{space 2} .0888848{col 45}{space 1}   -0.38{col 54}{space 3}0.705{col 62}{space 4}-.2078194{col 75}{space 3} .1406026
{txt}{space 15}ddyad {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.9801332{col 34}{space 2} .5216231{col 45}{space 1}   -1.88{col 54}{space 3}0.060{col 62}{space 4}-2.002496{col 75}{space 3} .0422293
{txt}{space 14}demo_t {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .5201288{col 34}{space 2} .5144118{col 45}{space 1}    1.01{col 54}{space 3}0.312{col 62}{space 4}-.4880999{col 75}{space 3} 1.528357
{txt}{space 14}demo_s {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .3629778{col 34}{space 2} .3831792{col 45}{space 1}    0.95{col 54}{space 3}0.343{col 62}{space 4}-.3880397{col 75}{space 3} 1.113995
{txt}{space 13}lngdp_t {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.1256562{col 34}{space 2} .0831391{col 45}{space 1}   -1.51{col 54}{space 3}0.131{col 62}{space 4}-.2886059{col 75}{space 3} .0372935
{txt}{space 13}lnpop_t {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .1076946{col 34}{space 2} .0969096{col 45}{space 1}    1.11{col 54}{space 3}0.266{col 62}{space 4}-.0822447{col 75}{space 3} .2976339
{txt}{space 13}coldwar {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.0372581{col 34}{space 2}  .170213{col 45}{space 1}   -0.22{col 54}{space 3}0.827{col 62}{space 4}-.3708695{col 75}{space 3} .2963533
{txt}{space 14}us_dum {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} -.012273{col 34}{space 2} .2379146{col 45}{space 1}   -0.05{col 54}{space 3}0.959{col 62}{space 4} -.478577{col 75}{space 3}  .454031
{txt}{space 15}_cons {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1.699542{col 34}{space 2} 1.368552{col 45}{space 1}    1.24{col 54}{space 3}0.214{col 62}{space 4}-.9827714{col 75}{space 3} 4.381855
{txt}{hline 21}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. margins, dydx(carrotonlyimposition)  force
{res}
{txt}Average marginal effects{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       297
{txt}Model VCE{col 14}: {res}Robust

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:Expression}:{space 1}{res:Pr(impositionoutcome), predict()}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:dy/dx w.r.t.}:{space 1}{res:carrotonlyimposition}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{res}{txt}{hline 21}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 22}{c |}{col 34} Delta-method
{col 22}{c |}      dy/dx{col 34}   Std. Err.{col 46}      z{col 54}   P>|z|{col 62}     [95% Con{col 75}f. Interval]
{hline 21}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
carrotonlyimposition {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.3532153{col 34}{space 2} .1198118{col 45}{space 1}   -2.95{col 54}{space 3}0.003{col 62}{space 4}-.5880421{col 75}{space 3}-.1183886
{txt}{hline 21}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}{txt}
{com}. cem issue_rnr(#0) highact(1.5 12.5 17.5 22.5) institution(#0) ddyad(#0), treatment (carrotonlyimposition) showbreak
{res}{txt}Cutpoints:
issue_rnr:{res} (user) 
  0
highact:{res} (user) 
       {txt}   1
    {c TLC}{hline 8}{c TRC}
  1 {c |}  {res} 1.5{txt}  {c |}
  2 {c |}  {res}12.5{txt}  {c |}
  3 {c |}  {res}17.5{txt}  {c |}
  4 {c |}  {res}22.5{txt}  {c |}
    {c BLC}{hline 8}{c BRC}
institution:{res} (user) 
  0
ddyad:{res} (user) 
  0

{txt}Matching Summary:
-----------------
Number of strata: {res}42
{txt}Number of matched strata: {res}17

           {txt}   0     1
      All  {res}1409    33
{txt}  Matched  {res}1250    33
{txt}Unmatched  {res} 159     0


{txt}Multivariate L1 distance: {res}.16137335

{txt}Univariate imbalance:

                   L1      mean       min       25%       50%       75%       max
  issue_rnr  {res} 2.4e-15   1.2e-15         0         0         0         0         0
{txt}    highact  {res}  .12432    .16917         0         0         0         0        -3
{txt}institution  {res} 2.2e-15  -1.2e-15         0         0         0         0         0
{txt}      ddyad  {res} 2.3e-15   1.6e-15         0         0         0         .         .
{txt}
{com}. probit impositionoutcome carrotonlyimposition issue_rnr highact institution cont_dum multi atopally idealpointdistance ddyad demo_t demo_s  lngdp_t lnpop_t coldwar us_dum [iweight=cem_weights], robust //5%

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-163.81569}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-131.01325}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-130.38629}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-130.38492}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-130.38492}  
{res}
{txt}Probit regression{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       271
{txt}{col 49}Wald chi2({res}15{txt}){col 67}= {res}     61.87
{txt}{col 49}Prob > chi2{col 67}= {res}    0.0000
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-130.38492{txt}{col 49}Pseudo R2{col 67}= {res}    0.2041

{txt}{hline 21}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 22}{c |}{col 34}    Robust
{col 1}   impositionoutcome{col 22}{c |}      Coef.{col 34}   Std. Err.{col 46}      z{col 54}   P>|z|{col 62}     [95% Con{col 75}f. Interval]
{hline 21}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
carrotonlyimposition {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.9227258{col 34}{space 2} .4031115{col 45}{space 1}   -2.29{col 54}{space 3}0.022{col 62}{space 4} -1.71281{col 75}{space 3}-.1326417
{txt}{space 11}issue_rnr {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.4171751{col 34}{space 2} .2779871{col 45}{space 1}   -1.50{col 54}{space 3}0.133{col 62}{space 4}-.9620198{col 75}{space 3} .1276697
{txt}{space 13}highact {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .0505876{col 34}{space 2} .0243153{col 45}{space 1}    2.08{col 54}{space 3}0.037{col 62}{space 4} .0029306{col 75}{space 3} .0982446
{txt}{space 9}institution {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .6983085{col 34}{space 2} .4285712{col 45}{space 1}    1.63{col 54}{space 3}0.103{col 62}{space 4}-.1416755{col 75}{space 3} 1.538293
{txt}{space 12}cont_dum {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .6738764{col 34}{space 2}  .317635{col 45}{space 1}    2.12{col 54}{space 3}0.034{col 62}{space 4} .0513232{col 75}{space 3}  1.29643
{txt}{space 15}multi {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .4809458{col 34}{space 2}  .389973{col 45}{space 1}    1.23{col 54}{space 3}0.217{col 62}{space 4}-.2833872{col 75}{space 3} 1.245279
{txt}{space 12}atopally {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .3038678{col 34}{space 2} .2697474{col 45}{space 1}    1.13{col 54}{space 3}0.260{col 62}{space 4}-.2248275{col 75}{space 3}  .832563
{txt}{space 2}idealpointdistance {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.0440485{col 34}{space 2} .1170824{col 45}{space 1}   -0.38{col 54}{space 3}0.707{col 62}{space 4}-.2735258{col 75}{space 3} .1854287
{txt}{space 15}ddyad {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} -1.28919{col 34}{space 2}  .728663{col 45}{space 1}   -1.77{col 54}{space 3}0.077{col 62}{space 4}-2.717343{col 75}{space 3} .1389636
{txt}{space 14}demo_t {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .7144937{col 34}{space 2} .7369718{col 45}{space 1}    0.97{col 54}{space 3}0.332{col 62}{space 4}-.7299445{col 75}{space 3} 2.158932
{txt}{space 14}demo_s {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .1201256{col 34}{space 2}  .550518{col 45}{space 1}    0.22{col 54}{space 3}0.827{col 62}{space 4}-.9588699{col 75}{space 3} 1.199121
{txt}{space 13}lngdp_t {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.0917823{col 34}{space 2} .1166169{col 45}{space 1}   -0.79{col 54}{space 3}0.431{col 62}{space 4}-.3203472{col 75}{space 3} .1367826
{txt}{space 13}lnpop_t {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.0933222{col 34}{space 2} .1367435{col 45}{space 1}   -0.68{col 54}{space 3}0.495{col 62}{space 4}-.3613345{col 75}{space 3} .1746901
{txt}{space 13}coldwar {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.2796564{col 34}{space 2} .2175208{col 45}{space 1}   -1.29{col 54}{space 3}0.199{col 62}{space 4}-.7059893{col 75}{space 3} .1466766
{txt}{space 14}us_dum {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .1169011{col 34}{space 2} .2841552{col 45}{space 1}    0.41{col 54}{space 3}0.681{col 62}{space 4}-.4400329{col 75}{space 3} .6738351
{txt}{space 15}_cons {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 3.115345{col 34}{space 2} 1.756344{col 45}{space 1}    1.77{col 54}{space 3}0.076{col 62}{space 4}-.3270262{col 75}{space 3} 6.557717
{txt}{hline 21}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. margins, dydx(carrotonlyimposition)  force
{res}
{txt}Average marginal effects{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       271
{txt}Model VCE{col 14}: {res}Robust

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:Expression}:{space 1}{res:Pr(impositionoutcome), predict()}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:dy/dx w.r.t.}:{space 1}{res:carrotonlyimposition}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{res}{txt}{hline 21}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 22}{c |}{col 34} Delta-method
{col 22}{c |}      dy/dx{col 34}   Std. Err.{col 46}      z{col 54}   P>|z|{col 62}     [95% Con{col 75}f. Interval]
{hline 21}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
carrotonlyimposition {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.2868634{col 34}{space 2} .1206596{col 45}{space 1}   -2.38{col 54}{space 3}0.017{col 62}{space 4}-.5233519{col 75}{space 3}-.0503749
{txt}{hline 21}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}{txt}
{com}. 
. 
{txt}end of do-file

{com}. log close
      {txt}name:  {res}<unnamed>
       {txt}log:  {res}C:\Users\yewon\Desktop\Research\2023\double_edged\log_II.smcl
  {txt}log type:  {res}smcl
 {txt}closed on:  {res} 7 Jun 2024, 00:04:41
{txt}{.-}
{smcl}
{txt}{sf}{ul off}